Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Fidesz–KDNP | MSZP | DK | Együtt | MLP | Párbeszéd | Jobbik | LMP | MKKP | MM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 April 2014 | General Election | 44.9% 133 |
25.6% 29 |
25.6% 4 |
25.6% 3 |
25.6% 1 |
25.6% 1 |
20.2% 23 |
5.3% 5 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 40–64% 137–173 |
6–20% 6–21 |
4–9% 0–9 |
0–3% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
12–26% 11–36 |
3–9% 0–9 |
0–3% 0 |
1–4% 0 |
| 28 March–3 April 2018 | Publicus Research | 42–48% 144–154 |
17–21% 17–23 |
4–7% 0–6 |
0–1% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
18–22% 17–25 |
6–9% 5–8 |
0–1% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
| 1–31 March 2018 | Századvég Alapítvány | 48–54% 152–159 |
13–17% 12–16 |
5–8% 0–7 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
11–15% 10–14 |
6–9% 5–8 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 23–27 March 2018 | Medián hvg.hu |
50–56% 156–163 |
10–14% 10–14 |
5–7% 0–7 |
1–2% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
14–18% 14–18 |
6–9% 5–8 |
1–3% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
| 21–24 March 2018 | Iránytű Intézet Magyar Nemzet |
38–44% 130–148 |
10–14% 10–14 |
6–9% 5–9 |
0–1% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
22–28% 26–42 |
6–10% 6–10 |
1–3% 0 |
2–4% 0 |
| 10–23 March 2018 | Republikon Intézet 24.hu |
46–52% 153–162 |
15–19% 15–22 |
4–7% 0–6 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
17–22% 17–23 |
3–5% 0–5 |
0–1% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
| 3–19 March 2018 | Nézőpont Intézet | 49–55% 155–161 |
9–13% 9–13 |
6–10% 6–10 |
0–1% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
13–17% 13–17 |
6–10% 6–10 |
1–3% 0 |
2–4% 0 |
| 7–14 March 2018 | ZRI Závecz Research | 44–50% 150–158 |
11–15% 11–15 |
6–10% 6–10 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
17–22% 17–23 |
5–8% 0–7 |
1–3% 0 |
2–4% 0 |
| 11–23 January 2018 | TÁRKI | 60–66% 167–176 |
6–9% 5–9 |
5–8% 0–7 |
1–3% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
12–16% 12–17 |
3–5% 0–5 |
0–1% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
| 6 April 2014 | General Election | 44.9% 133 |
25.6% 29 |
25.6% 4 |
25.6% 3 |
25.6% 1 |
25.6% 1 |
20.2% 23 |
5.3% 5 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the National Assembly of Hungary (95% confidence interval)
- Fidesz–KDNP: Fidesz–KDNP
- MSZP: MSZP
- DK: DK
- Együtt: Együtt
- MLP: MLP
- Párbeszéd: Párbeszéd
- Jobbik: Jobbik
- LMP: LMP
- MKKP: MKKP
- MM: MM
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz–KDNP | 44.9% | 49.7% | 41.9–61.4% | 40.4–63.1% | 39.5–64.0% | 38.1–65.4% |
| MSZP | 25.6% | 12.8% | 7.9–18.4% | 7.0–19.3% | 6.5–20.0% | 5.8–21.2% |
| DK | 25.6% | 6.3% | 4.8–8.4% | 4.5–8.8% | 4.2–9.2% | 3.7–9.9% |
| Együtt | 25.6% | 0.9% | 0.2–2.2% | 0.1–2.4% | 0.1–2.7% | 0.1–3.1% |
| MLP | 25.6% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.0–1.0% |
| Párbeszéd | 25.6% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| Jobbik | 20.2% | 17.3% | 13.2–23.8% | 12.6–25.3% | 12.1–26.1% | 11.2–27.4% |
| LMP | 5.3% | 6.8% | 3.9–8.4% | 3.6–8.9% | 3.3–9.2% | 2.9–10.0% |
| MKKP | 0.0% | 1.6% | 0.2–2.5% | 0.1–2.7% | 0.1–2.9% | 0.1–3.3% |
| MM | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.2–3.5% | 0.9–3.8% | 0.8–4.0% | 0.6–4.5% |
Fidesz–KDNP
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–KDNP page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 3% | 97% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 3% | 95% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 3% | 91% | |
| 42.5–43.5% | 3% | 88% | |
| 43.5–44.5% | 4% | 85% | |
| 44.5–45.5% | 5% | 81% | Last Result |
| 45.5–46.5% | 5% | 76% | |
| 46.5–47.5% | 6% | 71% | |
| 47.5–48.5% | 6% | 65% | |
| 48.5–49.5% | 7% | 58% | |
| 49.5–50.5% | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 50.5–51.5% | 9% | 43% | |
| 51.5–52.5% | 9% | 35% | |
| 52.5–53.5% | 7% | 26% | |
| 53.5–54.5% | 4% | 19% | |
| 54.5–55.5% | 2% | 15% | |
| 55.5–56.5% | 0.4% | 13% | |
| 56.5–57.5% | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 57.5–58.5% | 0% | 13% | |
| 58.5–59.5% | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 59.5–60.5% | 0.7% | 12% | |
| 60.5–61.5% | 2% | 12% | |
| 61.5–62.5% | 3% | 10% | |
| 62.5–63.5% | 3% | 7% | |
| 63.5–64.5% | 2% | 4% | |
| 64.5–65.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 65.5–66.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 66.5–67.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67.5–68.5% | 0% | 0% |
MSZP
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MSZP page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 6% | 97% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 3% | 92% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 2% | 88% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 5% | 87% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 12% | 82% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 15% | 69% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 8% | 42% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 6% | 34% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 6% | 28% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 6% | 22% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 6% | 15% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 5% | 9% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
DK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DK page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 22% | 94% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 28% | 72% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 21% | 44% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 15% | 23% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 6% | 8% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Együtt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Együtt page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 35% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 40% | 65% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 22% | 25% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
MLP
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MLP page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 89% | 100% | Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 11% | 11% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Párbeszéd
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Párbeszéd page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 12% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 74% | 88% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 14% | 14% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jobbik
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 8% | 95% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 11% | 87% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 11% | 75% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 9% | 64% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 17.5–18.5% | 8% | 48% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 11% | 40% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 9% | 29% | Last Result |
| 20.5–21.5% | 5% | 19% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 2% | 14% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 2% | 12% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 3% | 11% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 4% | 8% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% |
LMP
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the LMP page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 15% | 95% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 9% | 81% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 16% | 72% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 27% | 55% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 20% | 29% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 7% | 8% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
MKKP
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MKKP page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 38% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 11% | 62% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 43% | 51% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
MM
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MM page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 17% | 99.6% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 40% | 82% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 34% | 42% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 8% | 8% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz–KDNP | 133 | 156 | 145–170 | 140–172 | 137–173 | 132–175 |
| MSZP | 29 | 13 | 8–19 | 7–21 | 6–21 | 6–22 |
| DK | 4 | 6 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| Együtt | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MLP | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Párbeszéd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jobbik | 23 | 17 | 13–27 | 12–32 | 11–36 | 10–41 |
| LMP | 5 | 6 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| MKKP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Fidesz–KDNP
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–KDNP page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 144 | 2% | 92% | |
| 145 | 2% | 91% | |
| 146 | 2% | 89% | |
| 147 | 1.5% | 87% | |
| 148 | 2% | 85% | |
| 149 | 2% | 84% | |
| 150 | 2% | 81% | |
| 151 | 3% | 79% | |
| 152 | 4% | 77% | |
| 153 | 6% | 73% | |
| 154 | 6% | 67% | |
| 155 | 7% | 60% | |
| 156 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 157 | 7% | 47% | |
| 158 | 9% | 40% | |
| 159 | 7% | 31% | |
| 160 | 6% | 24% | |
| 161 | 4% | 18% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 169 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 170 | 2% | 11% | |
| 171 | 4% | 9% | |
| 172 | 2% | 5% | |
| 173 | 2% | 3% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% |
MSZP
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MSZP page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 5% | 97% | |
| 8 | 3% | 91% | |
| 9 | 2% | 88% | |
| 10 | 7% | 86% | |
| 11 | 13% | 79% | |
| 12 | 15% | 66% | |
| 13 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 14 | 8% | 39% | |
| 15 | 5% | 31% | |
| 16 | 3% | 26% | |
| 17 | 3% | 23% | |
| 18 | 4% | 20% | |
| 19 | 5% | 15% | |
| 20 | 5% | 10% | |
| 21 | 3% | 5% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
DK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 85% | |
| 2 | 0% | 85% | |
| 3 | 0% | 85% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 85% | Last Result |
| 5 | 23% | 85% | |
| 6 | 26% | 61% | Median |
| 7 | 18% | 35% | |
| 8 | 12% | 17% | |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Együtt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Együtt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
MLP
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MLP page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Párbeszéd
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Párbeszéd page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jobbik
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 12 | 5% | 97% | |
| 13 | 7% | 91% | |
| 14 | 9% | 85% | |
| 15 | 12% | 75% | |
| 16 | 10% | 64% | |
| 17 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 18 | 7% | 49% | |
| 19 | 9% | 42% | |
| 20 | 9% | 32% | |
| 21 | 5% | 23% | |
| 22 | 3% | 18% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 16% | Last Result |
| 24 | 1.1% | 14% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 27 | 2% | 11% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 9% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
LMP
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the LMP page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 76% | |
| 2 | 0% | 76% | |
| 3 | 0% | 76% | |
| 4 | 0% | 76% | |
| 5 | 9% | 76% | Last Result |
| 6 | 22% | 67% | Median |
| 7 | 25% | 45% | |
| 8 | 15% | 20% | |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
MKKP
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MKKP page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
MM
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MM page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidesz–KDNP | 133 | 156 | 100% | 145–170 | 140–172 | 137–173 | 132–175 |
| DK – Együtt – MLP – MSZP – Párbeszéd | 38 | 19 | 0% | 14–23 | 13–24 | 12–25 | 8–26 |
Fidesz–KDNP
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 124 | 0% | 100% | |
| 125 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 126 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 127 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 128 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 129 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 130 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 131 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 132 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 133 | 0.4% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 134 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 135 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 136 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 137 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 138 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 139 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 140 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 141 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 142 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 143 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 144 | 2% | 92% | |
| 145 | 2% | 91% | |
| 146 | 2% | 89% | |
| 147 | 1.5% | 87% | |
| 148 | 2% | 85% | |
| 149 | 2% | 84% | |
| 150 | 2% | 81% | |
| 151 | 3% | 79% | |
| 152 | 4% | 77% | |
| 153 | 6% | 73% | |
| 154 | 6% | 67% | |
| 155 | 7% | 60% | |
| 156 | 6% | 53% | Median |
| 157 | 7% | 47% | |
| 158 | 9% | 40% | |
| 159 | 7% | 31% | |
| 160 | 6% | 24% | |
| 161 | 4% | 18% | |
| 162 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 163 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 164 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 165 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 166 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 167 | 0.3% | 12% | |
| 168 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 169 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 170 | 2% | 11% | |
| 171 | 4% | 9% | |
| 172 | 2% | 5% | |
| 173 | 2% | 3% | |
| 174 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 175 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 176 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 177 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 178 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 179 | 0% | 0% |
DK – Együtt – MLP – MSZP – Párbeszéd
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 11 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 12 | 2% | 98% | |
| 13 | 5% | 96% | |
| 14 | 3% | 90% | |
| 15 | 2% | 88% | |
| 16 | 4% | 86% | |
| 17 | 10% | 81% | |
| 18 | 16% | 71% | |
| 19 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 20 | 13% | 40% | |
| 21 | 10% | 27% | |
| 22 | 6% | 17% | |
| 23 | 4% | 11% | |
| 24 | 3% | 8% | |
| 25 | 2% | 4% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |