Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 1–30 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 23.0% | 33.4% | 31.1–35.9% | 30.4–36.6% | 29.9–37.2% | 28.8–38.4% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 19.5% | 23.0% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.4–25.9% | 19.9–26.4% | 18.9–27.5% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 16.6% | 9.7% | 8.3–11.3% | 7.9–11.8% | 7.6–12.2% | 7.0–13.1% |
| Kustība Par! | 0.0% | 7.4% | 6.3–9.0% | 5.9–9.4% | 5.6–9.8% | 5.1–10.5% |
| KPV LV | 0.0% | 7.0% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.9% | 5.2–9.2% | 4.7–10.0% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0.7% | 6.3% | 5.2–7.8% | 4.9–8.2% | 4.7–8.5% | 4.2–9.3% |
| Vienotība | 21.9% | 4.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.9% | 3.0–6.2% | 2.6–6.8% |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 6.7% | 2.7% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.7–4.3% | 1.4–4.8% |
| No sirds Latvijai | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% | 1.2–4.4% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% | 1.1–3.3% | 0.9–3.8% |
| Progresīvie | 0.0% | 1.7% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.9% | 1.0–3.1% | 0.8–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 24 | 35 | 33–39 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 30–43 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 21 | 26 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 24–30 | 23–32 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 17 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Kustība Par! | 0 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 |
| KPV LV | 0 | 8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–11 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| Vienotība | 23 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| No sirds Latvijai | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Progresīvie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 10% | 96% | |
| 34 | 12% | 86% | |
| 35 | 28% | 74% | Median |
| 36 | 14% | 46% | |
| 37 | 5% | 32% | |
| 38 | 12% | 26% | |
| 39 | 7% | 15% | |
| 40 | 4% | 7% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 27% | 98% | |
| 25 | 18% | 71% | |
| 26 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 27 | 11% | 41% | |
| 28 | 7% | 30% | |
| 29 | 18% | 23% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 9 | 20% | 93% | |
| 10 | 7% | 73% | |
| 11 | 33% | 66% | Median |
| 12 | 21% | 33% | |
| 13 | 6% | 11% | |
| 14 | 4% | 6% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Kustība Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kustība Par! page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 29% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 15% | 71% | |
| 9 | 34% | 56% | Median |
| 10 | 12% | 22% | |
| 11 | 10% | 10% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
KPV LV
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KPV LV page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 9% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 20% | 91% | |
| 8 | 28% | 70% | Median |
| 9 | 40% | 43% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 0% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 7 | 63% | 96% | Median |
| 8 | 28% | 33% | |
| 9 | 3% | 5% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Vienotība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienotība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 53% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 47% | |
| 2 | 0% | 47% | |
| 3 | 0% | 47% | |
| 4 | 0% | 47% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 47% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 47% | |
| 7 | 46% | 47% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu apvienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
No sirds Latvijai
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the No sirds Latvijai page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Progresīvie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresīvie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – KPV LV | 45 | 70 | 100% | 67–74 | 65–75 | 63–79 | 63–81 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība | 61 | 57 | 98% | 52–59 | 51–60 | 51–61 | 49–62 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 38 | 52 | 64% | 50–57 | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Kustība Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 24 | 51 | 53% | 49–56 | 48–57 | 47–57 | 45–60 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! – Vienotība | 61 | 49 | 16% | 45–52 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 42–55 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība | 61 | 48 | 9% | 44–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! | 38 | 45 | 3% | 43–49 | 42–49 | 42–51 | 41–54 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Kustība Par! | 24 | 44 | 2% | 42–49 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 38–52 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV | 24 | 43 | 1.4% | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–49 | 38–51 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 38 | 44 | 0.6% | 41–48 | 41–48 | 41–48 | 39–51 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība | 61 | 41 | 0% | 36–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 34–47 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība | 40 | 30 | 0% | 26–33 | 25–35 | 21–37 | 19–37 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 3% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 67 | 21% | 94% | |
| 68 | 16% | 73% | |
| 69 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 70 | 4% | 52% | |
| 71 | 3% | 48% | |
| 72 | 22% | 45% | |
| 73 | 11% | 24% | |
| 74 | 5% | 13% | |
| 75 | 3% | 7% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 51 | 4% | 98% | Majority |
| 52 | 7% | 94% | |
| 53 | 3% | 87% | Median |
| 54 | 5% | 84% | |
| 55 | 9% | 79% | |
| 56 | 12% | 70% | |
| 57 | 42% | 58% | |
| 58 | 6% | 16% | |
| 59 | 2% | 10% | |
| 60 | 3% | 8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 50 | 32% | 96% | |
| 51 | 7% | 64% | Majority |
| 52 | 9% | 57% | |
| 53 | 6% | 47% | Median |
| 54 | 7% | 42% | |
| 55 | 11% | 34% | |
| 56 | 10% | 24% | |
| 57 | 11% | 14% | |
| 58 | 2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Kustība Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 3% | 95% | |
| 49 | 21% | 93% | |
| 50 | 19% | 71% | |
| 51 | 7% | 53% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 6% | 45% | |
| 53 | 14% | 39% | |
| 54 | 10% | 25% | |
| 55 | 2% | 15% | |
| 56 | 4% | 13% | |
| 57 | 8% | 9% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 45 | 9% | 95% | |
| 46 | 3% | 86% | Median |
| 47 | 9% | 83% | |
| 48 | 4% | 74% | |
| 49 | 26% | 70% | |
| 50 | 29% | 44% | |
| 51 | 5% | 16% | Majority |
| 52 | 4% | 11% | |
| 53 | 3% | 7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 4% | 97% | |
| 43 | 2% | 93% | |
| 44 | 12% | 91% | Median |
| 45 | 3% | 79% | |
| 46 | 6% | 76% | |
| 47 | 9% | 70% | |
| 48 | 25% | 61% | |
| 49 | 5% | 36% | |
| 50 | 22% | 31% | |
| 51 | 4% | 9% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 5% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 43 | 28% | 93% | |
| 44 | 7% | 65% | |
| 45 | 12% | 58% | |
| 46 | 5% | 46% | Median |
| 47 | 11% | 41% | |
| 48 | 5% | 30% | |
| 49 | 21% | 25% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 3% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Kustība Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 2% | 96% | |
| 42 | 23% | 93% | |
| 43 | 17% | 70% | |
| 44 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 45 | 16% | 45% | |
| 46 | 4% | 28% | |
| 47 | 8% | 25% | |
| 48 | 3% | 17% | |
| 49 | 11% | 14% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 2% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 3% | 96% | |
| 41 | 3% | 92% | |
| 42 | 6% | 90% | |
| 43 | 42% | 84% | Median |
| 44 | 12% | 42% | |
| 45 | 9% | 30% | |
| 46 | 5% | 21% | |
| 47 | 3% | 16% | |
| 48 | 7% | 13% | |
| 49 | 4% | 6% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 14% | 98% | |
| 42 | 8% | 84% | |
| 43 | 24% | 76% | |
| 44 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 45 | 5% | 37% | |
| 46 | 6% | 31% | |
| 47 | 10% | 26% | |
| 48 | 13% | 16% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 36 | 9% | 95% | |
| 37 | 7% | 86% | Median |
| 38 | 3% | 79% | |
| 39 | 6% | 76% | |
| 40 | 20% | 70% | |
| 41 | 17% | 50% | |
| 42 | 4% | 33% | |
| 43 | 20% | 29% | |
| 44 | 5% | 9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 5% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Kustība Par! – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 25 | 3% | 95% | |
| 26 | 6% | 93% | |
| 27 | 11% | 87% | Median |
| 28 | 22% | 76% | |
| 29 | 3% | 54% | |
| 30 | 4% | 52% | |
| 31 | 5% | 48% | |
| 32 | 16% | 43% | |
| 33 | 21% | 27% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 35 | 2% | 6% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 37 | 3% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 1–30 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 631
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.97%