Opinion Poll by TNS Ilres for Luxemburger Wort and RTL, 14–28 November 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 28.3% 23.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.7–25.0% 21.4–25.3% 20.8–25.9%
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 17.6% 20.7% 19.5–22.0% 19.2–22.3% 18.9–22.6% 18.4–23.2%
Demokratesch Partei 16.9% 18.4% 17.3–19.6% 16.9–19.9% 16.7–20.2% 16.1–20.8%
déi gréng 15.1% 12.1% 11.2–13.2% 10.9–13.4% 10.7–13.7% 10.3–14.2%
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 6.4% 9.6% 8.8–10.6% 8.6–10.8% 8.4–11.1% 8.0–11.5%
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 8.3% 7.7% 7.0–8.6% 6.8–8.8% 6.6–9.0% 6.2–9.5%
déi Lénk 5.5% 5.8% 5.2–6.6% 5.0–6.8% 4.8–7.0% 4.5–7.4%
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg 1.3% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.2–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 16 14–17 14–17 14–17 14–17
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 10 13 12–13 11–13 11–13 11–14
Demokratesch Partei 12 13 12–14 12–14 11–14 10–14
déi gréng 9 8 7–8 6–8 6–8 5–8
Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg 2 5 5–7 4–7 4–7 4–7
Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei 4 4 2–4 2–5 2–5 2–5
déi Lénk 2 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg 0 0 0 0 0 0

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 24% 100%  
15 26% 76%  
16 17% 50% Median
17 33% 33%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100% Last Result
11 9% 99.7%  
12 32% 90%  
13 58% 59% Median
14 0.5% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Demokratesch Partei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratesch Partei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9%  
11 2% 99.3%  
12 11% 97% Last Result
13 73% 87% Median
14 13% 14%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

déi gréng

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi gréng page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.5% 100%  
6 5% 99.5%  
7 14% 94%  
8 80% 80% Median
9 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
10 0% 0%  

Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratepartei Lëtzebuerg page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 8% 100%  
5 59% 92% Median
6 15% 33%  
7 19% 19%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 10% 100%  
3 17% 90%  
4 63% 72% Last Result, Median
5 9% 9%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

déi Lénk

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the déi Lénk page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 95% 100% Last Result, Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kommunistesch Partei Lëtzebuerg page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei – Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng 31 33 98% 32–34 32–35 31–35 30–35
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei 33 28 1.2% 27–30 27–30 27–30 27–31
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei 31 28 0.2% 27–30 26–30 26–30 26–30
Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei 21 16 0% 14–17 14–17 14–17 14–17

Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei – Demokratesch Partei – déi gréng

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 2% 100%  
31 3% 98% Last Result, Majority
32 20% 95%  
33 32% 76%  
34 36% 43% Median
35 8% 8%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Demokratesch Partei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.4% 99.9%  
27 19% 99.5%  
28 31% 80%  
29 23% 50% Median
30 25% 26%  
31 1.2% 1.2% Majority
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0% Last Result

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei – Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 8% 100%  
27 24% 92%  
28 31% 68%  
29 26% 37% Median
30 11% 11%  
31 0.2% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
32 0% 0%  

Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 24% 100%  
15 26% 76%  
16 17% 50% Median
17 33% 33%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations