Opinion Poll by FACTUM, 25–31 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 23.0% | 21.9% | 20.7–23.2% | 20.3–23.6% | 20.0–23.9% | 19.4–24.5% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0.7% | 14.3% | 13.3–15.4% | 13.0–15.7% | 12.7–16.0% | 12.2–16.6% |
| KPV LV | 0.0% | 12.4% | 11.4–13.5% | 11.2–13.8% | 10.9–14.0% | 10.5–14.6% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 16.6% | 11.4% | 10.5–12.5% | 10.2–12.8% | 10.0–13.0% | 9.6–13.5% |
| Attīstībai–Par! | 0.9% | 11.4% | 10.5–12.5% | 10.2–12.8% | 10.0–13.0% | 9.6–13.5% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 19.5% | 9.5% | 8.7–10.5% | 8.5–10.8% | 8.2–11.0% | 7.9–11.5% |
| Vienotība | 21.9% | 6.7% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.6–8.0% | 5.3–8.4% |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 6.7% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.4% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–4.1% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.4% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–4.1% |
| Progresīvie | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.4% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 24 | 27 | 27–30 | 26–31 | 26–31 | 25–31 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0 | 18 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| KPV LV | 0 | 16 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 17 | 15 | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–18 | 12–18 |
| Attīstībai–Par! | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 21 | 14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| Vienotība | 23 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–12 |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Progresīvie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 26 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 45% | 94% | Median |
| 28 | 19% | 49% | |
| 29 | 17% | 30% | |
| 30 | 6% | 13% | |
| 31 | 7% | 7% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 16 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 7% | 95% | |
| 18 | 38% | 88% | Median |
| 19 | 12% | 50% | |
| 20 | 34% | 37% | |
| 21 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 22 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
KPV LV
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KPV LV page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 38% | 97% | |
| 16 | 27% | 59% | Median |
| 17 | 25% | 32% | |
| 18 | 7% | 7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 14 | 7% | 98% | |
| 15 | 59% | 91% | Median |
| 16 | 26% | 31% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 18 | 4% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai–Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai–Par! page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 11% | 93% | |
| 13 | 12% | 82% | |
| 14 | 38% | 70% | Median |
| 15 | 30% | 31% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vienotība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienotība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 72% | 95% | Median |
| 9 | 9% | 23% | |
| 10 | 12% | 13% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu apvienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Progresīvie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresīvie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 45 | 58 | 100% | 56–59 | 55–60 | 55–61 | 53–61 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Vienotība | 61 | 56 | 100% | 54–58 | 54–58 | 54–59 | 53–59 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Vienotība | 61 | 56 | 100% | 54–58 | 54–58 | 54–59 | 53–59 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 38 | 48 | 2% | 46–49 | 45–50 | 45–50 | 44–51 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 38 | 48 | 2% | 46–49 | 45–50 | 45–50 | 44–51 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! | 24 | 47 | 0.6% | 45–48 | 45–49 | 44–50 | 42–51 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV | 24 | 44 | 0% | 42–46 | 42–46 | 41–46 | 41–47 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība | 40 | 42 | 0% | 41–44 | 40–45 | 39–45 | 39–47 |
| Attīstībai–Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Vienotība | 61 | 38 | 0% | 36–39 | 35–39 | 35–40 | 34–41 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Vienotība | 61 | 38 | 0% | 36–39 | 35–39 | 35–40 | 34–41 |
| Attīstībai–Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 38 | 29 | 0% | 27–30 | 27–30 | 26–31 | 26–32 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai–Par! | 24 | 27 | 0% | 27–30 | 26–31 | 26–31 | 25–31 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 13% | 94% | |
| 57 | 28% | 80% | Median |
| 58 | 24% | 53% | |
| 59 | 20% | 28% | |
| 60 | 5% | 8% | |
| 61 | 3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 11% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 14% | 87% | Median |
| 56 | 33% | 73% | |
| 57 | 29% | 40% | |
| 58 | 8% | 10% | |
| 59 | 2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 11% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 14% | 87% | Median |
| 56 | 33% | 73% | |
| 57 | 29% | 40% | |
| 58 | 8% | 10% | |
| 59 | 2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 46 | 11% | 92% | |
| 47 | 15% | 81% | Median |
| 48 | 34% | 66% | |
| 49 | 25% | 32% | |
| 50 | 5% | 7% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 46 | 11% | 92% | |
| 47 | 15% | 81% | Median |
| 48 | 34% | 66% | |
| 49 | 25% | 32% | |
| 50 | 5% | 7% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 45 | 23% | 96% | Median |
| 46 | 10% | 73% | |
| 47 | 37% | 63% | |
| 48 | 17% | 26% | |
| 49 | 6% | 9% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 8% | 97% | |
| 43 | 29% | 90% | Median |
| 44 | 33% | 60% | |
| 45 | 14% | 27% | |
| 46 | 11% | 13% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 41 | 20% | 92% | Median |
| 42 | 24% | 72% | |
| 43 | 28% | 47% | |
| 44 | 13% | 20% | |
| 45 | 5% | 6% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai–Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 11% | 91% | |
| 37 | 28% | 80% | Median |
| 38 | 40% | 52% | |
| 39 | 9% | 12% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 11% | 91% | |
| 37 | 28% | 80% | Median |
| 38 | 40% | 52% | |
| 39 | 9% | 12% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Attīstībai–Par! – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 26 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 13% | 97% | |
| 28 | 12% | 84% | |
| 29 | 25% | 72% | Median |
| 30 | 43% | 46% | |
| 31 | 2% | 4% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 26 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 45% | 94% | Median |
| 28 | 19% | 49% | |
| 29 | 17% | 30% | |
| 30 | 6% | 13% | |
| 31 | 7% | 7% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FACTUM
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25–31 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1750
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.14%