Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei
Voting Intentions
Last result: 8.3% (General Election of 14 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.9% | 6.2–7.7% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.5–8.5% |
| 7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
6.9% | 6.2–7.7% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.5–8.5% |
| 23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
7.5% | 6.8–8.3% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.4–8.8% | 6.0–9.2% |
| 14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
7.7% | 7.0–8.6% | 6.8–8.8% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.2–9.5% |
| 24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
10.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 26% | 99.4% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 59% | 74% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 14% | 15% | Last Result |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 4 seats (General Election of 14 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| 7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| 23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 51% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 49% | |
| 4 | 30% | 31% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |