Forza Italia (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8.7% | 7.4–10.6% | 7.0–11.4% | 6.7–12.0% | 6.1–12.9% |
| 3–8 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
7.9% | 7.0–9.0% | 6.7–9.3% | 6.5–9.6% | 6.1–10.1% |
| 4–5 December 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
7.6% | 6.5–8.9% | 6.2–9.3% | 5.9–9.6% | 5.5–10.3% |
| 2–3 December 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.2% | 7.1–9.6% | 6.8–10.0% | 6.5–10.4% | 6.0–11.1% |
| 1–2 December 2025 | EMG | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.7–11.4% | 7.2–12.0% |
| 1–2 December 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
8.8% | 8.0–9.7% | 7.8–9.9% | 7.6–10.1% | 7.3–10.6% |
| 26 November–1 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
7.9% | 7.0–9.0% | 6.7–9.3% | 6.5–9.6% | 6.1–10.1% |
| 25–27 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | 7.9–9.4% | 7.7–9.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.1–10.2% |
| 26–27 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.1% | 9.9–12.5% | 9.6–12.9% | 9.3–13.2% | 8.7–13.9% |
| 20–27 November 2025 | Ixè | 9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| 24–27 November 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 25–26 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.2% | 7.1–9.6% | 6.8–10.0% | 6.5–10.4% | 6.0–11.1% |
| 12–26 November 2025 | EMG | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 19–24 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
7.9% | 7.0–9.0% | 6.7–9.3% | 6.5–9.6% | 6.1–10.1% |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.5% | 7.8–9.3% | 7.6–9.5% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.2–10.0% |
| 12–17 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.0% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.2% |
| 11–13 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.3% | 7.7–9.1% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.4% | 7.0–9.8% |
| 29 October–13 November 2025 | EMG | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 11–12 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.8% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.3–10.6% | 7.0–10.9% | 6.5–11.6% |
| 5–10 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.1% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.9–9.5% | 6.7–9.8% | 6.2–10.3% |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.5% | 7.8–9.3% | 7.6–9.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.1% |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| 4–5 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.6% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.1–10.4% | 6.9–10.8% | 6.4–11.5% |
| 29 October–3 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.0% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.2% |
| 30 October–2 November 2025 | BiDiMedia | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| 30–31 October 2025 | YouTrend Sky TG24 |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 28–30 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.3% | 7.7–9.0% | 7.5–9.2% | 7.4–9.3% | 7.1–9.6% |
| 29–30 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| 27–30 October 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 28–29 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.4% | 7.2–9.8% | 6.9–10.2% | 6.6–10.5% | 6.1–11.2% |
| 22–27 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.1% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.9–9.5% | 6.7–9.8% | 6.2–10.3% |
| 22–26 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.6–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | 8.0–9.3% | 7.8–9.5% | 7.6–9.7% | 7.3–10.0% |
| 22–23 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.2% | 7.1–9.6% | 6.8–10.0% | 6.5–10.4% | 6.0–11.1% |
| 15–20 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 October 2025 | EMG | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 15–19 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–15 October 2025 | EMG | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 October 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
8.8% | 8.0–9.8% | 7.7–10.1% | 7.5–10.4% | 7.1–10.9% |
| 8–13 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–6 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 September–1 October 2025 | EMG | 9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–26 September 2025 | Ixè | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 23–25 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–22 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–22 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 September 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
8.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.1–9.9% | 6.8–10.2% | 6.4–10.8% |
| 16–17 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–8 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 September 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
8.0% | 6.8–9.3% | 6.5–9.7% | 6.3–10.0% | 5.8–10.7% |
| 2–4 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 August–1 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 August 2025 | BiDiMedia | 8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 August 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 July 2025 | Demopolis | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–29 July 2025 | Winpoll | 9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–28 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 July 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–21 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 July 2025 | SWG | 7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–30 June 2025 | Winpoll | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–30 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 June 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 June 2025 | Ixè | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 June 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 June 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–23 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 June 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6 June 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 June 2025 | BiDiMedia | 8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 June 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 May 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 May 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–26 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 May 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 May 2025 | Demopolis | 8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 May 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13 May 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–12 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April–5 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April 2025 | Demopolis | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–28 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 April 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–23 April 2025 | Ixè | 9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–23 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–21 April 2025 | SWG | 8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16 April 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 April 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–31 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 March 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–26 March 2025 | Winpoll Scenari Politici |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–26 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 March 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 March 2025 | Piepoli | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 March 2025 | Piepoli | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–17 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–10 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 February–3 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 March 2025 | Winpoll | 8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 February 2025 | Tecnè | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–27 February 2025 | Ixè | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 February 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–26 February 2025 | Winpoll | 8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 February 2025 | Euromedia La7 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 February 2025 | Piepoli | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–20 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–17 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 February 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 February 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos La Repubblica |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 February 2025 | EMG | 8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 February 2025 | Piepoli | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–10 February 2025 | SWG | 9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 February 2025 | Tecnè | 11.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 February 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 February 2025 | EMG | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–31 January 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 January 2025 | Ipsos | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 January 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 January 2025 | Demopolis | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–27 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 January 2025 | Tecnè | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 January 2025 | EMG | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 January 2025 | EMG | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–13 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 January 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 January 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 January 2025 | Termometro Politico | 8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 January 2025 | Eumetra | 9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–23 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Winpoll | 7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 December 2024 | Tecnè | 11.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–20 December 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 December 2024 | Tecnè | 11.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 December 2024 | Demopolis | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–11 December 2024 | Ixè | 9.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 December 2024 | Tecnè | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 December 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 December 2024 | BiDiMedia | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 November 2024 | Tecnè | 11.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–28 November 2024 | Winpoll | 9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 November 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–25 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 November 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 November 2024 | Tecnè | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–19 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 November 2024 | Tecnè | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–15 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 November 2024 | Demopolis | 9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–11 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 November 2024 | Tecnè | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 October 2024 | Tecnè | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–28 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 October 2024 | Tecnè | 11.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–23 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–16 October 2024 | Eumetra | 9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 October 2024 | Euromedia | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 October 2024 | EMG Rai 3 |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 October 2024 | Tecnè | 11.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 October 2024 | Eumetra | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–30 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–23 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 September 2024 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
10.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 September 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Piepoli | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Ixè | 9.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 September 2024 | BiDiMedia | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
10.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 August 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
10.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 August 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–16 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
10.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 July 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 July 2024 | Euromedia | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 July 2024 | Piepoli | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–22 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 July 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
10.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 July 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–8 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
9.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 June 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Ipsos | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 June 2024 | Euromedia La Stampa |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 June 2024 | Demopolis La7 |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
9.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–17 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 June 2024 | Termometro Politico | 9.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Forza Italia (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 11% | 98% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 30% | 87% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 32% | 57% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 14% | 25% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 7% | 11% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–9 |
| 3–8 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| 4–5 December 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 2–3 December 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| 1–2 December 2025 | EMG | 8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| 1–2 December 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 26 November–1 December 2025 | SWG La7 |
6 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| 25–27 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| 26–27 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 |
| 20–27 November 2025 | Ixè | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 24–27 November 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 25–26 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| 12–26 November 2025 | EMG | 8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| 19–24 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 6 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 12–17 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 11–13 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 29 October–13 November 2025 | EMG | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| 11–12 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| 5–10 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Termometro Politico | 6 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| 4–5 November 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| 29 October–3 November 2025 | SWG La7 |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 30 October–2 November 2025 | BiDiMedia | 6 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| 30–31 October 2025 | YouTrend Sky TG24 |
6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 28–30 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 29–30 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| 27–30 October 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 28–29 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 22–27 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 22–26 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 4–9 |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 22–23 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 21–22 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 15–20 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 15–19 October 2025 | EMG | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| 15–19 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 14–16 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 14–15 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 1–15 October 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 13–14 October 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 8–13 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 7–9 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 7–8 October 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 1–6 October 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 2–5 October 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 2–3 October 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 2 October 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17 September–1 October 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 24–29 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–26 September 2025 | Ixè | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| 23–25 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 24–25 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 17–22 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 18–22 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 16–18 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17–18 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 15–18 September 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| 16–17 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 10–15 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 10–15 September 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 9–11 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 10–11 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–10 September 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 3–8 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 3–5 September 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–7 |
| 2–4 September 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 3–4 September 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 27 August–1 September 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 23–25 August 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 5–7 August 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 30–31 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 31 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 28–30 July 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 21–29 July 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 23–28 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–24 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 21–24 July 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 16–21 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 15–17 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 16–17 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 15–17 July 2025 | SWG | |||||
| 9–14 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 11–14 July 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 8–10 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 9–10 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 2–7 July 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 1–3 July 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 2–3 July 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 19–30 June 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 25–30 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 24–27 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 25–26 June 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 20–26 June 2025 | Ixè | |||||
| 24–26 June 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 25–26 June 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
|||||
| 18–23 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 17–19 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 11–16 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 June 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 10–12 June 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 10–11 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 4–9 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 6 June 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 1–5 June 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 3–4 June 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 3 June 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 30 May 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 27–29 May 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 27–28 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 27 May 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 21–26 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 21–22 May 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 22 May 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 20–21 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 14–19 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14–15 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 14–15 May 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
|||||
| 13–14 May 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 13 May 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 7–12 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 7–8 May 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 30 April–5 May 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 30 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 29–30 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 30 April 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 28–29 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 23–28 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–24 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 22–24 April 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 17–23 April 2025 | Ixè | |||||
| 22–23 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 16–21 April 2025 | SWG | |||||
| 16–17 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 16 April 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 9–14 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 9–10 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 8–9 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 8 April 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 2–7 April 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 2–4 April 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 2–3 April 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 1–2 April 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 26–31 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 26–27 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 26–27 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 27 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 25–27 March 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 17–26 March 2025 | Winpoll Scenari Politici |
|||||
| 13–26 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 25–26 March 2025 | Demopolis La7 |
|||||
| 24–25 March 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 19–24 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 23 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 22 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 19–20 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17–19 March 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 18–19 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 18 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 12–17 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 15 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 12–13 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 12–13 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 11 March 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 5–10 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 8 March 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 7 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 6–7 March 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 4–6 March 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 5–6 March 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 6 March 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 5 March 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 26 February–3 March 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 1 March 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 28 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 26–27 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 26–27 February 2025 | Tecnè | |||||
| 21–27 February 2025 | Ixè | |||||
| 25–27 February 2025 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 17–26 February 2025 | Winpoll | |||||
| 25–26 February 2025 | Euromedia La7 |
|||||
| 25–26 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 24–25 February 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 25 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 19–24 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 22–24 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 18–20 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 19–20 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 17–20 February 2025 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 18–19 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 18–19 February 2025 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 12–17 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14–16 February 2025 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 13–14 February 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 12–14 February 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos & Pi La Repubblica |
|||||
| 10–14 February 2025 | Demos La Repubblica |
|||||
| 12–13 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 12–13 February 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 9–12 February 2025 | Piepoli | |||||
| 5–10 February 2025 | SWG | |||||
| 6–7 February 2025 | Tecnè | |||||
| 6–7 February 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 4–6 February 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 4–5 February 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 4–5 February 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 3 February 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 2–3 February 2025 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 29–31 January 2025 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 28–30 January 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 28–29 January 2025 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 27–28 January 2025 | Demopolis | |||||
| 22–27 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 23–24 January 2025 | Tecnè | |||||
| 21–22 January 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 14–15 January 2025 | EMG | |||||
| 8–13 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 9–10 January 2025 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–10 January 2025 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 8–9 January 2025 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 7–8 January 2025 | Eumetra | |||||
| 2–6 January 2025 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 18–23 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–20 December 2024 | Winpoll | |||||
| 19–20 December 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 18–20 December 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 18–19 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 11–16 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 December 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 12–13 December 2024 | Demopolis | |||||
| 11–12 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 6–11 December 2024 | Ixè | |||||
| 10–11 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 4–9 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 5–6 December 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 5–6 December 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 4–5 December 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 3–5 December 2024 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 3–4 December 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 2 December 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 28–29 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 21–28 November 2024 | Winpoll | |||||
| 27–28 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 28 November 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 20–25 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 25 November 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 21–22 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 20–21 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 13–19 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14–15 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 13–15 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 13–14 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 11–12 November 2024 | Demopolis | |||||
| 6–11 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 7–8 November 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 6–7 November 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 4 November 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 1–4 November 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 30–31 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 30–31 October 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 23–28 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 25–26 October 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 23–24 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 22–23 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 17–18 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 16–17 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 15–16 October 2024 | Eumetra | |||||
| 9–14 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 14 October 2024 | Euromedia | |||||
| 10–11 October 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–10 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 8–9 October 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 8–9 October 2024 | EMG Rai 3 |
|||||
| 2–7 October 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 3–4 October 2024 | Tecnè | |||||
| 2–3 October 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 1–2 October 2024 | Eumetra | |||||
| 25–30 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 26–27 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 25–26 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 25 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 24–25 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 18–23 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 19–20 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 18–19 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 19 September 2024 | Noto Sondaggi Rai 1 |
|||||
| 17–18 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 11–16 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 11–12 September 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 10–12 September 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 9–11 September 2024 | Piepoli | |||||
| 9–11 September 2024 | Ixè | |||||
| 10–11 September 2024 | Eumetra La7 |
|||||
| 10 September 2024 | Euromedia Rai 1 |
|||||
| 4–9 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 5–7 September 2024 | BiDiMedia | |||||
| 5–6 September 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 2 September 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 29–30 August 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 28–29 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 28–29 August 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 21–22 August 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 5–16 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 3 August 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 24–29 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 25–26 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 24–25 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 23–25 July 2024 | Ipsos Corriere della Sera |
|||||
| 25 July 2024 | Euromedia | |||||
| 22–24 July 2024 | Piepoli | |||||
| 17–22 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 21 July 2024 | Lab2101 Affari Italiani |
|||||
| 18–19 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 16–18 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 17–18 July 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 10–15 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 11–12 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 9–11 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 3–8 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 4–5 July 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 3–4 July 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 1 July 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 27–28 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 26–27 June 2024 | Termometro Politico | |||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Quorum – YouTrend Sky TG24 |
|||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Ipsos | |||||
| 26 June 2024 | Euromedia La Stampa |
|||||
| 24–25 June 2024 | Demopolis La7 |
|||||
| 19–24 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 20–21 June 2024 | Tecnè Agenzia Dire |
|||||
| 12–17 June 2024 | SWG La7 |
|||||
| 12–13 June 2024 | Termometro Politico |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Forza Italia (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 17% | 98% | |
| 6 | 43% | 81% | Median |
| 7 | 22% | 38% | |
| 8 | 10% | 16% | |
| 9 | 6% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |