Opinion Poll by TNS Ilres for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 23 March–6 April 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 28.3% 27.1% 25.8–28.5% 25.5–28.8% 25.1–29.2% 24.5–29.8%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 17.6% 17.9% 16.8–19.1% 16.5–19.4% 16.2–19.7% 15.7–20.3%
Demokratesch Partei 16.9% 17.1% 16.0–18.2% 15.7–18.6% 15.4–18.9% 14.9–19.4%
déi gréng 15.1% 12.8% 11.8–13.8% 11.6–14.1% 11.3–14.4% 10.9–14.9%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 6.4% 10.0% 9.2–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.4–11.9%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 8.3% 7.5% 6.8–8.3% 6.5–8.6% 6.4–8.8% 6.0–9.2%
déi Lénk 5.5% 4.3% 3.7–5.0% 3.6–5.2% 3.5–5.3% 3.2–5.7%
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg 1.3% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 18 17–20 17–20 17–21 17–21
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 10 10 9–12 9–12 9–12 9–12
Demokratesch Partei 12 13 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–14
déi gréng 9 8 8 8 7–8 6–9
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 2 5 5–7 5–7 4–7 4–7
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 4 4 2–4 2–4 2–5 2–5
déi Lénk 2 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg 0 0 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 40% 99.9%  
18 22% 60% Median
19 27% 37%  
20 8% 11%  
21 3% 3% Last Result
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 39% 100%  
10 15% 61% Last Result, Median
11 22% 46%  
12 23% 23%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 5% 100%  
10 6% 95%  
11 8% 89%  
12 16% 82% Last Result
13 66% 66% Median
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  

déi gréng

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 1.4% 100%  
7 3% 98.6%  
8 95% 96% Median
9 0.7% 1.0% Last Result
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 5% 100%  
5 46% 95% Median
6 16% 49%  
7 33% 33%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 13% 100%  
3 10% 87%  
4 74% 77% Last Result, Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

déi Lénk

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 10% 98%  
2 88% 88% Last Result, Median
3 0% 0%  

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei 33 30 44% 29–32 28–32 28–33 27–33
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei – Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng 31 30 48% 29–32 28–33 28–33 26–33
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 31 28 11% 27–31 26–31 26–32 26–32
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 18 0% 17–20 17–20 17–21 17–21

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.4% 100%  
27 2% 99.6%  
28 5% 98%  
29 10% 93%  
30 39% 83%  
31 21% 44% Median, Majority
32 19% 23%  
33 3% 3% Last Result
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei – Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.6% 100%  
27 2% 99.4%  
28 3% 98%  
29 11% 95%  
30 36% 84%  
31 19% 48% Last Result, Median, Majority
32 23% 29%  
33 5% 5%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 9% 100%  
27 13% 91%  
28 40% 78% Median
29 19% 38%  
30 9% 19%  
31 7% 11% Last Result, Majority
32 3% 3%  
33 0.3% 0.3%  
34 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 40% 99.9%  
18 22% 60% Median
19 27% 37%  
20 8% 11%  
21 3% 3% Last Result
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations