Progresīvie
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 4 October 2014)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 2.1% | 1.1–3.2% | 1.0–3.4% | 0.8–3.6% | 0.6–4.2% |
24–30 September 2018 | FACTUM | 3.0% | 2.6–3.4% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% |
17–23 September 2018 | FACTUM | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% |
8–18 September 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
1.9% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% | 0.9–3.9% |
10–16 September 2018 | FACTUM | 2.0% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.3% |
10–14 September 2018 | Norstat | 1.8% | 1.1–3.2% | 0.9–3.6% | 0.8–4.0% | 0.5–4.9% |
8 August–12 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Delfi |
1.3% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.5% | 0.5–2.9% |
31 August–9 September 2018 | FACTUM | 1.9% | 1.5–2.5% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.1–3.2% |
30 August–5 September 2018 | FACTUM | 2.9% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
27 August–2 September 2018 | FACTUM | 2.9% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
25–31 August 2018 | FACTUM | 2.9% | 2.4–3.4% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–4.1% |
22–28 August 2018 | FACTUM | 2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–26 August 2018 | FACTUM | 2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–23 August 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
2.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–19 August 2018 | FACTUM | 2.9% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.3% |
17–23 July 2018 | FACTUM | 3.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–30 June 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
1.7% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.9% | 1.0–3.1% | 0.8–3.6% |
1–31 May 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
1.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 May 2018 | Norstat TV3 Latvija |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–30 April 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 March 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–28 February 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 January 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Progresīvie.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 27% | 99.7% | |
1.5–2.5% | 38% | 73% | Median |
2.5–3.5% | 32% | 35% | |
3.5–4.5% | 3% | 3% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 4 October 2014)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24–30 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17–23 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8–18 September 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10–16 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10–14 September 2018 | Norstat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 August–12 September 2018 | Kantar TNS Delfi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
31 August–9 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
30 August–5 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
27 August–2 September 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
25–31 August 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22–28 August 2018 | FACTUM | |||||
20–26 August 2018 | FACTUM | |||||
1–23 August 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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13–19 August 2018 | FACTUM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17–23 July 2018 | FACTUM | |||||
1–30 June 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–31 May 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–31 May 2018 | Norstat TV3 Latvija |
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1–30 April 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–31 March 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–28 February 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–31 January 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Progresīvie.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
1 | 0% | 0.1% | |
2 | 0% | 0.1% | |
3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
7 | 0% | 0% |