Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei
Voting Intentions
Last result: 28.3% (General Election of 14 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 28.3% | 27.0–29.7% | 26.6–30.0% | 26.3–30.4% | 25.7–31.0% |
| 7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
28.3% | 27.0–29.7% | 26.6–30.0% | 26.3–30.4% | 25.7–31.0% |
| 23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
27.1% | 25.8–28.5% | 25.5–28.8% | 25.1–29.2% | 24.5–29.8% |
| 14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
23.3% | 22.0–24.6% | 21.7–25.0% | 21.4–25.3% | 20.8–25.9% |
| 24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
24.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
25.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
27.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 19% | 96% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 36% | 77% | Last Result, Median |
| 28.5–29.5% | 29% | 41% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 10% | 12% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 21 seats (General Election of 14 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 |
| 7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 |
| 23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 |
| 14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 |
| 24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Chrëschtlech-Sozial Vollekspartei.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 14% | 100% | |
| 18 | 12% | 86% | |
| 19 | 44% | 74% | Median |
| 20 | 18% | 30% | |
| 21 | 9% | 12% | Last Result |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |