Demokratesch Partei
Voting Intentions
Last result: 16.9% (General Election of 14 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 17.4% | 16.3–18.5% | 16.0–18.9% | 15.7–19.2% | 15.2–19.7% |
7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
17.4% | 16.3–18.5% | 16.0–18.9% | 15.7–19.2% | 15.2–19.7% |
23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
17.1% | 16.0–18.2% | 15.7–18.6% | 15.4–18.9% | 14.9–19.4% |
14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
18.4% | 17.3–19.6% | 16.9–19.9% | 16.7–20.2% | 16.1–20.8% |
24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
18.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
16.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
19.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
19.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
20.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
16.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Demokratesch Partei.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 1.4% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 15% | 98.6% | |
16.5–17.5% | 40% | 84% | Last Result, Median |
17.5–18.5% | 34% | 44% | |
18.5–19.5% | 9% | 10% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 12 seats (General Election of 14 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 |
24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Demokratesch Partei.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
9 | 3% | 100% | |
10 | 5% | 97% | |
11 | 7% | 91% | |
12 | 15% | 84% | Last Result |
13 | 68% | 69% | Median |
14 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
15 | 0% | 0% |