Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Ap | H | Sp | FrP | SV | R | V | MDG | KrF | ND | Pp | K | INP | S | Hp | PF | Lib | FP | Kp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 September 2021 | General Election | 26.2% 48 |
20.4% 36 |
13.5% 28 |
11.6% 21 |
7.6% 13 |
4.7% 8 |
4.6% 8 |
3.9% 3 |
3.8% 3 |
1.1% 0 |
0.6% 0 |
0.4% 0 |
0.3% 0 |
0.3% 0 |
0.2% 0 |
0.2% 1 |
0.2% 0 |
0.1% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 22–32% 41–64 |
17–24% 30–44 |
4–10% 7–19 |
17–23% 32–44 |
5–8% 8–15 |
3–7% 1–13 |
2–6% 2–11 |
2–5% 1–8 |
2–5% 1–8 |
0–2% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
0–2% 0 |
0–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
| 2–7 April 2025 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
27–33% 51–64 |
18–23% 32–41 |
5–8% 8–13 |
16–21% 30–39 |
5–8% 9–16 |
4–6% 1–11 |
3–5% 2–9 |
3–5% 1–9 |
2–4% 0–7 |
0–1% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
0–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 31 March–7 April 2025 | Norstat Dagbladet, NRK and Vårt Land |
25–31% 47–55 |
17–21% 33–39 |
6–9% 12–15 |
19–24% 35–44 |
5–8% 10–14 |
3–5% 1–9 |
3–5% 2–9 |
2–5% 1–7 |
2–5% 1–8 |
0–1% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 1–2 April 2025 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21–27% 40–50 |
19–25% 32–44 |
7–11% 12–20 |
17–22% 31–40 |
5–9% 9–15 |
3–6% 1–11 |
4–7% 8–13 |
2–4% 1–9 |
2–5% 1–9 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
0–2% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
| 1 April 2025 | InFact Nettavisen |
27–32% 49–61 |
16–20% 28–38 |
5–8% 9–15 |
19–24% 35–45 |
5–7% 8–14 |
4–7% 1–13 |
2–4% 1–8 |
2–4% 1–8 |
2–5% 1–8 |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0 |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 25–31 March 2025 | Verian TV2 |
27–32% 49–60 |
17–22% 31–39 |
5–8% 9–15 |
17–22% 30–39 |
5–8% 9–14 |
5–8% 8–13 |
3–5% 2–10 |
2–4% 0–3 |
3–5% 2–9 |
1–2% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 24–31 March 2025 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
22–28% 42–54 |
20–26% 35–46 |
4–7% 1–12 |
18–24% 35–45 |
5–8% 7–14 |
4–7% 1–12 |
3–5% 2–9 |
2–4% 1–3 |
2–5% 0–7 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 13 September 2021 | General Election | 26.2% 48 |
20.4% 36 |
13.5% 28 |
11.6% 21 |
7.6% 13 |
4.7% 8 |
4.6% 8 |
3.9% 3 |
3.8% 3 |
1.1% 0 |
0.6% 0 |
0.4% 0 |
0.3% 0 |
0.3% 0 |
0.2% 0 |
0.2% 1 |
0.2% 0 |
0.1% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Norwegian Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- Ap: Arbeiderpartiet
- H: Høyre
- Sp: Senterpartiet
- FrP: Fremskrittspartiet
- SV: Sosialistisk Venstreparti
- R: Rødt
- V: Venstre
- MDG: Miljøpartiet De Grønne
- KrF: Kristelig Folkeparti
- ND: Norgesdemokratene
- Pp: Pensjonistpartiet
- K: Konservativt
- INP: Industri- og Næringspartiet
- S: Partiet Sentrum
- Hp: Helsepartiet
- PF: Pasientfokus
- Lib: Liberalistene
- FP: Folkets parti
- Kp: Kystpartiet
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 26.2% | 28.2% | 23.7–30.9% | 22.9–31.6% | 22.2–32.1% | 21.1–33.2% |
| Høyre | 20.4% | 20.1% | 17.7–23.0% | 17.1–23.7% | 16.7–24.4% | 15.8–25.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 13.5% | 6.6% | 5.2–8.5% | 4.8–9.0% | 4.5–9.5% | 3.9–10.4% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 11.6% | 20.1% | 17.9–22.4% | 17.3–22.9% | 16.9–23.4% | 16.1–24.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3–7.5% | 5.1–7.9% | 4.8–8.2% | 4.4–8.8% |
| Rødt | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6–6.4% | 3.3–6.8% | 3.1–7.1% | 2.7–7.8% |
| Venstre | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% | 2.5–6.3% | 2.2–7.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.9–4.7% | 1.6–5.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.3–4.9% | 2.0–5.4% |
| Norgesdemokratene | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3–1.7% | 0.2–2.0% | 0.1–2.2% | 0.1–2.6% |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Konservativt | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.5% | 0.1–1.8% |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.6–2.1% | 0.5–2.3% | 0.4–2.6% |
| Partiet Sentrum | 0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Helsepartiet | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Pasientfokus | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Liberalistene | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Folkets parti | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% | 0.0–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| Kystpartiet | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 5% | 96% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 8% | 91% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 8% | 83% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 8% | 75% | Last Result |
| 26.5–27.5% | 9% | 67% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 28.5–29.5% | 16% | 45% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 14% | 29% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 9% | 14% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 7% | 98% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 14% | 91% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 18% | 78% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 18% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 16% | 41% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 12% | 25% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 8% | 14% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 4% | 6% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 15% | 97% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 30% | 82% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 28% | 52% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 15% | 25% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 7% | 9% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 13% | 93% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 19% | 80% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 21% | 61% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 19% | 40% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 13% | 21% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 6% | 8% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 15% | 99.1% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 43% | 84% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 32% | 41% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 8% | 9% | Last Result |
| 8.5–9.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 28% | 90% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 33% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 22% | 30% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 3% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 28% | 97% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 43% | 70% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 19% | 27% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 7% | 8% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 21% | 99.6% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 51% | 79% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 24% | 28% | Last Result |
| 4.5–5.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 7% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 51% | 93% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 36% | 41% | Last Result |
| 4.5–5.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 30% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 54% | 70% | Last Result, Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 15% | 16% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 78% | 100% | Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 22% | 22% | Last Result |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 38% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 60% | 62% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 75% | 97% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 21% | 22% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 93% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 48 | 51 | 45–59 | 42–61 | 41–64 | 40–64 |
| Høyre | 36 | 35 | 31–41 | 30–43 | 30–44 | 28–46 |
| Senterpartiet | 28 | 12 | 9–15 | 7–16 | 7–19 | 1–20 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 21 | 38 | 33–44 | 32–44 | 32–44 | 30–46 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 13 | 12 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 7–16 |
| Rødt | 8 | 9 | 1–11 | 1–12 | 1–13 | 1–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 1–13 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 3 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| Norgesdemokratene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pensjonistpartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Konservativt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Industri- og Næringspartiet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Partiet Sentrum | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Helsepartiet | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Pasientfokus | 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Liberalistene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Folkets parti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kystpartiet | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 2% | 95% | |
| 44 | 2% | 93% | |
| 45 | 2% | 91% | |
| 46 | 2% | 89% | |
| 47 | 6% | 87% | |
| 48 | 8% | 81% | Last Result |
| 49 | 5% | 73% | |
| 50 | 7% | 68% | |
| 51 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 52 | 5% | 45% | |
| 53 | 7% | 40% | |
| 54 | 5% | 33% | |
| 55 | 6% | 28% | |
| 56 | 5% | 23% | |
| 57 | 4% | 18% | |
| 58 | 3% | 14% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 60 | 4% | 9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 64 | 3% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 6% | 95% | |
| 32 | 5% | 89% | |
| 33 | 7% | 84% | |
| 34 | 13% | 77% | |
| 35 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 36 | 10% | 50% | Last Result |
| 37 | 9% | 40% | |
| 38 | 8% | 31% | |
| 39 | 7% | 23% | |
| 40 | 3% | 16% | |
| 41 | 5% | 13% | |
| 42 | 1.5% | 7% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 7 | 3% | 98% | |
| 8 | 4% | 95% | |
| 9 | 10% | 91% | |
| 10 | 9% | 81% | |
| 11 | 11% | 72% | |
| 12 | 24% | 61% | Median |
| 13 | 9% | 37% | |
| 14 | 13% | 28% | |
| 15 | 6% | 15% | |
| 16 | 5% | 9% | |
| 17 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 32 | 6% | 98% | |
| 33 | 3% | 92% | |
| 34 | 7% | 89% | |
| 35 | 10% | 82% | |
| 36 | 11% | 72% | |
| 37 | 8% | 60% | |
| 38 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 39 | 10% | 42% | |
| 40 | 6% | 32% | |
| 41 | 6% | 26% | |
| 42 | 6% | 20% | |
| 43 | 3% | 14% | |
| 44 | 10% | 11% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 8% | 95% | |
| 10 | 16% | 87% | |
| 11 | 17% | 71% | |
| 12 | 28% | 53% | Median |
| 13 | 17% | 25% | Last Result |
| 14 | 6% | 9% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 79% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 4 | 0% | 77% | |
| 5 | 0% | 77% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 77% | |
| 7 | 6% | 76% | |
| 8 | 19% | 70% | Last Result |
| 9 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 10 | 17% | 35% | |
| 11 | 10% | 18% | |
| 12 | 4% | 8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 20% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 20% | 79% | |
| 4 | 0% | 59% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 59% | |
| 6 | 4% | 59% | |
| 7 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 15% | 43% | Last Result |
| 9 | 17% | 28% | |
| 10 | 7% | 10% | |
| 11 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 35% | 99.2% | |
| 2 | 30% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 21% | 34% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0% | 13% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 7 | 6% | 13% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 13% | 98% | |
| 2 | 28% | 85% | |
| 3 | 40% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 17% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 17% | |
| 7 | 7% | 16% | |
| 8 | 7% | 9% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Norgesdemokratene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Norgesdemokratene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Pensjonistpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pensjonistpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Konservativt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Konservativt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Industri- og Næringspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Industri- og Næringspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partiet Sentrum
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partiet Sentrum page.
Helsepartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Helsepartiet page.
Pasientfokus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Pasientfokus page.
Liberalistene
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalistene page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Folkets parti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Folkets parti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Kystpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kystpartiet page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 96 | 94 | 95% | 86–103 | 85–106 | 80–108 | 80–110 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 100 | 86 | 57% | 76–95 | 74–96 | 72–98 | 69–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 97 | 83 | 41% | 74–91 | 72–94 | 70–96 | 67–96 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 71 | 86 | 58% | 78–93 | 75–94 | 73–95 | 73–101 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 68 | 83 | 41% | 74–91 | 73–92 | 71–93 | 71–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 95 | 81 | 25% | 72–89 | 68–91 | 66–91 | 64–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 65 | 79 | 27% | 71–88 | 70–89 | 68–90 | 68–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 72 | 74 | 5% | 64–83 | 62–84 | 61–89 | 58–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 92 | 78 | 14% | 69–85 | 66–88 | 64–88 | 61–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 89 | 75 | 4% | 67–83 | 65–84 | 63–86 | 60–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 57 | 74 | 2% | 68–80 | 65–82 | 64–84 | 63–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 82 | 70 | 0.3% | 61–77 | 59–78 | 57–80 | 54–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 61 | 63 | 0% | 56–70 | 54–73 | 53–77 | 51–77 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 79 | 66 | 0% | 60–74 | 57–76 | 56–76 | 52–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 76 | 63 | 0% | 57–71 | 55–73 | 53–73 | 50–75 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 47 | 46 | 0% | 39–52 | 37–54 | 35–56 | 33–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 39 | 21 | 0% | 15–29 | 14–31 | 13–32 | 10–35 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 3% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 82 | 0% | 97% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 85 | 4% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 91% | |
| 87 | 2% | 90% | |
| 88 | 2% | 88% | |
| 89 | 4% | 86% | |
| 90 | 7% | 82% | |
| 91 | 8% | 76% | |
| 92 | 7% | 67% | |
| 93 | 7% | 61% | |
| 94 | 7% | 54% | |
| 95 | 4% | 47% | Median |
| 96 | 4% | 43% | Last Result |
| 97 | 5% | 39% | |
| 98 | 4% | 34% | |
| 99 | 2% | 30% | |
| 100 | 2% | 28% | |
| 101 | 1.5% | 26% | |
| 102 | 3% | 24% | |
| 103 | 12% | 21% | |
| 104 | 2% | 9% | |
| 105 | 2% | 8% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 107 | 2% | 5% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 109 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 2% | 94% | |
| 76 | 3% | 92% | |
| 77 | 3% | 89% | |
| 78 | 9% | 86% | |
| 79 | 3% | 77% | |
| 80 | 2% | 73% | |
| 81 | 6% | 72% | |
| 82 | 4% | 65% | |
| 83 | 2% | 61% | |
| 84 | 3% | 59% | |
| 85 | 5% | 57% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 87 | 3% | 47% | |
| 88 | 8% | 44% | |
| 89 | 4% | 36% | |
| 90 | 8% | 32% | |
| 91 | 7% | 24% | |
| 92 | 3% | 17% | |
| 93 | 1.5% | 13% | |
| 94 | 2% | 12% | |
| 95 | 5% | 10% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 97 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 98 | 3% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 98.5% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 73 | 2% | 95% | |
| 74 | 3% | 93% | |
| 75 | 2% | 90% | |
| 76 | 12% | 87% | |
| 77 | 3% | 76% | |
| 78 | 5% | 72% | |
| 79 | 3% | 68% | |
| 80 | 4% | 65% | |
| 81 | 4% | 61% | |
| 82 | 3% | 58% | |
| 83 | 10% | 55% | |
| 84 | 4% | 45% | Median |
| 85 | 6% | 41% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 35% | |
| 87 | 6% | 29% | |
| 88 | 4% | 24% | |
| 89 | 5% | 20% | |
| 90 | 5% | 16% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 10% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 93 | 2% | 8% | |
| 94 | 2% | 6% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 96 | 3% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 75 | 2% | 96% | |
| 76 | 2% | 94% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 91% | |
| 79 | 5% | 90% | |
| 80 | 5% | 84% | |
| 81 | 4% | 80% | |
| 82 | 6% | 76% | |
| 83 | 6% | 70% | |
| 84 | 6% | 64% | |
| 85 | 4% | 58% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 53% | |
| 87 | 4% | 42% | |
| 88 | 4% | 38% | |
| 89 | 4% | 33% | |
| 90 | 6% | 30% | |
| 91 | 2% | 23% | |
| 92 | 3% | 21% | |
| 93 | 11% | 17% | |
| 94 | 2% | 6% | |
| 95 | 2% | 4% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 74 | 5% | 94% | |
| 75 | 2% | 90% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 88% | |
| 77 | 3% | 87% | |
| 78 | 7% | 83% | |
| 79 | 8% | 76% | |
| 80 | 4% | 68% | |
| 81 | 8% | 63% | |
| 82 | 4% | 55% | |
| 83 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 84 | 5% | 46% | |
| 85 | 4% | 41% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 37% | |
| 87 | 7% | 34% | |
| 88 | 4% | 27% | |
| 89 | 3% | 23% | |
| 90 | 3% | 20% | |
| 91 | 10% | 17% | |
| 92 | 4% | 7% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 2% | 94% | |
| 71 | 2% | 92% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 73 | 2% | 89% | |
| 74 | 2% | 87% | |
| 75 | 4% | 85% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 81% | |
| 77 | 3% | 80% | |
| 78 | 3% | 77% | |
| 79 | 6% | 74% | |
| 80 | 12% | 68% | Median |
| 81 | 7% | 56% | |
| 82 | 10% | 49% | |
| 83 | 5% | 39% | |
| 84 | 9% | 34% | |
| 85 | 4% | 25% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 21% | |
| 87 | 4% | 18% | |
| 88 | 4% | 14% | |
| 89 | 4% | 11% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 91 | 4% | 6% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 5% | 94% | |
| 72 | 3% | 89% | |
| 73 | 2% | 87% | |
| 74 | 3% | 85% | |
| 75 | 3% | 82% | |
| 76 | 8% | 79% | |
| 77 | 12% | 72% | |
| 78 | 5% | 60% | |
| 79 | 5% | 54% | |
| 80 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 43% | |
| 82 | 3% | 39% | |
| 83 | 3% | 35% | |
| 84 | 5% | 32% | |
| 85 | 5% | 27% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 22% | |
| 87 | 4% | 20% | |
| 88 | 10% | 16% | |
| 89 | 2% | 6% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 62 | 2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 64 | 3% | 93% | |
| 65 | 5% | 90% | |
| 66 | 10% | 85% | |
| 67 | 5% | 75% | |
| 68 | 3% | 70% | |
| 69 | 3% | 68% | |
| 70 | 3% | 65% | |
| 71 | 3% | 62% | |
| 72 | 4% | 59% | Last Result |
| 73 | 3% | 55% | |
| 74 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 75 | 6% | 49% | |
| 76 | 6% | 43% | |
| 77 | 6% | 37% | |
| 78 | 8% | 31% | |
| 79 | 6% | 23% | |
| 80 | 3% | 17% | |
| 81 | 2% | 14% | |
| 82 | 2% | 12% | |
| 83 | 2% | 10% | |
| 84 | 4% | 9% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 89 | 3% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 96% | |
| 67 | 2% | 94% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 69 | 2% | 91% | |
| 70 | 2% | 89% | |
| 71 | 2% | 87% | |
| 72 | 5% | 85% | |
| 73 | 2% | 80% | |
| 74 | 3% | 78% | |
| 75 | 6% | 75% | |
| 76 | 7% | 69% | |
| 77 | 11% | 62% | Median |
| 78 | 7% | 51% | |
| 79 | 6% | 44% | |
| 80 | 6% | 39% | |
| 81 | 5% | 33% | |
| 82 | 7% | 28% | |
| 83 | 4% | 21% | |
| 84 | 2% | 16% | |
| 85 | 4% | 14% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 10% | |
| 87 | 2% | 7% | |
| 88 | 3% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 93 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 2% | 94% | |
| 67 | 2% | 92% | |
| 68 | 2% | 89% | |
| 69 | 5% | 87% | |
| 70 | 2% | 82% | |
| 71 | 2% | 80% | |
| 72 | 3% | 78% | |
| 73 | 8% | 75% | |
| 74 | 6% | 67% | |
| 75 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 76 | 5% | 44% | |
| 77 | 6% | 38% | |
| 78 | 7% | 33% | |
| 79 | 6% | 25% | |
| 80 | 4% | 20% | |
| 81 | 3% | 15% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 83 | 3% | 11% | |
| 84 | 4% | 8% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 67 | 2% | 93% | |
| 68 | 4% | 91% | |
| 69 | 9% | 87% | |
| 70 | 7% | 78% | |
| 71 | 8% | 71% | |
| 72 | 4% | 63% | |
| 73 | 5% | 59% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 53% | |
| 75 | 5% | 45% | |
| 76 | 7% | 40% | |
| 77 | 5% | 33% | |
| 78 | 4% | 28% | |
| 79 | 12% | 24% | |
| 80 | 3% | 11% | |
| 81 | 2% | 8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 2% | 94% | |
| 61 | 2% | 91% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 63 | 4% | 87% | |
| 64 | 3% | 83% | |
| 65 | 4% | 80% | |
| 66 | 5% | 77% | |
| 67 | 5% | 72% | |
| 68 | 13% | 67% | Median |
| 69 | 2% | 55% | |
| 70 | 6% | 53% | |
| 71 | 6% | 47% | |
| 72 | 13% | 41% | |
| 73 | 5% | 28% | |
| 74 | 4% | 23% | |
| 75 | 5% | 19% | |
| 76 | 3% | 14% | |
| 77 | 2% | 12% | |
| 78 | 6% | 10% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 95% | |
| 55 | 2% | 93% | |
| 56 | 3% | 91% | |
| 57 | 3% | 88% | |
| 58 | 4% | 86% | |
| 59 | 8% | 82% | |
| 60 | 6% | 74% | |
| 61 | 4% | 67% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 63% | |
| 63 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 64 | 5% | 41% | |
| 65 | 5% | 36% | |
| 66 | 7% | 32% | |
| 67 | 6% | 25% | |
| 68 | 4% | 19% | |
| 69 | 2% | 14% | |
| 70 | 2% | 12% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 72 | 2% | 9% | |
| 73 | 3% | 7% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 77 | 3% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 3% | 93% | |
| 60 | 5% | 91% | |
| 61 | 2% | 85% | |
| 62 | 3% | 83% | |
| 63 | 4% | 80% | |
| 64 | 4% | 76% | |
| 65 | 9% | 71% | |
| 66 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 67 | 5% | 50% | |
| 68 | 6% | 44% | |
| 69 | 6% | 38% | |
| 70 | 8% | 32% | |
| 71 | 4% | 24% | |
| 72 | 3% | 20% | |
| 73 | 3% | 16% | |
| 74 | 5% | 13% | |
| 75 | 3% | 9% | |
| 76 | 3% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 2% | 94% | |
| 57 | 7% | 92% | |
| 58 | 2% | 85% | |
| 59 | 3% | 83% | |
| 60 | 4% | 80% | |
| 61 | 6% | 76% | |
| 62 | 5% | 70% | |
| 63 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 64 | 4% | 47% | |
| 65 | 9% | 42% | |
| 66 | 4% | 34% | |
| 67 | 7% | 29% | |
| 68 | 6% | 22% | |
| 69 | 2% | 16% | |
| 70 | 3% | 14% | |
| 71 | 4% | 11% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 73 | 5% | 6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 36 | 2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 38 | 2% | 94% | |
| 39 | 6% | 92% | |
| 40 | 7% | 86% | |
| 41 | 6% | 79% | |
| 42 | 6% | 73% | |
| 43 | 8% | 67% | |
| 44 | 3% | 59% | |
| 45 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 46 | 6% | 51% | |
| 47 | 13% | 45% | Last Result |
| 48 | 7% | 32% | |
| 49 | 6% | 24% | |
| 50 | 5% | 19% | |
| 51 | 2% | 14% | |
| 52 | 4% | 12% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 54 | 2% | 7% | |
| 55 | 2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 14 | 4% | 96% | |
| 15 | 8% | 92% | |
| 16 | 6% | 84% | |
| 17 | 7% | 78% | |
| 18 | 8% | 71% | |
| 19 | 6% | 63% | |
| 20 | 5% | 57% | |
| 21 | 6% | 52% | |
| 22 | 7% | 46% | Median |
| 23 | 3% | 39% | |
| 24 | 10% | 36% | |
| 25 | 7% | 26% | |
| 26 | 5% | 19% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 29 | 3% | 11% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 31 | 4% | 7% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 6
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 12,582,912
- Error estimate: 3.20%