Partito Democratico (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 22.0% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.8–24.2% | 19.3–24.6% | 18.5–25.5% |
| 3–8 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.1–25.2% |
| 4–5 December 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
22.1% | 20.3–24.1% | 19.8–24.6% | 19.4–25.1% | 18.5–26.1% |
| 2–3 December 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| 1–2 December 2025 | EMG | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 1–2 December 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
| 26 November–1 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.2% | 20.7–23.8% | 20.3–24.2% | 19.9–24.6% | 19.2–25.4% |
| 25–27 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 21.8% | 20.7–23.0% | 20.4–23.3% | 20.1–23.6% | 19.6–24.2% |
| 26–27 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 20–27 November 2025 | Ixè | 21.8% | 20.2–23.5% | 19.7–24.0% | 19.3–24.5% | 18.6–25.3% |
| 24–27 November 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
21.6% | 20.0–23.4% | 19.5–23.8% | 19.2–24.3% | 18.4–25.1% |
| 25–26 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.2% | 20.4–24.2% | 19.9–24.8% | 19.5–25.3% | 18.7–26.2% |
| 12–26 November 2025 | EMG | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 19–24 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.3% | 20.8–23.9% | 20.4–24.4% | 20.1–24.8% | 19.4–25.6% |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.0% | 21.0–23.1% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.4–23.6% | 20.0–24.2% |
| 12–17 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.1–25.2% |
| 11–13 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 21.8% | 20.8–22.9% | 20.5–23.2% | 20.3–23.4% | 19.8–24.0% |
| 29 October–13 November 2025 | EMG | 20.8% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.8–23.0% | 18.4–23.4% | 17.7–24.3% |
| 11–12 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.1% | 20.3–24.1% | 19.8–24.6% | 19.4–25.1% | 18.5–26.1% |
| 5–10 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.2% | 20.7–23.8% | 20.3–24.2% | 19.9–24.6% | 19.2–25.4% |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.1% | 21.0–23.2% | 20.7–23.5% | 20.5–23.8% | 20.0–24.3% |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.7% | 20.1–23.4% | 19.6–23.9% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.5–25.2% |
| 4–5 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
21.9% | 20.1–23.8% | 19.6–24.4% | 19.1–24.9% | 18.3–25.8% |
| 29 October–3 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
21.9% | 20.4–23.5% | 20.0–24.0% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.0–25.1% |
| 30 October–2 November 2025 | BiDiMedia | 22.2% | 20.6–24.0% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.7–24.9% | 19.0–25.7% |
| 30–31 October 2025 | YouTrend Sky TG24 |
20.6% | 18.9–22.6% | 18.4–23.1% | 18.0–23.6% | 17.1–24.5% |
| 28–30 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.0% | 21.1–23.0% | 20.8–23.3% | 20.6–23.5% | 20.1–24.0% |
| 29–30 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.6% | 20.0–23.4% | 19.5–23.8% | 19.2–24.3% | 18.4–25.1% |
| 27–30 October 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
20.9% | 19.3–22.6% | 18.9–23.1% | 18.5–23.5% | 17.8–24.4% |
| 28–29 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.1% | 20.3–24.1% | 19.8–24.6% | 19.4–25.1% | 18.5–26.1% |
| 22–27 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.1–25.2% |
| 22–26 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 22.4% | 20.8–24.2% | 20.3–24.7% | 19.9–25.1% | 19.2–26.0% |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.0% | 21.0–23.0% | 20.8–23.3% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.1–24.0% |
| 22–23 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| 15–20 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 October 2025 | EMG | 21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.3–23.5% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.1–24.8% |
| 15–19 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–15 October 2025 | EMG | 21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 October 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
23.0% | 21.6–24.4% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.3–25.8% |
| 8–13 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–6 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 September–1 October 2025 | EMG | 21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–26 September 2025 | Ixè | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 23–25 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–22 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–22 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | 22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 September 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
21.7% | 20.1–23.4% | 19.7–23.9% | 19.3–24.3% | 18.5–25.2% |
| 16–17 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | 22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–8 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 September 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
21.1% | 19.4–23.1% | 18.9–23.6% | 18.4–24.1% | 17.6–25.0% |
| 2–4 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 August–1 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 August 2025 | BiDiMedia | 22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 August 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 July 2025 | Demopolis | 22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–29 July 2025 | Winpoll | 23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–28 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 July 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
21.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–21 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 July 2025 | SWG | 22.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–30 June 2025 | Winpoll | 23.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–30 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 June 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 June 2025 | Ixè | 21.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 June 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 June 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–23 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
23.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 June 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
23.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6 June 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
23.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 June 2025 | BiDiMedia | 23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 June 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
23.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 May 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 May 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–26 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 May 2025 | Termometro Politico | 21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 May 2025 | Demopolis | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 May 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13 May 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–12 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April–5 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April 2025 | Demopolis | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–28 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
21.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 April 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
21.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–23 April 2025 | Ixè | 21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–23 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–21 April 2025 | SWG | 21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16 April 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 April 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–31 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 March 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
21.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–26 March 2025 | Winpoll Scenari Politici |
24.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–26 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 March 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 March 2025 | Piepoli | 21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
21.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 March 2025 | Piepoli | 22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
23.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–17 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
21.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–10 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
21.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 February–3 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 March 2025 | Winpoll | 24.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 February 2025 | Tecnè | 22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–27 February 2025 | Ixè | 21.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 February 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–26 February 2025 | Winpoll | 24.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 February 2025 | Euromedia La7 |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 February 2025 | Piepoli | 22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | 23.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–20 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | 23.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
23.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–17 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 February 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
22.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 February 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos La Repubblica |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 February 2025 | EMG | 23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 February 2025 | Piepoli | 23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–10 February 2025 | SWG | 22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 February 2025 | Tecnè | 22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 February 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 February 2025 | EMG | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–31 January 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 January 2025 | Ipsos | 22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 January 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 January 2025 | Demopolis | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–27 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 January 2025 | Tecnè | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 January 2025 | EMG | 24.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 January 2025 | EMG | 23.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–13 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 January 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
23.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 January 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
23.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 January 2025 | Termometro Politico | 23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 January 2025 | Eumetra | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–23 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Winpoll | 25.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 December 2024 | Tecnè | 23.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–20 December 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | 22.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 December 2024 | Tecnè | 23.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 December 2024 | Demopolis | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–11 December 2024 | Ixè | 23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 December 2024 | Tecnè | 23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 December 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
24.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | 22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 December 2024 | BiDiMedia | 24.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 November 2024 | Tecnè | 23.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–28 November 2024 | Winpoll | 26.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 November 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–25 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 November 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
24.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 November 2024 | Tecnè | 23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–19 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 November 2024 | Tecnè | 22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–15 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 November 2024 | Demopolis | 23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–11 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 November 2024 | Tecnè | 22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 22.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
22.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 October 2024 | Tecnè | 23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–28 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 October 2024 | Tecnè | 23.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–23 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
23.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–16 October 2024 | Eumetra | 22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 October 2024 | Euromedia | 23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 October 2024 | EMG Rai 3 |
22.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 October 2024 | Tecnè | 23.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 October 2024 | Eumetra | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–30 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
23.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | 22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
23.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–23 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | 23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 September 2024 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | 23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 September 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Piepoli | 22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Ixè | 23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
23.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
23.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 September 2024 | BiDiMedia | 23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
23.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 August 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | 23.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 August 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
23.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | 23.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–16 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
23.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
24.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 July 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 July 2024 | Euromedia | 23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 July 2024 | Piepoli | 22.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–22 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 July 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
24.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 July 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
23.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 24.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–8 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
23.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
24.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 24.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 June 2024 | Termometro Politico | 24.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Ipsos | 22.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 June 2024 | Euromedia La Stampa |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 June 2024 | Demopolis La7 |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
24.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–17 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
23.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 June 2024 | Termometro Politico | 24.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partito Democratico (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 11% | 96% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 23% | 86% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 29% | 63% | Median |
| 22.5–23.5% | 21% | 33% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 9% | 12% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| 3–8 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
19 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| 4–5 December 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
19 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| 2–3 December 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 |
| 1–2 December 2025 | EMG | 18 | 17–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| 1–2 December 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 26 November–1 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
18 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| 25–27 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–20 |
| 26–27 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 |
| 20–27 November 2025 | Ixè | 19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 24–27 November 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
17 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| 25–26 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
19 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 |
| 12–26 November 2025 | EMG | 17 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 19–24 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
| 12–17 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
19 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
| 11–13 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–21 |
| 29 October–13 November 2025 | EMG | 18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 14–21 |
| 11–12 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| 5–10 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
18 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 |
| 4–5 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
18 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
| 29 October–3 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| 30 October–2 November 2025 | BiDiMedia | 18 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 |
| 30–31 October 2025 | YouTrend Sky TG24 |
17 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| 28–30 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 19 | 19–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–21 |
| 29–30 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
18 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| 27–30 October 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| 28–29 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
20 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–22 |
| 22–27 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–22 |
| 22–26 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 19 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 |
| 22–23 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 21–22 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
19 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
| 15–20 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 15–19 October 2025 | EMG | 19 | 17–19 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| 15–19 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 14–16 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 14–15 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 1–15 October 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 13–14 October 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
19 | 18–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 8–13 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 7–9 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 7–8 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 1–6 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 2–5 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 2–3 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 2 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17 September–1 October 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 24–29 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–26 September 2025 | Ixè | 19 | 18–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 |
| 23–25 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 24–25 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 17–22 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
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| 18–22 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 16–18 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17–18 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 15–18 September 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
18 | 17–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
| 16–17 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 10–15 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
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| 10–15 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 9–11 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 10–11 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–10 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 3–8 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 3–5 September 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
16 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| 2–4 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 3–4 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 27 August–1 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 23–25 August 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 5–7 August 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 30–31 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 31 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 28–30 July 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 21–29 July 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 23–28 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–24 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 21–24 July 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 16–21 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 15–17 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 16–17 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 15–17 July 2025 | SWG | |||||
| 9–14 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 11–14 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 8–10 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 9–10 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 2–7 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 1–3 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 2–3 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 19–30 June 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 25–30 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 24–27 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 25–26 June 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 20–26 June 2025 | Ixè | |||||
| 24–26 June 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 25–26 June 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
|||||
| 18–23 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 17–19 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 11–16 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 June 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 10–12 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 10–11 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 4–9 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 6 June 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 1–5 June 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 3–4 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 3 June 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 30 May 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 27–29 May 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 27–28 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 27 May 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 21–26 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 21–22 May 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 22 May 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 20–21 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 14–19 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14–15 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 14–15 May 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
|||||
| 13–14 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 13 May 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 7–12 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 7–8 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 30 April–5 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 30 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 29–30 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 30 April 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 28–29 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 23–28 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–24 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 22–24 April 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 17–23 April 2025 | Ixè | |||||
| 22–23 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 16–21 April 2025 | SWG | |||||
| 16–17 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 16 April 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 9–14 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 9–10 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 8–9 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 8 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 2–7 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 2–4 April 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 2–3 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 1–2 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 26–31 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 26–27 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 26–27 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 27 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 25–27 March 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 17–26 March 2025 | Winpoll Scenari Politici |
|||||
| 13–26 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 25–26 March 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
|||||
| 24–25 March 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 19–24 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 23 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 22 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 19–20 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17–19 March 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 18–19 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 18 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 12–17 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 15 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 12–13 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 12–13 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 11 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 5–10 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 8 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 7 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 6–7 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 4–6 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 5–6 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 6 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 5 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 26 February–3 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 1 March 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 28 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 26–27 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 26–27 February 2025 | Tecnè | |||||
| 21–27 February 2025 | Ixè | |||||
| 25–27 February 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 17–26 February 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 25–26 February 2025 | Euromedia La7 |
|||||
| 25–26 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 24–25 February 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 25 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 19–24 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–24 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 18–20 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 19–20 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 17–20 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 18–19 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 18–19 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 12–17 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14–16 February 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 13–14 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 12–14 February 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
|||||
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos La Repubblica |
|||||
| 12–13 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 12–13 February 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 9–12 February 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 5–10 February 2025 | SWG | |||||
| 6–7 February 2025 | Tecnè | |||||
| 6–7 February 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 4–6 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 4–5 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 4–5 February 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 3 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 2–3 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 29–31 January 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 28–30 January 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 28–29 January 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 27–28 January 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 22–27 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 23–24 January 2025 | Tecnè | |||||
| 21–22 January 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 14–15 January 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 8–13 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 9–10 January 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–10 January 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 8–9 January 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 7–8 January 2025 | Eumetra | |||||
| 2–6 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 18–23 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–20 December 2024 | Winpoll | |||||
| 19–20 December 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 18–20 December 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 18–19 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 11–16 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 December 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 12–13 December 2024 | Demopolis | |||||
| 11–12 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 6–11 December 2024 | Ixè | |||||
| 10–11 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 4–9 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 5–6 December 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 5–6 December 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 4–5 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 3–5 December 2024 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 3–4 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 2 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 28–29 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 21–28 November 2024 | Winpoll | |||||
| 27–28 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 28 November 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 20–25 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 25 November 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 21–22 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 20–21 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 13–19 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14–15 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 13–15 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 13–14 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 11–12 November 2024 | Demopolis | |||||
| 6–11 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 7–8 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 6–7 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 4 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 1–4 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 30–31 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 30–31 October 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 23–28 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 25–26 October 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 23–24 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 22–23 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 17–18 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 16–17 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 15–16 October 2024 | Eumetra | |||||
| 9–14 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14 October 2024 | Euromedia | |||||
| 10–11 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–10 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 8–9 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 8–9 October 2024 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 2–7 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 3–4 October 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 2–3 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 1–2 October 2024 | Eumetra | |||||
| 25–30 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 26–27 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 25–26 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 25 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 24–25 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 18–23 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 19–20 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 18–19 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 19 September 2024 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 17–18 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 11–16 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 11–12 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 10–12 September 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 9–11 September 2024 | Piepoli | |||||
| 9–11 September 2024 | Ixè | |||||
| 10–11 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 10 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 4–9 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 5–7 September 2024 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 5–6 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 2 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 29–30 August 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 28–29 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 28–29 August 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 21–22 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 5–16 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 3 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 24–29 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 25–26 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 24–25 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 23–25 July 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 25 July 2024 | Euromedia | |||||
| 22–24 July 2024 | Piepoli | |||||
| 17–22 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 21 July 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 18–19 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 16–18 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17–18 July 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 10–15 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 11–12 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–11 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 3–8 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 4–5 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 3–4 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 1 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 27–28 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 26–27 June 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Ipsos | |||||
| 26 June 2024 | Euromedia La Stampa |
|||||
| 24–25 June 2024 | Demopolis La7 |
|||||
| 19–24 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 20–21 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 12–17 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 June 2024 | Termometro Politico |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partito Democratico (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 16 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 11% | 94% | |
| 18 | 26% | 83% | |
| 19 | 39% | 57% | Median |
| 20 | 15% | 18% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |