Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco, 6–12 March 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
25.0% |
27.3% |
25.2–29.6% |
24.6–30.2% |
24.1–30.8% |
23.1–31.9% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.4% |
21.4–25.5% |
20.8–26.1% |
20.3–26.7% |
19.4–27.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
14.5% |
12.8–16.3% |
12.4–16.8% |
12.0–17.3% |
11.3–18.2% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
10.9% |
9.5–12.6% |
9.2–13.1% |
8.8–13.5% |
8.2–14.4% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
6.9% |
5.8–8.3% |
5.5–8.7% |
5.2–9.0% |
4.7–9.7% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.7% |
3.8–5.9% |
3.5–6.2% |
3.3–6.5% |
2.9–7.1% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.5% |
3.7–5.7% |
3.4–6.1% |
3.2–6.4% |
2.8–7.0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.5–5.3% |
2.2–5.9% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–4.8% |
1.8–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
42 |
2% |
98% |
|
43 |
4% |
97% |
|
44 |
9% |
93% |
|
45 |
8% |
84% |
Last Result |
46 |
15% |
76% |
|
47 |
8% |
61% |
|
48 |
10% |
53% |
Median |
49 |
9% |
43% |
|
50 |
8% |
34% |
|
51 |
10% |
26% |
|
52 |
8% |
16% |
|
53 |
3% |
9% |
|
54 |
2% |
6% |
|
55 |
2% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
2% |
98% |
|
38 |
2% |
97% |
|
39 |
9% |
94% |
|
40 |
12% |
85% |
|
41 |
21% |
73% |
|
42 |
12% |
52% |
Median |
43 |
18% |
40% |
|
44 |
5% |
23% |
|
45 |
10% |
18% |
|
46 |
2% |
8% |
|
47 |
3% |
6% |
|
48 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
2% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
21 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
22 |
5% |
95% |
|
23 |
8% |
91% |
|
24 |
6% |
83% |
|
25 |
16% |
77% |
|
26 |
31% |
61% |
Median |
27 |
12% |
31% |
Last Result |
28 |
8% |
19% |
|
29 |
5% |
11% |
|
30 |
3% |
6% |
|
31 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
16 |
5% |
97% |
|
17 |
17% |
92% |
|
18 |
22% |
75% |
|
19 |
15% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
20 |
13% |
38% |
|
21 |
12% |
25% |
|
22 |
5% |
13% |
|
23 |
5% |
7% |
|
24 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
8% |
98.7% |
|
10 |
17% |
90% |
|
11 |
32% |
73% |
Last Result, Median |
12 |
12% |
41% |
|
13 |
9% |
29% |
|
14 |
6% |
20% |
|
15 |
7% |
14% |
|
16 |
4% |
7% |
|
17 |
2% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
14% |
100% |
|
3 |
1.1% |
85% |
|
4 |
0% |
84% |
|
5 |
0% |
84% |
|
6 |
0% |
84% |
|
7 |
13% |
84% |
|
8 |
29% |
72% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
17% |
43% |
|
10 |
15% |
25% |
|
11 |
6% |
10% |
|
12 |
3% |
4% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
16% |
98.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
83% |
|
4 |
0% |
83% |
|
5 |
0% |
83% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
83% |
|
7 |
17% |
83% |
|
8 |
26% |
66% |
Median |
9 |
15% |
40% |
|
10 |
18% |
25% |
|
11 |
5% |
6% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
1 |
15% |
99.0% |
|
2 |
11% |
84% |
|
3 |
37% |
73% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
36% |
|
5 |
0% |
36% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
36% |
|
7 |
19% |
36% |
|
8 |
13% |
17% |
Last Result |
9 |
3% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
36% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
2 |
34% |
62% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
28% |
|
4 |
0% |
24% |
|
5 |
0% |
23% |
|
6 |
5% |
23% |
|
7 |
11% |
18% |
|
8 |
6% |
8% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
105 |
100% |
100–110 |
98–111 |
98–113 |
95–116 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
89 |
89 |
87% |
83–94 |
82–95 |
80–97 |
78–99 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
86 |
65% |
81–91 |
79–93 |
77–94 |
76–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
83 |
35% |
78–88 |
76–90 |
75–92 |
72–93 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
81 |
22% |
76–87 |
75–89 |
74–90 |
71–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
80 |
14% |
75–85 |
74–87 |
72–89 |
71–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
80 |
13% |
75–86 |
74–87 |
72–89 |
70–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
75 |
2% |
70–81 |
69–83 |
68–84 |
67–88 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
73 |
0.6% |
70–79 |
68–81 |
67–82 |
65–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
72 |
0.3% |
68–78 |
67–80 |
66–81 |
64–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
68 |
0% |
64–73 |
62–75 |
60–77 |
59–80 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
65 |
0% |
61–70 |
59–72 |
58–73 |
57–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
64 |
0% |
59–69 |
58–71 |
56–71 |
53–74 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
60 |
0% |
55–65 |
53–67 |
52–69 |
49–70 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
61 |
0% |
57–65 |
56–67 |
56–68 |
54–71 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
54 |
0% |
50–58 |
49–60 |
48–61 |
46–63 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
31 |
0% |
27–36 |
25–36 |
23–38 |
20–40 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
97 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
98 |
3% |
98% |
|
99 |
2% |
94% |
|
100 |
4% |
93% |
|
101 |
5% |
89% |
|
102 |
12% |
84% |
|
103 |
6% |
72% |
|
104 |
15% |
66% |
Median |
105 |
11% |
51% |
|
106 |
9% |
40% |
|
107 |
10% |
31% |
Last Result |
108 |
5% |
21% |
|
109 |
5% |
16% |
|
110 |
2% |
11% |
|
111 |
5% |
9% |
|
112 |
2% |
5% |
|
113 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
114 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
115 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
117 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
118 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
119 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
98.5% |
|
81 |
2% |
97% |
|
82 |
3% |
96% |
|
83 |
3% |
93% |
|
84 |
3% |
90% |
|
85 |
12% |
87% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
75% |
|
87 |
12% |
71% |
Median |
88 |
7% |
59% |
|
89 |
11% |
51% |
Last Result |
90 |
5% |
41% |
|
91 |
10% |
36% |
|
92 |
5% |
25% |
|
93 |
7% |
20% |
|
94 |
5% |
13% |
|
95 |
4% |
8% |
|
96 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
97 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
78 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
79 |
2% |
96% |
|
80 |
2% |
94% |
|
81 |
6% |
92% |
|
82 |
4% |
86% |
|
83 |
6% |
81% |
|
84 |
11% |
75% |
|
85 |
13% |
65% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
9% |
52% |
|
87 |
13% |
43% |
|
88 |
8% |
30% |
Last Result |
89 |
5% |
22% |
|
90 |
5% |
17% |
|
91 |
4% |
12% |
|
92 |
2% |
8% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
94 |
3% |
5% |
|
95 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
3% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
77 |
2% |
94% |
|
78 |
4% |
92% |
|
79 |
5% |
88% |
|
80 |
5% |
83% |
|
81 |
8% |
78% |
Last Result |
82 |
13% |
70% |
Median |
83 |
9% |
57% |
|
84 |
13% |
48% |
|
85 |
11% |
35% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
25% |
|
87 |
4% |
19% |
|
88 |
6% |
14% |
|
89 |
2% |
8% |
|
90 |
2% |
6% |
|
91 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
92 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
93 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
3% |
98% |
|
75 |
2% |
95% |
|
76 |
3% |
93% |
|
77 |
5% |
90% |
|
78 |
6% |
85% |
|
79 |
5% |
79% |
|
80 |
13% |
73% |
Last Result |
81 |
12% |
60% |
|
82 |
11% |
49% |
Median |
83 |
7% |
38% |
|
84 |
9% |
31% |
|
85 |
5% |
22% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
16% |
|
87 |
3% |
10% |
|
88 |
2% |
8% |
|
89 |
2% |
6% |
|
90 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
91 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
92 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
74 |
4% |
95% |
|
75 |
8% |
92% |
|
76 |
4% |
84% |
|
77 |
9% |
80% |
Median |
78 |
11% |
71% |
|
79 |
9% |
60% |
|
80 |
9% |
52% |
|
81 |
8% |
43% |
|
82 |
10% |
35% |
|
83 |
7% |
26% |
|
84 |
5% |
19% |
|
85 |
5% |
14% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
9% |
|
87 |
3% |
6% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
4% |
Last Result |
89 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
90 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
74 |
4% |
96% |
|
75 |
5% |
92% |
|
76 |
7% |
87% |
|
77 |
5% |
80% |
|
78 |
10% |
75% |
|
79 |
5% |
64% |
|
80 |
11% |
59% |
Last Result, Median |
81 |
7% |
49% |
|
82 |
12% |
41% |
|
83 |
5% |
29% |
|
84 |
12% |
25% |
|
85 |
3% |
13% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
10% |
|
87 |
3% |
7% |
|
88 |
2% |
4% |
|
89 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
69 |
3% |
97% |
|
70 |
5% |
94% |
|
71 |
2% |
89% |
|
72 |
3% |
87% |
|
73 |
8% |
83% |
|
74 |
14% |
75% |
Median |
75 |
12% |
61% |
|
76 |
10% |
49% |
|
77 |
10% |
39% |
|
78 |
9% |
29% |
|
79 |
4% |
19% |
|
80 |
4% |
15% |
Last Result |
81 |
3% |
11% |
|
82 |
3% |
8% |
|
83 |
2% |
6% |
|
84 |
2% |
4% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
68 |
3% |
97% |
|
69 |
3% |
94% |
|
70 |
9% |
91% |
|
71 |
6% |
82% |
|
72 |
15% |
76% |
Last Result |
73 |
13% |
60% |
|
74 |
10% |
47% |
Median |
75 |
7% |
37% |
|
76 |
9% |
31% |
|
77 |
8% |
22% |
|
78 |
3% |
13% |
|
79 |
2% |
11% |
|
80 |
3% |
9% |
|
81 |
3% |
6% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
3% |
97% |
|
68 |
5% |
93% |
|
69 |
10% |
89% |
|
70 |
7% |
79% |
|
71 |
9% |
72% |
|
72 |
14% |
63% |
Median |
73 |
7% |
49% |
|
74 |
12% |
42% |
|
75 |
5% |
29% |
|
76 |
10% |
24% |
|
77 |
5% |
15% |
|
78 |
3% |
10% |
|
79 |
1.5% |
7% |
Last Result |
80 |
2% |
6% |
|
81 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
62 |
2% |
95% |
|
63 |
3% |
94% |
|
64 |
12% |
90% |
|
65 |
5% |
78% |
|
66 |
9% |
73% |
Median |
67 |
13% |
64% |
|
68 |
10% |
51% |
|
69 |
6% |
41% |
|
70 |
7% |
36% |
|
71 |
5% |
29% |
|
72 |
7% |
24% |
|
73 |
7% |
17% |
|
74 |
3% |
10% |
|
75 |
2% |
6% |
|
76 |
2% |
4% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
3% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
59 |
4% |
97% |
|
60 |
3% |
94% |
|
61 |
5% |
91% |
|
62 |
11% |
87% |
|
63 |
7% |
75% |
|
64 |
11% |
68% |
Median |
65 |
8% |
58% |
|
66 |
12% |
50% |
|
67 |
15% |
37% |
|
68 |
4% |
22% |
|
69 |
7% |
18% |
|
70 |
4% |
11% |
|
71 |
2% |
7% |
|
72 |
2% |
6% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
77 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
57 |
2% |
97% |
|
58 |
5% |
95% |
|
59 |
2% |
91% |
|
60 |
5% |
89% |
|
61 |
5% |
84% |
|
62 |
10% |
79% |
Last Result |
63 |
9% |
69% |
Median |
64 |
11% |
60% |
|
65 |
15% |
49% |
|
66 |
6% |
34% |
|
67 |
12% |
28% |
|
68 |
5% |
16% |
|
69 |
4% |
11% |
|
70 |
2% |
7% |
|
71 |
3% |
6% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
52 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
53 |
2% |
97% |
|
54 |
2% |
95% |
|
55 |
7% |
93% |
|
56 |
5% |
86% |
|
57 |
5% |
81% |
|
58 |
9% |
76% |
|
59 |
9% |
66% |
Median |
60 |
11% |
57% |
|
61 |
13% |
46% |
Last Result |
62 |
7% |
33% |
|
63 |
7% |
26% |
|
64 |
7% |
18% |
|
65 |
3% |
11% |
|
66 |
3% |
8% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
69 |
2% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
56 |
4% |
98% |
|
57 |
4% |
94% |
|
58 |
9% |
90% |
|
59 |
14% |
81% |
|
60 |
14% |
68% |
|
61 |
16% |
54% |
Median |
62 |
8% |
38% |
|
63 |
11% |
30% |
|
64 |
7% |
19% |
|
65 |
4% |
12% |
|
66 |
3% |
8% |
|
67 |
2% |
6% |
|
68 |
1.3% |
3% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
49 |
5% |
97% |
|
50 |
9% |
92% |
|
51 |
8% |
84% |
|
52 |
17% |
76% |
|
53 |
7% |
59% |
Median |
54 |
12% |
52% |
|
55 |
7% |
40% |
|
56 |
16% |
32% |
|
57 |
5% |
16% |
|
58 |
3% |
11% |
|
59 |
3% |
8% |
|
60 |
2% |
5% |
Last Result |
61 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
22 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
23 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
24 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
25 |
2% |
96% |
|
26 |
3% |
94% |
|
27 |
5% |
91% |
|
28 |
9% |
86% |
|
29 |
12% |
77% |
|
30 |
7% |
65% |
Median |
31 |
10% |
59% |
|
32 |
16% |
49% |
|
33 |
8% |
33% |
|
34 |
8% |
25% |
|
35 |
5% |
16% |
Last Result |
36 |
6% |
11% |
|
37 |
2% |
5% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 6–12 March 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 685
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.30%