Opinion Poll by FACTUM, 13–19 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 23.0% | 20.4% | 19.1–21.8% | 18.7–22.2% | 18.4–22.5% | 17.8–23.2% |
| KPV LV | 0.0% | 15.6% | 14.4–16.9% | 14.1–17.2% | 13.8–17.5% | 13.2–18.2% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 19.5% | 11.7% | 10.6–12.8% | 10.3–13.1% | 10.1–13.4% | 9.6–14.0% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 16.6% | 11.7% | 10.6–12.8% | 10.3–13.1% | 10.1–13.4% | 9.6–14.0% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0.7% | 9.7% | 8.8–10.8% | 8.5–11.1% | 8.3–11.4% | 7.8–11.9% |
| Attīstībai–Par! | 0.9% | 9.7% | 8.8–10.8% | 8.5–11.1% | 8.3–11.4% | 7.8–11.9% |
| Vienotība | 21.9% | 5.8% | 5.1–6.7% | 4.9–6.9% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.4–7.6% |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.4% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.4% |
| Progresīvie | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.3% |
| No sirds Latvijai | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 24 | 26 | 25–28 | 25–29 | 24–31 | 22–32 |
| KPV LV | 0 | 21 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–24 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 21 | 16 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 17 | 15 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0 | 13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| Attīstībai–Par! | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vienotība | 23 | 8 | 7–8 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Progresīvie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| No sirds Latvijai | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 25 | 8% | 96% | |
| 26 | 39% | 89% | Median |
| 27 | 38% | 50% | |
| 28 | 6% | 12% | |
| 29 | 2% | 6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 4% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
KPV LV
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KPV LV page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 3% | 97% | |
| 19 | 19% | 93% | |
| 20 | 13% | 74% | |
| 21 | 26% | 61% | Median |
| 22 | 16% | 35% | |
| 23 | 18% | 20% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 32% | 98% | |
| 16 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 17 | 40% | 48% | |
| 18 | 4% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 23% | 98% | |
| 15 | 34% | 74% | Median |
| 16 | 20% | 41% | |
| 17 | 6% | 21% | Last Result |
| 18 | 14% | 15% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 98% | |
| 12 | 7% | 97% | |
| 13 | 69% | 90% | Median |
| 14 | 6% | 21% | |
| 15 | 14% | 15% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai–Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai–Par! page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Vienotība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienotība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 94% | |
| 2 | 0% | 94% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 43% | 94% | |
| 8 | 42% | 51% | Median |
| 9 | 4% | 9% | |
| 10 | 5% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu apvienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Progresīvie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresīvie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
No sirds Latvijai
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the No sirds Latvijai page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 45 | 63 | 100% | 61–66 | 60–68 | 58–70 | 57–72 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība | 61 | 52 | 88% | 50–55 | 49–55 | 47–56 | 45–56 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība | 61 | 52 | 88% | 50–55 | 49–55 | 47–56 | 45–56 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV | 24 | 48 | 6% | 45–49 | 43–51 | 43–52 | 42–55 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! | 38 | 44 | 0.8% | 43–48 | 43–48 | 42–49 | 40–51 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 38 | 44 | 0.8% | 43–48 | 43–48 | 42–49 | 40–51 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! | 24 | 40 | 0% | 38–42 | 38–43 | 37–44 | 35–46 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība | 61 | 39 | 0% | 37–42 | 35–42 | 33–42 | 31–43 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Vienotība | 61 | 39 | 0% | 37–42 | 35–42 | 33–42 | 31–43 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība | 40 | 36 | 0% | 34–38 | 32–39 | 30–39 | 28–40 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai–Par! | 38 | 31 | 0% | 30–35 | 30–35 | 30–35 | 29–36 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai–Par! | 24 | 26 | 0% | 25–28 | 25–29 | 24–31 | 22–32 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 60 | 3% | 96% | |
| 61 | 6% | 93% | |
| 62 | 12% | 87% | |
| 63 | 28% | 75% | Median |
| 64 | 14% | 47% | |
| 65 | 17% | 33% | |
| 66 | 10% | 16% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 5% | 93% | |
| 51 | 21% | 88% | Majority |
| 52 | 33% | 67% | Median |
| 53 | 10% | 34% | |
| 54 | 6% | 24% | |
| 55 | 16% | 18% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 5% | 93% | |
| 51 | 21% | 88% | Majority |
| 52 | 33% | 67% | Median |
| 53 | 10% | 34% | |
| 54 | 6% | 24% | |
| 55 | 16% | 18% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 4% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 95% | |
| 45 | 16% | 92% | |
| 46 | 6% | 76% | |
| 47 | 10% | 70% | Median |
| 48 | 33% | 61% | |
| 49 | 20% | 28% | |
| 50 | 2% | 7% | |
| 51 | 3% | 6% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 13% | 97% | |
| 44 | 40% | 84% | Median |
| 45 | 11% | 43% | |
| 46 | 12% | 32% | |
| 47 | 6% | 20% | |
| 48 | 10% | 14% | |
| 49 | 2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 43 | 13% | 97% | |
| 44 | 40% | 84% | Median |
| 45 | 11% | 43% | |
| 46 | 12% | 32% | |
| 47 | 6% | 20% | |
| 48 | 10% | 14% | |
| 49 | 2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 8% | 96% | |
| 39 | 32% | 88% | Median |
| 40 | 37% | 56% | |
| 41 | 6% | 19% | |
| 42 | 7% | 13% | |
| 43 | 2% | 6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 37 | 4% | 93% | |
| 38 | 32% | 90% | |
| 39 | 28% | 57% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 29% | |
| 41 | 3% | 21% | |
| 42 | 16% | 18% | |
| 43 | 2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 36 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 37 | 4% | 93% | |
| 38 | 32% | 90% | |
| 39 | 28% | 57% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 29% | |
| 41 | 3% | 21% | |
| 42 | 16% | 18% | |
| 43 | 2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 31 | 2% | 97% | |
| 32 | 2% | 96% | |
| 33 | 3% | 94% | |
| 34 | 11% | 91% | |
| 35 | 19% | 80% | |
| 36 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 37 | 28% | 48% | |
| 38 | 12% | 19% | |
| 39 | 6% | 7% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 15% | 98% | |
| 31 | 46% | 83% | Median |
| 32 | 13% | 37% | |
| 33 | 7% | 24% | |
| 34 | 5% | 17% | |
| 35 | 10% | 12% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 25 | 8% | 96% | |
| 26 | 39% | 89% | Median |
| 27 | 38% | 50% | |
| 28 | 6% | 12% | |
| 29 | 2% | 6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 4% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FACTUM
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 13–19 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1433
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.75%