Opinion Poll by ZRI Závecz Research, 7–14 March 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 44.9% 47.0% 45.0–49.0% 44.4–49.6% 43.9–50.1% 43.0–51.1%
Jobbik 20.2% 19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.4%
MSZP 25.6% 13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–16.0%
DK 25.6% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
LMP 5.3% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
MM 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
MKKP 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
Együtt 25.6% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 133 154 151–156 151–157 150–158 148–159
Jobbik 23 19 17–21 17–22 17–23 16–25
MSZP 29 13 12–14 11–15 11–15 10–16
DK 4 8 7–9 6–9 6–10 6–10
LMP 5 6 5–7 0–7 0–7 0–8
MM 0 0 0 0 0 0
MKKP 0 0 0 0 0 0
Együtt 3 0 0 0 0 0

Fidesz–KDNP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–KDNP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0.1% 100%  
147 0.4% 99.9%  
148 0.6% 99.5%  
149 1.4% 98.9%  
150 2% 98%  
151 6% 95%  
152 14% 90%  
153 22% 76%  
154 21% 54% Median
155 18% 33%  
156 9% 15%  
157 4% 6%  
158 2% 3%  
159 0.8% 1.1%  
160 0.3% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Jobbik

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jobbik page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 2% 99.8%  
17 10% 98%  
18 22% 88%  
19 29% 66% Median
20 23% 38%  
21 8% 14%  
22 3% 6%  
23 1.4% 3% Last Result
24 1.2% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.6%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

MSZP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MSZP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.0% 100%  
11 8% 99.0%  
12 27% 91%  
13 34% 64% Median
14 21% 30%  
15 7% 8%  
16 1.1% 1.4%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

DK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.2% 100%  
6 6% 99.8%  
7 32% 93%  
8 40% 62% Median
9 18% 21%  
10 3% 4%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

LMP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the LMP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 31% 92% Last Result
6 45% 61% Median
7 14% 16%  
8 1.4% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

MM

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MM page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

MKKP

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MKKP page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Együtt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Együtt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–KDNP 133 154 100% 151–156 151–157 150–158 148–159

Fidesz–KDNP

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
133 0% 100% Last Result
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 100%  
138 0% 100%  
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 100%  
141 0% 100%  
142 0% 100%  
143 0% 100%  
144 0% 100%  
145 0% 100%  
146 0.1% 100%  
147 0.4% 99.9%  
148 0.6% 99.5%  
149 1.4% 98.9%  
150 2% 98%  
151 6% 95%  
152 14% 90%  
153 22% 76%  
154 21% 54% Median
155 18% 33%  
156 9% 15%  
157 4% 6%  
158 2% 3%  
159 0.8% 1.1%  
160 0.3% 0.3%  
161 0.1% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations