Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei
Voting Intentions
Last result: 17.6% (General Election of 14 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19.8% | 18.7–21.0% | 18.4–21.4% | 18.1–21.7% | 17.6–22.3% |
| 7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
19.8% | 18.7–21.0% | 18.4–21.4% | 18.1–21.7% | 17.5–22.3% |
| 23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
17.9% | 16.8–19.1% | 16.5–19.4% | 16.2–19.7% | 15.7–20.3% |
| 14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
20.7% | 19.5–22.0% | 19.2–22.3% | 18.9–22.6% | 18.4–23.2% |
| 24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
20.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
17.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
19.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
16.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 7% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 18.5–19.5% | 30% | 92% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 40% | 62% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 19% | 22% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 10 seats (General Election of 14 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 |
| 7–16 August 2023 | Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 |
| 23 March–6 April 2023 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
| 14–28 November 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
13 | 12–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 |
| 24 May–7 June 2022 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 10–24 November 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 9–21 June 2021 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 10–24 November 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 8–24 June 2020 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
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| 14–23 November 2019 | TNS Ilres Luxemburger Wort and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Aarbechterpartei.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 11 | 12% | 97% | |
| 12 | 54% | 85% | Median |
| 13 | 31% | 31% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |