Senterpartiet

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 10.3% (General Election of 8–9 September 2013)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12.8% 11.1–15.4% 10.6–16.1% 10.1–16.6% 9.4–17.5%
9–11 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
12.7% 11.8–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.3–14.2% 10.9–14.7%
1–10 September 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.1–16.9% 12.7–17.3% 12.1–18.1%
8–10 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
13.2% 12.2–14.2% 12.0–14.5% 11.8–14.7% 11.3–15.2%
7–9 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
12.7% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–14.0% 11.2–14.2% 10.8–14.7%
3–8 September 2021 Respons Analyse
Bergens Tidende and VG
11.1% 9.9–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.9%
31 August–8 September 2021 Norstat
NRK
11.9% 11.5–12.3% 11.4–12.4% 11.3–12.5% 11.1–12.7%
7–8 September 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
14.8% 13.4–16.5% 12.9–17.0% 12.6–17.4% 11.9–18.2%
3–8 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
13.4% 12.5–14.3% 12.3–14.5% 12.1–14.7% 11.7–15.2%
6–8 September 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
12.2% 10.7–13.9% 10.3–14.4% 10.0–14.8% 9.3–15.7%
1–7 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
13.8% 12.9–14.8% 12.6–15.1% 12.4–15.3% 12.0–15.8%
30 August–6 September 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
14.3% 13.0–15.9% 12.6–16.3% 12.3–16.7% 11.6–17.5%
1–6 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.5% 12.4–15.7% 11.9–16.3%
25 August–3 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
14.0% 12.8–15.2% 12.5–15.6% 12.2–15.9% 11.7–16.5%
27 August–2 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
12.4% 11.4–13.6% 11.1–13.9% 10.8–14.2% 10.4–14.8%
27 August–1 September 2021 Respons Analyse
Bergens Tidende and VG
12.6% 11.2–14.2% 10.8–14.7% 10.5–15.1% 9.8–15.9%
25–31 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
11.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.6% 9.3–12.9% 8.9–13.5%
23–29 August 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten
12.3% 10.7–14.1% 10.3–14.6% 9.9–15.1% 9.2–16.0%
24–28 August 2021 Norstat
Vårt Land
12.6% 11.3–14.1% 10.9–14.5% 10.6–14.8% 10.0–15.6%
23–27 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
11.5% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.7% 9.1–14.4%
20–25 August 2021 Respons Analyse
Bergens Tidende and VG
11.9% 10.5–13.4% 10.1–13.9% 9.8–14.3% 9.2–15.1%
19–25 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
11.2% 10.0–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.3–13.3% 8.8–14.0%
23–25 August 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
12.6% 11.2–14.2% 10.8–14.7% 10.4–15.1% 9.8–15.9%
19–24 August 2021 Norstat
Dagens Næringsliv
11.9% 10.4–13.8% 10.0–14.3% 9.6–14.7% 8.9–15.6%
16–22 August 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten
12.7% 11.2–14.6% 10.7–15.1% 10.3–15.6% 9.6–16.5%
17–21 August 2021 Sentio
Nettavisen
13.2% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.1% 11.2–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
16–20 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
13.0% 11.6–14.6% 11.2–15.1% 10.8–15.5% 10.2–16.3%
13–18 August 2021 Respons Analyse
Bergens Tidende and VG
11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
10–13 August 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
17.1% 15.6–18.7% 15.2–19.2% 14.8–19.6% 14.1–20.4%
9–13 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
13.6% 12.3–15.1% 11.9–15.6% 11.6–15.9% 11.0–16.7%
5–11 August 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
15.3% 13.9–16.9% 13.5–17.3% 13.2–17.7% 12.6–18.4%
6–11 August 2021 Norstat
Dagens Næringsliv
16.1% 14.5–17.9% 14.1–18.4% 13.7–18.8% 13.0–19.7%
3–8 August 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
19.2% 17.5–21.2% 17.0–21.8% 16.5–22.3% 15.7–23.2%
2–6 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
16.4% 14.9–18.0% 14.5–18.4% 14.2–18.8% 13.5–19.6%
3–4 August 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
15.8% 14.2–17.6% 13.8–18.1% 13.4–18.6% 12.7–19.5%
22–28 July 2021 Norstat
Dagens Næringsliv
15.0% 13.4–16.8% 13.0–17.3% 12.6–17.8% 11.9–18.7%
6–7 July 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
16.9% 15.3–18.7% 14.8–19.3% 14.4–19.7% 13.7–20.6%
28 June–2 July 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.2% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.5%
28–30 June 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
19.3% 17.8–21.0% 17.3–21.5% 17.0–21.9% 16.3–22.7%
17–23 June 2021 Norstat
Dagens Næringsliv
15.1% 13.5–16.9% 13.1–17.4% 12.7–17.8% 12.0–18.7%
15–20 June 2021 Norstat
Vårt Land
17.5% 16.0–19.2% 15.6–19.7% 15.2–20.1% 14.5–20.9%
9–14 June 2021 Respons Analyse
Bergens Tidende and VG
18.2% 16.7–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 15.9–20.7% 15.2–21.5%
8–13 June 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
18.7% 17.2–20.4% 16.8–20.8% 16.4–21.2% 15.7–22.1%
26 May–11 June 2021 Norstat
NRK
17.7% 17.2–18.1% 17.1–18.3% 17.0–18.4% 16.8–18.6%
1–7 June 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
18.7% 16.9–20.6% 16.4–21.2% 16.0–21.7% 15.2–22.7%
31 May–4 June 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
17.6% 16.1–19.2% 15.7–19.7% 15.4–20.1% 14.7–20.9%
25–31 May 2021 Norstat
NRK
17.0% 15.5–18.7% 15.1–19.1% 14.7–19.5% 14.1–20.3%
25–31 May 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
17.6% 16.2–19.1% 15.8–19.5% 15.5–19.8% 14.9–20.6%
24–26 May 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
16.4% 14.7–18.2% 14.3–18.7% 13.9–19.2% 13.1–20.1%
18–25 May 2021 Norstat
Vårt Land
16.1% 14.7–17.7% 14.3–18.2% 13.9–18.6% 13.3–19.4%
20–24 May 2021 Norstat
Dagens Næringsliv
16.2% 14.8–17.8% 14.4–18.2% 14.1–18.6% 13.4–19.4%
11–16 May 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.9–16.6% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
13 May 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
16.2% 14.8–17.9% 14.4–18.3% 14.0–18.7% 13.4–19.6%
5–10 May 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
18.3% 16.8–19.9% 16.4–20.4% 16.0–20.8% 15.3–21.6%
4–5 May 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
14.8% 13.4–16.3% 13.1–16.8% 12.7–17.1% 12.1–17.9%
27 April–3 May 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
17.5% 16.0–19.2% 15.6–19.7% 15.3–20.1% 14.6–20.9%
26–30 April 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
18.4% 16.9–20.1% 16.5–20.6% 16.1–21.0% 15.4–21.8%
26–28 April 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
17.5% 15.8–19.4% 15.3–20.0% 14.9–20.5% 14.2–21.4%
20–24 April 2021 Norstat
Vårt Land
17.8% 16.2–19.4% 15.8–19.9% 15.5–20.3% 14.8–21.1%
7–20 April 2021 Norstat
NRK
17.1% 16.6–17.6% 16.5–17.7% 16.4–17.8% 16.2–18.0%
13–19 April 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.2–19.2% 14.9–19.6% 14.2–20.4%
14 April 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
19.0% 17.4–20.7% 17.0–21.2% 16.6–21.6% 15.9–22.5%
7–12 April 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
14.0% 12.5–15.7% 12.1–16.2% 11.7–16.7% 11.0–17.5%
6–7 April 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
18.8% 17.0–20.7% 16.6–21.3% 16.1–21.8% 15.3–22.7%
29 March–7 April 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
18.8% 17.3–20.4% 16.8–20.9% 16.5–21.3% 15.8–22.1%
23–28 March 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
16.6% 15.2–18.3% 14.8–18.7% 14.4–19.1% 13.7–19.9%
22–24 March 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
16.8% 15.1–18.6% 14.7–19.1% 14.3–19.6% 13.5–20.5%
16–21 March 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
20.5% 18.9–22.3% 18.4–22.7% 18.1–23.2% 17.3–24.0%
9–14 March 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
18.6% 17.1–20.3% 16.7–20.7% 16.3–21.1% 15.6–21.9%
5–10 March 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
18.6% 17.1–20.2% 16.6–20.7% 16.3–21.1% 15.6–21.9%
1–8 March 2021 Opinion Perduco 20.7% 18.8–22.8% 18.3–23.4% 17.8–23.9% 17.0–24.9%
2–3 March 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
17.7% 16.2–19.3% 15.8–19.8% 15.5–20.2% 14.8–21.0%
22–28 February 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
22.3% 20.6–24.1% 20.1–24.6% 19.7–25.0% 19.0–25.9%
22–26 February 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
19.2% 17.6–20.9% 17.2–21.3% 16.8–21.7% 16.1–22.6%
22–24 February 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
17.7% 16.1–19.6% 15.6–20.2% 15.2–20.6% 14.4–21.6%
15–21 February 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
18.6% 17.1–20.3% 16.7–20.8% 16.3–21.2% 15.6–22.1%
9–14 February 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
18.4% 16.9–20.1% 16.5–20.5% 16.1–20.9% 15.4–21.7%
1–8 February 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
19.1% 17.5–20.8% 17.1–21.3% 16.7–21.7% 16.0–22.5%
2–3 February 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
19.7% 18.2–21.4% 17.7–21.9% 17.3–22.3% 16.6–23.1%
27 January–2 February 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
18.8% 17.3–20.5% 16.9–20.9% 16.5–21.4% 15.8–22.2%
25–31 January 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
22.0% 20.0–24.1% 19.5–24.6% 19.1–25.2% 18.2–26.2%
25–29 January 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
19.9% 18.2–21.9% 17.6–22.5% 17.2–23.0% 16.4–24.0%
25–27 January 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
21.4% 19.5–23.4% 19.0–24.0% 18.6–24.5% 17.7–25.5%
18–24 January 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
19.6% 18.0–21.3% 17.6–21.8% 17.2–22.3% 16.5–23.1%
12–16 January 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
19.6% 18.1–21.3% 17.6–21.8% 17.3–22.2% 16.5–23.0%
13 January 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
20.1% 18.5–21.8% 18.0–22.3% 17.6–22.8% 16.9–23.6%
13 January 2021 InFact
Amedia and Nettavisen
20.5% 19.6–21.4% 19.4–21.7% 19.1–21.9% 18.7–22.4%
4–8 January 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
21.7% 20.1–23.5% 19.6–24.0% 19.2–24.4% 18.5–25.3%
4–6 January 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
19.2% 17.7–20.9% 17.2–21.4% 16.9–21.8% 16.2–22.6%
5–6 January 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
22.7% 20.8–24.7% 20.3–25.2% 19.9–25.7% 19.0–26.7%
28 December 2020–2 January 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
21.3% 19.7–23.1% 19.2–23.6% 18.8–24.0% 18.1–24.9%
14–16 December 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
22.3% 20.4–24.3% 19.8–24.9% 19.4–25.4% 18.5–26.4%
7–13 December 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
21.3% 19.7–23.1% 19.2–23.6% 18.8–24.1% 18.1–24.9%
1–7 December 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
22.2% 20.3–24.4% 19.7–25.0% 19.3–25.5% 18.4–26.5%
1–2 December 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
20.1% 18.4–22.0% 17.9–22.6% 17.5–23.0% 16.7–24.0%
25–30 November 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
20.5% 18.9–22.2% 18.5–22.7% 18.1–23.1% 17.4–24.0%
24–30 November 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
22.1% 20.3–24.1% 19.8–24.6% 19.3–25.1% 18.5–26.1%
24–29 November 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
18.4% 16.9–20.1% 16.5–20.5% 16.1–20.9% 15.4–21.7%
16–18 November 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
18.7% 16.9–20.7% 16.4–21.2% 15.9–21.7% 15.1–22.7%
9–15 November 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
19.3% 17.8–21.0% 17.3–21.5% 16.9–22.0% 16.2–22.8%
3–9 November 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
17.8% 16.2–19.4% 15.8–19.9% 15.5–20.3% 14.8–21.1%
3–4 November 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
17.7% 16.2–19.3% 15.8–19.8% 15.5–20.2% 14.8–21.0%
27 October–3 November 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
16.4% 15.0–18.0% 14.6–18.4% 14.2–18.8% 13.6–19.6%
28–31 October 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
18.9% 17.4–20.6% 16.9–21.0% 16.6–21.5% 15.9–22.3%
26–30 October 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
19.8% 18.1–21.8% 17.6–22.3% 17.2–22.8% 16.4–23.7%
20–25 October 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
14.9% 13.2–16.7% 12.8–17.2% 12.4–17.7% 11.7–18.6%
19–21 October 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
17.8% 16.0–19.7% 15.6–20.2% 15.2–20.7% 14.4–21.7%
12–18 October 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
16.6% 15.2–18.3% 14.8–18.7% 14.4–19.1% 13.7–19.9%
6–12 October 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
19.8% 18.2–21.5% 17.8–22.0% 17.4–22.4% 16.7–23.2%
6–7 October 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
17.0% 15.3–18.8% 14.9–19.4% 14.5–19.8% 13.7–20.7%
29 September–4 October 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
14.2% 12.9–15.8% 12.5–16.2% 12.2–16.6% 11.5–17.4%
28 September–2 October 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
16.3% 14.6–18.2% 14.1–18.7% 13.7–19.2% 13.0–20.1%
28–30 September 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
21–27 September 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
13.1% 11.6–14.8% 11.1–15.3% 10.8–15.8% 10.1–16.7%
21–25 September 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
15.1% 13.5–17.0% 13.1–17.5% 12.7–18.0% 12.0–18.9%
14–20 September 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
14.3% 13.0–15.9% 12.6–16.3% 12.3–16.7% 11.6–17.5%
8–14 September 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.9–16.6% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
1–7 September 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.8–18.4% 13.2–19.2%
1–2 September 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
13.5% 12.0–15.2% 11.6–15.6% 11.2–16.0% 10.6–16.9%
25 August–1 September 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
13.6% 12.3–15.1% 11.9–15.6% 11.6–16.0% 10.9–16.7%
26–31 August 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
14.7% 13.3–16.2% 13.0–16.7% 12.6–17.0% 12.0–17.8%
24–31 August 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
12.2% 10.9–13.7% 10.5–14.1% 10.2–14.4% 9.7–15.2%
17–23 August 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
14.0% 12.6–15.5% 12.2–15.9% 11.9–16.3% 11.3–17.1%
17–19 August 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
13.8% 12.3–15.6% 11.9–16.1% 11.5–16.6% 10.8–17.5%
11–16 August 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
12.6% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
6–11 August 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
14.4% 13.0–15.9% 12.7–16.3% 12.3–16.7% 11.7–17.5%
4–10 August 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
13.8% 12.4–15.3% 12.1–15.8% 11.7–16.1% 11.1–16.9%
4–7 August 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
14.9% 13.3–16.7% 12.9–17.2% 12.5–17.6% 11.8–18.5%
4–5 August 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
13.2% 11.9–14.6% 11.5–15.1% 11.2–15.4% 10.6–16.2%
4 August 2020 InFact
Avisa Nordland, Bergensavisen, iFinnmark and Nidaros
14.1% 12.7–15.5% 12.4–16.0% 12.1–16.3% 11.5–17.1%
29 July–3 August 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
15.1% 13.5–16.9% 13.0–17.5% 12.6–17.9% 11.9–18.9%
7–8 July 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.0–15.6% 11.7–16.0% 11.1–16.7%
24–30 June 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
12.7% 11.2–14.3% 10.8–14.8% 10.5–15.2% 9.8–16.0%
22–24 June 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.6% 10.7–16.3%
15–21 June 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–16.0%
9–13 June 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
2–8 June 2020 Opinion Perduco 14.6% 13.0–16.5% 12.6–17.0% 12.2–17.4% 11.5–18.4%
2–4 June 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
14.5% 13.1–16.0% 12.7–16.4% 12.4–16.8% 11.8–17.5%
2–3 June 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.8–16.5% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.6%
26 May–1 June 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
14.6% 13.0–16.4% 12.5–17.0% 12.2–17.4% 11.4–18.4%
25–29 May 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
13.7% 12.3–15.4% 11.8–15.9% 11.5–16.4% 10.8–17.2%
25–28 May 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
13.0% 11.5–14.7% 11.0–15.2% 10.7–15.7% 10.0–16.5%
19–25 May 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
15.0% 13.6–16.6% 13.3–17.1% 12.9–17.5% 12.3–18.2%
12–16 May 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.5%
5–10 May 2020 Opinion Perduco 12.0% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.2% 9.5–14.9%
5–6 May 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
13.5% 12.0–15.1% 11.6–15.6% 11.3–16.0% 10.6–16.8%
30 April–5 May 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
14.7% 13.3–16.2% 13.0–16.7% 12.6–17.0% 12.0–17.8%
27 April–4 May 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
15.4% 13.9–16.9% 13.5–17.4% 13.2–17.8% 12.6–18.6%
27–29 April 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.8–16.5% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
20–26 April 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
15.6% 14.2–17.2% 13.8–17.6% 13.4–18.0% 12.8–18.8%
20–22 April 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
14.2% 12.7–16.0% 12.2–16.5% 11.9–17.0% 11.2–17.9%
14–20 April 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
31 March–5 April 2020 Opinion Perduco 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.1% 11.2–16.8%
26 March–1 April 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.5%
31 March–1 April 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
14.7% 13.3–16.2% 13.0–16.7% 12.6–17.0% 12.0–17.8%
25–31 March 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
14.9% 13.3–16.7% 12.8–17.2% 12.5–17.7% 11.8–18.6%
23–29 March 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
15.3% 13.7–17.1% 13.2–17.6% 12.8–18.1% 12.1–19.0%
16–23 March 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
14.6% 13.2–16.2% 12.8–16.6% 12.5–17.0% 11.9–17.8%
18–20 March 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
17.4% 15.6–19.4% 15.1–20.0% 14.7–20.5% 13.9–21.5%
10–16 March 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
17.5% 16.0–19.1% 15.6–19.6% 15.3–20.0% 14.6–20.8%
3–9 March 2020 Opinion Perduco 18.4% 16.8–20.0% 16.4–20.5% 16.0–20.9% 15.3–21.7%
3–4 March 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
15.9% 14.5–17.5% 14.1–17.9% 13.8–18.3% 13.1–19.1%
27 February–2 March 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
16.7% 15.3–18.3% 14.9–18.7% 14.5–19.1% 13.9–19.9%
24 February–2 March 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
16.4% 14.7–18.3% 14.2–18.9% 13.8–19.3% 13.0–20.3%
24–28 February 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
17.5% 15.9–19.4% 15.4–20.0% 15.0–20.4% 14.2–21.4%
17–23 February 2020 Norstat
Vårt Land
15.8% 14.0–17.8% 13.5–18.3% 13.1–18.8% 12.3–19.8%
17–19 February 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
14.7% 13.2–16.6% 12.7–17.1% 12.3–17.5% 11.6–18.4%
11–17 February 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
14.1% 12.8–15.6% 12.4–16.0% 12.1–16.4% 11.5–17.1%
4–10 February 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå and Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
15.2% 13.8–16.7% 13.4–17.2% 13.0–17.6% 12.4–18.4%
4–5 February 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
15.9% 14.5–17.5% 14.1–17.9% 13.8–18.3% 13.1–19.1%
30 January–3 February 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
27 January–2 February 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
17.3% 15.8–19.0% 15.4–19.5% 15.1–19.9% 14.4–20.7%
27–31 January 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
15.0% 13.4–16.7% 13.0–17.2% 12.7–17.6% 11.9–18.5%
24–27 January 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
12.5% 11.3–13.9% 10.9–14.4% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
21–27 January 2020 Norstat
Vårt Land
12.7% 11.2–14.6% 10.7–15.1% 10.3–15.6% 9.6–16.5%
20–22 January 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
16.4% 14.7–18.2% 14.3–18.7% 13.9–19.2% 13.1–20.1%
20–21 January 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
14.8% 13.5–16.2% 13.2–16.6% 12.9–16.9% 12.3–17.6%
21 January 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
14.5% 12.9–16.5% 12.4–17.0% 12.0–17.5% 11.2–18.4%
14–18 January 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
16.8% 15.4–18.4% 15.0–18.9% 14.6–19.3% 13.9–20.0%
15 January 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå and Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
20.9% 19.3–22.6% 18.8–23.2% 18.4–23.6% 17.7–24.4%
6–10 January 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
17.9% 16.3–19.8% 15.8–20.3% 15.4–20.8% 14.7–21.7%
7–8 January 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
16.5% 14.9–18.4% 14.5–18.9% 14.1–19.3% 13.4–20.2%
6 January 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
15.8% 14.4–17.3% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.0–19.0%
30 December 2019–5 January 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
15.7% 14.3–17.3% 13.9–17.8% 13.6–18.2% 12.9–19.0%
16–18 December 2019 Ipsos MMI 15.9% 14.2–17.7% 13.8–18.2% 13.4–18.7% 12.6–19.6%
9–15 December 2019 Norstat 18.5% 17.0–20.1% 16.6–20.6% 16.2–21.0% 15.5–21.8%
3–8 December 2019 Opinion Perduco 20.2% 18.6–21.9% 18.2–22.4% 17.8–22.8% 17.0–23.7%
3–4 December 2019 Norfakta 19.3% 17.6–21.1% 17.1–21.7% 16.7–22.1% 15.9–23.0%
26 November–2 December 2019 Sentio 15.6% 14.2–17.2% 13.8–17.6% 13.5–18.0% 12.8–18.8%
28 November–2 December 2019 Respons Analyse 17.4% 15.9–19.0% 15.5–19.5% 15.2–19.9% 14.5–20.7%
25–29 November 2019 Kantar TNS 17.6% 16.0–19.5% 15.5–20.0% 15.1–20.5% 14.4–21.4%
19–25 November 2019 Norstat 18.0% 16.3–19.9% 15.8–20.5% 15.4–20.9% 14.6–21.9%
18–20 November 2019 Ipsos MMI 19.2% 17.4–21.2% 16.9–21.7% 16.5–22.2% 15.7–23.2%
12–18 November 2019 Norstat 20.1% 18.1–22.2% 17.6–22.8% 17.1–23.4% 16.2–24.4%
5–11 November 2019 Opinion Perduco 20.9% 19.2–22.6% 18.8–23.1% 18.4–23.5% 17.6–24.4%
5–6 November 2019 Norfakta 19.2% 17.5–21.1% 17.1–21.7% 16.6–22.1% 15.9–23.1%
31 October–4 November 2019 Respons Analyse 16.5% 15.0–18.0% 14.6–18.5% 14.3–18.9% 13.6–19.7%
29 October–2 November 2019 Sentio 20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
28 October–1 November 2019 Kantar TNS 19.5% 17.8–21.4% 17.3–21.9% 16.9–22.4% 16.1–23.4%
22–28 October 2019 Norstat 17.5% 15.8–19.4% 15.3–20.0% 14.9–20.5% 14.1–21.5%
21–23 October 2019 Ipsos MMI 17.7% 16.0–19.6% 15.5–20.1% 15.1–20.5% 14.4–21.5%
15–21 October 2019 Norstat 18.1% 16.5–19.8% 16.1–20.3% 15.7–20.7% 15.0–21.5%
8–14 October 2019 Sentio 17.6% 16.1–19.2% 15.7–19.7% 15.4–20.1% 14.7–20.9%
1–7 October 2019 Opinion Perduco 18.7% 17.2–20.4% 16.7–20.9% 16.4–21.3% 15.6–22.2%
30 September–4 October 2019 Kantar TNS 15.6% 14.0–17.3% 13.6–17.8% 13.2–18.2% 12.5–19.1%
1–2 October 2019 Norfakta 17.2% 15.5–19.0% 15.1–19.5% 14.7–19.9% 14.0–20.8%
24–30 September 2019 Norstat 18.6% 16.8–20.7% 16.2–21.4% 15.8–21.9% 14.9–22.9%
23–25 September 2019 Respons Analyse 14.8% 13.4–16.3% 13.1–16.8% 12.7–17.1% 12.1–17.9%
23–25 September 2019 Ipsos MMI 17.3% 15.7–18.9% 15.3–19.4% 15.0–19.8% 14.3–20.6%
17–19 September 2019 Norstat 15.7% 14.1–17.6% 13.6–18.1% 13.2–18.6% 12.5–19.5%
10–16 September 2019 Sentio 16.8% 15.4–18.4% 15.0–18.9% 14.6–19.3% 13.9–20.0%
3–4 September 2019 Norfakta 17.1% 15.7–18.8% 15.3–19.2% 14.9–19.6% 14.3–20.4%
27 August–2 September 2019 Norstat 15.9% 14.1–17.9% 13.6–18.5% 13.1–19.0% 12.3–20.0%
20–26 August 2019 Norstat 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.1% 13.8–18.5% 13.1–19.3%
19–21 August 2019 Ipsos MMI 16.1% 14.5–18.0% 14.0–18.5% 13.6–19.0% 12.9–19.9%
13–18 August 2019 Sentio 14.4% 13.1–15.9% 12.7–16.3% 12.4–16.7% 11.7–17.5%
6–12 August 2019 Norstat 14.1% 12.6–15.9% 12.2–16.4% 11.8–16.9% 11.1–17.8%
5–9 August 2019 Kantar TNS 15.3% 13.7–17.1% 13.3–17.6% 12.9–18.1% 12.2–19.0%
6–7 August 2019 Norfakta 15.9% 14.3–17.6% 13.9–18.1% 13.5–18.5% 12.8–19.4%
30 July–5 August 2019 Opinion Perduco 14.7% 13.0–16.6% 12.5–17.1% 12.2–17.6% 11.4–18.5%
2–3 July 2019 Norfakta 15.0% 13.5–16.8% 13.0–17.3% 12.7–17.8% 11.9–18.7%
24–28 June 2019 Kantar TNS 13.3% 11.9–15.0% 11.5–15.5% 11.1–15.9% 10.5–16.8%
24–26 June 2019 Ipsos MMI 14.4% 12.8–16.2% 12.4–16.7% 12.0–17.1% 11.3–18.0%
18–24 June 2019 Norstat 14.3% 12.9–15.9% 12.6–16.3% 12.2–16.7% 11.6–17.5%
11–17 June 2019 Sentio 15.2% 13.8–16.8% 13.4–17.2% 13.1–17.6% 12.5–18.3%
4–10 June 2019 Opinion Perduco 16.8% 15.1–18.8% 14.7–19.3% 14.3–19.8% 13.5–20.7%
3–6 June 2019 Respons Analyse 13.3% 11.8–15.0% 11.4–15.5% 11.1–15.9% 10.4–16.7%
4–5 June 2019 Norfakta 15.8% 14.4–17.4% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.0–19.0%
28 May–3 June 2019 Norstat 14.9% 13.5–16.5% 13.1–16.9% 12.8–17.3% 12.2–18.1%
27–29 May 2019 Ipsos MMI 15.2% 13.6–17.0% 13.1–17.5% 12.7–17.9% 12.0–18.8%
21–27 May 2019 Norstat 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.3% 11.3–15.6% 10.7–16.4%
14–18 May 2019 Sentio 15.8% 14.4–17.4% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.0–19.0%
7–13 May 2019 Opinion Perduco 14.1% 12.7–15.6% 12.3–16.1% 12.0–16.5% 11.4–17.2%
7–8 May 2019 Norfakta 14.4% 13.0–15.9% 12.6–16.3% 12.3–16.7% 11.7–17.4%
30 April–6 May 2019 Norstat 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–17.0% 12.9–17.4% 12.3–18.1%
29 April–3 May 2019 Kantar TNS 14.7% 13.2–16.4% 12.7–16.9% 12.4–17.3% 11.7–18.2%
29 April–2 May 2019 Respons Analyse 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
2 May 2019 Norstat 15.6% 13.9–17.6% 13.4–18.2% 13.0–18.7% 12.2–19.6%
23–25 April 2019 Ipsos MMI 14.4% 13.0–16.0% 12.7–16.4% 12.3–16.8% 11.7–17.6%
16 April 2019 Sentio 15.4% 14.0–16.9% 13.6–17.4% 13.3–17.8% 12.7–18.5%
2–8 April 2019 Opinion Perduco 16.7% 15.2–18.3% 14.8–18.8% 14.4–19.2% 13.7–20.0%
2–4 April 2019 Respons Analyse 15.6% 14.2–17.1% 13.8–17.6% 13.5–18.0% 12.8–18.7%
2–3 April 2019 Norfakta 15.2% 13.9–16.7% 13.5–17.2% 13.2–17.5% 12.5–18.3%
26 March–1 April 2019 Norstat 16.9% 15.1–18.9% 14.6–19.5% 14.1–20.0% 13.3–21.0%
25–29 March 2019 Kantar TNS 16.9% 15.3–18.8% 14.9–19.3% 14.5–19.7% 13.7–20.6%
27 March 2019 Norstat 14.3% 12.7–16.3% 12.2–16.8% 11.8–17.3% 11.1–18.3%
18–20 March 2019 Ipsos MMI 14.4% 13.0–16.0% 12.7–16.4% 12.3–16.8% 11.7–17.6%
12–18 March 2019 Sentio 14.5% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.4% 12.5–16.8% 11.8–17.6%
5–11 March 2019 Opinion Perduco 12.6% 11.4–14.1% 11.0–14.5% 10.7–14.9% 10.1–15.6%
5–6 March 2019 Norfakta 14.0% 12.5–15.8% 12.1–16.3% 11.7–16.7% 11.0–17.6%
28 February–4 March 2019 Respons Analyse 14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.9–16.6% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
26 February–4 March 2019 Norstat 12.4% 10.9–14.2% 10.5–14.7% 10.1–15.2% 9.4–16.1%
25 February–1 March 2019 Kantar TNS 12.7% 11.2–14.4% 10.8–14.9% 10.5–15.4% 9.8–16.2%
19–25 February 2019 Norstat 15.9% 14.2–17.9% 13.7–18.5% 13.3–19.0% 12.5–20.0%
18–20 February 2019 Ipsos MMI 13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.3–14.9% 11.0–15.3% 10.4–16.0%
12–19 February 2019 Sentio 15.6% 14.2–17.2% 13.8–17.6% 13.5–18.0% 12.8–18.8%
5–11 February 2019 Opinion Perduco 14.0% 12.4–15.8% 11.9–16.3% 11.6–16.8% 10.9–17.7%
5–6 February 2019 Norfakta 12.8% 11.3–14.4% 10.9–14.9% 10.6–15.3% 10.0–16.1%
31 January–4 February 2019 Respons Analyse 12.2% 10.8–13.9% 10.3–14.4% 10.0–14.8% 9.4–15.7%
29 January–4 February 2019 Norstat 11.7% 10.3–13.5% 9.8–14.0% 9.5–14.4% 8.8–15.3%
28 January–2 February 2019 Kantar TNS 10.4% 9.2–11.9% 8.8–12.3% 8.5–12.7% 7.9–13.5%
22–28 January 2019 Norstat 11.1% 9.7–12.8% 9.3–13.3% 9.0–13.7% 8.4–14.6%
21–23 January 2019 Ipsos MMI 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.1% 8.5–13.8%
15–21 January 2019 Sentio 13.3% 11.8–15.2% 11.3–15.7% 10.9–16.2% 10.2–17.1%
8–14 January 2019 Opinion Perduco 12.6% 11.1–14.4% 10.7–14.9% 10.3–15.3% 9.7–16.2%
3–10 January 2019 Kantar TNS 12.3% 10.8–13.9% 10.4–14.4% 10.1–14.8% 9.5–15.6%
8–9 January 2019 Norfakta 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
3–7 January 2019 Respons Analyse 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
2–7 January 2019 Norstat 12.1% 10.7–13.9% 10.3–14.3% 9.9–14.8% 9.3–15.6%
17–19 December 2018 Ipsos MMI 10.4% 9.2–11.8% 8.9–12.1% 8.6–12.5% 8.0–13.2%
11–17 December 2018 Norstat 11.2% 10.0–12.7% 9.6–13.1% 9.3–13.4% 8.8–14.1%
4–10 December 2018 Opinion Perduco 11.9% 10.4–13.6% 10.0–14.1% 9.7–14.5% 9.0–15.4%
4–5 December 2018 Norfakta 11.6% 10.2–13.2% 9.8–13.7% 9.5–14.1% 8.9–14.9%
28 November–4 December 2018 Sentio 12.1% 10.7–13.9% 10.3–14.3% 9.9–14.8% 9.3–15.6%
29 November–4 December 2018 Respons Analyse 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.6% 8.2–13.2%
3 December 2018 Kantar TNS 12.0% 10.6–13.7% 10.2–14.2% 9.9–14.6% 9.2–15.5%
20–25 November 2018 Norstat 11.4% 10.1–12.8% 9.8–13.2% 9.5–13.6% 8.9–14.3%
19–21 November 2018 Ipsos MMI 11.7% 10.4–13.1% 10.0–13.5% 9.7–13.9% 9.2–14.6%
13–19 November 2018 Norstat 12.0% 10.7–13.4% 10.3–13.8% 10.0–14.2% 9.4–14.9%
6–12 November 2018 Opinion Perduco 11.9% 10.5–13.7% 10.1–14.1% 9.8–14.6% 9.1–15.4%
5–7 November 2018 Respons Analyse 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
30 October–5 November 2018 Sentio 10.0% 8.7–11.6% 8.3–12.1% 8.0–12.5% 7.4–13.3%
5 November 2018 Norfakta 11.7% 10.3–13.3% 10.0–13.7% 9.6–14.1% 9.0–14.9%
24–30 October 2018 Kantar TNS 9.1% 7.9–10.5% 7.5–10.9% 7.2–11.3% 6.7–12.0%
23–28 October 2018 Norstat 12.1% 10.7–13.9% 10.2–14.3% 9.9–14.8% 9.2–15.6%
22–24 October 2018 Ipsos MMI 12.4% 11.1–13.8% 10.7–14.3% 10.4–14.6% 9.8–15.3%
16–22 October 2018 Norstat 10.3% 9.1–11.7% 8.8–12.1% 8.5–12.4% 8.0–13.1%
9–18 October 2018 Sentio 10.5% 9.2–12.2% 8.8–12.6% 8.5–13.0% 7.8–13.8%
4–10 October 2018 Opinion Perduco 12.6% 11.1–14.4% 10.7–14.9% 10.3–15.4% 9.7–16.2%
9–10 October 2018 InFact 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.3% 8.9–14.0%
1–3 October 2018 Respons Analyse 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.5% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.5%
2–3 October 2018 Norfakta 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.3% 8.8–14.0%
24–29 September 2018 Norstat 11.1% 9.9–12.6% 9.6–13.0% 9.3–13.4% 8.7–14.1%
24–28 September 2018 Kantar TNS 10.4% 9.1–11.9% 8.8–12.4% 8.5–12.8% 7.9–13.5%
24–26 September 2018 Ipsos MMI 10.1% 8.9–11.5% 8.6–11.9% 8.3–12.2% 7.8–12.9%
18–24 September 2018 Norstat 12.0% 10.7–13.5% 10.4–13.9% 10.1–14.3% 9.5–15.0%
11–17 September 2018 Sentio 9.1% 7.8–10.6% 7.5–11.0% 7.1–11.4% 6.6–12.2%
6–10 September 2018 Respons Analyse 10.4% 9.2–11.7% 8.9–12.1% 8.6–12.4% 8.1–13.1%
4–10 September 2018 Opinion Perduco 10.6% 9.2–12.3% 8.8–12.7% 8.5–13.1% 7.9–14.0%
6 September 2018 Kantar TNS 11.5% 10.1–13.2% 9.7–13.7% 9.4–14.1% 8.8–14.9%
4–5 September 2018 Norfakta 11.2% 9.8–12.7% 9.4–13.2% 9.1–13.6% 8.5–14.4%
28 August–2 September 2018 Norstat 11.2% 9.8–12.9% 9.5–13.4% 9.1–13.8% 8.5–14.6%
20–26 August 2018 Norstat 12.5% 11.2–14.0% 10.8–14.4% 10.5–14.8% 9.9–15.5%
20–25 August 2018 Ipsos MMI 11.5% 10.2–12.9% 9.9–13.3% 9.6–13.7% 9.0–14.4%
14–20 August 2018 Sentio 10.8% 9.4–12.4% 9.0–12.9% 8.6–13.3% 8.0–14.2%
16–20 August 2018 Respons Analyse 10.3% 9.1–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
7–12 August 2018 Norstat 11.8% 10.3–13.6% 9.9–14.1% 9.6–14.5% 8.9–15.4%
7–8 August 2018 Norfakta 12.3% 11.0–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.4% 9.8–15.2%
1–7 August 2018 Kantar TNS 13.6% 12.1–15.4% 11.7–15.9% 11.4–16.3% 10.7–17.2%
31 July–6 August 2018 Opinion Perduco 11.2% 9.8–12.9% 9.4–13.4% 9.1–13.8% 8.4–14.7%
3–4 July 2018 Norfakta 9.7% 8.5–11.2% 8.1–11.7% 7.8–12.0% 7.3–12.8%
25–27 June 2018 Ipsos MMI 11.4% 10.1–12.8% 9.8–13.2% 9.5–13.6% 8.9–14.3%
19–25 June 2018 Norstat 10.7% 9.5–12.1% 9.2–12.5% 8.9–12.9% 8.4–13.6%
12–16 June 2018 Sentio 10.2% 8.9–11.8% 8.5–12.3% 8.2–12.7% 7.6–13.5%
5–11 June 2018 Opinion Perduco 10.6% 9.3–12.3% 8.9–12.7% 8.6–13.2% 7.9–14.0%
5–6 June 2018 Norfakta 11.2% 9.9–12.8% 9.5–13.2% 9.2–13.6% 8.6–14.4%
31 May–4 June 2018 Respons Analyse 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
27 May–4 June 2018 Norstat 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.4–12.8% 9.1–13.2% 8.6–13.9%
28 May–1 June 2018 Kantar TNS 11.3% 9.9–12.9% 9.5–13.4% 9.2–13.8% 8.6–14.6%
28–30 May 2018 Ipsos MMI 11.1% 9.9–12.5% 9.5–12.9% 9.2–13.3% 8.7–14.0%
22–28 May 2018 Norstat 11.7% 10.5–13.2% 10.1–13.6% 9.8–14.0% 9.2–14.7%
14–22 May 2018 Sentio 10.7% 9.3–12.3% 8.9–12.7% 8.6–13.1% 8.0–13.9%
8–14 May 2018 Opinion Perduco 10.4% 9.1–12.1% 8.7–12.5% 8.4–13.0% 7.8–13.8%
8–9 May 2018 Norfakta 10.5% 9.2–12.0% 8.9–12.4% 8.6–12.8% 8.0–13.5%
3–7 May 2018 Respons Analyse 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.5% 7.3–12.1%
30 April–7 May 2018 Norstat 11.0% 9.6–12.6% 9.2–13.1% 8.9–13.5% 8.2–14.3%
30 April–2 May 2018 Kantar TNS 10.3% 9.0–11.9% 8.7–12.3% 8.4–12.7% 7.8–13.4%
26–30 April 2018 Norstat 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.8% 9.1–13.1% 8.5–13.8%
23–25 April 2018 Ipsos MMI 11.9% 10.6–13.4% 10.3–13.8% 10.0–14.1% 9.4–14.9%
17–23 April 2018 Sentio 11.9% 10.4–13.6% 10.0–14.1% 9.6–14.5% 9.0–15.4%
10–16 April 2018 Opinion Perduco 11.6% 10.2–13.2% 9.8–13.7% 9.4–14.1% 8.8–15.0%
5–9 April 2018 Respons Analyse 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.6% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
3–9 April 2018 Norstat 10.7% 9.5–12.1% 9.2–12.5% 8.9–12.9% 8.3–13.6%
3–6 April 2018 Kantar TNS 8.9% 7.7–10.4% 7.4–10.8% 7.1–11.2% 6.6–11.9%
3–4 April 2018 Norfakta 10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.7% 8.3–13.3%
20–24 March 2018 Norstat 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.4–12.8% 9.2–13.2% 8.6–13.8%
19–21 March 2018 Ipsos MMI 10.2% 9.0–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.4–12.3% 7.8–13.0%
20 March 2018 Kantar TNS 10.2% 8.7–12.2% 8.2–12.7% 7.9–13.2% 7.2–14.2%
13–19 March 2018 Sentio 11.8% 10.4–13.5% 10.0–14.0% 9.6–14.4% 9.0–15.3%
15–16 March 2018 Respons Analyse 10.8% 9.6–12.1% 9.3–12.5% 9.0–12.9% 8.5–13.5%
6–12 March 2018 Opinion Perduco 10.9% 9.5–12.6% 9.2–13.1% 8.8–13.5% 8.2–14.4%
6–7 March 2018 Norfakta 12.8% 11.4–14.4% 11.0–14.9% 10.6–15.3% 10.0–16.1%
1–5 March 2018 Respons Analyse 11.6% 10.3–13.0% 10.0–13.4% 9.7–13.7% 9.2–14.4%
27 February–5 March 2018 Norstat 12.3% 11.0–13.7% 10.6–14.2% 10.3–14.5% 9.7–15.3%
26 February–3 March 2018 Kantar TNS 12.1% 10.7–13.7% 10.3–14.1% 10.0–14.5% 9.4–15.3%
20–25 February 2018 Norstat 10.8% 9.6–12.2% 9.3–12.6% 9.0–13.0% 8.4–13.7%
19–21 February 2018 Ipsos MMI 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.2–11.4% 8.0–11.7% 7.4–12.4%
13–19 February 2018 Sentio 10.4% 9.1–11.9% 8.7–12.4% 8.4–12.8% 7.8–13.6%
6–12 February 2018 Opinion Perduco 10.0% 8.7–11.6% 8.3–12.1% 8.0–12.5% 7.4–13.3%
5–7 February 2018 Respons Analyse 10.9% 9.7–12.2% 9.4–12.6% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.6%
30 January–5 February 2018 Norstat 11.2% 10.0–12.7% 9.7–13.1% 9.4–13.4% 8.8–14.1%
29 January–5 February 2018 Kantar TNS 11.2% 9.9–12.8% 9.5–13.2% 9.2–13.6% 8.6–14.4%
30–31 January 2018 Norfakta 11.0% 9.7–12.6% 9.3–13.0% 9.0–13.4% 8.4–14.2%
23–28 January 2018 Norstat 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.4–12.8% 9.1–13.2% 8.6–13.9%
22–24 January 2018 Ipsos MMI 12.1% 10.8–13.6% 10.4–14.0% 10.1–14.4% 9.5–15.2%
16–21 January 2018 Sentio 10.1% 8.8–11.7% 8.4–12.2% 8.1–12.6% 7.5–13.4%
9–15 January 2018 Opinion Perduco 10.9% 9.5–12.6% 9.1–13.0% 8.8–13.4% 8.2–14.3%
10–12 January 2018 Respons Analyse 11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
8–10 January 2018 Respons Analyse 10.7% 9.4–12.3% 9.1–12.7% 8.8–13.1% 8.2–13.8%
3–9 January 2018 Kantar TNS 10.9% 9.6–12.5% 9.2–12.9% 8.9–13.3% 8.3–14.1%
2–8 January 2018 Norstat 12.2% 10.9–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.4% 9.7–15.1%
2–3 January 2018 Norfakta 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
18–20 December 2017 Ipsos MMI 10.1% 8.9–11.5% 8.6–11.9% 8.3–12.2% 7.8–12.9%
12–18 December 2017 Norstat 10.5% 9.4–11.9% 9.0–12.3% 8.7–12.7% 8.2–13.4%
5–11 December 2017 Sentio 10.5% 9.2–12.1% 8.9–12.5% 8.6–12.9% 8.0–13.7%
4–8 December 2017 Kantar TNS 9.7% 8.4–11.2% 8.1–11.6% 7.8–12.0% 7.2–12.7%
5–6 December 2017 Norfakta 10.2% 9.0–11.7% 8.7–12.1% 8.4–12.5% 7.8–13.2%
28 November–4 December 2017 Opinion Perduco 11.5% 10.1–13.2% 9.7–13.6% 9.4–14.0% 8.8–14.9%
21–27 November 2017 Norstat 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.6–13.0% 9.3–13.4% 8.8–14.1%
20–22 November 2017 Ipsos MMI 8.6% 7.5–9.9% 7.2–10.3% 7.0–10.6% 6.5–11.3%
14–20 November 2017 Norstat 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.6–11.3% 7.1–12.0%
7–13 November 2017 Sentio 10.9% 9.6–12.4% 9.2–12.8% 8.9–13.2% 8.3–14.0%
6–10 November 2017 Kantar TNS 11.4% 10.1–13.0% 9.8–13.4% 9.4–13.8% 8.9–14.6%
7–8 November 2017 Norfakta 10.6% 9.3–12.0% 9.0–12.4% 8.7–12.8% 8.1–13.5%
31 October–6 November 2017 Opinion Perduco 11.3% 9.9–12.9% 9.5–13.3% 9.2–13.7% 8.6–14.5%
25–31 October 2017 Norstat 11.7% 10.5–13.2% 10.1–13.6% 9.8–14.0% 9.3–14.7%
23–25 October 2017 Ipsos MMI 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.3–12.7% 9.0–13.0% 8.5–13.7%
17–23 October 2017 Norstat 10.7% 9.5–12.1% 9.2–12.5% 8.9–12.9% 8.4–13.6%
10–16 October 2017 Sentio 10.1% 8.9–11.6% 8.5–12.1% 8.2–12.4% 7.7–13.2%
3–9 October 2017 Opinion Perduco 10.6% 9.3–12.1% 8.9–12.6% 8.6–13.0% 8.0–13.7%
2–6 October 2017 Kantar TNS 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–12.0%
3–4 October 2017 Norfakta 11.4% 10.1–12.9% 9.8–13.4% 9.4–13.7% 8.9–14.5%
27 September–1 October 2017 Norstat 10.6% 9.4–12.0% 9.1–12.4% 8.8–12.8% 8.3–13.5%
25–27 September 2017 Ipsos MMI 10.2% 9.0–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.4–12.3% 7.8–13.0%
19–25 September 2017 Norstat 11.3% 10.1–12.8% 9.7–13.2% 9.4–13.5% 8.9–14.2%
12–18 September 2017 Sentio 11.4% 10.0–12.9% 9.7–13.4% 9.3–13.7% 8.7–14.5%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Senterpartiet.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0.8% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 4% 99.2% Last Result
10.5–11.5% 11% 95%  
11.5–12.5% 29% 84%  
12.5–13.5% 20% 55% Median
13.5–14.5% 15% 35%  
14.5–15.5% 11% 20%  
15.5–16.5% 6% 9%  
16.5–17.5% 2% 3%  
17.5–18.5% 0.4% 0.5%  
18.5–19.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 19 seats (General Election of 8–9 September 2013)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 22 20–29 19–30 18–32 16–33
9–11 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
22 21–25 20–25 20–27 19–27
1–10 September 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
27 24–30 23–32 22–32 21–34
8–10 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
24 21–26 20–27 20–27 20–29
7–9 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
22 20–25 20–25 20–26 19–27
3–8 September 2021 Respons Analyse
Bergens Tidende and VG
20 18–22 17–24 16–24 15–25
31 August–8 September 2021 Norstat
NRK
21 20–22 20–22 20–22 19–22
7–8 September 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
27 24–32 23–32 22–33 20–34
3–8 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
24 22–25 21–26 21–27 20–28
6–8 September 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
21 20–24 19–26 18–27 17–29
1–7 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
25 22–28 21–29 21–30 20–31
30 August–6 September 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
27 23–29 22–30 21–31 20–33
1–6 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
26 23–28 22–29 21–30 20–31
25 August–3 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
26 23–29 22–30 21–31 20–32
27 August–2 September 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
22 19–26 18–27 18–27 18–29
27 August–1 September 2021 Respons Analyse
Bergens Tidende and VG
22 20–26 19–27 18–27 17–29
25–31 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
18 18–21 17–22 17–23 16–25
23–29 August 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten
21 18–25 18–27 17–27 16–29
24–28 August 2021 Norstat
Vårt Land
21 20–25 20–27 19–27 18–29
23–27 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
20 18–23 18–24 17–25 16–26
20–25 August 2021 Respons Analyse
Bergens Tidende and VG
20 18–24 17–25 17–26 17–30
19–25 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
20 18–22 17–23 17–24 15–25
23–25 August 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
22 19–26 18–27 17–28 17–30
19–24 August 2021 Norstat
Dagens Næringsliv
21 18–25 17–27 17–27 16–31
16–22 August 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten
23 20–27 19–28 18–29 17–31
17–21 August 2021 Sentio
Nettavisen
25 21–28 20–29 20–31 18–32
16–20 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
24 20–28 19–29 18–30 18–33
13–18 August 2021 Respons Analyse
Bergens Tidende and VG
20 18–21 17–22 17–24 15–26
10–13 August 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
34 31–36 30–37 29–38 26–38
9–13 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
25 20–31 20–32 19–33 18–34
5–11 August 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
28 25–32 25–32 24–33 22–34
6–11 August 2021 Norstat
Dagens Næringsliv
31 27–34 26–35 25–36 23–37
3–8 August 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
36 32–39 32–40 31–41 29–44
2–6 August 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
31 28–35 27–36 26–36 25–37
3–4 August 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
29 26–33 24–34 24–35 22–36
22–28 July 2021 Norstat
Dagens Næringsliv
27 24–32 24–33 23–34 21–35
6–7 July 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
32 28–35 27–36 26–36 24–38
28 June–2 July 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
36 33–38 32–39 31–40 30–42
28–30 June 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
36 35–40 35–41 34–41 33–43
17–23 June 2021 Norstat
Dagens Næringsliv
27 25–32 23–33 23–34 21–36
15–20 June 2021 Norstat
Vårt Land
33 30–36 29–36 28–37 27–39
9–14 June 2021 Respons Analyse
Bergens Tidende and VG
34 31–37 30–37 29–39 28–40
8–13 June 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
35 32–37 32–38 31–39 29–40
26 May–11 June 2021 Norstat
NRK
33 32–34 32–35 32–35 31–35
1–7 June 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
34 32–37 31–38 30–40 27–41
31 May–4 June 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
33 30–35 29–36 28–36 27–38
25–31 May 2021 Norstat
NRK
33 28–36 27–36 26–37 25–38
25–31 May 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
33 30–36 29–36 28–37 26–39
24–26 May 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
31 26–35 25–35 25–36 23–38
18–25 May 2021 Norstat
Vårt Land
31 27–34 26–35 26–35 24–36
20–24 May 2021 Norstat
Dagens Næringsliv
33 28–35 26–35 26–36 24–37
11–16 May 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
27 23–30 23–31 22–32 20–33
13 May 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
32 27–35 26–35 26–35 24–36
5–10 May 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
33 31–37 30–38 30–39 28–40
4–5 May 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
27 24–31 23–32 23–33 21–35
27 April–3 May 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
32 29–35 28–36 27–37 26–39
26–30 April 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
35 32–38 31–38 30–39 28–41
26–28 April 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
34 30–36 28–37 28–38 26–40
20–24 April 2021 Norstat
Vårt Land
33 31–37 29–38 29–38 27–39
7–20 April 2021 Norstat
NRK
33 32–34 31–34 31–34 30–34
13–19 April 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
33 29–35 28–36 27–36 26–37
14 April 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
36 34–38 33–39 32–40 30–42
7–12 April 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
26 21–30 20–31 20–32 19–35
6–7 April 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
34 31–38 29–39 29–40 28–42
29 March–7 April 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
35 31–37 31–38 29–40 28–42
23–28 March 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
31 28–35 27–36 26–36 24–36
22–24 March 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
32 28–35 27–36 26–36 25–38
16–21 March 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
38 35–42 34–43 33–44 32–45
9–14 March 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
35 31–39 31–40 30–40 28–41
5–10 March 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
35 31–37 30–38 30–39 28–40
1–8 March 2021 Opinion Perduco 38 35–42 34–43 33–44 32–45
2–3 March 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
34 31–36 30–37 29–38 27–39
22–28 February 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
41 37–44 36–45 36–46 35–48
22–26 February 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
36 34–39 33–41 33–42 30–44
22–24 February 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
33 28–36 27–38 27–39 26–42
15–21 February 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
36 32–37 31–38 30–39 28–40
9–14 February 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
35 31–37 30–38 29–39 28–41
1–8 February 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
36 34–38 33–39 32–40 30–42
2–3 February 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
36 34–40 33–41 33–42 31–43
27 January–2 February 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
35 32–38 31–38 30–40 29–41
25–31 January 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
41 37–44 36–45 36–45 35–48
25–29 January 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
37 36–42 35–44 34–44 31–46
25–27 January 2021 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
39 36–43 35–44 34–45 33–46
18–24 January 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
36 34–39 32–40 32–41 30–43
12–16 January 2021 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
37 35–40 34–41 33–42 31–43
13 January 2021 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
37 35–41 34–42 33–43 31–44
13 January 2021 InFact
Amedia and Nettavisen
38 37–40 36–41 36–42 35–43
4–8 January 2021 Kantar TNS
TV2
40 37–43 36–44 35–45 35–46
4–6 January 2021 Respons Analyse
VG
36 33–39 32–40 31–41 29–42
5–6 January 2021 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
43 39–46 37–46 36–48 34–50
28 December 2020–2 January 2021 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
39 36–44 35–44 34–45 32–46
14–16 December 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
41 37–45 36–46 35–46 34–49
7–13 December 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
39 36–43 35–44 34–45 32–46
1–7 December 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
41 36–44 36–45 35–46 34–47
1–2 December 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
37 34–41 33–42 32–43 30–44
25–30 November 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
38 34–41 33–43 33–44 31–45
24–30 November 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
41 37–45 37–45 36–46 35–47
24–29 November 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
35 32–37 31–38 29–38 28–40
16–18 November 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
34 31–39 30–40 29–41 27–44
9–15 November 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
35 33–39 31–40 31–42 30–44
3–9 November 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
33 29–36 28–36 27–37 26–39
3–4 November 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
33 29–36 28–36 28–37 27–39
27 October–3 November 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
30 27–32 27–34 26–34 25–36
28–31 October 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
34 31–38 30–39 29–40 29–41
26–30 October 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
38 33–40 32–42 31–43 30–45
20–25 October 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
27 24–31 23–32 22–33 21–35
19–21 October 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
33 29–38 28–39 27–40 26–42
12–18 October 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
31 28–34 27–35 26–36 25–37
6–12 October 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
36 33–40 33–41 32–42 30–44
6–7 October 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
31 27–35 27–36 26–37 24–39
29 September–4 October 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
26 23–30 22–30 22–31 20–33
28 September–2 October 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
28 26–33 25–34 23–36 21–38
28–30 September 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
25 22–28 22–30 21–31 20–32
21–27 September 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
23 20–27 19–28 19–29 18–31
21–25 September 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
27 24–31 23–32 23–33 21–35
14–20 September 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
27 23–29 23–30 22–30 20–32
8–14 September 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
27 24–30 23–30 22–31 21–33
1–7 September 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
30 26–35 25–36 23–36 22–37
1–2 September 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
25 22–28 21–28 20–29 19–31
25 August–1 September 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
24 22–28 21–29 21–30 20–32
26–31 August 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
28 24–31 23–33 22–33 21–34
24–31 August 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
22 20–26 19–26 19–27 18–29
17–23 August 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
25 21–30 21–31 20–32 19–33
17–19 August 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
25 22–28 21–30 20–30 19–33
11–16 August 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
23 21–26 20–27 19–27 18–29
6–11 August 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
26 24–31 22–32 22–33 20–34
4–10 August 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
25 22–28 21–29 20–29 19–31
4–7 August 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
27 22–33 21–33 21–35 20–36
4–5 August 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
23 21–26 20–27 19–28 19–30
4 August 2020 InFact
Avisa Nordland, Bergensavisen, iFinnmark and Nidaros
26 21–30 21–32 20–33 19–35
29 July–3 August 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
28 24–33 23–33 22–34 20–36
7–8 July 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
25 21–28 20–29 19–30 19–33
24–30 June 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
22 19–26 19–26 18–28 18–31
22–24 June 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
24 21–27 21–28 20–30 19–31
15–21 June 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
23 20–27 19–27 19–28 18–31
9–13 June 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
25 21–30 20–31 20–32 19–34
2–8 June 2020 Opinion Perduco 26 22–32 21–33 20–34 19–36
2–4 June 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
27 23–29 22–29 21–30 21–32
2–3 June 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
26 23–30 23–31 22–32 20–34
26 May–1 June 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
26 22–32 21–32 21–32 19–33
25–29 May 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
24 21–28 20–29 20–29 18–32
25–28 May 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
24 20–27 19–29 19–29 18–32
19–25 May 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
27 24–31 23–32 22–33 21–34
12–16 May 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
24 22–27 21–28 20–29 19–32
5–10 May 2020 Opinion Perduco 21 19–24 18–25 18–26 17–27
5–6 May 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
24 20–27 19–28 19–30 18–32
30 April–5 May 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
27 24–31 23–31 22–32 21–34
27 April–4 May 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
28 25–33 24–34 24–34 23–35
27–29 April 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
26 23–30 22–31 21–32 20–34
20–26 April 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
28 25–32 25–33 24–34 23–35
20–22 April 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
26 22–30 21–31 20–31 19–34
14–20 April 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
25 23–28 22–29 21–31 20–31
31 March–5 April 2020 Opinion Perduco 25 22–27 22–29 21–30 20–32
26 March–1 April 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
25 22–28 21–29 21–29 20–31
31 March–1 April 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
26 24–30 23–30 22–31 21–33
25–31 March 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
27 24–31 23–32 22–33 20–35
23–29 March 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
28 25–32 24–33 23–34 21–36
16–23 March 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
27 24–30 24–31 23–32 21–35
18–20 March 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
32 28–35 26–36 25–37 24–39
10–16 March 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
33 30–35 29–36 28–37 27–38
3–9 March 2020 Opinion Perduco 33 30–37 29–38 29–39 28–40
3–4 March 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
30 26–34 25–34 24–34 23–35
27 February–2 March 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
30 28–33 27–33 26–34 24–36
24 February–2 March 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
29 26–33 25–34 24–35 23–37
24–28 February 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
31 29–36 28–37 27–38 25–40
17–23 February 2020 Norstat
Vårt Land
29 25–31 24–32 23–34 21–36
17–19 February 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
27 24–30 23–31 22–32 21–34
11–17 February 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
25 23–28 23–29 22–29 20–31
4–10 February 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå and Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
26 25–30 24–30 23–31 22–32
4–5 February 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
29 26–30 25–32 25–33 23–35
30 January–3 February 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
24 22–28 21–29 21–29 20–30
27 January–2 February 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
31 28–34 28–35 27–35 25–37
27–31 January 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
28 23–30 22–31 21–32 20–33
24–27 January 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
22 20–26 19–26 19–26 18–28
21–27 January 2020 Norstat
Vårt Land
23 20–26 19–27 18–28 17–30
20–22 January 2020 Ipsos MMI
Dagbladet
30 28–33 27–34 26–34 24–37
20–21 January 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
27 25–30 23–31 23–33 22–33
21 January 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
25 22–30 21–31 21–32 20–34
14–18 January 2020 Sentio
Amedia and Nettavisen
31 28–34 28–34 26–35 25–36
15 January 2020 Opinion Perduco
Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå and Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
38 35–41 34–42 34–43 33–44
6–10 January 2020 Kantar TNS
TV2
33 30–36 29–37 27–38 26–40
7–8 January 2020 Norfakta
Klassekampen and Nationen
32 27–34 26–35 26–36 24–37
6 January 2020 Respons Analyse
VG
29 26–33 25–33 24–34 22–35
30 December 2019–5 January 2020 Norstat
Aftenposten and NRK
28 26–33 26–34 25–35 23–36
16–18 December 2019 Ipsos MMI 29 26–34 24–34 24–35 22–38
9–15 December 2019 Norstat 35 31–37 30–39 30–39 28–41
3–8 December 2019 Opinion Perduco 38 35–41 34–42 33–42 32–44
3–4 December 2019 Norfakta 38 33–40 32–41 31–41 29–43
26 November–2 December 2019 Sentio 28 25–33 24–34 24–34 23–35
28 November–2 December 2019 Respons Analyse 34 31–37 29–38 27–38 26–39
25–29 November 2019 Kantar TNS 35 32–38 30–39 29–39 27–41
19–25 November 2019 Norstat 33 30–37 30–38 29–39 27–41
18–20 November 2019 Ipsos MMI 36 33–39 31–40 31–41 29–43
12–18 November 2019 Norstat 37 34–41 33–43 32–43 30–45
5–11 November 2019 Opinion Perduco 38 36–42 35–42 35–43 33–45
5–6 November 2019 Norfakta 36 34–39 33–40 32–41 30–43
31 October–4 November 2019 Respons Analyse 32 26–34 24–34 24–35 24–36
29 October–2 November 2019 Sentio 37 35–40 35–41 33–41 32–43
28 October–1 November 2019 Kantar TNS 36 34–39 33–40 32–41 31–43
22–28 October 2019 Norstat 34 30–36 29–37 28–37 25–39
21–23 October 2019 Ipsos MMI 34 30–37 29–38 28–38 26–39
15–21 October 2019 Norstat 33 30–37 29–37 29–38 27–40
8–14 October 2019 Sentio 34 31–36 30–36 29–37 27–39
1–7 October 2019 Opinion Perduco 35 32–37 31–38 30–40 28–41
30 September–4 October 2019 Kantar TNS 30 24–34 24–37 24–37 23–37
1–2 October 2019 Norfakta 33 29–36 28–36 27–37 25–39
24–30 September 2019 Norstat 36 33–38 32–39 31–41 28–43
23–25 September 2019 Respons Analyse 27 24–30 23–32 22–33 21–34
23–25 September 2019 Ipsos MMI 33 29–35 28–36 27–37 25–38
17–19 September 2019 Norstat 29 25–33 24–34 23–34 22–37
10–16 September 2019 Sentio 31 28–34 26–35 26–36 25–37
3–4 September 2019 Norfakta 33 29–35 28–36 27–36 26–38
27 August–2 September 2019 Norstat 29 26–34 24–35 23–35 21–37
20–26 August 2019 Norstat 30 26–33 25–33 25–34 22–37
19–21 August 2019 Ipsos MMI 31 26–34 25–35 24–36 23–37
13–18 August 2019 Sentio 26 23–31 22–33 21–34 20–35
6–12 August 2019 Norstat 26 22–31 21–33 19–33 18–34
5–9 August 2019 Kantar TNS 26 23–32 21–34 21–36 20–36
6–7 August 2019 Norfakta 30 26–35 25–35 24–35 22–36
30 July–5 August 2019 Opinion Perduco 27 23–32 22–33 20–34 19–36
2–3 July 2019 Norfakta 29 25–34 24–35 23–35 20–36
24–28 June 2019 Kantar TNS 25 19–31 19–33 19–34 18–34
24–26 June 2019 Ipsos MMI 27 23–30 21–33 21–33 18–34
18–24 June 2019 Norstat 26 22–33 21–34 20–34 19–35
11–17 June 2019 Sentio 29 25–33 24–34 24–34 21–35
4–10 June 2019 Opinion Perduco 31 28–36 28–36 27–37 24–40
3–6 June 2019 Respons Analyse 24 20–27 20–29 19–30 18–33
4–5 June 2019 Norfakta 30 25–34 25–34 24–34 23–35
28 May–3 June 2019 Norstat 28 24–32 23–32 23–33 20–34
27–29 May 2019 Ipsos MMI 28 24–33 23–33 22–34 20–35
21–27 May 2019 Norstat 25 19–28 18–29 18–29 17–31
14–18 May 2019 Sentio 29 26–32 25–33 24–34 23–35
7–13 May 2019 Opinion Perduco 26 23–28 23–29 22–30 21–32
7–8 May 2019 Norfakta 27 24–30 23–31 22–32 21–33
30 April–6 May 2019 Norstat 28 25–30 24–32 23–34 21–34
29 April–3 May 2019 Kantar TNS 26 24–32 22–32 22–34 20–35
29 April–2 May 2019 Respons Analyse 23 20–25 19–26 19–27 17–28
2 May 2019 Norstat 29 24–32 24–34 23–35 21–36
23–25 April 2019 Ipsos MMI 26 22–30 22–32 22–33 21–34
16 April 2019 Sentio 28 26–31 25–33 24–34 21–35
2–8 April 2019 Opinion Perduco 30 28–34 27–35 26–35 25–37
2–4 April 2019 Respons Analyse 31 26–34 26–34 25–34 23–35
2–3 April 2019 Norfakta 28 26–32 25–32 24–33 23–35
26 March–1 April 2019 Norstat 31 27–34 26–36 25–37 24–39
25–29 March 2019 Kantar TNS 32 28–35 27–36 26–36 25–38
27 March 2019 Norstat 25 23–30 22–32 21–33 20–34
18–20 March 2019 Ipsos MMI 27 23–29 23–30 22–31 21–34
12–18 March 2019 Sentio 26 23–29 23–31 21–33 21–34
5–11 March 2019 Opinion Perduco 21 19–24 18–25 18–26 18–29
5–6 March 2019 Norfakta 26 22–29 22–29 21–31 20–34
28 February–4 March 2019 Respons Analyse 26 24–30 23–31 23–31 21–32
26 February–4 March 2019 Norstat 22 19–26 18–26 17–27 17–29
25 February–1 March 2019 Kantar TNS 23 20–26 19–27 18–28 17–30
19–25 February 2019 Norstat 29 25–33 24–34 24–34 22–36
18–20 February 2019 Ipsos MMI 23 21–26 21–26 20–28 19–31
12–19 February 2019 Sentio 29 26–32 25–33 24–34 23–35
5–11 February 2019 Opinion Perduco 24 22–27 22–28 21–29 19–32
5–6 February 2019 Norfakta 23 20–27 20–28 19–28 18–30
31 January–4 February 2019 Respons Analyse 22 19–25 18–26 17–27 16–29
29 January–4 February 2019 Norstat 21 19–24 18–26 17–27 16–28
28 January–2 February 2019 Kantar TNS 20 17–22 16–23 15–24 14–25
22–28 January 2019 Norstat 20 17–23 17–24 16–25 15–27
21–23 January 2019 Ipsos MMI 21 18–23 17–24 17–25 16–26
15–21 January 2019 Sentio 24 21–27 20–28 19–30 18–33
8–14 January 2019 Opinion Perduco 23 20–26 19–27 18–28 17–30
3–10 January 2019 Kantar TNS 22 20–25 19–26 18–26 17–29
8–9 January 2019 Norfakta 24 20–25 20–26 19–27 18–28
3–7 January 2019 Respons Analyse 19 17–21 16–22 15–23 15–24
2–7 January 2019 Norstat 23 19–26 18–27 18–27 17–29
17–19 December 2018 Ipsos MMI 19 17–22 16–22 16–23 15–24
11–17 December 2018 Norstat 20 18–23 17–24 17–25 16–26
4–10 December 2018 Opinion Perduco 21 18–24 17–25 17–26 15–28
4–5 December 2018 Norfakta 21 19–24 18–25 18–26 16–27
28 November–4 December 2018 Sentio 21 18–25 18–26 17–27 16–28
29 November–4 December 2018 Respons Analyse 19 17–22 16–23 16–23 15–25
3 December 2018 Kantar TNS 21 19–23 19–24 18–26 17–27
20–25 November 2018 Norstat 21 19–24 18–25 17–25 16–27
19–21 November 2018 Ipsos MMI 22 21–23 20–24 19–24 18–28
13–19 November 2018 Norstat 22 20–25 19–25 18–26 17–28
6–12 November 2018 Opinion Perduco 19 18–24 18–25 17–26 16–29
5–7 November 2018 Respons Analyse 18 16–21 15–22 15–22 14–23
30 October–5 November 2018 Sentio 18 16–20 15–21 14–22 12–23
5 November 2018 Norfakta 21 18–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
24–30 October 2018 Kantar TNS 17 15–19 15–20 14–20 13–21
23–28 October 2018 Norstat 23 19–25 18–26 18–27 16–28
22–24 October 2018 Ipsos MMI 21 19–25 18–26 18–26 17–28
16–22 October 2018 Norstat 18 16–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
9–18 October 2018 Sentio 19 17–22 16–23 15–23 15–25
4–10 October 2018 Opinion Perduco 22 21–25 20–26 19–26 17–28
9–10 October 2018 InFact 20 18–23 17–24 17–24 16–26
1–3 October 2018 Respons Analyse 18 16–20 15–21 14–21 14–23
2–3 October 2018 Norfakta 20 19–22 18–22 17–24 16–25
24–29 September 2018 Norstat 21 18–23 17–24 16–24 15–26
24–28 September 2018 Kantar TNS 19 16–22 16–22 15–23 14–25
24–26 September 2018 Ipsos MMI 18 16–21 16–22 16–22 15–23
18–24 September 2018 Norstat 22 19–25 19–25 18–26 17–28
11–17 September 2018 Sentio 16 14–19 13–20 12–20 11–22
6–10 September 2018 Respons Analyse 18 16–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
4–10 September 2018 Opinion Perduco 20 17–22 16–24 16–24 14–27
6 September 2018 Kantar TNS 20 18–23 18–24 17–25 16–27
4–5 September 2018 Norfakta 20 17–23 17–24 16–24 15–26
28 August–2 September 2018 Norstat 21 18–23 17–24 16–25 15–26
20–26 August 2018 Norstat 23 20–26 19–26 19–27 18–28
20–25 August 2018 Ipsos MMI 21 18–24 18–25 17–25 16–27
14–20 August 2018 Sentio 19 17–22 16–23 15–24 14–25
16–20 August 2018 Respons Analyse 18 16–21 16–22 15–22 14–23
7–12 August 2018 Norstat 21 18–26 17–27 17–28 16–28
7–8 August 2018 Norfakta 21 19–25 18–25 18–26 17–27
1–7 August 2018 Kantar TNS 23 23–28 21–28 20–28 19–30
31 July–6 August 2018 Opinion Perduco 19 17–22 16–23 16–24 15–26
3–4 July 2018 Norfakta 18 15–20 14–21 14–22 13–23
25–27 June 2018 Ipsos MMI 21 18–23 17–24 17–24 17–26
19–25 June 2018 Norstat 18 17–21 16–22 16–22 15–24
12–16 June 2018 Sentio 18 16–22 15–22 15–23 13–24
5–11 June 2018 Opinion Perduco 19 16–22 16–23 15–24 14–25
5–6 June 2018 Norfakta 20 17–23 17–24 16–24 15–26
31 May–4 June 2018 Respons Analyse 20 17–23 17–24 17–24 15–26
27 May–4 June 2018 Norstat 20 17–22 17–22 17–24 15–26
28 May–1 June 2018 Kantar TNS 19 17–23 17–23 16–24 15–26
28–30 May 2018 Ipsos MMI 20 18–22 17–23 17–24 16–25
22–28 May 2018 Norstat 22 19–24 18–25 17–26 16–27
14–22 May 2018 Sentio 20 17–23 16–24 16–24 14–26
8–14 May 2018 Opinion Perduco 18 16–21 15–22 14–23 13–25
8–9 May 2018 Norfakta 19 17–22 17–22 16–22 15–25
3–7 May 2018 Respons Analyse 18 15–20 15–21 14–21 13–23
30 April–7 May 2018 Norstat 20 18–23 17–24 16–24 15–26
30 April–2 May 2018 Kantar TNS 18 16–21 15–22 15–23 13–24
26–30 April 2018 Norstat 20 18–23 17–24 17–24 15–25
23–25 April 2018 Ipsos MMI 21 19–24 18–24 17–25 17–27
17–23 April 2018 Sentio 21 18–25 18–26 17–26 16–28
10–16 April 2018 Opinion Perduco 21 18–24 17–25 17–26 16–27
5–9 April 2018 Respons Analyse 19 17–22 17–23 17–23 15–25
3–9 April 2018 Norstat 19 17–23 17–23 16–24 15–25
3–6 April 2018 Kantar TNS 16 13–18 13–19 13–20 12–21
3–4 April 2018 Norfakta 18 17–20 16–22 15–23 14–24
20–24 March 2018 Norstat 19 17–22 17–23 16–23 15–25
19–21 March 2018 Ipsos MMI 19 17–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
20 March 2018 Kantar TNS 18 15–22 15–23 14–24 12–25
13–19 March 2018 Sentio 21 18–24 18–25 17–26 16–28
15–16 March 2018 Respons Analyse 20 18–22 17–23 17–24 15–25
6–12 March 2018 Opinion Perduco 19 17–22 16–23 15–24 14–26
6–7 March 2018 Norfakta 23 20–26 20–27 19–28 18–30
1–5 March 2018 Respons Analyse 19 18–23 17–24 17–25 17–27
27 February–5 March 2018 Norstat 23 20–25 19–26 19–26 18–28
26 February–3 March 2018 Kantar TNS 20 18–23 18–24 17–25 17–27
20–25 February 2018 Norstat 20 18–23 17–23 16–24 15–25
19–21 February 2018 Ipsos MMI 18 16–20 15–21 14–21 14–23
13–19 February 2018 Sentio 19 16–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
6–12 February 2018 Opinion Perduco 17 16–20 15–21 14–22 12–24
5–7 February 2018 Respons Analyse 19 18–22 17–23 17–23 15–25
30 January–5 February 2018 Norstat 21 18–23 17–24 17–24 16–26
29 January–5 February 2018 Kantar TNS 20 17–24 16–24 16–25 15–26
30–31 January 2018 Norfakta 20 17–23 17–24 16–25 15–26
23–28 January 2018 Norstat 20 18–23 17–24 17–24 16–25
22–24 January 2018 Ipsos MMI 22 20–25 19–26 18–26 17–28
16–21 January 2018 Sentio 19 15–21 15–21 14–22 13–24
9–15 January 2018 Opinion Perduco 20 16–22 15–23 15–24 14–26
10–12 January 2018 Respons Analyse 20 18–23 18–24 17–24 16–25
8–10 January 2018 Respons Analyse 20 17–22 17–22 16–23 15–26
3–9 January 2018 Kantar TNS 20 17–23 16–23 16–24 15–25
2–8 January 2018 Norstat 22 20–25 19–26 19–27 17–28
2–3 January 2018 Norfakta 19 17–21 16–22 16–23 14–24
18–20 December 2017 Ipsos MMI 19 16–21 15–22 15–22 13–23
12–18 December 2017 Norstat 20 17–22 16–22 16–24 15–25
5–11 December 2017 Sentio 19 16–22 16–22 15–23 14–25
4–8 December 2017 Kantar TNS 17 15–20 14–21 14–22 13–23
5–6 December 2017 Norfakta 18 16–21 15–23 15–23 14–24
28 November–4 December 2017 Opinion Perduco 20 18–24 17–25 17–25 16–27
21–27 November 2017 Norstat 20 18–22 17–23 17–24 16–25
20–22 November 2017 Ipsos MMI 15 14–18 13–18 12–19 11–20
14–20 November 2017 Norstat 17 15–19 14–19 14–20 13–21
7–13 November 2017 Sentio 20 19–23 18–24 17–24 16–25
6–10 November 2017 Kantar TNS 20 18–23 17–24 17–25 16–26
7–8 November 2017 Norfakta 20 17–22 16–23 16–23 15–25
31 October–6 November 2017 Opinion Perduco 19 17–23 17–24 16–25 15–26
25–31 October 2017 Norstat 21 19–24 18–25 18–26 17–27
23–25 October 2017 Ipsos MMI 20 18–23 17–24 17–25 16–26
17–23 October 2017 Norstat 19 17–22 16–23 16–23 15–25
10–16 October 2017 Sentio 18 15–21 15–22 15–22 14–23
3–9 October 2017 Opinion Perduco 19 16–22 16–22 15–22 14–24
2–6 October 2017 Kantar TNS 17 15–20 14–20 14–20 13–22
3–4 October 2017 Norfakta 21 18–24 17–24 17–25 16–26
27 September–1 October 2017 Norstat 20 17–23 17–23 16–23 15–24
25–27 September 2017 Ipsos MMI 19 16–21 16–22 15–22 14–24
19–25 September 2017 Norstat 21 18–23 18–24 17–24 16–26
12–18 September 2017 Sentio 20 18–24 17–24 17–25 16–26

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Senterpartiet.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.7%  
17 0.8% 99.4%  
18 2% 98.6%  
19 3% 97% Last Result
20 18% 94%  
21 16% 76%  
22 13% 60% Median
23 6% 47%  
24 7% 42%  
25 9% 35%  
26 4% 26%  
27 8% 22%  
28 4% 14%  
29 5% 10%  
30 1.3% 5%  
31 2% 4%  
32 2% 3%  
33 0.5% 0.7%  
34 0.2% 0.3%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%