Opinion Poll by Demopolis for La7, 7–8 April 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratelli d’Italia (ECR) | 0.0% | 28.5% | 27.2–29.8% | 26.9–30.2% | 26.6–30.5% | 26.0–31.2% |
| Partito Democratico (S&D) | 0.0% | 22.6% | 21.4–23.8% | 21.1–24.2% | 20.8–24.5% | 20.3–25.1% |
| Movimento 5 Stelle (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.6% | 11.2–15.0% |
| Forza Italia (EPP) | 0.0% | 8.3% | 7.5–9.1% | 7.3–9.4% | 7.2–9.6% | 6.8–10.0% |
| Lega Nord (PfE) | 0.0% | 7.2% | 6.5–8.0% | 6.3–8.2% | 6.1–8.4% | 5.8–8.8% |
| Europa Verde (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% |
| Futuro Nazionale (NI) | 0.0% | 3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.7% |
| Azione (RE) | 0.0% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.8% |
| Italia Viva (RE) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% |
| Sinistra Italiana (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% |
| Più Europa (RE) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.0–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% |
| Noi Moderati (EPP) | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% |
| Partito Progressista (*) | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratelli d’Italia (ECR) | 0 | 25 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 23–27 |
| Partito Democratico (S&D) | 0 | 20 | 19–21 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 |
| Movimento 5 Stelle (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 |
| Forza Italia (EPP) | 0 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| Lega Nord (PfE) | 0 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| Europa Verde (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Futuro Nazionale (NI) | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| Azione (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Italia Viva (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sinistra Italiana (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
| Più Europa (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Noi Moderati (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Partito Progressista (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Fratelli d’Italia (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fratelli d’Italia (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 18% | 93% | |
| 25 | 60% | 74% | Median |
| 26 | 10% | 15% | |
| 27 | 5% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Partito Democratico (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partito Democratico (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 3% | 96% | |
| 19 | 26% | 93% | |
| 20 | 29% | 67% | Median |
| 21 | 37% | 38% | |
| 22 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Movimento 5 Stelle (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Movimento 5 Stelle (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 11% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 58% | 89% | Median |
| 12 | 29% | 31% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Forza Italia (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forza Italia (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 68% | 96% | Median |
| 7 | 27% | 28% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Lega Nord (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lega Nord (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 74% | 96% | Median |
| 7 | 21% | 22% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Europa Verde (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Europa Verde (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 44% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 55% | 56% | Median |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Futuro Nazionale (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Futuro Nazionale (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0% | 17% | |
| 3 | 7% | 17% | |
| 4 | 10% | 10% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Azione (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Azione (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Italia Viva (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Italia Viva (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Sinistra Italiana (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sinistra Italiana (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 74% | 99.1% | Median |
| 3 | 24% | 25% | |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Più Europa (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Più Europa (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Noi Moderati (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Noi Moderati (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Partito Progressista (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partito Progressista (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 9% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lega Nord (PfE) | 0 | 6 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
Lega Nord (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 74% | 96% | Median |
| 7 | 21% | 22% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Demopolis
- Commissioner(s): La7
- Fieldwork period: 7–8 April 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 2000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.14%