Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Ap H Sp FrP SV R V MDG KrF ND Pp K INP S Hp PF Lib FP Kp
13 September 2021 General Election 26.2%
48
20.4%
36
13.5%
28
11.6%
21
7.6%
13
4.7%
8
4.6%
8
3.9%
3
3.8%
3
1.1%
0
0.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.3%
0
0.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
1
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average 24–32%
45–60
15–22%
28–40
4–7%
0–14
18–26%
32–49
5–10%
9–19
3–7%
1–13
3–6%
2–11
2–4%
0–7
2–5%
0–8
0–2%
0
0–1%
0
0–2%
0
0–2%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
0–1%
0
25–31 March 2025 Verian
TV2
27–32%
49–60
17–22%
31–39
5–8%
9–15
17–22%
30–39
5–8%
9–14
5–8%
8–13
3–5%
2–10
2–4%
0–3
3–5%
2–9
1–2%
0
0–1%
0
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10–12 March 2025 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
23–29%
44–55
17–22%
29–41
3–6%
0–12
17–23%
32–42
7–11%
14–21
4–8%
8–14
3–6%
2–10
2–4%
1–8
3–5%
1–9
0–1%
0
0–1%
0
1–3%
0
1–2%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5–10 March 2025 Respons Analyse
Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG
25–30%
48–57
18–23%
31–40
3–6%
1–9
19–24%
36–44
6–9%
9–16
4–7%
7–12
4–7%
7–12
1–3%
0–1
3–5%
2–8
0–2%
0
0–1%
0
1–2%
0
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0–1%
0
4–8 March 2025 Norstat
Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land
27–33%
51–62
16–21%
28–39
4–7%
0–12
20–26%
39–48
5–8%
9–14
3–6%
1–11
3–6%
2–10
2–4%
1–3
2–4%
0–3
N/A
N/A
0–1%
0
0–2%
0
0–2%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4–5 March 2025 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
24–30%
45–56
17–23%
31–41
4–7%
0–12
21–27%
40–50
6–9%
9–16
4–7%
1–12
3–6%
2–10
2–4%
1–3
2–4%
0–3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4 March 2025 InFact
Nettavisen
27–32%
51–59
14–19%
27–34
4–7%
8–13
22–27%
42–49
5–8%
9–15
3–5%
1–9
3–6%
3–10
2–4%
1–3
2–5%
1–7
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
1–2%
0
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0–1%
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13 September 2021 General Election 26.2%
48
20.4%
36
13.5%
28
11.6%
21
7.6%
13
4.7%
8
4.6%
8
3.9%
3
3.8%
3
1.1%
0
0.6%
0
0.4%
0
0.3%
0
0.3%
0
0.2%
0
0.2%
1
0.2%
0
0.1%
0
0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 26.2% 28.2% 25.2–30.9% 24.5–31.6% 23.9–32.1% 22.8–33.2%
Høyre 20.4% 19.1% 16.5–21.2% 15.8–21.8% 15.3–22.3% 14.4–23.2%
Senterpartiet 13.5% 5.1% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.0% 3.6–7.4% 3.3–8.1%
Fremskrittspartiet 11.6% 22.1% 18.7–25.1% 18.0–25.8% 17.5–26.3% 16.6–27.4%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 7.6% 7.0% 5.8–9.2% 5.5–9.9% 5.3–10.4% 4.8–11.4%
Rødt 4.7% 5.1% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.0% 3.4–7.3% 3.0–8.0%
Venstre 4.6% 4.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.3–6.0% 3.1–6.3% 2.8–7.0%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.9% 2.6% 1.9–3.4% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–3.9% 1.2–4.4%
Kristelig Folkeparti 3.8% 3.4% 2.4–4.5% 2.2–4.8% 2.0–5.0% 1.7–5.5%
Norgesdemokratene 1.1% 0.7% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6% 0.1–1.8% 0.1–2.2%
Pensjonistpartiet 0.6% 0.3% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
Konservativt 0.4% 1.0% 0.4–1.8% 0.3–2.1% 0.3–2.3% 0.2–2.8%
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0.3% 0.9% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.4–2.0% 0.3–2.4%
Partiet Sentrum 0.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Helsepartiet 0.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Pasientfokus 0.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Liberalistene 0.2% 0.3% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.8%
Folkets parti 0.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Kystpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0.3% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 1.2% 99.7%  
23.5–24.5% 4% 98%  
24.5–25.5% 8% 95%  
25.5–26.5% 12% 87% Last Result
26.5–27.5% 15% 75%  
27.5–28.5% 16% 61% Median
28.5–29.5% 17% 45%  
29.5–30.5% 14% 28%  
30.5–31.5% 9% 14%  
31.5–32.5% 4% 5%  
32.5–33.5% 1.1% 1.4%  
33.5–34.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
34.5–35.5% 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12.5–13.5% 0.1% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0.6% 99.9%  
14.5–15.5% 3% 99.3%  
15.5–16.5% 7% 96%  
16.5–17.5% 11% 89%  
17.5–18.5% 17% 78%  
18.5–19.5% 22% 61% Median
19.5–20.5% 20% 40% Last Result
20.5–21.5% 13% 19%  
21.5–22.5% 5% 7%  
22.5–23.5% 1.3% 2%  
23.5–24.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 2% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 23% 98%  
4.5–5.5% 41% 75% Median
5.5–6.5% 24% 34%  
6.5–7.5% 8% 10%  
7.5–8.5% 2% 2%  
8.5–9.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11.5–12.5% 0% 100% Last Result
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0.4% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 2% 99.6%  
17.5–18.5% 6% 97%  
18.5–19.5% 10% 91%  
19.5–20.5% 12% 81%  
20.5–21.5% 12% 69%  
21.5–22.5% 13% 57% Median
22.5–23.5% 14% 44%  
23.5–24.5% 14% 30%  
24.5–25.5% 9% 16%  
25.5–26.5% 5% 6%  
26.5–27.5% 1.5% 2%  
27.5–28.5% 0.3% 0.4%  
28.5–29.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
29.5–30.5% 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0.1% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 5% 99.9%  
5.5–6.5% 28% 94%  
6.5–7.5% 34% 66% Median
7.5–8.5% 17% 32% Last Result
8.5–9.5% 9% 16%  
9.5–10.5% 5% 7%  
10.5–11.5% 2% 2%  
11.5–12.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 5% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 25% 95%  
4.5–5.5% 34% 70% Last Result, Median
5.5–6.5% 25% 36%  
6.5–7.5% 9% 11%  
7.5–8.5% 1.4% 2%  
8.5–9.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0.1% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 9% 99.9%  
3.5–4.5% 44% 91% Median
4.5–5.5% 35% 47% Last Result
5.5–6.5% 11% 12%  
6.5–7.5% 1.4% 1.5%  
7.5–8.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100%  
0.5–1.5% 3% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 43% 97%  
2.5–3.5% 47% 54% Median
3.5–4.5% 7% 7% Last Result
4.5–5.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100%  
0.5–1.5% 0.2% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 14% 99.8%  
2.5–3.5% 42% 86% Median
3.5–4.5% 35% 44% Last Result
4.5–5.5% 8% 8%  
5.5–6.5% 0.5% 0.5%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 33% 100%  
0.5–1.5% 61% 67% Last Result, Median
1.5–2.5% 7% 7%  
2.5–3.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 83% 100% Median
0.5–1.5% 17% 17% Last Result
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 16% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 68% 84% Median
1.5–2.5% 15% 16%  
2.5–3.5% 1.2% 1.2%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 14% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 77% 86% Median
1.5–2.5% 9% 9%  
2.5–3.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Liberalistene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 94% 100% Last Result, Median
0.5–1.5% 6% 6%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

Kystpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 97% 100% Last Result, Median
0.5–1.5% 3% 3%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 48 53 48–59 47–60 45–60 43–62
Høyre 36 34 30–38 29–40 28–40 27–42
Senterpartiet 28 9 7–12 1–13 0–14 0–15
Fremskrittspartiet 21 41 35–48 33–48 32–49 30–50
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 13 12 10–16 9–17 9–19 8–21
Rødt 8 9 1–12 1–12 1–13 1–14
Venstre 8 8 3–10 2–10 2–11 2–12
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3 1 1–2 0–3 0–7 0–8
Kristelig Folkeparti 3 3 1–7 0–8 0–8 0–9
Norgesdemokratene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Konservativt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Industri- og Næringspartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Partiet Sentrum 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Helsepartiet 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Pasientfokus 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Liberalistene 0 0 0 0 0 0
Folkets parti 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Kystpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0.3% 99.8%  
44 1.0% 99.4%  
45 0.9% 98%  
46 2% 97%  
47 3% 96%  
48 5% 93% Last Result
49 6% 88%  
50 15% 81%  
51 5% 67%  
52 10% 62%  
53 14% 51% Median
54 5% 38%  
55 8% 32%  
56 3% 24%  
57 7% 21%  
58 3% 14%  
59 5% 11%  
60 3% 5%  
61 0.9% 2%  
62 0.7% 1.0%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 2% 99.8%  
28 0.9% 98%  
29 3% 97%  
30 5% 94%  
31 7% 90%  
32 18% 83%  
33 11% 65%  
34 12% 54% Median
35 13% 43%  
36 12% 29% Last Result
37 6% 17%  
38 3% 12%  
39 3% 9%  
40 4% 5%  
41 1.0% 2%  
42 0.3% 0.7%  
43 0.1% 0.4%  
44 0.2% 0.3%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 4% 97%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 0% 92%  
5 0% 92%  
6 1.0% 92%  
7 14% 91%  
8 22% 77%  
9 20% 56% Median
10 14% 36%  
11 9% 21%  
12 7% 12%  
13 2% 5%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.5% 0.6%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0% 100% Last Result
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.9%  
31 0.4% 99.4%  
32 3% 99.0%  
33 3% 96%  
34 3% 93%  
35 4% 91%  
36 3% 87%  
37 7% 83%  
38 6% 76%  
39 8% 70%  
40 8% 63%  
41 11% 55% Median
42 8% 43%  
43 5% 35%  
44 6% 30%  
45 8% 25%  
46 3% 17%  
47 2% 14%  
48 9% 12%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.3% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.9%  
9 7% 99.3%  
10 14% 93%  
11 19% 78%  
12 17% 59% Median
13 13% 42% Last Result
14 11% 28%  
15 6% 18%  
16 4% 12%  
17 4% 8%  
18 0.7% 4%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.2% 0.7%  
21 0.2% 0.5%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 12% 100%  
2 0.3% 88%  
3 0.1% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 1.4% 88%  
7 11% 87%  
8 24% 76% Last Result
9 15% 52% Median
10 17% 36%  
11 8% 19%  
12 7% 11%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.7% 1.0%  
15 0.1% 0.3%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 9% 100%  
3 20% 91%  
4 0% 71%  
5 0% 71%  
6 1.1% 71%  
7 19% 70%  
8 19% 51% Last Result, Median
9 18% 32%  
10 10% 15%  
11 2% 5%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 50% 92% Median
2 32% 41%  
3 6% 9% Last Result
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0.1% 3%  
7 2% 3%  
8 0.6% 0.6%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 18% 92%  
2 17% 74%  
3 31% 57% Last Result, Median
4 0% 27%  
5 0% 27%  
6 0.4% 27%  
7 19% 26%  
8 5% 7%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Norgesdemokratene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Pensjonistpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Konservativt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Industri- og Næringspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Partiet Sentrum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partiet Sentrum page.

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Helsepartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.

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Pasientfokus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pasientfokus page.

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Liberalistene

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Folkets parti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.

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Kystpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.4%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 96 93 98.8% 88–100 87–102 85–102 84–103
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 71 87 64% 80–94 78–95 76–95 75–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 100 84 46% 76–91 76–92 75–95 70–95
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 68 85 53% 78–93 77–93 74–94 74–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 97 82 35% 74–89 74–91 73–93 69–94
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 65 82 34% 75–90 72–90 70–91 69–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 95 79 11% 73–85 71–87 69–88 65–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 92 75 3% 69–81 68–83 67–85 63–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 72 75 1.1% 68–81 67–82 67–84 65–85
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 57 75 2% 69–81 67–83 65–84 63–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 89 73 0.3% 69–79 67–82 65–83 62–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 82 67 0% 60–72 58–75 56–75 52–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 79 65 0% 58–71 56–73 54–74 50–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 61 65 0% 61–70 60–71 59–73 56–74
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 76 62 0% 56–69 53–70 51–71 49–72
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 47 44 0% 38–51 36–51 34–54 34–55
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 39 20 0% 13–24 12–25 10–26 4–28

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.8% 99.6%  
85 3% 98.8% Majority
86 0.7% 96%  
87 1.2% 95%  
88 5% 94%  
89 8% 89%  
90 10% 82%  
91 8% 72%  
92 8% 64%  
93 7% 56%  
94 9% 49%  
95 4% 41% Median
96 8% 37% Last Result
97 5% 29%  
98 5% 24%  
99 8% 18%  
100 1.1% 11%  
101 1.4% 10%  
102 7% 8%  
103 1.3% 2%  
104 0.1% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 2% 99.7%  
76 0.8% 98%  
77 0.9% 97%  
78 2% 96%  
79 3% 94%  
80 2% 90%  
81 5% 88%  
82 8% 83%  
83 8% 75%  
84 3% 67%  
85 5% 64% Majority
86 7% 59%  
87 5% 51% Median
88 9% 47%  
89 6% 38%  
90 8% 32%  
91 3% 25%  
92 9% 22%  
93 1.4% 13%  
94 2% 11%  
95 7% 10%  
96 0.4% 2%  
97 1.1% 2%  
98 0.2% 0.7%  
99 0.1% 0.5%  
100 0.1% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.3%  
102 0% 0.2%  
103 0.2% 0.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.1% 99.6%  
71 0.1% 99.4%  
72 0.2% 99.3%  
73 0.5% 99.0%  
74 1.0% 98.6%  
75 1.2% 98%  
76 8% 96%  
77 7% 89%  
78 3% 81%  
79 3% 78%  
80 6% 75%  
81 4% 69%  
82 6% 64%  
83 7% 58%  
84 6% 52% Median
85 6% 46% Majority
86 4% 40%  
87 7% 36%  
88 8% 29%  
89 5% 21%  
90 6% 16%  
91 4% 10%  
92 3% 7%  
93 0.4% 4%  
94 1.3% 4%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 2% 99.6%  
75 1.3% 97%  
76 0.4% 96%  
77 3% 96%  
78 4% 93%  
79 6% 90%  
80 5% 84%  
81 8% 79%  
82 7% 70%  
83 4% 64%  
84 6% 60%  
85 6% 53% Majority
86 7% 47% Median
87 6% 40%  
88 4% 34%  
89 6% 30%  
90 3% 23%  
91 3% 21%  
92 7% 17%  
93 8% 10%  
94 0.9% 3%  
95 0.9% 2%  
96 0.3% 0.9%  
97 0.1% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0% 0.2%  
102 0.2% 0.2%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 0.1% 99.5%  
70 0.2% 99.4%  
71 0.3% 99.2%  
72 1.2% 98.9%  
73 0.5% 98%  
74 8% 97%  
75 2% 89%  
76 2% 87%  
77 9% 86%  
78 3% 76%  
79 8% 74%  
80 5% 66%  
81 9% 60%  
82 4% 52%  
83 7% 47% Median
84 5% 40%  
85 3% 35% Majority
86 8% 32%  
87 8% 25%  
88 5% 17%  
89 2% 12%  
90 3% 9%  
91 2% 6%  
92 0.9% 4%  
93 0.8% 3%  
94 2% 2%  
95 0.2% 0.3%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
98 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0% 99.9% Last Result
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.1% 99.7%  
69 0.2% 99.6%  
70 2% 99.4%  
71 2% 97%  
72 2% 95%  
73 0.6% 93%  
74 2% 92%  
75 2% 91%  
76 4% 89%  
77 4% 85%  
78 12% 82%  
79 10% 70%  
80 4% 60%  
81 6% 56%  
82 3% 50%  
83 4% 47% Median
84 9% 43%  
85 11% 34% Majority
86 4% 23%  
87 5% 19%  
88 3% 15%  
89 1.3% 12%  
90 7% 10%  
91 1.4% 3%  
92 0.8% 2%  
93 0.4% 1.3%  
94 0.3% 0.9%  
95 0.2% 0.6%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.6%  
66 0.5% 99.4%  
67 0.4% 98.9%  
68 0.9% 98.5%  
69 1.0% 98%  
70 1.3% 97%  
71 2% 95%  
72 2% 93%  
73 3% 91%  
74 6% 89%  
75 3% 83%  
76 10% 80%  
77 7% 69%  
78 10% 63% Median
79 7% 53%  
80 8% 46%  
81 9% 38%  
82 11% 29%  
83 4% 17%  
84 3% 14%  
85 1.4% 11% Majority
86 3% 9%  
87 3% 7%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.7% 1.5%  
90 0.4% 0.8%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0.1% Last Result
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.2% 100%  
60 0% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 0.1% 99.7%  
63 0.2% 99.6%  
64 0.4% 99.4%  
65 0.5% 98.9%  
66 0.7% 98%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96%  
69 8% 94%  
70 4% 86%  
71 4% 82%  
72 4% 78%  
73 6% 74%  
74 6% 68%  
75 13% 62% Median
76 6% 49%  
77 6% 43%  
78 10% 36%  
79 6% 26%  
80 7% 20%  
81 4% 13%  
82 3% 9%  
83 2% 7%  
84 2% 4%  
85 2% 3% Majority
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.2% 99.7%  
65 0.2% 99.5%  
66 1.3% 99.3%  
67 7% 98%  
68 2% 91%  
69 1.4% 90%  
70 8% 88%  
71 6% 80%  
72 5% 75% Last Result
73 8% 70%  
74 4% 62%  
75 8% 58% Median
76 6% 49%  
77 8% 43%  
78 8% 35%  
79 10% 27%  
80 8% 18%  
81 4% 10%  
82 1.0% 6%  
83 0.6% 5%  
84 3% 4%  
85 0.8% 1.1% Majority
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 2% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 98%  
65 0.3% 98%  
66 1.2% 97%  
67 3% 96%  
68 1.4% 93%  
69 6% 92%  
70 4% 86%  
71 6% 82%  
72 8% 76%  
73 4% 68%  
74 5% 63%  
75 13% 59% Median
76 12% 46%  
77 8% 34%  
78 3% 26%  
79 3% 23%  
80 9% 20%  
81 3% 11%  
82 1.5% 8%  
83 2% 6%  
84 2% 4%  
85 0.7% 2% Majority
86 0.4% 1.4%  
87 0.4% 1.0%  
88 0.2% 0.6%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0% 99.8%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 0.3% 99.5%  
63 1.0% 99.2%  
64 0.6% 98%  
65 0.8% 98%  
66 1.1% 97%  
67 3% 96%  
68 2% 93%  
69 10% 90%  
70 3% 80%  
71 8% 77%  
72 6% 69%  
73 13% 63%  
74 6% 50% Median
75 8% 44%  
76 5% 36%  
77 7% 31%  
78 6% 23%  
79 7% 17%  
80 2% 10%  
81 2% 8%  
82 2% 6%  
83 1.1% 3%  
84 2% 2%  
85 0.1% 0.3% Majority
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.8%  
52 0.3% 99.6%  
53 0.3% 99.3%  
54 0.7% 99.1%  
55 0.6% 98%  
56 1.3% 98%  
57 1.3% 96%  
58 2% 95%  
59 3% 94%  
60 3% 91%  
61 3% 88%  
62 6% 85%  
63 3% 78%  
64 9% 75%  
65 8% 66%  
66 8% 58% Median
67 15% 51%  
68 4% 36%  
69 5% 31%  
70 3% 27%  
71 4% 24%  
72 10% 20%  
73 2% 9%  
74 3% 8%  
75 3% 5%  
76 1.0% 2%  
77 0.6% 1.5%  
78 0.3% 0.9%  
79 0.4% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.7%  
51 0.2% 99.4%  
52 0.4% 99.2%  
53 0.8% 98.8%  
54 0.6% 98%  
55 2% 97%  
56 1.3% 96%  
57 2% 95%  
58 4% 93%  
59 5% 89%  
60 4% 84%  
61 5% 80%  
62 3% 75%  
63 5% 72%  
64 16% 67%  
65 11% 52% Median
66 7% 41%  
67 4% 34%  
68 6% 30%  
69 2% 24%  
70 11% 22%  
71 3% 11%  
72 1.5% 8%  
73 2% 7%  
74 3% 5%  
75 1.0% 2%  
76 0.3% 1.0%  
77 0.2% 0.7%  
78 0.4% 0.5%  
79 0% 0.1% Last Result
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.8%  
57 0.7% 99.3%  
58 0.9% 98.6%  
59 2% 98%  
60 2% 96%  
61 4% 94% Last Result
62 14% 90%  
63 9% 75%  
64 15% 66%  
65 5% 51% Median
66 8% 45%  
67 11% 37%  
68 6% 27%  
69 8% 21%  
70 6% 13%  
71 3% 8%  
72 0.7% 5%  
73 3% 4%  
74 0.4% 0.9%  
75 0.2% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.8%  
48 0.2% 99.7%  
49 1.2% 99.5%  
50 0.7% 98%  
51 0.6% 98%  
52 2% 97%  
53 0.8% 95%  
54 2% 95%  
55 2% 93%  
56 5% 91%  
57 11% 86%  
58 5% 75%  
59 6% 71%  
60 7% 64%  
61 6% 57%  
62 13% 52% Median
63 7% 39%  
64 6% 32%  
65 6% 26%  
66 2% 20%  
67 3% 18%  
68 3% 14%  
69 6% 11%  
70 2% 5%  
71 2% 3%  
72 1.0% 1.3%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 3% 99.8%  
35 1.0% 97%  
36 1.3% 96%  
37 2% 94%  
38 3% 93%  
39 2% 90%  
40 7% 87%  
41 11% 81%  
42 5% 69%  
43 10% 64%  
44 7% 54%  
45 15% 48% Median
46 5% 33%  
47 3% 28% Last Result
48 6% 25%  
49 5% 20%  
50 3% 15%  
51 7% 12%  
52 0.5% 5%  
53 1.3% 4%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.2% 0.7%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.3%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0.2% 99.9%  
4 0.3% 99.7%  
5 0.4% 99.5%  
6 0.1% 99.1%  
7 0.1% 99.0%  
8 0.2% 98.9%  
9 0.7% 98.8%  
10 1.4% 98%  
11 1.2% 97%  
12 3% 96%  
13 5% 92%  
14 5% 87%  
15 9% 82%  
16 4% 73%  
17 4% 69%  
18 6% 65%  
19 9% 59%  
20 8% 50% Median
21 8% 43%  
22 15% 35%  
23 9% 20%  
24 4% 11%  
25 4% 7%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.6% 1.1%  
28 0.2% 0.6%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information