Fratelli d’Italia (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 30.0% | 27.3–32.1% | 26.6–32.7% | 26.0–33.3% | 24.9–34.4% |
| 3–8 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
31.2% | 29.5–32.9% | 29.0–33.4% | 28.6–33.9% | 27.8–34.7% |
| 4–5 December 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
27.8% | 25.9–29.9% | 25.3–30.5% | 24.8–31.0% | 23.9–32.1% |
| 2–3 December 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.9% | 28.8–33.0% | 28.3–33.6% | 27.8–34.2% | 26.8–35.2% |
| 1–2 December 2025 | EMG | 28.6% | 26.8–30.5% | 26.3–31.0% | 25.9–31.5% | 25.0–32.4% |
| 1–2 December 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
30.0% | 28.7–31.4% | 28.3–31.7% | 28.0–32.1% | 27.4–32.7% |
| 26 November–1 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
31.3% | 29.6–33.1% | 29.2–33.6% | 28.8–34.0% | 28.0–34.9% |
| 25–27 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 30.5% | 29.3–31.8% | 28.9–32.1% | 28.6–32.5% | 28.0–33.1% |
| 26–27 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.9% |
| 20–27 November 2025 | Ixè | 30.3% | 28.5–32.2% | 28.0–32.8% | 27.5–33.2% | 26.7–34.2% |
| 24–27 November 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
28.0% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.7–30.4% | 25.3–30.9% | 24.5–31.8% |
| 25–26 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
31.1% | 29.1–33.3% | 28.5–33.9% | 28.0–34.4% | 27.1–35.5% |
| 12–26 November 2025 | EMG | 28.8% | 27.0–30.7% | 26.5–31.2% | 26.1–31.7% | 25.2–32.6% |
| 19–24 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
31.6% | 29.9–33.3% | 29.4–33.9% | 29.0–34.3% | 28.2–35.1% |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 30.4% | 29.2–31.6% | 28.9–31.9% | 28.6–32.2% | 28.1–32.8% |
| 12–17 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
31.4% | 29.7–33.2% | 29.2–33.7% | 28.9–34.1% | 28.1–35.0% |
| 11–13 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 30.4% | 29.2–31.6% | 28.9–31.9% | 28.6–32.2% | 28.1–32.8% |
| 29 October–13 November 2025 | EMG | 29.2% | 27.4–31.1% | 26.9–31.6% | 26.5–32.1% | 25.6–33.0% |
| 11–12 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.8% | 28.7–32.9% | 28.1–33.5% | 27.6–34.0% | 26.7–35.1% |
| 5–10 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
31.3% | 29.6–33.1% | 29.2–33.6% | 28.8–34.0% | 28.0–34.9% |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 30.2% | 29.0–31.4% | 28.7–31.8% | 28.4–32.1% | 27.8–32.7% |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
31.1% | 29.3–33.0% | 28.7–33.6% | 28.3–34.0% | 27.4–35.0% |
| 4–5 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.9% | 28.8–33.0% | 28.3–33.6% | 27.8–34.2% | 26.8–35.2% |
| 29 October–3 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
31.4% | 29.7–33.2% | 29.2–33.7% | 28.9–34.1% | 28.1–35.0% |
| 30 October–2 November 2025 | BiDiMedia | 29.5% | 27.7–31.4% | 27.2–31.9% | 26.7–32.4% | 25.9–33.3% |
| 30–31 October 2025 | YouTrend Sky TG24 |
29.4% | 27.4–31.5% | 26.8–32.1% | 26.3–32.6% | 25.4–33.7% |
| 28–30 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 30.0% | 29.0–31.1% | 28.7–31.4% | 28.4–31.6% | 27.9–32.2% |
| 29–30 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.9% |
| 27–30 October 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
28.0% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.7–30.4% | 25.3–30.9% | 24.5–31.8% |
| 28–29 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.8% | 28.7–32.9% | 28.1–33.5% | 27.6–34.0% | 26.7–35.1% |
| 22–27 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
31.2% | 29.5–32.9% | 29.0–33.4% | 28.6–33.9% | 27.8–34.7% |
| 22–26 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 29.3% | 27.5–31.2% | 27.0–31.7% | 26.6–32.2% | 25.7–33.1% |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.8% | 28.7–30.9% | 28.4–31.2% | 28.2–31.5% | 27.7–32.0% |
| 22–23 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.6% | 28.6–32.8% | 28.0–33.4% | 27.5–33.9% | 26.6–35.0% |
| 15–20 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 October 2025 | EMG | 29.0% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
| 15–19 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–15 October 2025 | EMG | 28.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 October 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
30.2% | 28.7–31.7% | 28.3–32.2% | 28.0–32.5% | 27.3–33.3% |
| 8–13 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–6 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 September–1 October 2025 | EMG | 28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–26 September 2025 | Ixè | 29.2% | 27.4–31.1% | 26.9–31.6% | 26.5–32.1% | 25.6–33.0% |
| 23–25 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–22 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–22 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 September 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
29.8% | 28.0–31.6% | 27.5–32.2% | 27.0–32.6% | 26.2–33.5% |
| 16–17 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | 28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–8 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 September 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.4% | 26.5–30.6% | 25.9–31.2% | 25.4–31.7% | 24.5–32.7% |
| 2–4 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 August–1 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 August 2025 | BiDiMedia | 28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 August 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 July 2025 | Demopolis | 30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–29 July 2025 | Winpoll | 27.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–28 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 July 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–21 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 July 2025 | SWG | 29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–30 June 2025 | Winpoll | 27.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–30 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 June 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 June 2025 | Ixè | 28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 June 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 June 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–23 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 June 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6 June 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 June 2025 | BiDiMedia | 28.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 June 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 May 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
27.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 May 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–26 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 May 2025 | Termometro Politico | 30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 May 2025 | Demopolis | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 May 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13 May 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–12 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April–5 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April 2025 | Demopolis | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–28 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 April 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
27.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–23 April 2025 | Ixè | 28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–23 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–21 April 2025 | SWG | 30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16 April 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 April 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–31 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 March 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
26.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–26 March 2025 | Winpoll Scenari Politici |
27.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–26 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 March 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 March 2025 | Piepoli | 29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 March 2025 | Piepoli | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–17 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–10 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 February–3 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 March 2025 | Winpoll | 27.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 February 2025 | Tecnè | 29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–27 February 2025 | Ixè | 30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 February 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–26 February 2025 | Winpoll | 27.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 February 2025 | Euromedia La7 |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 February 2025 | Piepoli | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | 28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–20 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | 28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–17 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 February 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 February 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos La Repubblica |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 February 2025 | EMG | 30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 February 2025 | Piepoli | 30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–10 February 2025 | SWG | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 February 2025 | Tecnè | 29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 February 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 February 2025 | EMG | 30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–31 January 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 January 2025 | Ipsos | 27.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 January 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 January 2025 | Demopolis | 30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–27 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 January 2025 | Tecnè | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 January 2025 | EMG | 30.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 January 2025 | EMG | 30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–13 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 January 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 January 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 January 2025 | Termometro Politico | 29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 January 2025 | Eumetra | 28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–23 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Winpoll | 28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 December 2024 | Tecnè | 28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–20 December 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
27.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 December 2024 | Tecnè | 28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 December 2024 | Demopolis | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–11 December 2024 | Ixè | 27.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 December 2024 | Tecnè | 28.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 December 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
27.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 December 2024 | BiDiMedia | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
28.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 November 2024 | Tecnè | 29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–28 November 2024 | Winpoll | 27.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 November 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
27.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–25 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 November 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 November 2024 | Tecnè | 29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–19 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 November 2024 | Tecnè | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–15 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 November 2024 | Demopolis | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–11 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 November 2024 | Tecnè | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 October 2024 | Tecnè | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–28 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 October 2024 | Tecnè | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–23 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–16 October 2024 | Eumetra | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 October 2024 | Euromedia | 30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 October 2024 | EMG Rai 3 |
29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 October 2024 | Tecnè | 29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 October 2024 | Eumetra | 29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–30 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–23 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 September 2024 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 September 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
27.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Piepoli | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Ixè | 28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 September 2024 | BiDiMedia | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 August 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 August 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–16 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
28.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
28.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 July 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
27.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 July 2024 | Euromedia | 28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 July 2024 | Piepoli | 28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–22 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 July 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 July 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
28.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–8 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 June 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Ipsos | 28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 June 2024 | Euromedia La Stampa |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 June 2024 | Demopolis La7 |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–17 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 June 2024 | Termometro Politico | 29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Fratelli d’Italia (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 7% | 95% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 12% | 88% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 18% | 76% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 22% | 59% | Median |
| 30.5–31.5% | 20% | 37% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 11% | 17% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 4% | 6% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 26 | 23–27 | 22–27 | 22–28 | 21–29 |
| 3–8 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
27 | 25–28 | 25–28 | 24–28 | 23–29 |
| 4–5 December 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
24 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–26 | 20–26 |
| 2–3 December 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
26 | 25–27 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 23–30 |
| 1–2 December 2025 | EMG | 25 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 22–27 | 22–28 |
| 1–2 December 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
24 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 22–26 |
| 26 November–1 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
27 | 25–28 | 25–29 | 24–29 | 23–29 |
| 25–27 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 27 | 26–27 | 26–27 | 25–27 | 25–28 |
| 26–27 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
26 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 23–28 | 23–29 |
| 20–27 November 2025 | Ixè | 26 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 24–27 | 23–28 |
| 24–27 November 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
23 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 20–26 |
| 25–26 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
26 | 25–28 | 24–29 | 23–29 | 23–30 |
| 12–26 November 2025 | EMG | 24 | 24–27 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–28 |
| 19–24 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
27 | 25–29 | 25–29 | 24–29 | 24–31 |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 26 | 25–27 | 25–27 | 25–28 | 24–29 |
| 12–17 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
26 | 25–28 | 25–28 | 24–29 | 23–29 |
| 11–13 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 27 | 25–27 | 25–28 | 25–28 | 24–28 |
| 29 October–13 November 2025 | EMG | 25 | 24–27 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–28 |
| 11–12 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
26 | 24–27 | 23–28 | 22–28 | 22–29 |
| 5–10 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
26 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 24–30 |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 26 | 25–27 | 25–27 | 24–28 | 24–28 |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
26 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 23–29 | 22–29 |
| 4–5 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
26 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 23–29 | 22–29 |
| 29 October–3 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
26 | 25–28 | 25–29 | 24–30 | 24–30 |
| 30 October–2 November 2025 | BiDiMedia | 26 | 24–29 | 23–29 | 22–29 | 21–29 |
| 30–31 October 2025 | YouTrend Sky TG24 |
24 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 20–29 |
| 28–30 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 26 | 25–27 | 25–27 | 24–28 | 24–28 |
| 29–30 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
26 | 24–27 | 23–28 | 23–28 | 22–30 |
| 27–30 October 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
23 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–26 | 20–26 |
| 28–29 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
26 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 23–28 | 22–29 |
| 22–27 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
27 | 25–28 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 23–29 |
| 22–26 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 27 | 24–27 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 25 | 25–26 | 25–27 | 25–27 | 24–27 |
| 22–23 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 21–22 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
26 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 23–29 | 22–30 |
| 15–20 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 15–19 October 2025 | EMG | 25 | 24–27 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 21–28 |
| 15–19 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 14–16 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 14–15 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 1–15 October 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 13–14 October 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
24 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 23–26 | 22–27 |
| 8–13 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 7–9 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 7–8 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 1–6 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 2–5 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 2–3 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 2 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17 September–1 October 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 24–29 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–26 September 2025 | Ixè | 25 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 22–28 |
| 23–25 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 24–25 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 17–22 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 18–22 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 16–18 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17–18 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 15–18 September 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
24 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–27 | 21–28 |
| 16–17 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 10–15 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 10–15 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 9–11 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 10–11 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–10 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 3–8 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 3–5 September 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
23 | 21–24 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 20–26 |
| 2–4 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 3–4 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 27 August–1 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 23–25 August 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 5–7 August 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 30–31 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 31 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 28–30 July 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 21–29 July 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 23–28 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–24 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 21–24 July 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 16–21 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 15–17 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 16–17 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 15–17 July 2025 | SWG | |||||
| 9–14 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 11–14 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 8–10 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 9–10 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 2–7 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 1–3 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 2–3 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 19–30 June 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 25–30 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 24–27 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 25–26 June 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 20–26 June 2025 | Ixè | |||||
| 24–26 June 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 25–26 June 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
|||||
| 18–23 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 17–19 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 11–16 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 June 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 10–12 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 10–11 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 4–9 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 6 June 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 1–5 June 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 3–4 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 3 June 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 30 May 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 27–29 May 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 27–28 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 27 May 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 21–26 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 21–22 May 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 22 May 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 20–21 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 14–19 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14–15 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 14–15 May 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
|||||
| 13–14 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 13 May 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 7–12 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 7–8 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 30 April–5 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 30 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 29–30 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 30 April 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 28–29 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 23–28 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–24 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 22–24 April 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 17–23 April 2025 | Ixè | |||||
| 22–23 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 16–21 April 2025 | SWG | |||||
| 16–17 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 16 April 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 9–14 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 9–10 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 8–9 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 8 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 2–7 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 2–4 April 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 2–3 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 1–2 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 26–31 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 26–27 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 26–27 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 27 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 25–27 March 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 17–26 March 2025 | Winpoll Scenari Politici |
|||||
| 13–26 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 25–26 March 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
|||||
| 24–25 March 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 19–24 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 23 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 22 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 19–20 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17–19 March 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 18–19 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 18 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 12–17 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 15 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 12–13 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 12–13 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 11 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 5–10 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 8 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 7 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 6–7 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 4–6 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 5–6 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 6 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 5 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 26 February–3 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 1 March 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 28 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 26–27 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 26–27 February 2025 | Tecnè | |||||
| 21–27 February 2025 | Ixè | |||||
| 25–27 February 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 17–26 February 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 25–26 February 2025 | Euromedia La7 |
|||||
| 25–26 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 24–25 February 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 25 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 19–24 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–24 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 18–20 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 19–20 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 17–20 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 18–19 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 18–19 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 12–17 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14–16 February 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 13–14 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 12–14 February 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
|||||
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos La Repubblica |
|||||
| 12–13 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 12–13 February 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 9–12 February 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 5–10 February 2025 | SWG | |||||
| 6–7 February 2025 | Tecnè | |||||
| 6–7 February 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 4–6 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 4–5 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 4–5 February 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 3 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 2–3 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 29–31 January 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 28–30 January 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 28–29 January 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 27–28 January 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 22–27 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 23–24 January 2025 | Tecnè | |||||
| 21–22 January 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 14–15 January 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 8–13 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 9–10 January 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–10 January 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 8–9 January 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 7–8 January 2025 | Eumetra | |||||
| 2–6 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 18–23 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–20 December 2024 | Winpoll | |||||
| 19–20 December 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 18–20 December 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 18–19 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 11–16 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 December 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 12–13 December 2024 | Demopolis | |||||
| 11–12 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 6–11 December 2024 | Ixè | |||||
| 10–11 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 4–9 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 5–6 December 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 5–6 December 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 4–5 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 3–5 December 2024 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 3–4 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 2 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 28–29 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 21–28 November 2024 | Winpoll | |||||
| 27–28 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 28 November 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 20–25 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 25 November 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 21–22 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 20–21 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 13–19 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14–15 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 13–15 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 13–14 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 11–12 November 2024 | Demopolis | |||||
| 6–11 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 7–8 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 6–7 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 4 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 1–4 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 30–31 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 30–31 October 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 23–28 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 25–26 October 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 23–24 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 22–23 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 17–18 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 16–17 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 15–16 October 2024 | Eumetra | |||||
| 9–14 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14 October 2024 | Euromedia | |||||
| 10–11 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–10 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 8–9 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 8–9 October 2024 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 2–7 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 3–4 October 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 2–3 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 1–2 October 2024 | Eumetra | |||||
| 25–30 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 26–27 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 25–26 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 25 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 24–25 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 18–23 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 19–20 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 18–19 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 19 September 2024 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 17–18 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 11–16 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 11–12 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 10–12 September 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 9–11 September 2024 | Piepoli | |||||
| 9–11 September 2024 | Ixè | |||||
| 10–11 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 10 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 4–9 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 5–7 September 2024 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 5–6 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 2 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 29–30 August 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 28–29 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 28–29 August 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 21–22 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 5–16 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 3 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 24–29 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 25–26 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 24–25 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 23–25 July 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 25 July 2024 | Euromedia | |||||
| 22–24 July 2024 | Piepoli | |||||
| 17–22 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 21 July 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 18–19 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 16–18 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17–18 July 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 10–15 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 11–12 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–11 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 3–8 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 4–5 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 3–4 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 1 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 27–28 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 26–27 June 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Ipsos | |||||
| 26 June 2024 | Euromedia La Stampa |
|||||
| 24–25 June 2024 | Demopolis La7 |
|||||
| 19–24 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 20–21 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 12–17 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 June 2024 | Termometro Politico |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Fratelli d’Italia (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 6% | 98.5% | |
| 23 | 11% | 93% | |
| 24 | 14% | 81% | |
| 25 | 15% | 67% | |
| 26 | 29% | 52% | Median |
| 27 | 19% | 22% | |
| 28 | 3% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |