Opinion Poll by Spinter tyrimai for Delfi, 18–29 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 0.0% 16.3% 14.8–17.8% 14.4–18.3% 14.1–18.7% 13.4–19.4%
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0.0% 15.9% 14.5–17.4% 14.1–17.9% 13.7–18.2% 13.1–19.0%
Nemuno aušra (NI) 0.0% 13.0% 11.7–14.4% 11.4–14.8% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–15.9%
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 12.3% 11.1–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.5% 9.8–15.2%
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) 0.0% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 9.9–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) 0.0% 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.7%
Laisvės partija (RE) 0.0% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.3% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2 1–2
Nemuno aušra (NI) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Laisvės partija (RE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 99.7% 99.7% Median
3 0% 0%  

Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.1% 100%  
2 98.9% 98.9% Median
3 0% 0%  

Nemuno aušra (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nemuno aušra (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 44% 100%  
2 56% 56% Median
3 0% 0%  

Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratų sąjunga „Vardan Lietuvos“ (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 73% 100% Median
2 27% 27%  
3 0% 0%  

Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalų Sąjūdis (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 83% 100% Median
2 17% 17%  
3 0% 0%  

Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 100% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Laisvės partija (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Laisvės partija (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nacionalinis Susivienijimas (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 1–2

Tėvynės sąjunga–Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.1% 100%  
2 98.9% 98.9% Median
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations