déi gréng

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 15.1% (General Election of 14 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 10.7% 9.8–11.7% 9.6–11.9% 9.4–12.2% 9.0–12.7%
7–16 August 2023 Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
10.7% 9.8–11.7% 9.6–11.9% 9.4–12.2% 9.0–12.7%
23 March–6 April 2023 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
12.8% 11.8–13.8% 11.6–14.1% 11.3–14.4% 10.9–14.9%
14–28 November 2022 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
12.1% 11.2–13.2% 10.9–13.4% 10.7–13.7% 10.3–14.2%
24 May–7 June 2022 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
13.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–24 November 2021 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
12.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–21 June 2021 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
13.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–24 November 2020 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–24 June 2020 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
13.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–23 November 2019 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
15.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for déi gréng.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7.5–8.5% 0.1% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 4% 99.9%  
9.5–10.5% 35% 96%  
10.5–11.5% 47% 60% Median
11.5–12.5% 12% 13%  
12.5–13.5% 0.7% 0.8%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Seats

Last result: 9 seats (General Election of 14 October 2018)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 6 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–8
7–16 August 2023 Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
6 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–8
23 March–6 April 2023 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
8 8 8 7–8 6–9
14–28 November 2022 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
8 7–8 6–8 6–8 5–8
24 May–7 June 2022 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         
10–24 November 2021 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         
9–21 June 2021 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         
10–24 November 2020 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         
8–24 June 2020 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         
14–23 November 2019 TNS Ilres
Luxemburger Wort and RTL
         

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for déi gréng.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.1% 100%  
5 10% 98.9%  
6 62% 89% Median
7 14% 27%  
8 13% 13%  
9 0% 0% Last Result