déi Lénk
Voting Intentions
Last result: 5.5% (General Election of 14 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% |
| 7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% |
| 23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% |
| 14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
5.8% | 5.2–6.6% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.5–7.4% |
| 24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
5.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
5.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for déi Lénk.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 17% | 99.9% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 67% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 15% | 15% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 2 seats (General Election of 14 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for déi Lénk.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 99.4% | 99.5% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |