Fremskrittspartiet
Voting Intentions
Last result: 11.6% (General Election of 13 September 2021)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 24.0% | 21.2–26.1% | 20.4–26.6% | 19.8–27.1% | 18.7–28.0% |
| 8–13 January 2025 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG |
24.5% | 22.8–26.3% | 22.3–26.8% | 21.9–27.3% | 21.1–28.2% |
| 8–13 January 2025 | Norstat NRK |
23.7% | 22.0–25.5% | 21.6–26.0% | 21.1–26.4% | 20.4–27.3% |
| 6–10 January 2025 | Verian TV2 |
24.3% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.2–26.7% | 21.8–27.1% | 21.0–28.0% |
| 7–8 January 2025 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21.1% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.0–23.3% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| 2–6 January 2025 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.6% |
| 6 January 2025 | InFact Nettavisen |
24.2% | 22.6–25.9% | 22.2–26.4% | 21.8–26.8% | 21.1–27.6% |
| 10–14 December 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
27.6% | 25.8–29.5% | 25.3–30.0% | 24.9–30.5% | 24.1–31.4% |
| 4–9 December 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
23.9% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.7–26.2% | 21.3–26.6% | 20.5–27.5% |
| 3–9 December 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
25.3% | 23.6–27.1% | 23.1–27.6% | 22.7–28.1% | 21.9–29.0% |
| 2–9 December 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
27.4% | 25.6–29.3% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.3% | 23.9–31.2% |
| 3–4 December 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.7% | 21.9–25.7% | 21.4–26.3% | 20.9–26.8% | 20.0–27.8% |
| 3 December 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
26.3% | 24.6–28.1% | 24.2–28.6% | 23.7–29.0% | 23.0–29.9% |
| 2 December 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
24.4% | 22.5–26.5% | 21.9–27.1% | 21.5–27.6% | 20.6–28.7% |
| 25–29 November 2024 | Verian TV2 |
24.1% | 22.4–25.9% | 22.0–26.4% | 21.6–26.9% | 20.8–27.8% |
| 12–16 November 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
25.3% | 23.6–27.1% | 23.1–27.6% | 22.7–28.1% | 21.9–29.0% |
| 6–11 November 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
22.4% | 20.8–24.2% | 20.3–24.7% | 20.0–25.1% | 19.2–26.0% |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
21.3% | 19.4–23.3% | 18.9–23.9% | 18.4–24.4% | 17.5–25.5% |
| 5–6 November 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21.3% | 19.5–23.3% | 19.0–23.8% | 18.5–24.3% | 17.7–25.3% |
| 4 November 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
20.1% | 18.3–22.2% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.3–23.3% | 16.5–24.3% |
| 4 November 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
24.2% | 22.6–25.9% | 22.2–26.4% | 21.8–26.8% | 21.0–27.6% |
| 1 November 2024 | Verian TV2 |
19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.6–23.1% |
| 15–19 October 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22.0% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.7–25.5% |
| 10–14 October 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.2–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.6% |
| 1–7 October 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
22.5% | 20.6–24.6% | 20.1–25.2% | 19.6–25.8% | 18.7–26.8% |
| 4 October 2024 | Verian TV2 |
17.9% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.6–20.4% | 15.0–21.2% |
| 3 October 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
23.3% | 21.7–25.1% | 21.2–25.5% | 20.9–26.0% | 20.1–26.8% |
| 1–2 October 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
16.6% | 15.2–18.2% | 14.8–18.6% | 14.4–19.0% | 13.7–19.8% |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
20.3% | 18.4–22.3% | 17.9–22.9% | 17.5–23.4% | 16.6–24.4% |
| 17–21 September 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.6–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.5–23.0% |
| 4–9 September 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.8% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.4–22.4% | 16.7–23.2% |
| 3–9 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
20.1% | 18.3–22.1% | 17.8–22.7% | 17.4–23.2% | 16.6–24.2% |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
17.2% | 15.6–19.1% | 15.1–19.6% | 14.7–20.1% | 13.9–21.0% |
| 3–4 September 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
21.9% | 20.4–23.5% | 20.0–24.0% | 19.6–24.4% | 18.9–25.2% |
| 2 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
16.8% | 15.1–18.6% | 14.6–19.2% | 14.2–19.6% | 13.5–20.6% |
| 26–30 August 2024 | Verian TV2 |
16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| 7–12 August 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
17.5% | 16.0–19.1% | 15.6–19.6% | 15.3–20.0% | 14.6–20.8% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
14.7% | 13.1–16.6% | 12.7–17.1% | 12.3–17.5% | 11.6–18.5% |
| 5–10 August 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 5–9 August 2024 | Verian TV2 |
16.3% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.3% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.5–19.5% |
| 8 August 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
18.5% | 17.0–20.0% | 16.6–20.5% | 16.3–20.9% | 15.6–21.6% |
| 7 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
15.0% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.0–17.3% | 12.6–17.7% | 11.9–18.6% |
| 6–7 August 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
15.3% | 13.7–17.1% | 13.3–17.6% | 12.9–18.0% | 12.2–18.9% |
| 30 July–1 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
15.0% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.0–17.3% | 12.6–17.7% | 11.9–18.6% |
| 2–4 July 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
13.0% | 11.5–14.6% | 11.1–15.1% | 10.8–15.5% | 10.1–16.4% |
| 4 July 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
20.7% | 19.1–22.3% | 18.7–22.8% | 18.4–23.2% | 17.6–24.0% |
| 24–28 June 2024 | Verian TV2 |
15.7% | 14.3–17.3% | 13.9–17.7% | 13.6–18.1% | 13.0–18.9% |
| 11–15 June 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.1% |
| 5–10 June 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
17.5% | 15.8–19.4% | 15.3–20.0% | 14.9–20.5% | 14.2–21.4% |
| 4–10 June 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
19.3% | 17.6–21.3% | 17.1–21.8% | 16.7–22.3% | 15.9–23.3% |
| 4–5 June 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
15.7% | 14.2–17.5% | 13.7–18.0% | 13.4–18.4% | 12.6–19.3% |
| 4 June 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
17.8% | 16.4–19.4% | 16.0–19.8% | 15.6–20.2% | 15.0–20.9% |
| 27–31 May 2024 | Verian TV2 |
15.9% | 14.5–17.5% | 14.1–18.0% | 13.8–18.3% | 13.1–19.1% |
| 21–25 May 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
17.2% | 15.3–19.3% | 14.8–19.9% | 14.4–20.5% | 13.5–21.5% |
| 14–21 May 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
18.4% | 16.9–20.1% | 16.5–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| 7–8 May 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
15.4% | 13.8–17.1% | 13.4–17.6% | 13.0–18.1% | 12.3–18.9% |
| 2–7 May 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.2% |
| 6 May 2024 | Verian TV2 |
16.5% | 15.1–18.0% | 14.7–18.5% | 14.4–18.9% | 13.7–19.6% |
| 6 May 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
17.8% | 16.3–19.4% | 15.9–19.9% | 15.5–20.3% | 14.9–21.1% |
| 2 May 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
18.8% | 17.3–20.4% | 16.9–20.9% | 16.6–21.2% | 15.9–22.0% |
| 23–29 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
17.0% | 15.4–18.9% | 14.9–19.4% | 14.5–19.9% | 13.7–20.9% |
| 9–15 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
16.7% | 15.1–18.6% | 14.6–19.1% | 14.2–19.6% | 13.4–20.5% |
| 3–8 April 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| 2–8 April 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 2–6 April 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
17.6% | 16.1–19.2% | 15.7–19.7% | 15.3–20.1% | 14.6–20.9% |
| 2–5 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
15.3% | 13.7–17.2% | 13.3–17.7% | 12.9–18.2% | 12.1–19.1% |
| 2–4 April 2024 | Verian TV2 |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 4 April 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
15.3% | 14.0–16.8% | 13.6–17.2% | 13.3–17.5% | 12.7–18.2% |
| 6–11 March 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
14.4% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.4–16.7% | 11.7–17.5% |
| 5–9 March 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
15.1% | 13.8–16.7% | 13.4–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.3% |
| 5–6 March 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
14.7% | 13.2–16.4% | 12.8–16.9% | 12.4–17.4% | 11.8–18.2% |
| 4 March 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
16.2% | 14.6–18.1% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.7–19.1% | 13.0–20.1% |
| 4 March 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
15.7% | 14.4–17.2% | 14.0–17.6% | 13.7–18.0% | 13.0–18.7% |
| 26 February–1 March 2024 | Verian TV2 |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| 19–24 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.6% | 10.7–16.3% |
| 19–24 February 2024 | Norstat Vårt Land |
16.5% | 14.8–18.3% | 14.3–18.9% | 13.9–19.3% | 13.2–20.3% |
| 7–12 February 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
14.7% | 13.3–16.2% | 13.0–16.6% | 12.6–17.0% | 12.0–17.8% |
| 6–12 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
13.6% | 12.1–15.4% | 11.6–15.9% | 11.3–16.4% | 10.6–17.3% |
| 6–11 February 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
14.3% | 13.0–15.8% | 12.6–16.2% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.6–17.4% |
| 6–7 February 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
13.7% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–15.9% | 11.1–16.7% |
| 29 January–5 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
11.8% | 10.4–13.5% | 10.0–14.0% | 9.6–14.4% | 9.0–15.3% |
| 27–4 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
16.2% | 14.6–18.1% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.7–19.1% | 13.0–20.1% |
| 29 January–3 February 2024 | Verian TV2 |
11.6% | 10.4–13.0% | 10.1–13.4% | 9.8–13.8% | 9.2–14.5% |
| 1 February 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.8–16.5% | 12.5–16.9% | 11.9–17.6% |
| 10–13 January 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
12.1% | 10.9–13.6% | 10.5–14.0% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.7–15.0% |
| 3–8 January 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.4% | 11.5–15.8% | 10.9–16.5% |
| 2–8 January 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
12.8% | 11.2–14.5% | 10.8–15.0% | 10.5–15.5% | 9.8–16.3% |
| 2–7 January 2024 | Verian TV2 |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.6% | 9.1–14.3% |
| 3–4 January 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
14.2% | 12.7–15.9% | 12.3–16.3% | 11.9–16.7% | 11.3–17.6% |
| 3 January 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
14.4% | 13.2–15.9% | 12.8–16.3% | 12.5–16.7% | 11.9–17.4% |
| 13 December 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
14.2% | 13.0–15.6% | 12.6–16.0% | 12.3–16.4% | 11.7–17.0% |
| 6–11 December 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| 4–8 December 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
12.2% | 10.8–13.9% | 10.3–14.4% | 10.0–14.8% | 9.4–15.6% |
| 5–6 December 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
15.9% | 14.4–17.7% | 13.9–18.2% | 13.5–18.7% | 12.8–19.6% |
| 28 November–4 December 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
14.2% | 12.6–16.0% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.8–16.9% | 11.1–17.8% |
| 27 November–2 December 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 11.9–15.5% | 11.6–15.9% | 11.0–16.6% |
| 27 November–1 December 2023 | Verian TV2 |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 21–25 November 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
13.1% | 11.6–14.8% | 11.2–15.3% | 10.9–15.7% | 10.2–16.6% |
| 8–13 November 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.6% | 10.7–16.3% |
| 7–8 November 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
11.1% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.6–12.8% | 9.3–13.1% | 8.8–13.8% |
| 7 November 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
13.2% | 11.9–14.7% | 11.6–15.1% | 11.2–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| 3 November 2023 | Verian TV2 |
12.1% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.6–15.0% |
| 2 November 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
14.7% | 13.4–16.2% | 13.0–16.7% | 12.7–17.0% | 12.1–17.8% |
| 24–30 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
13.3% | 11.8–15.0% | 11.4–15.5% | 11.0–16.0% | 10.3–16.8% |
| 23–30 October 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
12.9% | 11.6–14.3% | 11.2–14.8% | 10.9–15.1% | 10.3–15.8% |
| 3–9 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.6% | 10.7–16.3% |
| 3–4 October 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
12.8% | 11.4–14.4% | 11.0–14.8% | 10.6–15.2% | 10.0–16.0% |
| 2 October 2023 | Verian TV2 |
12.6% | 11.3–14.0% | 10.9–14.4% | 10.6–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% |
| 2 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
12.3% | 10.9–13.9% | 10.5–14.4% | 10.2–14.8% | 9.5–15.6% |
| 2 October 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
14.0% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.2% | 11.4–16.9% |
| 21–27 September 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
11.6% | 10.4–13.0% | 10.0–13.4% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| 20–22 September 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| 4–7 September 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| 4–6 September 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
13.0% | 11.5–14.7% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.8–15.7% | 10.1–16.5% |
| 5–6 September 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
13.1% | 11.7–14.8% | 11.3–15.2% | 11.0–15.7% | 10.3–16.5% |
| 5 September 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
14.2% | 12.5–16.2% | 12.0–16.7% | 11.6–17.2% | 10.8–18.2% |
| 5 September 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
14.3% | 13.0–15.8% | 12.7–16.2% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.8–17.3% |
| 29 August–1 September 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
13.8% | 12.3–15.6% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.5–16.5% | 10.8–17.4% |
| 24–30 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| 23–28 August 2023 | Verian TV2 |
12.4% | 11.3–13.6% | 11.0–14.0% | 10.7–14.3% | 10.2–14.9% |
| 8–15 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
14.2% | 12.8–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.5–17.2% |
| 9–14 August 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
12.1% | 10.8–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.6–15.0% |
| 8–14 August 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
12.7% | 11.2–14.4% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.4–15.4% | 9.8–16.2% |
| 1–7 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
11.8% | 10.3–13.5% | 9.9–14.0% | 9.6–14.4% | 8.9–15.3% |
| 31 July–4 August 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| 3 August 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
13.8% | 12.5–15.2% | 12.1–15.6% | 11.8–16.0% | 11.2–16.7% |
| 1–2 August 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
12.1% | 10.7–13.8% | 10.3–14.3% | 10.0–14.7% | 9.3–15.5% |
| 6 July 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.8–16.5% | 12.5–16.9% | 11.9–17.7% |
| 4–5 July 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
13.8% | 12.3–15.5% | 11.9–16.0% | 11.5–16.5% | 10.8–17.3% |
| 12–17 June 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
11.6% | 10.3–13.0% | 10.0–13.4% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.1–14.4% |
| 7–12 June 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
10.7% | 9.4–12.3% | 9.1–12.8% | 8.7–13.2% | 8.1–13.9% |
| 6–7 June 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
13.0% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.4–15.9% |
| 30 May–5 June 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
14.1% | 12.5–16.0% | 12.1–16.5% | 11.7–16.9% | 11.0–17.9% |
| 5 June 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
11.7% | 10.5–13.1% | 10.2–13.5% | 9.9–13.9% | 9.3–14.6% |
| 31 May–2 June 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.8–13.2% | 9.5–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| 23–30 May 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
13.2% | 11.7–14.9% | 11.2–15.4% | 10.9–15.9% | 10.2–16.7% |
| 24–30 May 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
13.4% | 11.8–15.2% | 11.4–15.7% | 11.0–16.2% | 10.3–17.1% |
| 15–19 May 2023 | Norstat Vårt Land |
11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.0–14.1% | 9.5–14.8% |
| 3–8 May 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| 2–8 May 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| 2–3 May 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
12.3% | 10.9–13.9% | 10.4–14.4% | 10.1–14.8% | 9.5–15.7% |
| 2 May 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
10.8% | 9.7–12.2% | 9.3–12.6% | 9.1–12.9% | 8.5–13.6% |
| 24–30 April 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
10.6% | 9.7–11.7% | 9.4–12.0% | 9.2–12.3% | 8.7–12.8% |
| 25–29 April 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
| 24–29 April 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
10.6% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.2–13.3% |
| 12–17 April 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| 12–15 April 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| 11–12 April 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
12.3% | 11.0–13.7% | 10.7–14.1% | 10.4–14.5% | 9.8–15.2% |
| 11 April 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
11.1% | 9.9–12.5% | 9.6–12.9% | 9.3–13.2% | 8.7–13.9% |
| 3–4 April 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
14.9% | 13.2–16.7% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.4–17.7% | 11.6–18.7% |
| 27–31 March 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
12.6% | 11.3–14.1% | 11.0–14.5% | 10.7–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% |
| 22–29 March 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
10.6% | 9.2–12.2% | 8.9–12.7% | 8.5–13.1% | 7.9–13.9% |
| 21–27 March 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
12.6% | 11.0–14.4% | 10.6–14.9% | 10.2–15.4% | 9.5–16.3% |
| 13–20 March 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.6% | 9.0–14.3% |
| 8–13 March 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 7–8 March 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
10.9% | 9.6–12.6% | 9.2–13.0% | 8.9–13.4% | 8.3–14.2% |
| 28 February–6 March 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
12.2% | 11.0–13.6% | 10.6–14.0% | 10.3–14.4% | 9.8–15.1% |
| 6 March 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
13.7% | 12.3–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–15.9% | 11.1–16.7% |
| 27 February–3 March 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
14.4% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.7–16.4% | 12.4–16.8% | 11.7–17.5% |
| 23–28 February 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
11.7% | 10.3–13.4% | 9.9–13.9% | 9.5–14.3% | 8.9–15.2% |
| 21–27 February 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
13.6% | 12.1–15.3% | 11.6–15.8% | 11.3–16.2% | 10.6–17.1% |
| 8–13 February 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| 7–8 February 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
10.9% | 9.6–12.6% | 9.2–13.0% | 8.9–13.4% | 8.3–14.2% |
| 6 February 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
12.7% | 11.2–14.5% | 10.8–15.0% | 10.4–15.5% | 9.7–16.4% |
| 6 February 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
12.3% | 11.1–13.7% | 10.7–14.1% | 10.4–14.5% | 9.9–15.2% |
| 5 February 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.4% | 10.5–16.1% |
| 25–31 January 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
14.5% | 13.1–16.0% | 12.8–16.5% | 12.4–16.8% | 11.8–17.6% |
| 24–27 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
12.6% | 11.3–14.0% | 10.9–14.4% | 10.7–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% |
| 11 January 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
13.1% | 11.9–14.6% | 11.5–15.0% | 11.2–15.3% | 10.6–16.0% |
| 4–9 January 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 3–9 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| 3–6 January 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.8% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.9% |
| 3–4 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter |
13.2% | 11.9–14.7% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.2–15.5% | 10.6–16.3% |
| 3–4 January 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
12.5% | 11.3–14.0% | 10.9–14.4% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
| 27 December 2022–2 January 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
11.9% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.3–13.8% | 10.0–14.2% | 9.4–14.9% |
| 13–17 December 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
14.1% | 12.8–15.7% | 12.4–16.1% | 12.1–16.5% | 11.4–17.3% |
| 12–14 December 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
11.8% | 10.5–13.3% | 10.2–13.7% | 9.8–14.1% | 9.3–14.9% |
| 7–12 December 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| 6–10 December 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
10.2% | 9.1–11.5% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.5–12.2% | 8.0–12.9% |
| 6–7 December 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
11.6% | 10.4–13.0% | 10.1–13.4% | 9.8–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| 29 November–5 December 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
12.2% | 10.9–13.7% | 10.6–14.1% | 10.3–14.4% | 9.7–15.2% |
| 28 November–2 December 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
10.6% | 9.4–12.0% | 9.1–12.4% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.4% |
| 22–27 November 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.1–14.7% | 10.8–15.1% | 10.2–15.8% |
| 22–24 November 2022 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
13.3% | 11.8–15.2% | 11.3–15.7% | 10.9–16.2% | 10.2–17.1% |
| 21–23 November 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
14.7% | 13.3–16.3% | 12.9–16.7% | 12.6–17.1% | 11.9–17.9% |
| 15–19 November 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
12.7% | 11.4–14.2% | 11.0–14.6% | 10.7–15.0% | 10.1–15.7% |
| 8–14 November 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| 5–10 November 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.0–14.1% | 9.5–14.8% |
| 1–7 November 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
13.8% | 12.2–15.7% | 11.8–16.2% | 11.4–16.7% | 10.7–17.6% |
| 1–4 November 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
13.1% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 24–31 October 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
12.1% | 10.9–13.4% | 10.6–13.7% | 10.3–14.1% | 9.8–14.7% |
| 25–30 October 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
14.7% | 13.3–16.3% | 12.9–16.7% | 12.6–17.1% | 11.9–17.9% |
| 24–26 October 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
13.1% | 11.6–14.8% | 11.2–15.3% | 10.9–15.8% | 10.2–16.6% |
| 18–23 October 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.4% | 10.5–16.2% |
| 21 October 2022 | InFact Fiskeribladet |
15.0% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.3–18.2% |
| 11–17 October 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
13.7% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.0–15.6% | 11.7–16.0% | 11.1–16.7% |
| 11–12 October 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
12.3% | 11.1–13.7% | 10.7–14.1% | 10.4–14.5% | 9.8–15.2% |
| 5–10 October 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.6–16.1% |
| 4–10 October 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
13.6% | 12.3–15.2% | 11.9–15.6% | 11.6–16.0% | 11.0–16.7% |
| 27 September–2 October 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
14.4% | 13.0–15.9% | 12.6–16.4% | 12.3–16.8% | 11.7–17.5% |
| 26–30 September 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.2% | 12.2–16.6% | 11.6–17.3% |
| 29 September 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
15.4% | 13.8–17.3% | 13.4–17.8% | 13.0–18.2% | 12.3–19.2% |
| 20–25 September 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.3–17.9% | 12.7–18.7% |
| 13–19 September 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
16.7% | 15.2–18.3% | 14.8–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.8–19.9% |
| 7–12 September 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% |
| 6–12 September 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.4–12.7% | 9.1–13.1% | 8.6–13.8% |
| 5–7 September 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
14.1% | 12.7–15.6% | 12.4–16.0% | 12.0–16.4% | 11.4–17.1% |
| 30 August–4 September 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
12.6% | 11.3–14.0% | 10.9–14.5% | 10.6–14.8% | 10.0–15.6% |
| 29 August–2 September 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
14.1% | 12.8–15.7% | 12.4–16.1% | 12.1–16.5% | 11.5–17.2% |
| 23–29 August 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.5% | 11.5–15.9% | 10.9–16.6% |
| 26 August 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
15.2% | 13.6–17.0% | 13.1–17.5% | 12.7–18.0% | 12.0–18.9% |
| 16–22 August 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| 10–15 August 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
| 9–14 August 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
14.4% | 13.0–15.9% | 12.6–16.4% | 12.3–16.8% | 11.7–17.5% |
| 2–8 August 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
14.9% | 13.2–16.7% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.4–17.7% | 11.6–18.7% |
| 1–5 August 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
13.2% | 11.7–14.9% | 11.3–15.4% | 10.9–15.8% | 10.2–16.7% |
| 2–3 August 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
13.4% | 11.9–15.0% | 11.5–15.5% | 11.2–15.9% | 10.5–16.7% |
| 5–6 July 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–16.0% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.1% |
| 24–30 June 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
13.1% | 11.6–14.8% | 11.2–15.3% | 10.9–15.7% | 10.2–16.5% |
| 27–29 June 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
14.8% | 13.2–16.6% | 12.7–17.1% | 12.4–17.5% | 11.6–18.4% |
| 13–20 June 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
15.8% | 14.3–17.4% | 13.9–17.8% | 13.6–18.2% | 12.9–19.0% |
| 7–13 June 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.9–16.6% | 12.5–16.9% | 11.9–17.7% |
| 4–9 June 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 7–8 June 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 31 May–5 June 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
14.1% | 12.7–15.6% | 12.4–16.1% | 12.0–16.4% | 11.4–17.2% |
| 30 May–3 June 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
13.9% | 12.6–15.4% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.9–16.2% | 11.2–17.0% |
| 24–30 May 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
13.0% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.3–14.9% | 11.0–15.3% | 10.4–16.0% |
| 23–25 May 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
13.0% | 11.5–14.7% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.7–15.6% | 10.1–16.5% |
| 16–23 May 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
12.7% | 11.2–14.4% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.5–15.3% | 9.8–16.2% |
| 9–15 May 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
13.4% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.7–15.3% | 11.4–15.7% | 10.8–16.4% |
| 4–9 May 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| 3–9 May 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
13.8% | 12.3–15.7% | 11.8–16.2% | 11.4–16.6% | 10.7–17.5% |
| 3–4 May 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 3 May 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
11.4% | 9.8–13.5% | 9.3–14.0% | 8.9–14.6% | 8.2–15.6% |
| 26 April–2 May 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
12.9% | 11.5–14.6% | 11.1–15.1% | 10.7–15.6% | 10.0–16.4% |
| 25–27 April 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
10.6% | 9.4–12.0% | 9.1–12.4% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.2–13.4% |
| 19–25 April 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
14.3% | 12.9–15.8% | 12.5–16.3% | 12.2–16.7% | 11.6–17.4% |
| 5–10 April 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| 4–6 April 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
13.3% | 12.0–14.7% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| 6 April 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
12.7% | 11.2–14.6% | 10.7–15.1% | 10.3–15.5% | 9.6–16.5% |
| 5–6 April 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
11.3% | 9.9–12.8% | 9.5–13.3% | 9.2–13.7% | 8.6–14.4% |
| 28 March–1 April 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
13.8% | 12.5–15.4% | 12.1–15.8% | 11.8–16.2% | 11.2–16.9% |
| 22–28 March 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
12.5% | 11.2–14.0% | 10.8–14.4% | 10.5–14.8% | 9.9–15.5% |
| 21–23 March 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
13.2% | 11.7–15.0% | 11.3–15.4% | 11.0–15.9% | 10.3–16.7% |
| 15–20 March 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.6–13.0% | 9.3–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| 8–14 March 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
10.4% | 9.1–12.0% | 8.7–12.4% | 8.4–12.8% | 7.8–13.6% |
| 8–14 March 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.6% | 10.7–16.3% |
| 2–7 March 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
11.7% | 10.2–13.4% | 9.8–13.8% | 9.5–14.3% | 8.8–15.1% |
| 1–2 March 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
11.0% | 9.7–12.6% | 9.4–13.0% | 9.1–13.4% | 8.5–14.2% |
| 22–28 February 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
10.9% | 9.5–12.5% | 9.1–12.9% | 8.8–13.3% | 8.2–14.1% |
| 22–28 February 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
10.0% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.5–11.7% | 8.0–12.3% |
| 21–23 February 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
10.5% | 9.2–12.1% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.5–13.0% | 7.9–13.8% |
| 15–20 February 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
11.2% | 10.0–12.7% | 9.7–13.1% | 9.4–13.4% | 8.8–14.1% |
| 9–14 February 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
| 8–12 February 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| 1–7 February 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
9.8% | 8.4–11.3% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.8–12.2% | 7.2–13.0% |
| 1–2 February 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
12.2% | 10.8–13.8% | 10.5–14.2% | 10.1–14.6% | 9.5–15.4% |
| 25–31 January 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
12.2% | 10.9–13.6% | 10.5–14.1% | 10.2–14.4% | 9.7–15.1% |
| 25–31 January 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
11.3% | 10.0–12.9% | 9.7–13.3% | 9.3–13.7% | 8.7–14.5% |
| 24–26 January 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
12.6% | 11.1–14.3% | 10.7–14.8% | 10.3–15.2% | 9.7–16.0% |
| 18–24 January 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
11.2% | 10.0–12.7% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.4% | 8.9–14.1% |
| 10–15 January 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 5–10 January 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
10.6% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.3% |
| 4–9 January 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
12.8% | 11.3–14.5% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.5–15.4% | 9.9–16.3% |
| 3–7 January 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.6% | 9.0–14.3% |
| 4–5 January 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
10.9% | 9.7–12.3% | 9.4–12.6% | 9.1–13.0% | 8.6–13.7% |
| 27 December 2021–3 January 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
13.9% | 12.5–15.4% | 12.1–15.9% | 11.8–16.3% | 11.2–17.0% |
| 14–20 December 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.4–12.8% | 9.1–13.1% | 8.6–13.8% |
| 20 December 2021 | InFact Nettavisen |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| 13–15 December 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
12.8% | 11.4–14.5% | 11.0–14.9% | 10.7–15.3% | 10.0–16.2% |
| 7–13 December 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
11.7% | 10.5–13.1% | 10.1–13.5% | 9.8–13.9% | 9.3–14.5% |
| 8–13 December 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.8–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| 3–9 December 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
11.1% | 9.7–12.9% | 9.3–13.4% | 8.9–13.8% | 8.3–14.7% |
| 7–8 December 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
11.1% | 9.9–12.5% | 9.6–12.8% | 9.3–13.2% | 8.7–13.9% |
| 2–7 December 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
10.0% | 8.5–12.0% | 8.1–12.5% | 7.7–13.0% | 7.0–14.0% |
| 23–27 November 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
12.0% | 10.7–13.6% | 10.3–14.1% | 9.9–14.5% | 9.3–15.3% |
| 22–24 November 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
11.3% | 10.0–12.7% | 9.7–13.1% | 9.4–13.5% | 8.8–14.2% |
| 16–22 November 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
13.0% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.9% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.4–16.0% |
| 10–15 November 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 9–14 November 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
11.1% | 9.9–12.5% | 9.6–12.9% | 9.3–13.2% | 8.7–13.9% |
| 2–8 November 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
12.0% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.3–13.8% | 10.0–14.2% | 9.5–14.9% |
| 2–3 November 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
10.0% | 8.7–11.6% | 8.3–12.0% | 8.0–12.4% | 7.4–13.2% |
| 27 October–2 November 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
11.4% | 9.8–13.5% | 9.3–14.0% | 8.9–14.6% | 8.2–15.6% |
| 26–31 October 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
9.7% | 8.6–11.1% | 8.3–11.5% | 8.0–11.8% | 7.5–12.5% |
| 31 October 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
9.8% | 8.6–11.4% | 8.2–11.8% | 7.9–12.2% | 7.3–13.0% |
| 19–24 October 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.2% | 8.6–13.9% |
| 11–19 October 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 13–18 October 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
10.3% | 9.1–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.0–13.0% |
| 5–11 October 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.4–12.7% | 9.1–13.1% | 8.6–13.8% |
| 5–6 October 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
11.6% | 10.3–13.0% | 10.0–13.4% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| 3 October 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
12.0% | 10.7–13.6% | 10.3–14.1% | 10.0–14.4% | 9.4–15.2% |
| 1 October 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
11.7% | 10.4–13.1% | 10.1–13.5% | 9.8–13.8% | 9.2–14.5% |
| 21–25 September 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
11.2% | 9.9–12.6% | 9.6–13.0% | 9.3–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| 14–21 September 2021 | Sentio | 11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| 14–21 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Fremskrittspartiet.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 4% | 98% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 6% | 94% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 10% | 88% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 17% | 78% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 23% | 61% | Median |
| 24.5–25.5% | 20% | 38% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 12% | 17% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 21 seats (General Election of 13 September 2021)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 44 | 39–48 | 38–48 | 37–49 | 35–51 |
| 8–13 January 2025 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG |
44 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–49 | 39–52 |
| 8–13 January 2025 | Norstat NRK |
44 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 38–50 |
| 6–10 January 2025 | Verian TV2 |
44 | 41–44 | 39–44 | 38–45 | 38–50 |
| 7–8 January 2025 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
39 | 36–43 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 33–46 |
| 2–6 January 2025 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
45 | 43–49 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 39–53 |
| 6 January 2025 | InFact Nettavisen |
43 | 41–48 | 41–48 | 41–50 | 39–51 |
| 10–14 December 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
52 | 48–57 | 47–58 | 46–59 | 44–61 |
| 4–9 December 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
43 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 38–50 |
| 3–9 December 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
46 | 42–50 | 42–51 | 42–52 | 41–54 |
| 2–9 December 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
51 | 48–56 | 46–57 | 45–57 | 43–59 |
| 3–4 December 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 39–50 | 37–51 |
| 3 December 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
48 | 44–51 | 42–53 | 42–54 | 42–55 |
| 2 December 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
43 | 41–47 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| 25–29 November 2024 | Verian TV2 |
42 | 41–46 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 37–50 |
| 12–16 November 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
47 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 42–52 | 41–55 |
| 6–11 November 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
41 | 38–43 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–46 |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
39 | 36–43 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 32–45 |
| 5–6 November 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
39 | 35–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 32–46 |
| 4 November 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 30–44 |
| 4 November 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
44 | 42–46 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 |
| 1 November 2024 | Verian TV2 |
36 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–42 |
| 15–19 October 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
42 | 41–42 | 39–43 | 38–43 | 37–46 |
| 10–14 October 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
35 | 34–39 | 33–40 | 32–40 | 30–41 |
| 1–7 October 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
41 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 |
| 4 October 2024 | Verian TV2 |
31 | 29–35 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 26–39 |
| 3 October 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
43 | 42–43 | 40–43 | 39–44 | 37–47 |
| 1–2 October 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
31 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 26–37 | 24–37 |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
38 | 35–42 | 34–42 | 33–42 | 31–45 |
| 17–21 September 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
42 | 36–43 | 35–43 | 34–43 | 32–43 |
| 4–9 September 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
39 | 35–39 | 32–39 | 32–39 | 31–44 |
| 3–9 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
38 | 36–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 31–44 |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
32 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 26–36 | 24–38 |
| 3–4 September 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
42 | 38–44 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 |
| 2 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
30 | 23–35 | 23–35 | 22–35 | 22–41 |
| 26–30 August 2024 | Verian TV2 |
39 | 27–39 | 27–39 | 26–39 | 26–39 |
| 7–12 August 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
31 | 31 | 28–31 | 28–34 | 28–36 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
26 | 23–31 | 22–33 | 21–33 | 19–35 |
| 5–10 August 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
28 | 26–32 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 23–36 |
| 5–9 August 2024 | Verian TV2 |
31 | 27–34 | 26–34 | 24–35 | 23–36 |
| 8 August 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
33 | 32–38 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 29–41 |
| 7 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
26 | 26 | 26 | 26–28 | 24–37 |
| 6–7 August 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
28 | 24–33 | 23–35 | 23–36 | 22–36 |
| 30 July–1 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
26 | 26 | 26 | 26–28 | 24–37 |
| 2–4 July 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
25 | 22–32 | 22–32 | 19–32 | 19–32 |
| 4 July 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
38 | 35–42 | 35–42 | 35–42 | 34–46 |
| 24–28 June 2024 | Verian TV2 |
30 | 23–32 | 23–32 | 23–32 | 23–34 |
| 11–15 June 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
32 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 24–38 |
| 5–10 June 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
36 | 30–36 | 29–36 | 25–36 | 25–38 |
| 4–10 June 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
36 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 28–43 |
| 4–5 June 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
24 | 24–31 | 24–34 | 22–36 | 21–36 |
| 4 June 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
34 | 30–37 | 29–37 | 28–37 | 28–38 |
| 27–31 May 2024 | Verian TV2 |
26 | 25–32 | 24–36 | 24–36 | 22–37 |
| 21–25 May 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
33 | 28–40 | 26–40 | 26–40 | 24–43 |
| 14–21 May 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
36 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 30–40 | 28–41 |
| 7–8 May 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
26 | 22–32 | 22–34 | 22–35 | 21–36 |
| 2–7 May 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
25 | 24–31 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 21–35 |
| 6 May 2024 | Verian TV2 |
33 | 30–34 | 28–36 | 28–36 | 24–36 |
| 6 May 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
34 | 32–37 | 30–37 | 28–37 | 26–38 |
| 2 May 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
36 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 30–40 | 29–41 |
| 23–29 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
30 | 30–34 | 28–37 | 28–37 | 26–38 |
| 9–15 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
32 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 25–37 | 24–39 |
| 3–8 April 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
23 | 20–28 | 20–28 | 20–29 | 19–30 |
| 2–8 April 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23 | 20–26 | 19–28 | 18–28 | 18–30 |
| 2–6 April 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
34 | 30–36 | 29–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 |
| 2–5 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
28 | 25–34 | 24–34 | 24–35 | 22–37 |
| 2–4 April 2024 | Verian TV2 |
24 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 18–29 |
| 4 April 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
25 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 23–36 |
| 6–11 March 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
25 | 25 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 23–30 |
| 5–9 March 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
27 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 23–34 | 21–35 |
| 5–6 March 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
26 | 24–28 | 23–32 | 23–32 | 20–34 |
| 4 March 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
34 | 29–36 | 29–36 | 27–36 | 23–39 |
| 4 March 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
30 | 26–34 | 25–36 | 25–36 | 23–36 |
| 26 February–1 March 2024 | Verian TV2 |
24 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 21–29 | 19–33 |
| 19–24 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
23 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–30 |
| 19–24 February 2024 | Norstat Vårt Land |
27 | 27–35 | 27–35 | 27–36 | 23–38 |
| 7–12 February 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
27 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 22–33 | 20–34 |
| 6–12 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
23 | 21–28 | 20–29 | 19–30 | 18–32 |
| 6–11 February 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
26 | 23–29 | 22–31 | 22–33 | 21–35 |
| 6–7 February 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
25 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 20–29 | 19–31 |
| 29 January–5 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
20 | 18–25 | 17–27 | 17–28 | 16–29 |
| 27–4 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
34 | 29–36 | 29–36 | 27–36 | 23–39 |
| 29 January–3 February 2024 | Verian TV2 |
18 | 18–25 | 18–25 | 18–25 | 16–26 |
| 1 February 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
29 | 25–31 | 23–31 | 23–31 | 19–32 |
| 10–13 January 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| 3–8 January 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
24 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 19–29 |
| 2–8 January 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
24 | 20–25 | 19–28 | 18–28 | 17–30 |
| 2–7 January 2024 | Verian TV2 |
21 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 16–24 |
| 3–4 January 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
29 | 22–34 | 22–34 | 22–34 | 21–34 |
| 3 January 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
25 | 22–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 20–32 |
| 13 December 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
24 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 21–30 |
| 6–11 December 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
19 | 19–26 | 17–26 | 17–26 | 17–27 |
| 4–8 December 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| 5–6 December 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
30 | 26–34 | 24–35 | 24–36 | 23–37 |
| 28 November–4 December 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
25 | 22–29 | 21–30 | 20–32 | 20–34 |
| 27 November–2 December 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
26 | 21–27 | 21–29 | 21–29 | 19–32 |
| 27 November–1 December 2023 | Verian TV2 |
20 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
| 21–25 November 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
24 | 20–31 | 20–34 | 19–34 | 18–34 |
| 8–13 November 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
24 | 21–26 | 20–28 | 20–28 | 19–32 |
| 7–8 November 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
19 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 15–25 |
| 7 November 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
25 | 19–28 | 19–30 | 19–30 | 19–30 |
| 3 November 2023 | Verian TV2 |
22 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 16–28 |
| 2 November 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
27 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 23–33 | 21–35 |
| 24–30 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
23 | 21–27 | 20–29 | 19–31 | 18–34 |
| 23–30 October 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–30 |
| 3–9 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
24 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 20–29 | 18–30 |
| 3–4 October 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
24 | 20–30 | 19–30 | 19–30 | 18–30 |
| 2 October 2023 | Verian TV2 |
21 | 21–24 | 20–27 | 19–27 | 18–29 |
| 2 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 16–29 |
| 2 October 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
25 | 22–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 20–33 |
| 21–27 September 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 |
| 20–22 September 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
19 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 18–22 | 17–24 |
| 4–7 September 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
22 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 |
| 4–6 September 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
23 | 20–28 | 18–29 | 18–30 | 17–32 |
| 5–6 September 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
22 | 22–25 | 21–28 | 21–30 | 20–31 |
| 5 September 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24 | 23–34 | 22–34 | 21–34 | 20–34 |
| 5 September 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
26 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 20–35 |
| 29 August–1 September 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
24 | 22–28 | 21–30 | 20–31 | 18–34 |
| 24–30 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
23 | 19–28 | 18–29 | 18–30 | 17–31 |
| 23–28 August 2023 | Verian TV2 |
23 | 20–26 | 19–26 | 18–28 | 18–29 |
| 8–15 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
25 | 23–30 | 22–31 | 21–32 | 19–34 |
| 9–14 August 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
21 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 17–27 |
| 8–14 August 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22 | 20–27 | 19–27 | 18–28 | 18–32 |
| 1–7 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
20 | 18–24 | 17–26 | 17–28 | 16–30 |
| 31 July–4 August 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
22 | 22 | 21–23 | 21–25 | 21–26 |
| 3 August 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
24 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 20–31 |
| 1–2 August 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
24 | 18–30 | 18–30 | 18–30 | 16–30 |
| 6 July 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
26 | 23–29 | 22–29 | 21–30 | 20–33 |
| 4–5 July 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
25 | 21–32 | 20–35 | 20–35 | 19–36 |
| 12–17 June 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
20 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–26 |
| 7–12 June 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
18 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 13–26 |
| 6–7 June 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
25 | 23–26 | 22–28 | 22–29 | 19–31 |
| 30 May–5 June 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
25 | 21–30 | 20–32 | 19–33 | 18–35 |
| 5 June 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
20 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 17–26 | 17–27 |
| 31 May–2 June 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
18 | 18–20 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 18–26 |
| 23–30 May 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
22 | 20–30 | 19–30 | 19–30 | 19–31 |
| 24–30 May 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24 | 21–27 | 20–29 | 19–30 | 18–32 |
| 15–19 May 2023 | Norstat Vårt Land |
21 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 17–27 | 16–27 |
| 3–8 May 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
25 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 20–31 | 19–32 |
| 2–8 May 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
21 | 21–26 | 21–28 | 19–28 | 19–30 |
| 2–3 May 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21 | 17–27 | 17–27 | 17–27 | 16–29 |
| 2 May 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
18 | 18 | 18–19 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 24–30 April 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
21 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–24 |
| 25–29 April 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
23 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 18–28 | 17–31 |
| 24–29 April 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 14–23 |
| 12–17 April 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
23 | 18–27 | 18–28 | 18–28 | 18–31 |
| 12–15 April 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
17 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 11–22 |
| 11–12 April 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
24 | 22–24 | 22–24 | 20–24 | 19–28 |
| 11 April 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
22 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 15–29 |
| 3–4 April 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
28 | 22–33 | 21–34 | 20–35 | 18–36 |
| 27–31 March 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23 | 20–29 | 18–29 | 18–29 | 17–29 |
| 22–29 March 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
18 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 15–23 | 14–25 |
| 21–27 March 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
22 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 18–29 | 17–31 |
| 13–20 March 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
19 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–27 |
| 8–13 March 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
18 | 16–19 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 13–22 |
| 7–8 March 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
19 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 |
| 28 February–6 March 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
20 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–27 | 16–29 |
| 6 March 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
27 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 20–31 | 19–33 |
| 27 February–3 March 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
25 | 22–29 | 21–31 | 21–31 | 20–32 |
| 23–28 February 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–26 | 15–27 |
| 21–27 February 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
24 | 24–25 | 24–25 | 24–25 | 22–31 |
| 8–13 February 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
22 | 18–26 | 18–28 | 18–29 | 17–30 |
| 7–8 February 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
18 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 13–26 |
| 6 February 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
23 | 18–29 | 18–29 | 17–30 | 17–32 |
| 6 February 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
23 | 23 | 20–23 | 19–25 | 19–25 |
| 5 February 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
22 | 21–25 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 17–30 |
| 25–31 January 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
27 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 21–33 | 19–35 |
| 24–27 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
22 | 18–25 | 18–28 | 18–29 | 17–30 |
| 11 January 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
21 | 20–25 | 20–29 | 19–29 | 19–30 |
| 4–9 January 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
23 | 20–27 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 18–30 |
| 3–9 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
21 | 18–24 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 |
| 3–6 January 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
25 | 20–26 | 20–30 | 20–30 | 18–30 |
| 3–4 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter |
24 | 22–25 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–27 |
| 3–4 January 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
26 | 24–26 | 24–26 | 22–26 | 19–30 |
| 27 December 2022–2 January 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 | 17–29 |
| 13–17 December 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
27 | 23–30 | 22–31 | 21–32 | 20–34 |
| 12–14 December 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
20 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–26 | 17–27 |
| 7–12 December 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
26 | 20–29 | 20–29 | 20–30 | 19–31 |
| 6–10 December 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
15 | 15–20 | 15–22 | 15–22 | 15–22 |
| 6–7 December 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21 | 20–21 | 19–21 | 18–21 | 17–23 |
| 29 November–5 December 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–29 |
| 28 November–2 December 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
19 | 19 | 19 | 16–19 | 16–22 |
| 22–27 November 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
26 | 21–28 | 19–28 | 19–30 | 18–33 |
| 22–24 November 2022 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
26 | 20–30 | 20–30 | 20–31 | 18–33 |
| 21–23 November 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
29 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 22–33 | 20–34 |
| 15–19 November 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
23 | 20–25 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 18–31 |
| 8–14 November 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
21 | 17–26 | 17–29 | 17–32 | 17–34 |
| 5–10 November 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
23 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 17–25 | 15–28 |
| 1–7 November 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
25 | 20–30 | 19–31 | 18–33 | 17–34 |
| 1–4 November 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
22 | 19–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 | 18–30 |
| 24–31 October 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20 | 18–23 | 18–25 | 18–25 | 17–27 |
| 25–30 October 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
29 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 23–33 | 20–35 |
| 24–26 October 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
22 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 18–29 | 17–31 |
| 18–23 October 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
23 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 18–32 |
| 21 October 2022 | InFact Fiskeribladet |
29 | 26–32 | 24–33 | 23–33 | 21–35 |
| 11–17 October 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
24 | 23–30 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 20–32 |
| 11–12 October 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
22 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| 5–10 October 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
25 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–33 | 18–34 |
| 4–10 October 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
24 | 20–29 | 20–30 | 19–31 | 18–31 |
| 27 September–2 October 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
28 | 24–29 | 23–30 | 22–31 | 21–34 |
| 26–30 September 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
29 | 22–29 | 21–29 | 21–29 | 20–32 |
| 29 September 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
27 | 24–31 | 23–34 | 22–35 | 21–36 |
| 20–25 September 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
30 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 25–34 | 21–36 |
| 13–19 September 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
33 | 27–36 | 24–36 | 24–36 | 24–37 |
| 7–12 September 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
20 | 19–24 | 19–27 | 18–29 | 18–30 |
| 6–12 September 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
18 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 14–23 |
| 5–7 September 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
25 | 22–28 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 19–33 |
| 30 August–4 September 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 18–29 |
| 29 August–2 September 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
27 | 23–30 | 22–31 | 21–31 | 20–33 |
| 23–29 August 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
24 | 21–28 | 19–30 | 19–30 | 18–31 |
| 26 August 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
29 | 23–32 | 22–33 | 21–33 | 20–36 |
| 16–22 August 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
24 | 20–27 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 18–30 |
| 10–15 August 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
28 | 20–29 | 19–29 | 18–29 | 18–29 |
| 9–14 August 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24 | 24–31 | 24–31 | 23–31 | 21–31 |
| 2–8 August 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
28 | 23–32 | 22–33 | 21–35 | 19–36 |
| 1–5 August 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–30 |
| 2–3 August 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
24 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 18–30 |
| 5–6 July 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
25 | 21–29 | 21–30 | 20–31 | 18–32 |
| 24–30 June 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 | 17–30 |
| 27–29 June 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
29 | 22–31 | 21–32 | 21–33 | 19–35 |
| 13–20 June 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
29 | 26–31 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 23–35 |
| 7–13 June 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
29 | 21–31 | 21–32 | 21–32 | 21–35 |
| 4–9 June 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
24 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 20–31 |
| 7–8 June 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 |
| 31 May–5 June 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
25 | 22–28 | 21–29 | 21–30 | 19–31 |
| 30 May–3 June 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 19–30 |
| 24–30 May 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
23 | 21–26 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 18–30 |
| 23–25 May 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
23 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 | 17–30 |
| 16–23 May 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
21 | 19–25 | 18–27 | 18–29 | 17–31 |
| 9–15 May 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
24 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 19–28 | 18–29 |
| 4–9 May 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
21 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–28 | 17–29 |
| 3–9 May 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
24 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 19–30 | 18–32 |
| 3–4 May 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
22 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 19–27 | 17–29 |
| 3 May 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20 | 17–23 | 17–25 | 15–26 | 13–28 |
| 26 April–2 May 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22 | 19–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 | 17–30 |
| 25–27 April 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
18 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 14–23 |
| 19–25 April 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
26 | 22–30 | 21–30 | 20–31 | 19–33 |
| 5–10 April 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
22 | 20–22 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 17–25 |
| 4–6 April 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
23 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 18–28 |
| 6 April 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
22 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 18–29 | 17–30 |
| 5–6 April 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 15–26 |
| 28 March–1 April 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
25 | 22–28 | 21–29 | 21–30 | 20–31 |
| 22–28 March 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 |
| 21–23 March 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
24 | 18–27 | 18–27 | 18–30 | 18–34 |
| 15–20 March 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
18 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–25 |
| 8–14 March 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
20 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| 8–14 March 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
23 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–30 |
| 2–7 March 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
20 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 17–26 | 15–27 |
| 1–2 March 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
19 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
| 22–28 February 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
18 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 13–25 |
| 22–28 February 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
18 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| 21–23 February 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
19 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 13–24 |
| 15–20 February 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
20 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 15–25 |
| 9–14 February 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
22 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 |
| 8–12 February 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
22 | 19–22 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 17–24 |
| 1–7 February 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
17 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 | 12–23 |
| 1–2 February 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| 25–31 January 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 17–27 |
| 25–31 January 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 15–26 |
| 24–26 January 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
22 | 19–25 | 18–27 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
| 18–24 January 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
20 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 15–26 |
| 10–15 January 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
21 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 17–26 |
| 5–10 January 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
19 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 14–23 |
| 4–9 January 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
22 | 19–26 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
| 3–7 January 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
19 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–26 |
| 4–5 January 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
19 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| 27 December 2021–3 January 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
25 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 20–30 | 19–31 |
| 14–20 December 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
19 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| 20 December 2021 | InFact Nettavisen |
24 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 19–30 |
| 13–15 December 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
22 | 19–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 | 17–30 |
| 7–13 December 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
20 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 16–26 |
| 8–13 December 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
20 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 16–26 |
| 3–9 December 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
20 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 | 14–26 |
| 7–8 December 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
| 2–7 December 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
17 | 14–20 | 13–22 | 12–22 | 10–24 |
| 23–27 November 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–28 |
| 22–24 November 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
20 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 15–25 |
| 16–22 November 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
22 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 |
| 10–15 November 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
18 | 18–20 | 17–21 | 17–23 | 15–25 |
| 9–14 November 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
19 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 14–24 |
| 2–8 November 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
21 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 |
| 2–3 November 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
17 | 14–21 | 14–21 | 13–22 | 12–23 |
| 27 October–2 November 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20 | 17–23 | 16–25 | 15–26 | 13–29 |
| 26–31 October 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–20 | 12–22 |
| 31 October 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 | 11–23 |
| 19–24 October 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
20 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| 11–19 October 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
19 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
| 13–18 October 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
18 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–22 | 13–24 |
| 5–11 October 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 14–24 |
| 5–6 October 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 16–26 |
| 3 October 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–26 | 16–28 |
| 1 October 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 16–26 |
| 21–25 September 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 15–26 |
| 14–21 September 2021 | Sentio | 19 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| 14–21 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
19 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Fremskrittspartiet.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 3% | 96% | |
| 39 | 5% | 94% | |
| 40 | 3% | 89% | |
| 41 | 11% | 86% | |
| 42 | 8% | 75% | |
| 43 | 13% | 68% | |
| 44 | 25% | 55% | Median |
| 45 | 8% | 30% | |
| 46 | 7% | 23% | |
| 47 | 5% | 16% | |
| 48 | 6% | 11% | |
| 49 | 3% | 5% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |