Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Ap H Sp FrP SV R V MDG KrF ND Pp K INP S Hp PF Lib FP Kp
13 September 2021 General Election 26.2%
48
20.4%
36
13.5%
28
11.6%
21
7.6%
13
4.7%
8
4.6%
8
3.9%
3
3.8%
3
1.1%
0
0.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.3%
0
0.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
1
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average 23–33%
44–61
13–20%
21–35
4–8%
6–14
18–25%
33–47
4–10%
8–19
5–9%
8–16
2–6%
1–11
2–5%
1–8
2–5%
1–9
0–2%
0
0–1%
0
0–2%
0
0–2%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
11–18 June 2025 Respons Analyse
Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG
22–28%
41–55
14–20%
24–36
4–8%
7–15
19–25%
34–46
7–11%
11–21
5–8%
8–13
4–7%
2–12
2–5%
1–8
2–5%
0–9
0–1%
0
0–1%
0
0–2%
0
0–2%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10–16 June 2025 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
24–30%
44–59
12–17%
19–31
4–7%
6–13
20–26%
38–49
5–9%
10–16
6–10%
10–17
4–7%
3–12
1–4%
0–3
2–5%
1–8
1–2%
0
0–1%
0
1–3%
0–1
0–2%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10–14 June 2025 Norstat
Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land
27–33%
50–62
14–18%
24–32
4–7%
7–11
19–24%
38–42
6–10%
11–18
4–7%
9–12
3–6%
3–9
1–3%
1–2
2–5%
1–8
1–2%
0
0–1%
0
0–1%
0
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3–4 June 2025 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
24–31%
47–56
16–21%
30–38
4–8%
8–13
19–25%
37–44
4–7%
8–13
5–8%
7–14
3–6%
3–9
3–5%
1–9
2–5%
1–8
0–1%
0
0–1%
0
1–2%
0
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3 June 2025 InFact
Nettavisen
24–29%
45–56
15–19%
25–35
4–7%
6–12
19–24%
35–43
7–11%
10–18
5–8%
7–13
3–6%
3–10
1–3%
0–2
3–5%
2–8
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
26–30 May 2025 Verian
TV2
29–35%
54–63
15–20%
28–35
5–8%
8–14
17–22%
32–39
4–7%
3–12
5–8%
9–14
2–4%
1–3
3–5%
2–9
3–5%
2–9
0–2%
0
0–1%
0
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13 September 2021 General Election 26.2%
48
20.4%
36
13.5%
28
11.6%
21
7.6%
13
4.7%
8
4.6%
8
3.9%
3
3.8%
3
1.1%
0
0.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.3%
0
0.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
1
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 27.6% 24.7–31.7% 24.0–32.5% 23.3–33.2% 22.2–34.5%
Høyre 20.4% 16.8% 14.2–18.9% 13.5–19.5% 12.9–20.0% 11.9–21.1%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.5–7.3% 4.2–7.6% 3.8–8.3%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 21.3% 19.0–23.6% 18.4–24.3% 17.8–24.9% 16.9–26.0%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 7.4% 4.9–9.4% 4.5–9.9% 4.2–10.3% 3.8–11.1%
Rødt 4.7% 6.3% 5.2–7.8% 4.9–8.2% 4.7–8.6% 4.2–9.5%
Venstre 4.6% 4.5% 2.9–5.7% 2.5–6.1% 2.3–6.4% 1.9–7.1%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 2.9% 1.9–4.3% 1.7–4.6% 1.6–4.9% 1.3–5.4%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 3.6% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.8% 2.4–5.1% 2.1–5.6%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.8% 0.2–1.5% 0.2–1.7% 0.1–1.9% 0.1–2.4%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.6% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.3% 0.1–1.6%
Konservativt 0.4% 1.0% 0.3–1.9% 0.3–2.1% 0.2–2.4% 0.1–2.9%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.7% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6% 0.1–1.9%
Partiet Sentrum 0.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Helsepartiet 0.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Pasientfokus 0.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Liberalistene 0.2% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–1.0%
Folkets parti 0.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Kystpartiet 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0.1% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0.7% 99.8%  
22.5–23.5% 2% 99.1%  
23.5–24.5% 6% 97%  
24.5–25.5% 10% 91%  
25.5–26.5% 15% 81% Last Result
26.5–27.5% 15% 66%  
27.5–28.5% 13% 51% Median
28.5–29.5% 10% 38%  
29.5–30.5% 9% 28%  
30.5–31.5% 8% 19%  
31.5–32.5% 6% 11%  
32.5–33.5% 3% 5%  
33.5–34.5% 1.3% 2%  
34.5–35.5% 0.3% 0.4%  
35.5–36.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
36.5–37.5% 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0.2% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 1.3% 99.8%  
12.5–13.5% 4% 98%  
13.5–14.5% 8% 95%  
14.5–15.5% 13% 87%  
15.5–16.5% 19% 74%  
16.5–17.5% 22% 55% Median
17.5–18.5% 18% 33%  
18.5–19.5% 10% 14%  
19.5–20.5% 4% 5% Last Result
20.5–21.5% 1.0% 1.2%  
21.5–22.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0.1% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 6% 99.9%  
4.5–5.5% 33% 94%  
5.5–6.5% 41% 60% Median
6.5–7.5% 16% 19%  
7.5–8.5% 3% 3%  
8.5–9.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11.5–12.5% 0% 100% Last Result
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0.2% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 1.3% 99.8%  
17.5–18.5% 4% 98%  
18.5–19.5% 10% 94%  
19.5–20.5% 17% 84%  
20.5–21.5% 22% 68% Median
21.5–22.5% 21% 45%  
22.5–23.5% 14% 24%  
23.5–24.5% 7% 11%  
24.5–25.5% 3% 4%  
25.5–26.5% 0.8% 1.0%  
26.5–27.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0.2% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 5% 99.8%  
4.5–5.5% 16% 94%  
5.5–6.5% 15% 78%  
6.5–7.5% 15% 63% Median
7.5–8.5% 22% 48% Last Result
8.5–9.5% 18% 26%  
9.5–10.5% 7% 8%  
10.5–11.5% 1.4% 2%  
11.5–12.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 2% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 17% 98% Last Result
5.5–6.5% 39% 81% Median
6.5–7.5% 29% 42%  
7.5–8.5% 11% 14%  
8.5–9.5% 2% 3%  
9.5–10.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 5% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 14% 95%  
3.5–4.5% 33% 81%  
4.5–5.5% 34% 47% Last Result, Median
5.5–6.5% 11% 13%  
6.5–7.5% 2% 2%  
7.5–8.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100%  
0.5–1.5% 2% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 34% 98%  
2.5–3.5% 34% 64% Median
3.5–4.5% 25% 30% Last Result
4.5–5.5% 5% 5%  
5.5–6.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 5% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 41% 95%  
3.5–4.5% 44% 54% Last Result, Median
4.5–5.5% 10% 10%  
5.5–6.5% 0.6% 0.6%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 34% 100%  
0.5–1.5% 57% 66% Last Result, Median
1.5–2.5% 9% 9%  
2.5–3.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 44% 100%  
0.5–1.5% 55% 56% Last Result, Median
1.5–2.5% 0.8% 0.8%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 22% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 60% 78% Median
1.5–2.5% 16% 18%  
2.5–3.5% 2% 2%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 30% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 68% 70% Median
1.5–2.5% 3% 3%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 0%  

Liberalistene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 92% 100% Last Result, Median
0.5–1.5% 8% 8%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 53 47–59 45–61 44–61 42–64
Høyre 36 31 25–33 24–34 21–35 19–38
Senterpartiet 28 10 8–12 7–13 6–14 1–15
Fremskrittspartiet 21 40 36–44 35–45 33–47 33–49
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 12 8–16 8–18 8–19 3–21
Rødt 8 11 9–13 8–14 8–16 7–17
Venstre 8 7 2–10 1–10 1–11 1–12
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 2 1–3 1–8 1–8 0–9
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 3 1–8 1–8 1–9 0–9
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partiet Sentrum 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Helsepartiet 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Pasientfokus 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Liberalistene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Folkets parti 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Kystpartiet 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 0.1% 99.6%  
42 2% 99.5%  
43 0.5% 98%  
44 1.2% 98%  
45 2% 96%  
46 4% 94%  
47 4% 91%  
48 7% 87% Last Result
49 7% 80%  
50 8% 73%  
51 9% 65%  
52 6% 56%  
53 5% 50% Median
54 8% 45%  
55 2% 37%  
56 6% 35%  
57 14% 29%  
58 2% 15%  
59 6% 13%  
60 0.9% 7%  
61 5% 7%  
62 1.2% 2%  
63 0.3% 0.8%  
64 0.1% 0.5%  
65 0.2% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0% 100%  
19 0.5% 99.9%  
20 2% 99.5%  
21 0.6% 98%  
22 0.7% 97%  
23 1.2% 97%  
24 4% 95%  
25 2% 91%  
26 4% 89%  
27 5% 84%  
28 5% 80%  
29 5% 75%  
30 13% 70%  
31 11% 57% Median
32 18% 46%  
33 19% 28%  
34 6% 9%  
35 1.1% 3%  
36 1.4% 2% Last Result
37 0.4% 1.0%  
38 0.4% 0.6%  
39 0.2% 0.2%  
40 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0.3% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.4%  
3 0% 99.4%  
4 0% 99.4%  
5 0% 99.4%  
6 2% 99.3%  
7 6% 97%  
8 14% 91%  
9 14% 78%  
10 22% 64% Median
11 21% 42%  
12 15% 21%  
13 3% 6%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.6% 1.0%  
16 0.3% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0.2% 99.9%  
32 0.2% 99.7%  
33 2% 99.5%  
34 2% 97%  
35 2% 96%  
36 8% 93%  
37 3% 85%  
38 16% 82%  
39 10% 66%  
40 19% 56% Median
41 5% 37%  
42 10% 33%  
43 4% 22%  
44 10% 18%  
45 4% 7%  
46 1.3% 4%  
47 0.9% 3%  
48 1.0% 2%  
49 0.3% 0.6%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 0.2% 99.8%  
3 0.3% 99.6%  
4 0% 99.3%  
5 0% 99.3%  
6 0% 99.3%  
7 1.4% 99.3%  
8 14% 98%  
9 9% 84%  
10 7% 75%  
11 12% 68%  
12 8% 56% Median
13 9% 48% Last Result
14 6% 40%  
15 7% 34%  
16 17% 27%  
17 4% 10%  
18 2% 6%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.1% 0.9%  
21 0.7% 0.7%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0.1% 99.9%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 6% 98% Last Result
9 26% 92%  
10 15% 66%  
11 20% 51% Median
12 14% 31%  
13 8% 16%  
14 3% 8%  
15 1.2% 5%  
16 1.1% 3%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 7% 100%  
2 7% 93%  
3 28% 86%  
4 0% 58%  
5 0% 58%  
6 4% 58%  
7 10% 54% Median
8 22% 44% Last Result
9 9% 22%  
10 8% 12%  
11 2% 4%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.1% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.4% 100%  
1 43% 98.6%  
2 25% 56% Median
3 21% 31% Last Result
4 0% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 1.2% 10%  
7 4% 9%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.7% 1.0%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 15% 98%  
2 22% 83%  
3 28% 60% Last Result, Median
4 0% 32%  
5 0.1% 32%  
6 5% 32%  
7 14% 27%  
8 10% 13%  
9 3% 3%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.7%  
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Partiet Sentrum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partiet Sentrum page.

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Helsepartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.

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Pasientfokus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pasientfokus page.

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Liberalistene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Folkets parti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.

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Kystpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.

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Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 90 92% 85–97 83–98 81–99 79–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 88 74% 81–94 79–96 78–98 77–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 97 86 62% 79–92 76–93 76–94 73–99
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 71 82 30% 77–89 76–91 75–93 70–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 82 31% 75–87 74–91 73–93 71–94
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 80 18% 75–86 73–90 71–90 68–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 78 7% 72–83 71–86 69–88 66–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 77 5% 71–84 68–85 68–87 67–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 75 0.8% 69–83 66–83 65–83 65–88
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 65 75 2% 71–83 67–83 65–83 64–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 68 1.3% 63–77 61–82 59–83 56–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 66 0.1% 60–75 59–76 57–79 54–80
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 57 71 0% 65–75 63–75 62–77 60–80
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 65 0% 59–73 57–73 56–73 55–77
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 62 0% 57–70 55–72 54–72 51–74
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 40 0% 35–45 34–47 31–48 29–49
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 20 0% 14–24 14–26 14–27 12–29

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 1.2% 99.7%  
80 0.3% 98%  
81 1.3% 98%  
82 1.2% 97%  
83 1.5% 96%  
84 3% 94%  
85 3% 92% Majority
86 17% 89%  
87 6% 71%  
88 7% 65%  
89 8% 59%  
90 6% 51%  
91 14% 45% Median
92 5% 31%  
93 6% 26%  
94 2% 20%  
95 4% 19%  
96 1.3% 15% Last Result
97 7% 13%  
98 4% 7%  
99 0.2% 3%  
100 2% 2%  
101 0.2% 0.8%  
102 0.4% 0.5%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.4% 99.6%  
78 2% 99.2%  
79 6% 97%  
80 1.3% 91%  
81 2% 90%  
82 3% 89%  
83 7% 86%  
84 4% 79%  
85 5% 74% Majority
86 5% 69%  
87 6% 64%  
88 8% 58% Median
89 7% 50%  
90 7% 42%  
91 2% 35%  
92 5% 33%  
93 12% 28%  
94 8% 16%  
95 2% 8%  
96 2% 5%  
97 0.5% 3%  
98 0.8% 3%  
99 0.3% 2%  
100 0.3% 2% Last Result
101 1.1% 2%  
102 0.3% 0.4%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 1.1% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 98.8%  
75 0.3% 98.6%  
76 4% 98%  
77 3% 95%  
78 2% 92%  
79 2% 91%  
80 7% 89%  
81 3% 82%  
82 4% 79%  
83 4% 74%  
84 8% 70%  
85 6% 62% Majority
86 8% 56% Median
87 10% 48%  
88 3% 38%  
89 7% 35%  
90 3% 28%  
91 3% 25%  
92 16% 22%  
93 3% 6%  
94 1.0% 3%  
95 0.5% 2%  
96 0.1% 1.2%  
97 0.2% 1.1% Last Result
98 0.2% 0.9%  
99 0.2% 0.7%  
100 0.5% 0.5%  
101 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.5% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.5%  
71 0.2% 99.3% Last Result
72 0.2% 99.1%  
73 0.3% 98.8%  
74 0.6% 98.6%  
75 1.3% 98%  
76 3% 97%  
77 17% 93%  
78 5% 77%  
79 4% 72%  
80 8% 68%  
81 4% 60%  
82 12% 57%  
83 9% 45% Median
84 6% 37%  
85 8% 30% Majority
86 5% 22%  
87 3% 18%  
88 2% 15%  
89 6% 13%  
90 0.9% 7%  
91 1.4% 6%  
92 0.4% 5%  
93 3% 5%  
94 0.1% 1.3%  
95 0.1% 1.2%  
96 1.1% 1.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 1.1% 99.7%  
72 0.9% 98.5%  
73 2% 98%  
74 3% 95%  
75 5% 93%  
76 9% 88%  
77 4% 79%  
78 6% 75%  
79 7% 69%  
80 7% 62% Median
81 4% 55%  
82 11% 51%  
83 2% 40%  
84 7% 39%  
85 19% 31% Majority
86 2% 12%  
87 0.7% 10%  
88 1.0% 9%  
89 2% 8%  
90 0.4% 7%  
91 3% 7%  
92 1.2% 4%  
93 2% 3%  
94 0.2% 0.6%  
95 0% 0.4% Last Result
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.2% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 1.1% 99.6% Last Result
69 0.3% 98%  
70 0.3% 98%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 0.6% 97%  
73 2% 96%  
74 2% 94%  
75 9% 92%  
76 13% 83%  
77 6% 70%  
78 3% 64%  
79 8% 61%  
80 8% 53%  
81 10% 45% Median
82 6% 35%  
83 6% 29%  
84 4% 23%  
85 4% 18% Majority
86 7% 14%  
87 1.2% 8%  
88 0.6% 7%  
89 0.6% 6%  
90 5% 5%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.5% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.4%  
68 0.7% 99.2%  
69 2% 98.5%  
70 1.4% 97%  
71 5% 96%  
72 8% 90% Last Result
73 3% 82%  
74 4% 79%  
75 3% 75%  
76 7% 72%  
77 5% 65%  
78 13% 60% Median
79 5% 47%  
80 7% 42%  
81 5% 35%  
82 5% 30%  
83 16% 25%  
84 2% 10%  
85 2% 7% Majority
86 1.3% 5%  
87 1.0% 4%  
88 1.1% 3%  
89 0.2% 2%  
90 1.2% 1.5%  
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 5% 99.5%  
69 1.5% 95%  
70 3% 93%  
71 3% 90%  
72 6% 87%  
73 9% 82%  
74 4% 73%  
75 7% 69%  
76 5% 63%  
77 10% 57% Median
78 6% 47%  
79 2% 42%  
80 7% 39%  
81 3% 32%  
82 8% 29%  
83 4% 22%  
84 12% 17%  
85 1.5% 5% Majority
86 1.0% 4%  
87 0.7% 3%  
88 0.5% 2%  
89 0.9% 2%  
90 0.8% 0.9%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 3% 99.8%  
66 2% 96%  
67 2% 94%  
68 2% 93%  
69 3% 91%  
70 10% 87%  
71 4% 78%  
72 5% 74%  
73 5% 69%  
74 9% 64%  
75 10% 55% Median
76 6% 46%  
77 7% 40%  
78 5% 33%  
79 2% 28%  
80 10% 26%  
81 1.3% 17%  
82 2% 15%  
83 11% 13%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.8% Majority
86 0.1% 0.7%  
87 0.1% 0.6%  
88 0.5% 0.6%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 99.6%  
65 2% 99.3% Last Result
66 2% 97%  
67 2% 95%  
68 0.8% 94%  
69 1.1% 93%  
70 1.1% 92%  
71 3% 91%  
72 9% 88%  
73 2% 79%  
74 8% 77%  
75 19% 69%  
76 4% 50%  
77 5% 46%  
78 10% 41% Median
79 8% 31%  
80 6% 23%  
81 3% 17%  
82 3% 15%  
83 9% 12%  
84 0.5% 2%  
85 0.4% 2% Majority
86 0.3% 1.5%  
87 1.1% 1.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 1.2% 99.7%  
57 0.2% 98.6%  
58 0.7% 98%  
59 0.4% 98%  
60 2% 97%  
61 2% 95%  
62 2% 93%  
63 9% 91%  
64 4% 82%  
65 8% 78%  
66 4% 70%  
67 10% 67%  
68 8% 56% Median
69 14% 48%  
70 5% 34%  
71 6% 29%  
72 2% 23%  
73 1.2% 21%  
74 3% 20%  
75 3% 17%  
76 1.1% 14%  
77 5% 13%  
78 0.5% 8%  
79 0.2% 8%  
80 0.2% 7%  
81 1.1% 7%  
82 3% 6% Last Result
83 1.3% 3%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 0.7% 1.3% Majority
86 0.1% 0.5%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.1% 99.7%  
54 0.7% 99.6%  
55 0.5% 98.8%  
56 0.3% 98%  
57 1.0% 98%  
58 1.1% 97%  
59 2% 96%  
60 5% 94%  
61 7% 90%  
62 3% 83%  
63 6% 80%  
64 9% 73%  
65 10% 64%  
66 7% 54% Median
67 4% 47%  
68 19% 43%  
69 4% 24%  
70 1.2% 20%  
71 0.8% 19%  
72 1.3% 18%  
73 6% 17%  
74 0.6% 11%  
75 5% 11%  
76 0.7% 5%  
77 0.1% 5%  
78 0.9% 5%  
79 2% 4% Last Result
80 2% 2%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100% Last Result
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.7%  
61 0.4% 99.4%  
62 2% 99.0%  
63 2% 97%  
64 4% 95%  
65 3% 91%  
66 4% 88%  
67 4% 84%  
68 8% 81%  
69 9% 73%  
70 9% 64%  
71 14% 54% Median
72 22% 40%  
73 3% 19%  
74 3% 16%  
75 9% 13%  
76 0.8% 3%  
77 1.1% 3%  
78 0.3% 2%  
79 0.6% 1.2%  
80 0.5% 0.6%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0.7% 99.6%  
56 2% 98.9%  
57 5% 97%  
58 1.0% 93%  
59 8% 92%  
60 3% 83%  
61 4% 81% Last Result
62 7% 77%  
63 6% 69%  
64 6% 64%  
65 12% 57% Median
66 7% 46%  
67 7% 39%  
68 5% 32%  
69 6% 27%  
70 3% 21%  
71 4% 18%  
72 0.9% 14%  
73 11% 13%  
74 0.3% 2%  
75 0.8% 2%  
76 0.1% 0.9%  
77 0.6% 0.8%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.2% 99.8%  
51 0.9% 99.6%  
52 0.6% 98.8%  
53 0.3% 98%  
54 1.4% 98%  
55 2% 97%  
56 1.3% 95%  
57 8% 94%  
58 8% 86%  
59 9% 78%  
60 6% 69%  
61 6% 63%  
62 9% 56%  
63 4% 47% Median
64 4% 43%  
65 4% 40%  
66 9% 35%  
67 13% 26%  
68 0.8% 13%  
69 1.2% 12%  
70 2% 11%  
71 3% 9%  
72 5% 6%  
73 0.3% 1.1%  
74 0.3% 0.7%  
75 0.1% 0.5%  
76 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.3% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.7%  
30 0.9% 99.4%  
31 1.2% 98.5%  
32 0.4% 97%  
33 2% 97%  
34 2% 95%  
35 4% 93%  
36 16% 89%  
37 8% 73%  
38 7% 66%  
39 6% 58%  
40 5% 52%  
41 8% 48% Median
42 10% 40%  
43 7% 30%  
44 10% 23%  
45 4% 13%  
46 2% 9%  
47 2% 7% Last Result
48 4% 5%  
49 0.4% 0.7%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0.1% 99.9%  
12 0.4% 99.8%  
13 2% 99.4%  
14 13% 98%  
15 5% 85%  
16 2% 80%  
17 11% 79%  
18 5% 67%  
19 6% 62%  
20 8% 56% Median
21 13% 48%  
22 10% 35%  
23 11% 25%  
24 7% 14%  
25 2% 8%  
26 2% 6%  
27 2% 4%  
28 0.9% 2%  
29 0.5% 1.0%  
30 0.3% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information