Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Ap | H | FrP | Sp | SV | V | KrF | MDG | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8–9 September 2013 | General Election | 27.4% 49 |
25.0% 45 |
15.2% 27 |
10.3% 19 |
6.0% 11 |
4.4% 8 |
4.2% 8 |
3.2% 1 |
2.4% 1 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 21–29% 40–53 |
16–21% 27–38 |
9–14% 15–25 |
10–17% 18–32 |
7–13% 11–22 |
3–7% 2–11 |
3–6% 1–9 |
3–8% 2–13 |
4–7% 2–12 |
| 9–11 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23–27% 41–48 |
17–21% 31–37 |
11–14% 19–26 |
11–14% 20–27 |
8–10% 12–18 |
4–5% 2–9 |
3–5% 2–8 |
4–6% 7–11 |
5–7% 8–12 |
| 1–10 September 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
24–30% 44–55 |
17–22% 29–39 |
10–14% 17–25 |
13–17% 22–32 |
6–10% 11–17 |
3–6% 2–10 |
2–5% 1–8 |
4–6% 2–11 |
3–6% 2–11 |
| 3–8 September 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
24–29% 43–55 |
16–21% 28–38 |
11–15% 17–27 |
9–13% 16–24 |
8–11% 12–20 |
3–5% 2–9 |
3–6% 3–10 |
3–6% 2–9 |
5–8% 7–13 |
| 31 August–8 September 2021 | Norstat NRK |
24–26% 43–46 |
20–21% 36–37 |
11–13% 20–22 |
11–13% 20–22 |
8–9% 14–16 |
5% 8–9 |
4–5% 3–8 |
5% 8–9 |
5% 8–9 |
| 7–8 September 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21–27% 39–50 |
17–22% 28–40 |
10–14% 15–25 |
13–17% 22–33 |
7–10% 10–18 |
3–5% 2–9 |
2–5% 1–8 |
5–8% 7–13 |
4–7% 6–12 |
| 6–8 September 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
20–26% 38–46 |
14–20% 25–36 |
10–14% 16–26 |
10–15% 18–27 |
10–14% 15–25 |
5–8% 7–13 |
3–6% 2–10 |
3–6% 2–10 |
5–8% 7–14 |
| 17–21 August 2021 | Sentio Nettavisen |
21–27% 41–50 |
17–22% 29–38 |
8–12% 13–20 |
11–15% 20–31 |
7–11% 11–18 |
3–5% 2–8 |
3–5% 1–8 |
6–9% 9–14 |
4–7% 6–11 |
| 8–9 September 2013 | General Election | 27.4% 49 |
25.0% 45 |
15.2% 27 |
10.3% 19 |
6.0% 11 |
4.4% 8 |
4.2% 8 |
3.2% 1 |
2.4% 1 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Norwegian Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- Ap: Arbeiderpartiet
- H: Høyre
- FrP: Fremskrittspartiet
- Sp: Senterpartiet
- SV: Sosialistisk Venstreparti
- V: Venstre
- KrF: Kristelig Folkeparti
- MDG: Miljøpartiet De Grønne
- R: Rødt
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 24.7% | 22.5–27.4% | 21.8–28.2% | 21.2–28.8% | 20.1–29.9% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 18.9% | 16.8–20.6% | 16.2–20.9% | 15.6–21.3% | 14.6–22.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 11.9% | 10.0–13.2% | 9.4–13.7% | 9.0–14.1% | 8.2–14.9% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.1–15.4% | 10.6–16.1% | 10.1–16.6% | 9.4–17.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.6–11.3% | 7.1–12.3% | 6.8–13.0% | 6.2–14.2% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.2–6.5% | 3.0–7.0% | 2.6–7.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.3–6.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0–7.1% | 3.7–7.6% | 3.4–8.1% | 3.0–8.8% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.5–6.6% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.9–7.3% | 3.5–8.0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 7% | 96% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 12% | 90% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 22% | 78% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 25% | 56% | Median |
| 25.5–26.5% | 13% | 31% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 9% | 18% | Last Result |
| 27.5–28.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 5% | 98% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 12% | 92% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 21% | 81% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 24% | 60% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 23% | 36% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 11% | 12% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 10% | 94% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 20% | 84% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 39% | 64% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 19% | 25% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 4% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 10.5–11.5% | 11% | 95% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 29% | 84% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 20% | 55% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 15% | 35% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 11% | 20% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 1.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 9% | 98.6% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 24% | 90% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 39% | 66% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 12% | 27% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 6% | 15% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 5% | 9% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 13% | 99.7% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 39% | 87% | Last Result |
| 4.5–5.5% | 36% | 48% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 8% | 12% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 24% | 98.5% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 57% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 16% | 18% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3.5–4.5% | 22% | 96% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 44% | 75% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 16% | 31% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 10% | 16% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 10% | 99.3% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 45% | 89% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 33% | 45% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 10% | 11% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 44 | 42–50 | 41–52 | 40–53 | 38–56 |
| Høyre | 45 | 34 | 29–36 | 28–37 | 27–38 | 25–40 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 21 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 15–25 | 13–27 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 22 | 20–29 | 19–30 | 18–32 | 16–33 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 15 | 12–18 | 12–20 | 11–22 | 10–25 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 2–8 | 1–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 8 | 3–11 | 2–12 | 2–13 | 1–14 |
| Rødt | 1 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 2–12 | 2–14 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 6% | 96% | |
| 42 | 8% | 90% | |
| 43 | 11% | 83% | |
| 44 | 23% | 72% | Median |
| 45 | 14% | 49% | |
| 46 | 9% | 35% | |
| 47 | 6% | 26% | |
| 48 | 4% | 20% | |
| 49 | 4% | 16% | Last Result |
| 50 | 4% | 12% | |
| 51 | 2% | 8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 28 | 4% | 97% | |
| 29 | 4% | 93% | |
| 30 | 6% | 90% | |
| 31 | 9% | 83% | |
| 32 | 9% | 74% | |
| 33 | 10% | 65% | |
| 34 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 35 | 12% | 46% | |
| 36 | 26% | 34% | |
| 37 | 5% | 8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98% | |
| 16 | 4% | 96% | |
| 17 | 5% | 91% | |
| 18 | 8% | 86% | |
| 19 | 11% | 78% | |
| 20 | 13% | 67% | |
| 21 | 15% | 54% | Median |
| 22 | 19% | 39% | |
| 23 | 8% | 20% | |
| 24 | 6% | 12% | |
| 25 | 4% | 6% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.9% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 19 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 20 | 18% | 94% | |
| 21 | 16% | 76% | |
| 22 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 23 | 6% | 47% | |
| 24 | 7% | 42% | |
| 25 | 9% | 35% | |
| 26 | 4% | 26% | |
| 27 | 8% | 22% | |
| 28 | 4% | 14% | |
| 29 | 5% | 10% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 4% | |
| 32 | 2% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 3% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 12 | 9% | 95% | |
| 13 | 11% | 87% | |
| 14 | 13% | 76% | |
| 15 | 24% | 63% | Median |
| 16 | 16% | 39% | |
| 17 | 9% | 23% | |
| 18 | 5% | 14% | |
| 19 | 3% | 10% | |
| 20 | 2% | 7% | |
| 21 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 23 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 29% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 71% | |
| 4 | 0% | 70% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 70% | |
| 6 | 5% | 70% | |
| 7 | 17% | 65% | Median |
| 8 | 28% | 48% | Last Result |
| 9 | 11% | 20% | |
| 10 | 5% | 9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 5% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 8% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 9% | 92% | |
| 3 | 34% | 83% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 49% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 49% | |
| 6 | 6% | 49% | |
| 7 | 27% | 42% | |
| 8 | 11% | 16% | Last Result |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 8% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 2% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 89% | |
| 5 | 0% | 89% | |
| 6 | 3% | 89% | |
| 7 | 11% | 86% | |
| 8 | 25% | 75% | Median |
| 9 | 20% | 50% | |
| 10 | 11% | 30% | |
| 11 | 10% | 19% | |
| 12 | 5% | 9% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 97% | |
| 5 | 0% | 97% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 7 | 8% | 96% | |
| 8 | 25% | 88% | |
| 9 | 24% | 63% | Median |
| 10 | 21% | 39% | |
| 11 | 13% | 18% | |
| 12 | 4% | 6% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 101 | 100% | 96–108 | 94–109 | 93–111 | 90–114 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 88 | 96 | 99.9% | 92–103 | 91–104 | 89–106 | 86–108 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 93 | 99.0% | 88–99 | 87–100 | 86–102 | 84–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 92 | 96% | 87–99 | 85–101 | 84–102 | 80–105 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 89 | 80% | 82–94 | 80–95 | 79–96 | 76–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 83 | 38% | 79–90 | 78–92 | 77–93 | 75–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 77 | 81 | 29% | 76–89 | 73–90 | 71–92 | 68–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 62 | 78 | 4% | 74–83 | 72–84 | 71–86 | 68–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 73 | 0.8% | 68–79 | 67–82 | 65–83 | 62–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 89 | 73 | 0.1% | 67–81 | 66–81 | 64–82 | 62–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 68 | 0% | 63–76 | 62–77 | 61–80 | 59–82 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 65 | 0% | 58–73 | 56–73 | 54–74 | 52–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 60 | 0% | 57–65 | 55–67 | 55–69 | 52–71 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 61 | 0% | 54–66 | 52–67 | 51–67 | 48–69 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 54 | 0% | 49–58 | 47–59 | 46–60 | 44–63 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 45 | 0% | 39–51 | 37–52 | 36–52 | 34–53 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 35 | 0% | 29–39 | 27–41 | 26–43 | 24–46 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 92 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 94 | 2% | 97% | |
| 95 | 4% | 95% | |
| 96 | 10% | 91% | |
| 97 | 5% | 81% | |
| 98 | 7% | 76% | Median |
| 99 | 7% | 70% | |
| 100 | 10% | 62% | |
| 101 | 8% | 52% | |
| 102 | 9% | 45% | |
| 103 | 6% | 36% | |
| 104 | 7% | 30% | |
| 105 | 6% | 23% | |
| 106 | 4% | 17% | |
| 107 | 3% | 13% | |
| 108 | 3% | 10% | |
| 109 | 3% | 8% | |
| 110 | 2% | 5% | |
| 111 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 90 | 2% | 97% | |
| 91 | 2% | 95% | |
| 92 | 3% | 93% | Median |
| 93 | 7% | 90% | |
| 94 | 9% | 83% | |
| 95 | 15% | 74% | |
| 96 | 9% | 59% | |
| 97 | 9% | 50% | |
| 98 | 7% | 40% | |
| 99 | 8% | 34% | |
| 100 | 6% | 26% | |
| 101 | 5% | 20% | |
| 102 | 4% | 15% | |
| 103 | 4% | 11% | |
| 104 | 2% | 7% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 5% | 96% | |
| 88 | 10% | 91% | |
| 89 | 6% | 81% | |
| 90 | 8% | 75% | Median |
| 91 | 10% | 67% | |
| 92 | 6% | 57% | |
| 93 | 11% | 51% | |
| 94 | 7% | 40% | |
| 95 | 8% | 33% | |
| 96 | 6% | 25% | |
| 97 | 4% | 20% | |
| 98 | 3% | 15% | |
| 99 | 5% | 12% | |
| 100 | 3% | 7% | |
| 101 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 96% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 95% | |
| 87 | 6% | 93% | |
| 88 | 11% | 86% | |
| 89 | 8% | 75% | Median |
| 90 | 7% | 67% | |
| 91 | 9% | 60% | |
| 92 | 8% | 51% | |
| 93 | 9% | 43% | |
| 94 | 5% | 34% | |
| 95 | 4% | 29% | |
| 96 | 6% | 25% | |
| 97 | 4% | 19% | |
| 98 | 3% | 14% | |
| 99 | 2% | 11% | |
| 100 | 3% | 8% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 81 | 2% | 95% | |
| 82 | 3% | 93% | |
| 83 | 5% | 90% | |
| 84 | 6% | 85% | |
| 85 | 5% | 80% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 74% | |
| 87 | 8% | 67% | Median |
| 88 | 7% | 60% | |
| 89 | 8% | 53% | |
| 90 | 7% | 45% | |
| 91 | 8% | 37% | |
| 92 | 7% | 30% | |
| 93 | 7% | 23% | |
| 94 | 9% | 16% | |
| 95 | 3% | 7% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 78 | 3% | 97% | |
| 79 | 7% | 94% | Last Result |
| 80 | 12% | 87% | |
| 81 | 9% | 75% | Median |
| 82 | 10% | 66% | |
| 83 | 11% | 56% | |
| 84 | 7% | 45% | |
| 85 | 8% | 38% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 30% | |
| 87 | 5% | 25% | |
| 88 | 4% | 19% | |
| 89 | 4% | 15% | |
| 90 | 3% | 11% | |
| 91 | 2% | 8% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 2% | 93% | |
| 76 | 3% | 91% | |
| 77 | 5% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 78 | 6% | 83% | |
| 79 | 9% | 77% | |
| 80 | 14% | 68% | |
| 81 | 7% | 54% | |
| 82 | 6% | 47% | |
| 83 | 6% | 41% | |
| 84 | 6% | 35% | |
| 85 | 6% | 29% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 23% | |
| 87 | 6% | 19% | |
| 88 | 3% | 13% | |
| 89 | 3% | 10% | |
| 90 | 2% | 7% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 2% | 96% | |
| 73 | 4% | 94% | |
| 74 | 7% | 90% | |
| 75 | 12% | 84% | |
| 76 | 10% | 71% | Median |
| 77 | 11% | 61% | |
| 78 | 11% | 50% | |
| 79 | 9% | 40% | |
| 80 | 8% | 30% | |
| 81 | 6% | 22% | |
| 82 | 5% | 16% | |
| 83 | 4% | 10% | |
| 84 | 2% | 7% | |
| 85 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 5% | 93% | |
| 69 | 8% | 88% | Median |
| 70 | 5% | 80% | |
| 71 | 9% | 75% | |
| 72 | 14% | 66% | |
| 73 | 7% | 52% | |
| 74 | 7% | 45% | |
| 75 | 7% | 38% | |
| 76 | 8% | 31% | Last Result |
| 77 | 4% | 23% | |
| 78 | 5% | 19% | |
| 79 | 5% | 14% | |
| 80 | 2% | 9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 7% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 95% | |
| 67 | 3% | 92% | |
| 68 | 3% | 89% | |
| 69 | 7% | 86% | |
| 70 | 8% | 79% | |
| 71 | 7% | 71% | |
| 72 | 7% | 63% | |
| 73 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 50% | |
| 75 | 7% | 42% | |
| 76 | 7% | 35% | |
| 77 | 4% | 28% | |
| 78 | 5% | 23% | |
| 79 | 5% | 18% | |
| 80 | 3% | 14% | |
| 81 | 7% | 11% | |
| 82 | 3% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 3% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 95% | |
| 63 | 5% | 93% | |
| 64 | 7% | 88% | |
| 65 | 13% | 81% | |
| 66 | 9% | 69% | Median |
| 67 | 9% | 60% | |
| 68 | 6% | 51% | Last Result |
| 69 | 8% | 45% | |
| 70 | 7% | 38% | |
| 71 | 5% | 30% | |
| 72 | 4% | 25% | |
| 73 | 4% | 21% | |
| 74 | 3% | 17% | |
| 75 | 4% | 14% | |
| 76 | 3% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 7% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 57 | 2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 4% | 93% | |
| 59 | 3% | 89% | |
| 60 | 6% | 85% | |
| 61 | 5% | 79% | |
| 62 | 5% | 74% | |
| 63 | 7% | 69% | |
| 64 | 8% | 63% | |
| 65 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 66 | 5% | 47% | |
| 67 | 6% | 42% | |
| 68 | 5% | 35% | |
| 69 | 7% | 30% | |
| 70 | 4% | 22% | |
| 71 | 4% | 18% | |
| 72 | 3% | 15% | |
| 73 | 8% | 11% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 95% | |
| 57 | 8% | 92% | |
| 58 | 10% | 83% | |
| 59 | 20% | 73% | Median |
| 60 | 13% | 53% | Last Result |
| 61 | 9% | 40% | |
| 62 | 6% | 31% | |
| 63 | 6% | 25% | |
| 64 | 5% | 18% | |
| 65 | 4% | 13% | |
| 66 | 3% | 9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 6% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 95% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | |
| 54 | 2% | 91% | |
| 55 | 5% | 89% | |
| 56 | 6% | 84% | |
| 57 | 7% | 78% | |
| 58 | 8% | 70% | |
| 59 | 5% | 62% | |
| 60 | 6% | 58% | |
| 61 | 8% | 52% | |
| 62 | 6% | 43% | Median |
| 63 | 5% | 37% | |
| 64 | 9% | 32% | |
| 65 | 5% | 24% | |
| 66 | 13% | 19% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 47 | 2% | 97% | |
| 48 | 4% | 95% | |
| 49 | 6% | 91% | |
| 50 | 5% | 85% | |
| 51 | 7% | 80% | |
| 52 | 6% | 73% | |
| 53 | 9% | 67% | |
| 54 | 8% | 57% | |
| 55 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 56 | 10% | 40% | |
| 57 | 8% | 30% | |
| 58 | 13% | 22% | |
| 59 | 5% | 9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 37 | 2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 2% | 94% | |
| 39 | 4% | 92% | |
| 40 | 4% | 88% | |
| 41 | 8% | 83% | |
| 42 | 7% | 75% | |
| 43 | 10% | 68% | |
| 44 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 45 | 9% | 50% | |
| 46 | 7% | 42% | |
| 47 | 8% | 35% | |
| 48 | 5% | 27% | |
| 49 | 3% | 21% | |
| 50 | 3% | 19% | |
| 51 | 11% | 16% | |
| 52 | 4% | 5% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 27 | 2% | 97% | |
| 28 | 3% | 95% | |
| 29 | 3% | 92% | |
| 30 | 4% | 89% | |
| 31 | 5% | 84% | |
| 32 | 7% | 79% | Median |
| 33 | 11% | 72% | |
| 34 | 9% | 61% | |
| 35 | 9% | 52% | Last Result |
| 36 | 15% | 44% | |
| 37 | 10% | 29% | |
| 38 | 5% | 20% | |
| 39 | 5% | 14% | |
| 40 | 3% | 10% | |
| 41 | 2% | 7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 5% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 7
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 7,340,032
- Error estimate: 2.56%