Opinion Poll by Republikon Intézet for 24.hu, 1–31 January 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 44.9% 52.9% 50.9–54.9% 50.3–55.5% 49.8–56.0% 48.8–56.9%
Jobbik 20.2% 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.1% 15.7–20.5% 15.0–21.3%
MSZP 25.6% 13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–16.0%
DK 25.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
LMP 5.3% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
MM 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Együtt 25.6% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
MLP 25.6% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
MKKP 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 133 163 160–166 159–167 158–168 157–169
Jobbik 23 19 17–21 17–21 16–22 16–23
MSZP 29 14 12–15 12–16 11–16 11–17
DK 4 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
LMP 5 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–6
MM 0 0 0 0 0 0
Együtt 3 0 0 0 0 0
MLP 1 0 0 0 0 0
MKKP 0 0 0 0 0 0

Fidesz–KDNP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–KDNP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 100%  
156 0.2% 99.9%  
157 0.6% 99.7%  
158 2% 99.1%  
159 5% 97%  
160 11% 92%  
161 13% 82%  
162 13% 68%  
163 14% 55% Median
164 11% 41%  
165 12% 30%  
166 10% 18%  
167 6% 9%  
168 2% 3%  
169 0.5% 0.5%  
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Jobbik

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.3% 100%  
16 3% 99.7%  
17 12% 97%  
18 19% 86%  
19 26% 66% Median
20 23% 40%  
21 13% 18%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.4% 2% Last Result
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

MSZP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MSZP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 3% 99.7%  
12 13% 97%  
13 29% 84%  
14 30% 56% Median
15 19% 26%  
16 6% 7%  
17 1.3% 1.4%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

DK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 48% 100%  
1 0% 52%  
2 0% 52%  
3 0% 52%  
4 0% 52% Last Result
5 31% 52% Median
6 19% 21%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

LMP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the LMP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 0% 7%  
5 6% 7% Last Result
6 0.9% 0.9%  
7 0% 0%  

MM

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MM page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Együtt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Együtt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0% Last Result

MLP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MLP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

MKKP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MKKP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 133 163 100% 160–166 159–167 158–168 157–169

Fidesz–KDNP

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0.1% 100%  
156 0.2% 99.9%  
157 0.6% 99.7%  
158 2% 99.1%  
159 5% 97%  
160 11% 92%  
161 13% 82%  
162 13% 68%  
163 14% 55% Median
164 11% 41%  
165 12% 30%  
166 10% 18%  
167 6% 9%  
168 2% 3%  
169 0.5% 0.5%  
170 0.1% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations