Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for Delfi, 8 August–12 September 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 23.0% | 25.7% | 23.7–28.0% | 23.1–28.6% | 22.6–29.1% | 21.6–30.2% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 19.5% | 17.0% | 15.2–18.9% | 14.7–19.5% | 14.3–20.0% | 13.5–20.9% |
| KPV LV | 0.0% | 16.1% | 14.4–18.0% | 13.9–18.5% | 13.5–19.0% | 12.7–20.0% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0.7% | 9.2% | 7.9–10.8% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.3–11.6% | 6.7–12.4% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 16.6% | 7.5% | 6.3–8.9% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.7–9.7% | 5.2–10.4% |
| Attīstībai–Par! | 0.9% | 6.9% | 5.8–8.3% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.2–9.0% | 4.7–9.7% |
| Vienotība | 21.9% | 5.6% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.1–7.5% | 3.6–8.2% |
| Progresīvie | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.5% | 0.5–2.9% |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 6.7% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% | 0.2–2.1% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.7% | 0.2–2.1% |
| No sirds Latvijai | 6.8% | 0.6% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.5% | 0.2–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 24 | 30 | 27–33 | 26–33 | 26–33 | 24–35 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 21 | 20 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 17–25 |
| KPV LV | 0 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–23 | 15–23 | 14–23 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0 | 11 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 7–15 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 17 | 8 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 6–13 |
| Attīstībai–Par! | 0 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 0–11 |
| Vienotība | 23 | 7 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–8 | 0–10 |
| Progresīvie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| No sirds Latvijai | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 27 | 16% | 95% | |
| 28 | 7% | 79% | |
| 29 | 18% | 72% | |
| 30 | 26% | 54% | Median |
| 31 | 8% | 28% | |
| 32 | 10% | 20% | |
| 33 | 9% | 11% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 17 | 8% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 6% | 92% | |
| 19 | 11% | 86% | |
| 20 | 43% | 75% | Median |
| 21 | 7% | 32% | Last Result |
| 22 | 10% | 25% | |
| 23 | 7% | 15% | |
| 24 | 7% | 7% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
KPV LV
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KPV LV page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 15 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 16 | 33% | 92% | |
| 17 | 7% | 59% | |
| 18 | 22% | 52% | Median |
| 19 | 7% | 30% | |
| 20 | 10% | 23% | |
| 21 | 5% | 12% | |
| 22 | 2% | 8% | |
| 23 | 5% | 5% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 15% | 97% | |
| 9 | 8% | 82% | |
| 10 | 16% | 74% | |
| 11 | 34% | 58% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 24% | |
| 13 | 14% | 18% | |
| 14 | 2% | 4% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 32% | 89% | |
| 8 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 9 | 22% | 43% | |
| 10 | 13% | 21% | |
| 11 | 4% | 8% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Attīstībai–Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai–Par! page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 0% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 32% | 98% | |
| 8 | 34% | 66% | Median |
| 9 | 22% | 32% | |
| 10 | 8% | 9% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Vienotība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienotība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 76% | |
| 2 | 0% | 76% | |
| 3 | 0% | 76% | |
| 4 | 0% | 76% | |
| 5 | 0% | 76% | |
| 6 | 0% | 76% | |
| 7 | 61% | 76% | Median |
| 8 | 13% | 15% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresīvie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresīvie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Latvijas Reģionu apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu apvienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
No sirds Latvijai
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the No sirds Latvijai page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – KPV LV | 45 | 67 | 100% | 64–72 | 63–73 | 63–74 | 62–77 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība | 61 | 53 | 80% | 49–56 | 48–57 | 45–57 | 45–58 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV | 24 | 47 | 13% | 44–51 | 43–52 | 43–55 | 42–55 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! | 24 | 49 | 18% | 43–51 | 43–53 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! | 38 | 47 | 15% | 43–51 | 42–53 | 42–53 | 41–56 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība | 61 | 45 | 1.2% | 41–48 | 40–49 | 37–50 | 37–51 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība | 61 | 43 | 0% | 38–45 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 32–50 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 38 | 38 | 0% | 36–43 | 35–45 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai–Par! | 24 | 38 | 0% | 35–40 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 31–43 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! | 38 | 36 | 0% | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–42 | 27–43 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība | 61 | 34 | 0% | 30–37 | 29–38 | 27–39 | 24–41 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība | 40 | 33 | 0% | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–37 | 23–38 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 4% | 98% | |
| 64 | 4% | 94% | |
| 65 | 5% | 90% | |
| 66 | 31% | 84% | |
| 67 | 12% | 53% | |
| 68 | 6% | 41% | Median |
| 69 | 7% | 36% | |
| 70 | 11% | 28% | |
| 71 | 7% | 17% | |
| 72 | 2% | 10% | |
| 73 | 4% | 8% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 48 | 2% | 96% | |
| 49 | 7% | 94% | |
| 50 | 7% | 87% | |
| 51 | 8% | 80% | Majority |
| 52 | 9% | 71% | |
| 53 | 21% | 63% | |
| 54 | 25% | 41% | Median |
| 55 | 6% | 16% | |
| 56 | 3% | 10% | |
| 57 | 5% | 7% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 5% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 93% | |
| 45 | 6% | 90% | |
| 46 | 25% | 84% | |
| 47 | 21% | 59% | |
| 48 | 9% | 37% | Median |
| 49 | 8% | 29% | |
| 50 | 7% | 20% | |
| 51 | 7% | 13% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 8% | 98% | |
| 44 | 3% | 89% | |
| 45 | 5% | 86% | |
| 46 | 7% | 81% | |
| 47 | 15% | 74% | |
| 48 | 9% | 59% | |
| 49 | 6% | 50% | Median |
| 50 | 26% | 44% | |
| 51 | 8% | 18% | Majority |
| 52 | 2% | 9% | |
| 53 | 6% | 7% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 4% | 98% | |
| 43 | 7% | 94% | |
| 44 | 3% | 87% | |
| 45 | 13% | 84% | |
| 46 | 13% | 71% | |
| 47 | 26% | 58% | Median |
| 48 | 4% | 32% | |
| 49 | 6% | 28% | |
| 50 | 7% | 23% | |
| 51 | 7% | 15% | Majority |
| 52 | 3% | 9% | |
| 53 | 4% | 6% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 40 | 3% | 96% | |
| 41 | 5% | 94% | |
| 42 | 4% | 89% | |
| 43 | 12% | 85% | |
| 44 | 9% | 73% | |
| 45 | 37% | 64% | |
| 46 | 9% | 27% | Median |
| 47 | 4% | 18% | |
| 48 | 6% | 14% | |
| 49 | 5% | 8% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 1.2% | Majority |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 2% | 96% | |
| 37 | 2% | 94% | |
| 38 | 4% | 92% | |
| 39 | 6% | 88% | |
| 40 | 11% | 82% | |
| 41 | 6% | 72% | |
| 42 | 10% | 65% | |
| 43 | 26% | 55% | Median |
| 44 | 10% | 29% | |
| 45 | 12% | 19% | |
| 46 | 4% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 36 | 8% | 94% | |
| 37 | 9% | 86% | |
| 38 | 38% | 77% | Last Result |
| 39 | 3% | 39% | Median |
| 40 | 6% | 36% | |
| 41 | 5% | 29% | |
| 42 | 10% | 24% | |
| 43 | 7% | 15% | |
| 44 | 2% | 8% | |
| 45 | 5% | 6% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 4% | 96% | |
| 35 | 14% | 91% | |
| 36 | 16% | 77% | |
| 37 | 7% | 61% | |
| 38 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 39 | 25% | 47% | |
| 40 | 13% | 22% | |
| 41 | 6% | 8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98% | |
| 32 | 4% | 96% | |
| 33 | 2% | 92% | |
| 34 | 11% | 89% | |
| 35 | 5% | 78% | |
| 36 | 27% | 73% | Median |
| 37 | 13% | 46% | |
| 38 | 12% | 32% | Last Result |
| 39 | 5% | 21% | |
| 40 | 10% | 16% | |
| 41 | 2% | 6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 4% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 27 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 29 | 2% | 96% | |
| 30 | 3% | 93% | |
| 31 | 6% | 90% | |
| 32 | 11% | 83% | |
| 33 | 4% | 72% | |
| 34 | 26% | 68% | |
| 35 | 11% | 42% | Median |
| 36 | 12% | 31% | |
| 37 | 12% | 20% | |
| 38 | 4% | 8% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98% | |
| 27 | 4% | 95% | |
| 28 | 2% | 92% | |
| 29 | 7% | 90% | |
| 30 | 11% | 83% | |
| 31 | 7% | 72% | |
| 32 | 6% | 64% | |
| 33 | 12% | 59% | |
| 34 | 31% | 47% | Median |
| 35 | 5% | 16% | |
| 36 | 4% | 10% | |
| 37 | 4% | 6% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): Delfi
- Fieldwork period: 8 August–12 September 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 684
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.46%