Opinion Poll by Nézőpont Intézet, 3–21 February 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 44.9% 53.9% 52.4–55.3% 52.0–55.7% 51.7–56.0% 51.0–56.7%
Jobbik 20.2% 12.9% 12.0–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.5–14.5% 11.1–15.0%
MSZP 25.6% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
LMP 5.3% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7%
DK 25.6% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7%
MM 0.0% 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1%
MKKP 0.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0%
Együtt 25.6% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
MLP 25.6% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 133 161 159–162 159–163 158–163 158–164
Jobbik 23 13 12–14 12–14 11–14 11–15
MSZP 29 10 9–11 9–11 8–11 8–12
LMP 5 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 6–9
DK 4 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 6–9
MM 0 0 0 0 0 0
MKKP 0 0 0 0 0 0
Együtt 3 0 0 0 0 0
MLP 1 0 0 0 0 0

Fidesz–KDNP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–KDNP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0.2% 100%  
158 2% 99.8%  
159 10% 97%  
160 25% 88%  
161 37% 63% Median
162 19% 26%  
163 6% 7%  
164 0.7% 0.8%  
165 0.1% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Jobbik

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 4% 99.9%  
12 34% 96%  
13 38% 62% Median
14 22% 23%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

MSZP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MSZP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 3% 100%  
9 34% 97%  
10 45% 63% Median
11 17% 18%  
12 1.3% 1.3%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

LMP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the LMP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 2% 100%  
7 31% 98%  
8 54% 67% Median
9 13% 13%  
10 0.5% 0.5%  
11 0% 0%  

DK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 2% 100%  
7 31% 98%  
8 54% 67% Median
9 12% 13%  
10 0.5% 0.5%  
11 0% 0%  

MM

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MM page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

MKKP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MKKP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Együtt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Együtt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0% Last Result

MLP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MLP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 133 161 100% 159–162 159–163 158–163 158–164

Fidesz–KDNP

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 100%  
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 100%  
156 0% 100%  
157 0.2% 100%  
158 2% 99.8%  
159 10% 97%  
160 25% 88%  
161 37% 63% Median
162 19% 26%  
163 6% 7%  
164 0.7% 0.8%  
165 0.1% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations