Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) CSV LSAP DP DG ADR DL PPLU KPL PID
14 October 2018 General Election 28.3%
21
17.6%
10
16.9%
12
15.1%
9
8.3%
4
5.5%
2
6.4%
2
1.3%
0
0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average 26–30%
17–22
18–22%
10–13
16–19%
9–13
9–12%
5–8
6–8%
2–4
4–6%
2
8–11%
4–7
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
7–16 August 2023 Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
26–30%
17–22
18–22%
10–13
16–19%
9–13
9–12%
5–8
6–8%
2–4
4–6%
2
8–11%
4–7
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
14 October 2018 General Election 28.3%
21
17.6%
10
16.9%
12
15.1%
9
8.3%
4
5.5%
2
6.4%
2
1.3%
0
0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 28.3% 28.3% 27.0–29.7% 26.6–30.0% 26.3–30.4% 25.7–31.0%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 17.6% 19.8% 18.7–21.0% 18.4–21.4% 18.1–21.7% 17.6–22.3%
Demokratesch Partei 16.9% 17.4% 16.3–18.5% 16.0–18.9% 15.7–19.2% 15.2–19.7%
déi gréng 15.1% 10.7% 9.8–11.7% 9.6–11.9% 9.4–12.2% 9.0–12.7%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 8.3% 6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.8–8.1% 5.5–8.5%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 6.4% 9.6% 8.8–10.5% 8.5–10.8% 8.3–11.0% 8.0–11.5%
déi Lénk 5.5% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.4%
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg 1.3% 0.5% 0.3–0.7% 0.3–0.8% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–1.0%
Partei fir Integral Demokratie 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0.3% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 4% 99.7%  
26.5–27.5% 19% 96%  
27.5–28.5% 36% 77% Last Result, Median
28.5–29.5% 29% 41%  
29.5–30.5% 10% 12%  
30.5–31.5% 2% 2%  
31.5–32.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
32.5–33.5% 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0.5% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 7% 99.5% Last Result
18.5–19.5% 30% 92%  
19.5–20.5% 40% 62% Median
20.5–21.5% 19% 22%  
21.5–22.5% 3% 3%  
22.5–23.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 1.4% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 15% 98.6%  
16.5–17.5% 40% 84% Last Result, Median
17.5–18.5% 34% 44%  
18.5–19.5% 9% 10%  
19.5–20.5% 0.8% 0.8%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 0%  

déi gréng

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7.5–8.5% 0.1% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 4% 99.9%  
9.5–10.5% 35% 96%  
10.5–11.5% 47% 60% Median
11.5–12.5% 12% 13%  
12.5–13.5% 0.7% 0.8%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.6% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 26% 99.4%  
6.5–7.5% 59% 74% Median
7.5–8.5% 14% 15% Last Result
8.5–9.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5.5–6.5% 0% 100% Last Result
6.5–7.5% 0.1% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 5% 99.9%  
8.5–9.5% 41% 95%  
9.5–10.5% 45% 54% Median
10.5–11.5% 9% 9%  
11.5–12.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  

déi Lénk

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2.5–3.5% 0.1% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 17% 99.9%  
4.5–5.5% 67% 83% Last Result, Median
5.5–6.5% 15% 15%  
6.5–7.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 71% 100% Median
0.5–1.5% 29% 29% Last Result
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 19 17–21 17–21 17–22 17–22
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 10 12 11–13 11–13 10–13 9–13
Demokratesch Partei 12 13 11–13 10–13 9–13 9–14
déi gréng 9 6 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–8
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 4 2 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–5
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 2 5 4–7 4–7 4–7 4–7
déi Lénk 2 2 2 2 2 1–2
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partei fir Integral Demokratie 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 14% 100%  
18 12% 86%  
19 44% 74% Median
20 18% 30%  
21 9% 12% Last Result
22 3% 4%  
23 0.4% 0.4%  
24 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.6% 100%  
10 2% 99.4% Last Result
11 12% 97%  
12 54% 85% Median
13 31% 31%  
14 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 3% 100%  
10 5% 97%  
11 7% 91%  
12 15% 84% Last Result
13 68% 69% Median
14 0.6% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%  

déi gréng

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.1% 100%  
5 10% 98.9%  
6 62% 89% Median
7 14% 27%  
8 13% 13%  
9 0% 0% Last Result

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 51% 100% Median
3 18% 49%  
4 30% 31% Last Result
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 20% 100%  
5 51% 80% Median
6 8% 29%  
7 21% 21%  
8 0% 0%  

déi Lénk

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.5% 100%  
2 99.4% 99.5% Last Result, Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partei fir Integral Demokratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partei fir Integral Demokratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei 33 32 76% 30–33 29–34 29–34 28–35
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 31 31 69% 29–33 29–34 29–34 28–35
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei – Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng 31 31 58% 29–32 29–33 28–33 27–34
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 19 0% 17–21 17–21 17–22 17–22

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.2% 100%  
28 2% 99.7%  
29 5% 98%  
30 18% 94%  
31 20% 76% Majority
32 38% 56% Median
33 13% 18% Last Result
34 4% 5%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 2% 100%  
29 8% 98%  
30 21% 90%  
31 29% 69% Last Result, Median, Majority
32 23% 40%  
33 10% 17%  
34 6% 7%  
35 0.6% 0.6%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei – Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 1.3% 99.8%  
28 2% 98.6%  
29 6% 96%  
30 32% 90%  
31 25% 58% Last Result, Median, Majority
32 26% 33%  
33 5% 7%  
34 2% 2%  
35 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 14% 100%  
18 12% 86%  
19 44% 74% Median
20 18% 30%  
21 9% 12% Last Result
22 3% 4%  
23 0.4% 0.4%  
24 0% 0%  

Technical Information