Opinion Poll by SKDS for Latvijas Televīzija, 8–18 September 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 23.0% | 27.8% | 25.6–30.2% | 25.0–30.9% | 24.4–31.5% | 23.4–32.7% |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 19.5% | 15.2% | 13.5–17.2% | 13.0–17.8% | 12.6–18.3% | 11.8–19.2% |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 16.6% | 11.2% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.3–13.5% | 8.9–13.9% | 8.2–14.8% |
| KPV LV | 0.0% | 10.0% | 8.6–11.8% | 8.2–12.2% | 7.9–12.7% | 7.3–13.5% |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0.7% | 8.4% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.5% | 6.5–10.9% | 5.9–11.7% |
| Attīstībai–Par! | 0.9% | 8.1% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.5–10.1% | 6.2–10.5% | 5.6–11.3% |
| Vienotība | 21.9% | 6.1% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.8–8.0% | 4.5–8.3% | 4.0–9.1% |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.5–5.0% | 2.4–5.3% | 2.0–5.9% |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.1% | 1.7–4.4% | 1.4–4.9% |
| No sirds Latvijai | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.7% | 1.5–4.0% | 1.2–4.5% |
| Progresīvie | 0.0% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% | 0.9–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” | 24 | 32 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība | 21 | 18 | 16–20 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 15–24 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” | 17 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–18 |
| KPV LV | 0 | 12 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 |
| Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 0 | 10 | 8–11 | 7–13 | 7–13 | 7–14 |
| Attīstībai–Par! | 0 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| Vienotība | 23 | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| Latvijas Reģionu apvienība | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Latvijas Krievu savienība | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| No sirds Latvijai | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Progresīvie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 8% | 98.6% | |
| 28 | 4% | 90% | |
| 29 | 7% | 86% | |
| 30 | 14% | 80% | |
| 31 | 12% | 66% | |
| 32 | 22% | 54% | Median |
| 33 | 16% | 32% | |
| 34 | 10% | 16% | |
| 35 | 3% | 6% | |
| 36 | 3% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 8% | 96% | |
| 17 | 25% | 88% | |
| 18 | 22% | 63% | Median |
| 19 | 16% | 41% | |
| 20 | 15% | 25% | |
| 21 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 22 | 4% | 6% | |
| 23 | 2% | 3% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 5% | 98% | |
| 11 | 8% | 93% | |
| 12 | 24% | 85% | |
| 13 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 14 | 24% | 46% | |
| 15 | 20% | 22% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
KPV LV
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the KPV LV page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 16% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 22% | 83% | |
| 11 | 10% | 61% | |
| 12 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 15% | 40% | |
| 14 | 22% | 25% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Jaunā konservatīvā partija
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Jaunā konservatīvā partija page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 23% | 93% | |
| 9 | 10% | 70% | |
| 10 | 31% | 60% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 29% | |
| 12 | 2% | 9% | |
| 13 | 5% | 7% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Attīstībai–Par!
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Attīstībai–Par! page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 9% | 100% | |
| 8 | 32% | 91% | |
| 9 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 10 | 23% | 43% | |
| 11 | 11% | 20% | |
| 12 | 7% | 9% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Vienotība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vienotība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 81% | |
| 2 | 0% | 81% | |
| 3 | 0% | 81% | |
| 4 | 0% | 81% | |
| 5 | 0% | 81% | |
| 6 | 0% | 81% | |
| 7 | 52% | 81% | Median |
| 8 | 20% | 29% | |
| 9 | 5% | 9% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Latvijas Reģionu apvienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Reģionu apvienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 7 | 8% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Latvijas Krievu savienība
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Latvijas Krievu savienība page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
No sirds Latvijai
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the No sirds Latvijai page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.8% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Progresīvie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresīvie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – KPV LV | 45 | 61 | 100% | 56–66 | 55–66 | 55–68 | 54–69 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība | 61 | 56 | 98.9% | 53–60 | 52–61 | 51–62 | 50–63 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! | 38 | 50 | 45% | 46–54 | 46–56 | 45–56 | 43–59 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! | 24 | 51 | 51% | 46–54 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 43–57 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība | 61 | 47 | 12% | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 40–54 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība | 61 | 46 | 12% | 44–51 | 42–52 | 42–52 | 40–54 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV | 24 | 43 | 0.2% | 39–47 | 37–48 | 37–48 | 37–50 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! | 38 | 40 | 0% | 37–45 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 33–48 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija | 38 | 41 | 0% | 37–45 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 34–48 |
| Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai–Par! | 24 | 41 | 0% | 37–44 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 34–48 |
| Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība | 40 | 38 | 0% | 34–42 | 33–43 | 32–45 | 31–46 |
| Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība | 61 | 38 | 0% | 34–41 | 33–42 | 31–43 | 30–44 |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 7% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 92% | |
| 57 | 3% | 89% | |
| 58 | 5% | 86% | |
| 59 | 9% | 81% | |
| 60 | 8% | 72% | |
| 61 | 19% | 64% | |
| 62 | 9% | 45% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 36% | |
| 64 | 7% | 25% | |
| 65 | 6% | 18% | |
| 66 | 7% | 12% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.9% | Majority |
| 52 | 4% | 97% | |
| 53 | 7% | 93% | |
| 54 | 12% | 86% | |
| 55 | 9% | 74% | |
| 56 | 21% | 65% | |
| 57 | 12% | 45% | Median |
| 58 | 9% | 32% | |
| 59 | 9% | 23% | |
| 60 | 6% | 14% | |
| 61 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 9% | 96% | |
| 47 | 7% | 87% | |
| 48 | 7% | 80% | |
| 49 | 20% | 73% | |
| 50 | 7% | 52% | Median |
| 51 | 9% | 45% | Majority |
| 52 | 9% | 36% | |
| 53 | 6% | 27% | |
| 54 | 11% | 21% | |
| 55 | 3% | 10% | |
| 56 | 5% | 7% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 6% | 95% | |
| 47 | 5% | 89% | |
| 48 | 11% | 84% | |
| 49 | 11% | 73% | |
| 50 | 11% | 62% | |
| 51 | 21% | 51% | Median, Majority |
| 52 | 14% | 31% | |
| 53 | 6% | 17% | |
| 54 | 3% | 12% | |
| 55 | 6% | 9% | |
| 56 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 43 | 3% | 97% | |
| 44 | 9% | 93% | |
| 45 | 16% | 84% | |
| 46 | 8% | 68% | |
| 47 | 13% | 60% | |
| 48 | 14% | 47% | Median |
| 49 | 14% | 32% | |
| 50 | 7% | 19% | |
| 51 | 6% | 12% | Majority |
| 52 | 3% | 6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 3% | 98% | |
| 43 | 3% | 95% | |
| 44 | 13% | 92% | |
| 45 | 11% | 79% | |
| 46 | 22% | 67% | |
| 47 | 10% | 45% | Median |
| 48 | 11% | 35% | |
| 49 | 8% | 25% | |
| 50 | 4% | 17% | |
| 51 | 7% | 12% | Majority |
| 52 | 3% | 5% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – KPV LV
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 4% | 95% | |
| 39 | 4% | 91% | |
| 40 | 8% | 86% | |
| 41 | 10% | 79% | |
| 42 | 10% | 69% | |
| 43 | 12% | 59% | |
| 44 | 17% | 47% | Median |
| 45 | 8% | 30% | |
| 46 | 11% | 22% | |
| 47 | 5% | 11% | |
| 48 | 3% | 6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 9% | 95% | |
| 38 | 11% | 87% | Last Result |
| 39 | 18% | 76% | |
| 40 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 41 | 10% | 46% | |
| 42 | 8% | 36% | |
| 43 | 5% | 28% | |
| 44 | 13% | 23% | |
| 45 | 7% | 10% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 7% | 95% | |
| 38 | 8% | 88% | Last Result |
| 39 | 7% | 80% | |
| 40 | 15% | 73% | |
| 41 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 42 | 8% | 40% | |
| 43 | 7% | 33% | |
| 44 | 12% | 25% | |
| 45 | 9% | 13% | |
| 46 | 3% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” – Attīstībai–Par!
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 36 | 5% | 97% | |
| 37 | 5% | 92% | |
| 38 | 11% | 87% | |
| 39 | 8% | 76% | |
| 40 | 8% | 68% | |
| 41 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 42 | 17% | 36% | |
| 43 | 6% | 19% | |
| 44 | 9% | 13% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Jaunā konservatīvā partija – Attīstībai–Par! – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 33 | 2% | 96% | |
| 34 | 7% | 94% | |
| 35 | 6% | 87% | |
| 36 | 9% | 81% | |
| 37 | 12% | 72% | |
| 38 | 14% | 60% | |
| 39 | 19% | 46% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 27% | Last Result |
| 41 | 9% | 19% | |
| 42 | 4% | 11% | |
| 43 | 2% | 7% | |
| 44 | 2% | 5% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Zaļo un Zemnieku savienība – Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK” – Vienotība
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 33 | 5% | 96% | |
| 34 | 5% | 91% | |
| 35 | 8% | 86% | |
| 36 | 11% | 77% | |
| 37 | 16% | 67% | |
| 38 | 20% | 51% | Median |
| 39 | 9% | 31% | |
| 40 | 7% | 22% | |
| 41 | 7% | 16% | |
| 42 | 5% | 9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SKDS
- Commissioner(s): Latvijas Televīzija
- Fieldwork period: 8–18 September 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 618
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.54%