Opinion Poll by Nézőpont Intézet, 1–5 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 44.9% 51.7% 49.7–53.7% 49.1–54.3% 48.6–54.8% 47.6–55.8%
Jobbik 20.2% 16.9% 15.5–18.5% 15.0–19.0% 14.7–19.4% 14.0–20.1%
MSZP 25.6% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
LMP 5.3% 9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
DK 25.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
MM 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
MKKP 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Együtt 25.6% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 133 158 156–161 155–162 154–162 153–164
Jobbik 23 17 15–18 15–19 14–19 14–20
MSZP 29 10 8–11 8–11 8–12 7–12
LMP 5 9 8–10 7–10 7–11 6–11
DK 4 6 5–7 0–7 0–7 0–8
MM 0 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5
MKKP 0 0 0 0 0 0
Együtt 3 0 0 0 0 0

Fidesz–KDNP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–KDNP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0.2% 100%  
153 0.5% 99.8%  
154 3% 99.3%  
155 6% 96%  
156 9% 90%  
157 18% 81%  
158 25% 63% Median
159 16% 39%  
160 10% 22%  
161 6% 12%  
162 3% 5%  
163 1.5% 2%  
164 0.8% 1.0%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0% 0%  

Jobbik

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.3% 100%  
14 4% 99.7%  
15 14% 96%  
16 27% 82%  
17 33% 56% Median
18 16% 23%  
19 5% 7%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0% Last Result

MSZP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MSZP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.6% 100%  
8 11% 99.4%  
9 27% 89%  
10 38% 61% Median
11 18% 23%  
12 4% 5%  
13 0.4% 0.5%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

LMP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the LMP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 0.6% 100%  
7 9% 99.4%  
8 32% 90%  
9 37% 58% Median
10 18% 22%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

DK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 0.3% 91% Last Result
5 30% 91%  
6 47% 61% Median
7 12% 14%  
8 1.3% 1.3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

MM

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MM page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 2% 9%  
5 6% 6%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

MKKP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MKKP page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Együtt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Együtt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 133 158 100% 156–161 155–162 154–162 153–164

Fidesz–KDNP

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 100%  
148 0% 100%  
149 0% 100%  
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 100%  
152 0.2% 100%  
153 0.5% 99.8%  
154 3% 99.3%  
155 6% 96%  
156 9% 90%  
157 18% 81%  
158 25% 63% Median
159 16% 39%  
160 10% 22%  
161 6% 12%  
162 3% 5%  
163 1.5% 2%  
164 0.8% 1.0%  
165 0.1% 0.2%  
166 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations