Opinion Poll by Ilres for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 7–16 August 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 28.3% 28.3% 27.0–29.7% 26.6–30.0% 26.3–30.4% 25.7–31.0%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 17.6% 19.8% 18.7–21.0% 18.4–21.4% 18.1–21.7% 17.5–22.3%
Demokratesch Partei 16.9% 17.4% 16.3–18.5% 16.0–18.9% 15.7–19.2% 15.2–19.7%
déi gréng 15.1% 10.7% 9.8–11.7% 9.6–11.9% 9.4–12.2% 9.0–12.7%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 6.4% 9.6% 8.8–10.5% 8.5–10.8% 8.3–11.0% 8.0–11.5%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 8.3% 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.8–8.1% 5.5–8.5%
déi Lénk 5.5% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.4%
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg 1.3% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 19 17–21 17–21 17–22 17–22
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 10 12 11–13 11–13 10–13 9–13
Demokratesch Partei 12 13 11–13 10–13 9–13 9–14
déi gréng 9 6 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–8
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 2 5 4–7 4–7 4–7 4–7
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 4 2 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–5
déi Lénk 2 2 2 2 2 1–2
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg 0 0 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 14% 100%  
18 12% 86%  
19 44% 74% Median
20 18% 30%  
21 9% 12% Last Result
22 3% 4%  
23 0.4% 0.4%  
24 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.6% 100%  
10 2% 99.4% Last Result
11 12% 97%  
12 54% 85% Median
13 31% 31%  
14 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 3% 100%  
10 5% 97%  
11 7% 91%  
12 15% 84% Last Result
13 68% 69% Median
14 0.6% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%  

déi gréng

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.1% 100%  
5 10% 98.9%  
6 62% 89% Median
7 14% 27%  
8 13% 13%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 20% 100%  
5 51% 80% Median
6 8% 29%  
7 21% 21%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 51% 100% Median
3 18% 49%  
4 30% 31% Last Result
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

déi Lénk

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 99.4% 99.5% Last Result, Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei 33 32 76% 30–33 29–34 29–34 28–35
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 31 31 69% 29–33 29–34 29–34 28–35
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei – Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng 31 31 58% 29–32 29–33 28–33 27–34
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 19 0% 17–21 17–21 17–22 17–22

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 2% 99.7%  
29 5% 98%  
30 18% 94%  
31 20% 76% Majority
32 38% 56% Median
33 13% 18% Last Result
34 4% 5%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 2% 100%  
29 8% 98%  
30 21% 90%  
31 29% 69% Last Result, Median, Majority
32 23% 40%  
33 10% 17%  
34 6% 7%  
35 0.6% 0.6%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei – Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 1.3% 99.8%  
28 2% 98.6%  
29 6% 96%  
30 32% 90%  
31 25% 58% Last Result, Median, Majority
32 26% 33%  
33 5% 7%  
34 2% 2%  
35 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 14% 100%  
18 12% 86%  
19 44% 74% Median
20 18% 30%  
21 9% 12% Last Result
22 3% 4%  
23 0.4% 0.4%  
24 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations