Demokratesch Partei

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 16.9% (General Election of 14 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 17.4% 16.3–18.5% 16.0–18.9% 15.7–19.2% 15.2–19.7%
7–16 August 2023 Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
17.4% 16.3–18.5% 16.0–18.9% 15.7–19.2% 15.2–19.7%
23 March–6 April 2023 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
17.1% 16.0–18.2% 15.7–18.6% 15.4–18.9% 14.9–19.4%
14–28 November 2022 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
18.4% 17.3–19.6% 16.9–19.9% 16.7–20.2% 16.1–20.8%
24 May–7 June 2022 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
18.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–24 November 2021 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
16.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–21 June 2021 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
19.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–24 November 2020 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
19.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–24 June 2020 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
20.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–23 November 2019 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
16.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Demokratesch Partei.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 1.4% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 15% 98.6%  
16.5–17.5% 40% 84% Last Result, Median
17.5–18.5% 34% 44%  
18.5–19.5% 9% 10%  
19.5–20.5% 0.8% 0.8%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 12 seats (General Election of 14 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 13 11–13 10–13 9–13 9–14
7–16 August 2023 Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
13 11–13 10–13 9–13 9–14
23 March–6 April 2023 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
13 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–14
14–28 November 2022 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
13 12–14 12–14 11–14 10–14
24 May–7 June 2022 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         
10–24 November 2021 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         
9–21 June 2021 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         
10–24 November 2020 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         
8–24 June 2020 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         
14–23 November 2019 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Demokratesch Partei.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 3% 100%  
10 5% 97%  
11 7% 91%  
12 15% 84% Last Result
13 68% 69% Median
14 0.6% 0.6%  
15 0% 0%