Arbeiderpartiet
Voting Intentions
Last result: 26.2% (General Election of 13 September 2021)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19.3% | 16.6–21.8% | 16.0–22.3% | 15.5–22.8% | 14.6–23.8% |
| 8–13 January 2025 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG |
16.7% | 15.3–18.3% | 14.9–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.9–19.9% |
| 8–13 January 2025 | Norstat NRK |
20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| 6–10 January 2025 | Verian TV2 |
21.0% | 19.4–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| 7–8 January 2025 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
18.4% | 16.9–20.0% | 16.4–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 2–6 January 2025 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
18.1% | 16.6–19.8% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.9–20.6% | 15.2–21.4% |
| 6 January 2025 | InFact Nettavisen |
20.6% | 19.1–22.2% | 18.7–22.7% | 18.4–23.1% | 17.7–23.9% |
| 10–14 December 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| 4–9 December 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
18.9% | 17.3–20.5% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.6–21.4% | 15.9–22.2% |
| 3–9 December 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| 2–9 December 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| 3–4 December 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
18.1% | 16.4–20.0% | 16.0–20.5% | 15.6–20.9% | 14.8–21.8% |
| 3 December 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
18.1% | 16.6–19.6% | 16.2–20.1% | 15.9–20.5% | 15.2–21.2% |
| 2 December 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
17.6% | 15.9–19.5% | 15.5–20.1% | 15.1–20.5% | 14.3–21.5% |
| 25–29 November 2024 | Verian TV2 |
16.5% | 15.0–18.1% | 14.6–18.5% | 14.3–18.9% | 13.6–19.7% |
| 12–16 November 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
17.5% | 16.0–19.1% | 15.6–19.6% | 15.3–20.0% | 14.6–20.8% |
| 6–11 November 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
18.7% | 16.9–20.7% | 16.5–21.3% | 16.0–21.8% | 15.2–22.8% |
| 5–6 November 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20.9% | 19.1–22.9% | 18.6–23.4% | 18.2–23.9% | 17.4–24.9% |
| 4 November 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
19.4% | 17.6–21.5% | 17.1–22.0% | 16.6–22.5% | 15.8–23.5% |
| 4 November 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
17.7% | 16.3–19.2% | 15.9–19.7% | 15.6–20.1% | 14.9–20.8% |
| 1 November 2024 | Verian TV2 |
17.7% | 16.2–19.4% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| 15–19 October 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
19.3% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.7% |
| 10–14 October 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.7–22.9% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.6–24.2% |
| 1–7 October 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
18.0% | 16.3–20.0% | 15.8–20.5% | 15.4–21.0% | 14.6–22.0% |
| 4 October 2024 | Verian TV2 |
22.2% | 20.6–24.0% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.7–24.9% | 19.0–25.7% |
| 3 October 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
20.2% | 18.6–21.8% | 18.2–22.3% | 17.8–22.7% | 17.1–23.5% |
| 1–2 October 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20.3% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.9–22.9% | 17.2–23.7% |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
18.4% | 16.7–20.4% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.7–21.5% | 14.9–22.5% |
| 17–21 September 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20.2% | 18.7–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.9% | 17.1–23.7% |
| 4–9 September 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
21.9% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.8–24.1% | 19.4–24.6% | 18.7–25.4% |
| 3–9 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
20.1% | 18.3–22.1% | 17.8–22.7% | 17.4–23.2% | 16.6–24.2% |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20.8% | 19.0–22.8% | 18.5–23.3% | 18.0–23.8% | 17.2–24.8% |
| 3–4 September 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
21.4% | 19.9–23.0% | 19.5–23.5% | 19.1–23.9% | 18.5–24.6% |
| 2 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
21.1% | 19.3–23.1% | 18.7–23.7% | 18.3–24.2% | 17.4–25.2% |
| 26–30 August 2024 | Verian TV2 |
18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| 7–12 August 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
19.9% | 18.0–21.9% | 17.5–22.5% | 17.1–23.0% | 16.2–24.0% |
| 5–10 August 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.5–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.4–24.1% |
| 5–9 August 2024 | Verian TV2 |
21.1% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.1–23.3% | 18.7–23.7% | 17.9–24.6% |
| 8 August 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
22.0% | 20.4–23.6% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.6–24.5% | 18.9–25.3% |
| 7 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
21.2% | 19.4–23.2% | 18.9–23.7% | 18.4–24.2% | 17.6–25.2% |
| 6–7 August 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
18.4% | 16.7–20.3% | 16.2–20.9% | 15.8–21.3% | 15.1–22.3% |
| 30 July–1 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
21.2% | 19.4–23.2% | 18.9–23.7% | 18.4–24.2% | 17.6–25.2% |
| 2–4 July 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20.6% | 18.8–22.6% | 18.3–23.1% | 17.9–23.6% | 17.1–24.6% |
| 4 July 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
20.4% | 18.9–22.1% | 18.4–22.5% | 18.1–22.9% | 17.4–23.7% |
| 24–28 June 2024 | Verian TV2 |
22.4% | 20.8–24.2% | 20.3–24.7% | 20.0–25.1% | 19.2–26.0% |
| 11–15 June 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22.0% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.7–25.5% |
| 5–10 June 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.9% | 18.1–21.9% | 17.6–22.4% | 17.1–22.9% | 16.3–23.9% |
| 4–10 June 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
19.9% | 18.1–21.8% | 17.6–22.4% | 17.2–22.9% | 16.3–23.9% |
| 4–5 June 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
19.0% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.4% | 16.4–21.8% | 15.6–22.7% |
| 4 June 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
18.9% | 17.4–20.5% | 17.0–20.9% | 16.7–21.3% | 16.0–22.1% |
| 27–31 May 2024 | Verian TV2 |
18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.8% | 16.3–21.2% | 15.6–22.0% |
| 21–25 May 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
20.2% | 18.2–22.5% | 17.7–23.1% | 17.2–23.7% | 16.3–24.8% |
| 14–21 May 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
19.6% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.6–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.5–23.0% |
| 7–8 May 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
17.8% | 16.1–19.7% | 15.7–20.2% | 15.3–20.7% | 14.5–21.6% |
| 2–7 May 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
20.3% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.9–22.9% | 17.2–23.7% |
| 6 May 2024 | Verian TV2 |
21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.3–23.4% | 18.9–23.9% | 18.2–24.7% |
| 6 May 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
17.3% | 15.8–18.9% | 15.4–19.4% | 15.1–19.8% | 14.4–20.6% |
| 2 May 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
20.0% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.1–22.1% | 17.7–22.5% | 17.0–23.3% |
| 23–29 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
22.6% | 20.7–24.6% | 20.1–25.2% | 19.7–25.7% | 18.8–26.7% |
| 9–15 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
19.3% | 17.5–21.3% | 17.1–21.9% | 16.6–22.3% | 15.8–23.3% |
| 3–8 April 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
21.2% | 19.6–22.9% | 19.1–23.4% | 18.7–23.8% | 18.0–24.7% |
| 2–8 April 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21.0% | 19.4–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| 2–6 April 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
17.1% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% |
| 2–5 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
19.0% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.3–22.0% | 15.5–23.0% |
| 2–4 April 2024 | Verian TV2 |
21.0% | 19.4–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| 4 April 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
18.4% | 17.0–20.0% | 16.6–20.4% | 16.2–20.8% | 15.6–21.5% |
| 6–11 March 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
17.9% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.6–20.4% | 15.0–21.2% |
| 5–9 March 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
18.2% | 16.7–19.8% | 16.2–20.3% | 15.9–20.7% | 15.2–21.5% |
| 5–6 March 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
18.6% | 16.9–20.5% | 16.5–21.0% | 16.0–21.5% | 15.3–22.4% |
| 4 March 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
18.8% | 17.0–20.7% | 16.5–21.3% | 16.1–21.8% | 15.3–22.7% |
| 4 March 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
17.8% | 16.4–19.4% | 16.0–19.8% | 15.7–20.2% | 15.0–21.0% |
| 26 February–1 March 2024 | Verian TV2 |
19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.5–22.9% |
| 19–24 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
16.8% | 15.3–18.4% | 14.9–18.8% | 14.5–19.2% | 13.9–20.0% |
| 19–24 February 2024 | Norstat Vårt Land |
18.7% | 16.9–20.6% | 16.4–21.2% | 16.0–21.7% | 15.2–22.6% |
| 7–12 February 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.8–21.6% | 16.0–22.5% |
| 6–12 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
17.8% | 16.1–19.8% | 15.6–20.4% | 15.2–20.9% | 14.3–21.8% |
| 6–11 February 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
17.8% | 16.3–19.4% | 15.9–19.9% | 15.5–20.3% | 14.9–21.1% |
| 6–7 February 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–23.9% |
| 29 January–5 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
17.6% | 15.9–19.6% | 15.4–20.1% | 15.0–20.6% | 14.2–21.6% |
| 27–4 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
18.8% | 17.0–20.7% | 16.5–21.3% | 16.1–21.8% | 15.3–22.7% |
| 29 January–3 February 2024 | Verian TV2 |
22.0% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.7–25.5% |
| 1 February 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
18.8% | 17.3–20.4% | 16.8–20.9% | 16.5–21.3% | 15.8–22.1% |
| 10–13 January 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
19.4% | 17.9–21.1% | 17.4–21.6% | 17.1–22.0% | 16.4–22.8% |
| 3–8 January 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–24.0% |
| 2–8 January 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
19.4% | 17.6–21.5% | 17.1–22.0% | 16.6–22.5% | 15.8–23.5% |
| 2–7 January 2024 | Verian TV2 |
19.3% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.7% |
| 3–4 January 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
19.0% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.4% | 16.4–21.8% | 15.6–22.7% |
| 3 January 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.5% | 16.3–20.9% | 15.6–21.7% |
| 13 December 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
18.9% | 17.5–20.4% | 17.1–20.8% | 16.7–21.2% | 16.0–22.0% |
| 6–11 December 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
18.4% | 16.9–20.1% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 4–8 December 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
17.8% | 16.1–19.7% | 15.6–20.3% | 15.2–20.8% | 14.4–21.7% |
| 5–6 December 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
17.7% | 16.1–19.6% | 15.6–20.1% | 15.2–20.6% | 14.4–21.5% |
| 28 November–4 December 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
19.9% | 18.0–21.9% | 17.5–22.4% | 17.1–22.9% | 16.3–23.9% |
| 27 November–2 December 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.7% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| 27 November–1 December 2023 | Verian TV2 |
20.8% | 19.2–22.6% | 18.8–23.0% | 18.4–23.5% | 17.7–24.3% |
| 21–25 November 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
17.6% | 15.9–19.5% | 15.4–20.0% | 15.0–20.5% | 14.2–21.4% |
| 8–13 November 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
18.4% | 16.9–20.1% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 7–8 November 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
22.2% | 20.6–23.9% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.7–24.8% | 19.0–25.6% |
| 7 November 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 3 November 2023 | Verian TV2 |
16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| 2 November 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.7–23.1% |
| 24–30 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
17.9% | 16.2–19.9% | 15.7–20.4% | 15.3–20.9% | 14.5–21.9% |
| 23–30 October 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20.1% | 18.6–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.6% |
| 3–9 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
19.3% | 17.8–21.0% | 17.3–21.5% | 17.0–21.9% | 16.3–22.7% |
| 3–4 October 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21.0% | 19.3–22.9% | 18.8–23.5% | 18.4–23.9% | 17.6–24.9% |
| 2 October 2023 | Verian TV2 |
20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.5–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.4–24.1% |
| 2 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
20.1% | 18.4–22.1% | 17.9–22.6% | 17.5–23.1% | 16.7–24.0% |
| 2 October 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
20.7% | 19.1–22.3% | 18.7–22.8% | 18.3–23.2% | 17.6–24.1% |
| 21–27 September 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21.4% | 19.8–23.1% | 19.3–23.6% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.2–24.9% |
| 20–22 September 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
20.8% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.8–23.0% | 18.4–23.4% | 17.7–24.3% |
| 4–7 September 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
20.3% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.9–22.9% | 17.2–23.7% |
| 4–6 September 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
20.7% | 18.9–22.7% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.9–23.8% | 17.1–24.8% |
| 5–6 September 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
19.8% | 18.1–21.7% | 17.6–22.2% | 17.2–22.7% | 16.4–23.6% |
| 5 September 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
18.4% | 16.5–20.6% | 15.9–21.2% | 15.5–21.7% | 14.6–22.8% |
| 5 September 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
19.3% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.4–21.4% | 17.0–21.8% | 16.3–22.6% |
| 29 August–1 September 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
17.4% | 15.7–19.4% | 15.2–19.9% | 14.8–20.4% | 14.0–21.3% |
| 24–30 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
20.9% | 19.3–22.6% | 18.9–23.1% | 18.5–23.5% | 17.8–24.4% |
| 23–28 August 2023 | Verian TV2 |
18.1% | 16.8–19.5% | 16.4–19.9% | 16.1–20.3% | 15.5–21.0% |
| 8–15 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 9–14 August 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.8% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.7–23.2% |
| 8–14 August 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
17.4% | 15.7–19.4% | 15.2–19.9% | 14.8–20.4% | 14.0–21.4% |
| 1–7 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
17.6% | 15.9–19.6% | 15.4–20.2% | 15.0–20.7% | 14.2–21.7% |
| 31 July–4 August 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
17.8% | 16.4–19.5% | 15.9–20.0% | 15.6–20.4% | 14.9–21.2% |
| 3 August 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
19.1% | 17.6–20.7% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.8–21.6% | 16.1–22.4% |
| 1–2 August 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
18.8% | 17.0–20.7% | 16.5–21.3% | 16.1–21.7% | 15.3–22.7% |
| 6 July 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
20.8% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.8–23.0% | 18.4–23.4% | 17.6–24.2% |
| 4–5 July 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
18.5% | 16.7–20.4% | 16.3–20.9% | 15.9–21.4% | 15.1–22.3% |
| 12–17 June 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.0–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 16.9–23.5% |
| 7–12 June 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.8% | 18.0–21.7% | 17.5–22.3% | 17.1–22.8% | 16.3–23.7% |
| 6–7 June 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
18.4% | 16.9–20.0% | 16.4–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 30 May–5 June 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
17.6% | 15.9–19.6% | 15.4–20.2% | 15.0–20.7% | 14.2–21.7% |
| 5 June 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
19.9% | 18.4–21.6% | 17.9–22.1% | 17.5–22.5% | 16.8–23.3% |
| 31 May–2 June 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 23–30 May 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
16.2% | 14.6–18.1% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.7–19.1% | 13.0–20.1% |
| 24–30 May 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
18.7% | 16.9–20.7% | 16.4–21.3% | 15.9–21.8% | 15.1–22.8% |
| 15–19 May 2023 | Norstat Vårt Land |
18.4% | 16.9–20.1% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 3–8 May 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.4–22.9% |
| 2–8 May 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
17.9% | 16.4–19.5% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.6–20.4% | 15.0–21.2% |
| 2–3 May 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
17.1% | 15.3–18.8% | 14.8–19.3% | 14.4–19.8% | 13.7–20.7% |
| 2 May 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
18.8% | 17.3–20.5% | 16.9–20.9% | 16.5–21.4% | 15.8–22.2% |
| 24–30 April 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
19.8% | 18.5–21.1% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.9–21.9% | 17.3–22.5% |
| 25–29 April 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| 24–29 April 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.6% |
| 12–17 April 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.7% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| 12–15 April 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
19.3% | 17.7–21.0% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.9–21.9% | 16.2–22.7% |
| 11–12 April 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
18.6% | 17.1–20.2% | 16.6–20.7% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| 11 April 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
17.6% | 16.1–19.2% | 15.7–19.7% | 15.4–20.1% | 14.7–20.9% |
| 3–4 April 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
16.9% | 15.2–18.9% | 14.7–19.4% | 14.3–19.9% | 13.5–20.9% |
| 27–31 March 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
18.0% | 16.5–19.7% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.6% | 15.0–21.4% |
| 22–29 March 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
17.1% | 15.4–19.1% | 15.0–19.6% | 14.5–20.1% | 13.8–21.0% |
| 21–27 March 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
16.2% | 14.4–18.2% | 13.9–18.7% | 13.5–19.2% | 12.7–20.2% |
| 13–20 March 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
17.0% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.1–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.1–20.3% |
| 8–13 March 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
18.1% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.8–20.6% | 15.2–21.4% |
| 7–8 March 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
16.5% | 14.8–18.4% | 14.4–18.9% | 14.0–19.3% | 13.2–20.3% |
| 28 February–6 March 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.8–18.7% |
| 6 March 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
19.6% | 18.1–21.3% | 17.7–21.8% | 17.3–22.2% | 16.6–23.0% |
| 27 February–3 March 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
16.5% | 15.1–18.1% | 14.7–18.6% | 14.3–19.0% | 13.7–19.8% |
| 23–28 February 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
18.5% | 16.7–20.5% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.7–21.5% | 14.9–22.5% |
| 21–27 February 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
16.0% | 14.4–17.9% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.5–18.8% | 12.8–19.8% |
| 8–13 February 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.7% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| 7–8 February 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20.9% | 19.1–23.0% | 18.6–23.5% | 18.1–24.0% | 17.3–25.0% |
| 6 February 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
16.7% | 15.0–18.7% | 14.5–19.3% | 14.1–19.8% | 13.3–20.7% |
| 6 February 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
21.2% | 19.6–22.9% | 19.2–23.4% | 18.8–23.8% | 18.1–24.7% |
| 5 February 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
16.9% | 15.4–18.5% | 15.0–19.0% | 14.7–19.4% | 14.0–20.2% |
| 25–31 January 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
17.5% | 16.1–19.2% | 15.7–19.6% | 15.3–20.1% | 14.6–20.9% |
| 24–27 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
17.4% | 16.0–19.1% | 15.6–19.5% | 15.2–19.9% | 14.5–20.7% |
| 11 January 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
20.5% | 19.0–22.2% | 18.5–22.6% | 18.2–23.1% | 17.4–23.9% |
| 4–9 January 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.2% | 17.6–20.9% | 17.2–21.3% | 16.9–21.7% | 16.2–22.6% |
| 3–9 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| 3–6 January 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% | 17.1–22.1% | 16.4–22.9% |
| 3–4 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter |
17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.4–20.2% | 14.7–21.0% |
| 3–4 January 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.8–21.6% | 16.1–22.5% |
| 27 December 2022–2 January 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
19.4% | 17.8–21.1% | 17.4–21.6% | 17.0–22.0% | 16.3–22.8% |
| 13–17 December 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.8–16.6% | 12.5–17.0% | 11.8–17.7% |
| 12–14 December 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
19.9% | 18.3–21.7% | 17.8–22.2% | 17.4–22.7% | 16.7–23.5% |
| 7–12 December 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
18.2% | 16.7–19.8% | 16.3–20.3% | 15.9–20.7% | 15.2–21.5% |
| 6–10 December 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| 6–7 December 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
16.3% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.3% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.5–19.5% |
| 29 November–5 December 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
18.1% | 16.6–19.8% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.8–20.7% | 15.1–21.5% |
| 28 November–2 December 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
19.8% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.7–22.0% | 17.4–22.4% | 16.6–23.3% |
| 22–27 November 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
17.1% | 15.6–18.7% | 15.2–19.2% | 14.8–19.6% | 14.1–20.4% |
| 22–24 November 2022 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
17.4% | 15.6–19.5% | 15.1–20.1% | 14.7–20.6% | 13.8–21.6% |
| 21–23 November 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
19.8% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.4–22.5% | 16.6–23.3% |
| 15–19 November 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
15.4% | 14.0–17.0% | 13.6–17.5% | 13.2–17.8% | 12.6–18.6% |
| 8–14 November 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
16.7% | 15.3–18.3% | 14.9–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.9–19.9% |
| 5–10 November 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| 1–7 November 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
16.9% | 15.1–18.9% | 14.6–19.4% | 14.2–19.9% | 13.4–20.9% |
| 1–4 November 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–23.9% |
| 24–31 October 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
19.1% | 17.7–20.6% | 17.3–21.1% | 16.9–21.5% | 16.3–22.2% |
| 25–30 October 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
18.2% | 16.7–19.9% | 16.2–20.4% | 15.9–20.8% | 15.2–21.6% |
| 24–26 October 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
18.0% | 16.3–20.0% | 15.8–20.5% | 15.4–21.0% | 14.6–21.9% |
| 18–23 October 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
17.9% | 16.4–19.6% | 16.0–20.1% | 15.6–20.5% | 14.9–21.3% |
| 21 October 2022 | InFact Fiskeribladet |
19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.7–23.1% |
| 11–17 October 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
18.1% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.2–20.2% | 15.8–20.6% | 15.2–21.4% |
| 11–12 October 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–24.0% |
| 5–10 October 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 4–10 October 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
22.6% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.5–24.9% | 20.1–25.4% | 19.3–26.2% |
| 27 September–2 October 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
19.9% | 18.3–21.6% | 17.9–22.1% | 17.5–22.5% | 16.8–23.4% |
| 26–30 September 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
19.4% | 17.9–21.1% | 17.4–21.6% | 17.1–22.0% | 16.3–22.8% |
| 29 September 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
19.4% | 17.6–21.4% | 17.1–21.9% | 16.7–22.4% | 15.9–23.4% |
| 20–25 September 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
20.5% | 18.9–22.3% | 18.5–22.8% | 18.1–23.2% | 17.3–24.1% |
| 13–19 September 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.8–21.6% | 16.0–22.5% |
| 7–12 September 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.8% | 18.2–21.5% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.4–22.4% | 16.7–23.2% |
| 6–12 September 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
21.5% | 19.9–23.3% | 19.4–23.8% | 19.0–24.2% | 18.3–25.1% |
| 5–7 September 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.6% |
| 30 August–4 September 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
19.6% | 18.0–21.3% | 17.5–21.8% | 17.2–22.2% | 16.4–23.1% |
| 29 August–2 September 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20.8% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.7–23.0% | 18.4–23.5% | 17.6–24.3% |
| 23–29 August 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
21.5% | 19.8–23.3% | 19.4–23.8% | 19.0–24.2% | 18.2–25.1% |
| 26 August 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
21.6% | 19.7–23.6% | 19.2–24.2% | 18.7–24.7% | 17.9–25.7% |
| 16–22 August 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| 10–15 August 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
19.9% | 18.3–21.6% | 17.9–22.1% | 17.5–22.5% | 16.8–23.3% |
| 9–14 August 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
19.4% | 17.8–21.1% | 17.4–21.6% | 17.0–22.0% | 16.3–22.8% |
| 2–8 August 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
19.3% | 17.4–21.3% | 16.9–21.9% | 16.5–22.4% | 15.6–23.4% |
| 1–5 August 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20.4% | 18.5–22.4% | 18.0–22.9% | 17.6–23.4% | 16.8–24.4% |
| 2–3 August 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
22.2% | 20.4–24.1% | 19.8–24.7% | 19.4–25.2% | 18.6–26.2% |
| 5–6 July 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21.2% | 19.6–22.9% | 19.2–23.4% | 18.8–23.8% | 18.0–24.7% |
| 24–30 June 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
21.4% | 19.6–23.4% | 19.1–23.9% | 18.6–24.4% | 17.8–25.4% |
| 27–29 June 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
23.1% | 21.2–25.2% | 20.6–25.8% | 20.2–26.3% | 19.3–27.3% |
| 13–20 June 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
20.5% | 18.9–22.3% | 18.4–22.8% | 18.1–23.2% | 17.3–24.1% |
| 7–13 June 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
22.2% | 20.6–24.0% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.7–24.9% | 19.0–25.7% |
| 4–9 June 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| 7–8 June 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.0% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 31 May–5 June 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
19.7% | 18.1–21.4% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.3–22.3% | 16.6–23.2% |
| 30 May–3 June 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
21.8% | 20.1–23.5% | 19.7–24.0% | 19.3–24.5% | 18.5–25.3% |
| 24–30 May 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21.8% | 20.2–23.6% | 19.7–24.1% | 19.3–24.6% | 18.5–25.4% |
| 23–25 May 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
21.6% | 19.7–23.6% | 19.2–24.2% | 18.7–24.7% | 17.9–25.7% |
| 16–23 May 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
23.8% | 21.8–25.9% | 21.3–26.5% | 20.8–27.0% | 19.9–28.0% |
| 9–15 May 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.3–23.5% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.1–24.8% |
| 4–9 May 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
22.1% | 20.5–23.9% | 20.0–24.4% | 19.6–24.8% | 18.9–25.6% |
| 3–9 May 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
22.9% | 20.9–25.0% | 20.3–25.6% | 19.9–26.2% | 19.0–27.2% |
| 3–4 May 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.1% | 21.4–24.9% | 21.0–25.4% | 20.6–25.8% | 19.8–26.7% |
| 3 May 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.1% | 20.8–25.7% | 20.1–26.4% | 19.6–27.0% | 18.5–28.3% |
| 26 April–2 May 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24.8% | 22.8–26.9% | 22.3–27.5% | 21.8–28.0% | 20.9–29.1% |
| 25–27 April 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
23.8% | 22.1–25.7% | 21.6–26.2% | 21.2–26.7% | 20.4–27.6% |
| 19–25 April 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
20.9% | 19.3–22.7% | 18.8–23.2% | 18.4–23.6% | 17.7–24.5% |
| 5–10 April 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
24.5% | 22.8–26.3% | 22.3–26.8% | 21.9–27.3% | 21.1–28.2% |
| 4–6 April 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
23.1% | 21.5–24.9% | 21.0–25.4% | 20.6–25.8% | 19.9–26.7% |
| 6 April 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
25.7% | 23.6–28.1% | 23.0–28.7% | 22.5–29.3% | 21.5–30.4% |
| 5–6 April 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.8% | 21.9–25.8% | 21.4–26.4% | 20.9–26.9% | 20.1–27.9% |
| 28 March–1 April 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.2% | 21.6–25.0% | 21.1–25.5% | 20.7–26.0% | 19.9–26.8% |
| 22–28 March 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21.0% | 19.3–22.7% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.5–23.7% | 17.7–24.5% |
| 21–23 March 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
24.0% | 22.1–26.1% | 21.6–26.7% | 21.1–27.2% | 20.2–28.3% |
| 15–20 March 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
22.7% | 21.0–24.5% | 20.5–25.0% | 20.1–25.4% | 19.3–26.3% |
| 8–14 March 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
22.5% | 20.7–24.6% | 20.1–25.2% | 19.7–25.7% | 18.8–26.7% |
| 8–14 March 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 2–7 March 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
23.6% | 21.6–25.8% | 21.1–26.4% | 20.6–26.9% | 19.7–28.0% |
| 1–2 March 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21.8% | 20.0–23.8% | 19.5–24.3% | 19.1–24.8% | 18.3–25.8% |
| 22–28 February 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22.6% | 20.7–24.6% | 20.1–25.2% | 19.7–25.7% | 18.8–26.7% |
| 22–28 February 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
21.7% | 20.3–23.2% | 19.9–23.7% | 19.6–24.1% | 18.9–24.8% |
| 21–23 February 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
25.4% | 23.4–27.6% | 22.9–28.2% | 22.4–28.7% | 21.5–29.8% |
| 15–20 February 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
22.8% | 21.1–24.6% | 20.6–25.1% | 20.2–25.6% | 19.4–26.5% |
| 9–14 February 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 8–12 February 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
21.9% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.8–24.2% | 19.5–24.6% | 18.7–25.5% |
| 1–7 February 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
22.0% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.5–24.7% | 19.0–25.2% | 18.1–26.2% |
| 1–2 February 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.4% | 21.6–25.4% | 21.1–26.0% | 20.6–26.4% | 19.8–27.4% |
| 25–31 January 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20.0% | 18.4–21.8% | 18.0–22.3% | 17.6–22.7% | 16.9–23.6% |
| 25–31 January 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
21.2% | 19.5–23.1% | 19.0–23.7% | 18.5–24.2% | 17.7–25.1% |
| 24–26 January 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
22.4% | 20.5–24.5% | 20.0–25.1% | 19.5–25.6% | 18.7–26.6% |
| 18–24 January 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
20.8% | 19.2–22.6% | 18.8–23.1% | 18.4–23.5% | 17.6–24.4% |
| 10–15 January 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
22.3% | 20.7–24.1% | 20.2–24.6% | 19.8–25.0% | 19.1–25.8% |
| 5–10 January 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
23.5% | 21.8–25.3% | 21.4–25.8% | 21.0–26.2% | 20.2–27.1% |
| 4–9 January 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
19.0% | 17.2–20.9% | 16.7–21.5% | 16.3–22.0% | 15.5–22.9% |
| 3–7 January 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
21.7% | 20.1–23.5% | 19.6–24.0% | 19.2–24.4% | 18.5–25.3% |
| 4–5 January 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.7–27.0% | 20.9–27.9% |
| 27 December 2021–3 January 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21.1% | 19.5–22.9% | 19.0–23.4% | 18.6–23.8% | 17.8–24.7% |
| 14–20 December 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
22.7% | 21.0–24.5% | 20.5–25.0% | 20.1–25.4% | 19.4–26.3% |
| 20 December 2021 | InFact Nettavisen |
21.6% | 20.0–23.3% | 19.5–23.8% | 19.1–24.2% | 18.4–25.1% |
| 13–15 December 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
20.8% | 19.0–22.7% | 18.5–23.2% | 18.1–23.7% | 17.3–24.7% |
| 7–13 December 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 8–13 December 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
22.6% | 20.9–24.3% | 20.5–24.8% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.3–26.1% |
| 3–9 December 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
23.9% | 21.8–26.1% | 21.2–26.8% | 20.7–27.3% | 19.8–28.4% |
| 7–8 December 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21.7% | 20.1–23.4% | 19.6–23.9% | 19.2–24.3% | 18.5–25.2% |
| 2–7 December 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.5% | 21.2–26.1% | 20.5–26.8% | 20.0–27.4% | 18.9–28.7% |
| 23–27 November 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
25.1% | 23.2–27.1% | 22.6–27.7% | 22.2–28.2% | 21.3–29.2% |
| 22–24 November 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
24.0% | 22.3–25.9% | 21.8–26.4% | 21.4–26.9% | 20.6–27.8% |
| 16–22 November 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.7–27.1% | 20.9–28.0% |
| 10–15 November 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
25.5% | 23.8–27.3% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.1–29.2% |
| 9–14 November 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
27.3% | 25.5–29.2% | 25.0–29.7% | 24.6–30.1% | 23.8–31.1% |
| 2–8 November 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
26.0% | 24.2–27.9% | 23.7–28.4% | 23.3–28.9% | 22.5–29.8% |
| 2–3 November 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
27.9% | 25.8–30.1% | 25.3–30.7% | 24.8–31.3% | 23.8–32.3% |
| 27 October–2 November 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
26.7% | 24.3–29.4% | 23.6–30.1% | 23.0–30.8% | 21.9–32.1% |
| 26–31 October 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
26.8% | 25.0–28.7% | 24.5–29.3% | 24.1–29.7% | 23.3–30.7% |
| 31 October 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
25.7% | 23.7–27.8% | 23.1–28.4% | 22.6–29.0% | 21.7–30.0% |
| 19–24 October 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
28.0% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.7–30.5% | 25.3–31.0% | 24.4–31.9% |
| 11–19 October 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
27.4% | 25.6–29.3% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.3% | 23.9–31.2% |
| 13–18 October 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
26.7% | 24.9–28.5% | 24.4–29.1% | 24.0–29.5% | 23.2–30.4% |
| 5–11 October 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.2% | 23.1–28.6% | 22.3–29.5% |
| 5–6 October 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
26.0% | 24.3–27.9% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| 3 October 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
25.5% | 23.7–27.6% | 23.1–28.1% | 22.7–28.6% | 21.8–29.6% |
| 1 October 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
27.9% | 26.1–29.8% | 25.6–30.3% | 25.2–30.8% | 24.4–31.7% |
| 21–25 September 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
27.2% | 25.4–29.1% | 24.9–29.7% | 24.5–30.1% | 23.7–31.0% |
| 14–21 September 2021 | Sentio | 28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 25.9–30.6% | 25.5–31.1% | 24.7–32.0% |
| 14–21 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 25.9–30.6% | 25.5–31.1% | 24.7–32.0% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Arbeiderpartiet.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 7% | 97% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 12% | 90% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 16% | 78% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 18% | 45% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 15% | 28% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 9% | 12% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 48 seats (General Election of 13 September 2021)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 36 | 32–40 | 31–41 | 30–42 | 28–45 |
| 8–13 January 2025 | Respons Analyse Aftenposten, Bergens Tidende and VG |
32 | 30–34 | 29–35 | 27–36 | 25–38 |
| 8–13 January 2025 | Norstat NRK |
38 | 35–41 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–47 |
| 6–10 January 2025 | Verian TV2 |
40 | 39–40 | 39–42 | 39–44 | 35–44 |
| 7–8 January 2025 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
35 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–42 |
| 2–6 January 2025 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
35 | 32–37 | 32–38 | 31–38 | 29–40 |
| 6 January 2025 | InFact Nettavisen |
38 | 35–41 | 35–41 | 35–43 | 33–46 |
| 10–14 December 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
33 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 29–38 | 27–39 |
| 4–9 December 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
36 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 |
| 3–9 December 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
34 | 32–37 | 32–37 | 31–38 | 28–39 |
| 2–9 December 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
27 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 22–33 | 21–34 |
| 3–4 December 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
35 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 31–39 | 29–42 |
| 3 December 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
35 | 32–38 | 31–38 | 29–38 | 28–39 |
| 2 December 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
33 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 28–37 | 26–39 |
| 25–29 November 2024 | Verian TV2 |
33 | 31–36 | 29–36 | 27–36 | 25–38 |
| 12–16 November 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
33 | 32–37 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 28–38 |
| 6–11 November 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
35 | 33–37 | 32–38 | 32–40 | 31–41 |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
34 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 30–42 |
| 5–6 November 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
38 | 35–41 | 35–43 | 33–45 | 32–46 |
| 4 November 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
36 | 32–40 | 32–41 | 31–43 | 31–45 |
| 4 November 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
33 | 33–36 | 32–36 | 32–37 | 30–38 |
| 1 November 2024 | Verian TV2 |
32 | 31–35 | 30–35 | 28–37 | 28–38 |
| 15–19 October 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
34 | 34–37 | 34–37 | 34–38 | 32–41 |
| 10–14 October 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
40 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 34–47 | 32–48 |
| 1–7 October 2024 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
34 | 31–37 | 31–39 | 30–39 | 28–41 |
| 4 October 2024 | Verian TV2 |
41 | 38–46 | 35–46 | 35–46 | 34–47 |
| 3 October 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
37 | 37–38 | 36–41 | 35–42 | 34–44 |
| 1–2 October 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
38 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 32–44 |
| 23–30 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
37 | 32–37 | 31–38 | 31–39 | 30–40 |
| 17–21 September 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
39 | 37–39 | 36–40 | 33–43 | 33–47 |
| 4–9 September 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
46 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 37–46 | 37–46 |
| 3–9 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
35 | 33–41 | 32–43 | 32–44 | 31–46 |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
38 | 35–42 | 34–44 | 33–44 | 31–45 |
| 3–4 September 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
43 | 37–46 | 36–46 | 36–46 | 33–46 |
| 2 September 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
39 | 35–41 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–51 |
| 26–30 August 2024 | Verian TV2 |
37 | 34–37 | 33–37 | 33–38 | 30–40 |
| 7–12 August 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
40 | 40 | 40–41 | 40–41 | 36–44 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–44 | 31–46 |
| 5–10 August 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
38 | 35–41 | 34–41 | 32–43 | 32–45 |
| 5–9 August 2024 | Verian TV2 |
39 | 36–41 | 35–43 | 34–43 | 32–45 |
| 8 August 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
40 | 36–43 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 35–48 |
| 7 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
38 | 38 | 38–39 | 38–43 | 35–44 |
| 6–7 August 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
34 | 32–39 | 31–39 | 30–40 | 29–42 |
| 30 July–1 August 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
38 | 38 | 38–39 | 38–43 | 35–44 |
| 2–4 July 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
39 | 35–48 | 35–48 | 35–48 | 34–50 |
| 4 July 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
38 | 34–47 | 33–47 | 33–47 | 33–47 |
| 24–28 June 2024 | Verian TV2 |
41 | 40–47 | 40–47 | 40–47 | 39–49 |
| 11–15 June 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
42 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 37–48 | 35–49 |
| 5–10 June 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
35 | 31–38 | 31–41 | 31–43 | 28–45 |
| 4–10 June 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
36 | 33–39 | 32–41 | 32–42 | 30–44 |
| 4–5 June 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
33 | 33–35 | 32–36 | 32–37 | 31–41 |
| 4 June 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
35 | 32–39 | 32–40 | 30–41 | 30–44 |
| 27–31 May 2024 | Verian TV2 |
37 | 31–38 | 31–39 | 31–39 | 30–42 |
| 21–25 May 2024 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
38 | 34–41 | 32–43 | 32–46 | 31–46 |
| 14–21 May 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
37 | 33–40 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–44 |
| 7–8 May 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
32 | 32–39 | 31–39 | 29–40 | 29–43 |
| 2–7 May 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
39 | 35–43 | 33–43 | 33–43 | 32–45 |
| 6 May 2024 | Verian TV2 |
40 | 38–41 | 38–41 | 37–43 | 33–46 |
| 6 May 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
32 | 30–36 | 30–36 | 29–38 | 28–39 |
| 2 May 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
38 | 34–41 | 33–41 | 32–43 | 32–45 |
| 23–29 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
39 | 39–44 | 39–47 | 36–49 | 34–50 |
| 9–15 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
36 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 30–43 |
| 3–8 April 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
41 | 37–45 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 34–48 |
| 2–8 April 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
42 | 37–45 | 35–45 | 35–47 | 33–48 |
| 2–6 April 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
32 | 31–34 | 30–35 | 29–35 | 28–37 |
| 2–5 April 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
36 | 33–39 | 32–41 | 32–42 | 30–45 |
| 2–4 April 2024 | Verian TV2 |
38 | 38–41 | 38–47 | 38–47 | 36–47 |
| 4 April 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
38 | 33–40 | 33–42 | 33–42 | 31–42 |
| 6–11 March 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
33 | 33 | 31–33 | 31–33 | 31–37 |
| 5–9 March 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
33 | 31–37 | 31–39 | 30–39 | 29–40 |
| 5–6 March 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
34 | 33–39 | 33–40 | 32–40 | 32–42 |
| 4 March 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
33 | 32–42 | 32–42 | 30–42 | 30–42 |
| 4 March 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
35 | 30–37 | 30–37 | 30–37 | 30–38 |
| 26 February–1 March 2024 | Verian TV2 |
37 | 36–39 | 36–41 | 35–42 | 33–46 |
| 19–24 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
33 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 29–37 | 27–37 |
| 19–24 February 2024 | Norstat Vårt Land |
39 | 32–39 | 31–39 | 31–39 | 29–42 |
| 7–12 February 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
37 | 33–40 | 32–42 | 31–42 | 31–43 |
| 6–12 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
33 | 31–37 | 30–37 | 28–38 | 27–42 |
| 6–11 February 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
34 | 32–37 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–42 |
| 6–7 February 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–44 | 33–47 |
| 29 January–5 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
34 | 32–38 | 31–40 | 29–41 | 29–42 |
| 27–4 February 2024 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
33 | 32–42 | 32–42 | 30–42 | 30–42 |
| 29 January–3 February 2024 | Verian TV2 |
45 | 37–47 | 37–47 | 34–50 | 34–50 |
| 1 February 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
38 | 32–39 | 32–39 | 32–39 | 32–43 |
| 10–13 January 2024 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
38 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 32–44 | 32–46 |
| 3–8 January 2024 | Respons Analyse VG |
36 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 34–42 | 33–45 |
| 2–8 January 2024 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
36 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 31–46 |
| 2–7 January 2024 | Verian TV2 |
37 | 33–43 | 32–43 | 32–43 | 31–43 |
| 3–4 January 2024 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
36 | 28–39 | 28–39 | 28–39 | 28–42 |
| 3 January 2024 | InFact Nettavisen |
35 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 31–39 | 31–40 |
| 13 December 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
36 | 31–38 | 31–38 | 31–38 | 31–41 |
| 6–11 December 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
33 | 33–35 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 31–42 |
| 4–8 December 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
34 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–40 | 28–42 |
| 5–6 December 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
33 | 32–37 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–40 |
| 28 November–4 December 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
37 | 34–42 | 33–44 | 32–44 | 32–47 |
| 27 November–2 December 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
37 | 33–38 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 30–42 |
| 27 November–1 December 2023 | Verian TV2 |
39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 35–45 | 33–46 |
| 21–25 November 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
34 | 29–38 | 28–39 | 28–42 | 28–48 |
| 8–13 November 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
35 | 33–38 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 31–42 |
| 7–8 November 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–48 | 36–49 |
| 7 November 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
38 | 38–47 | 38–47 | 38–47 | 35–48 |
| 3 November 2023 | Verian TV2 |
33 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 30–38 | 29–39 |
| 2 November 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
39 | 36–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 32–46 |
| 24–30 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
34 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 29–44 |
| 23–30 October 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
39 | 36–43 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–46 |
| 3–9 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
37 | 34–41 | 34–42 | 33–42 | 32–44 |
| 3–4 October 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
39 | 33–42 | 33–45 | 33–45 | 33–46 |
| 2 October 2023 | Verian TV2 |
38 | 37–44 | 35–45 | 34–45 | 34–48 |
| 2 October 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
38 | 35–43 | 34–45 | 34–46 | 32–47 |
| 2 October 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
40 | 37–46 | 36–46 | 35–46 | 34–48 |
| 21–27 September 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
43 | 40–46 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 36–49 |
| 20–22 September 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
38 | 38–41 | 38–41 | 37–44 | 35–46 |
| 4–7 September 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
40 | 35–45 | 35–46 | 34–46 | 33–47 |
| 4–6 September 2023 | Opinion Perduco Dagsavisen, Fagbladet and FriFagbevegelse |
42 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 34–47 | 34–49 |
| 5–6 September 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
41 | 39–41 | 36–41 | 34–43 | 33–46 |
| 5 September 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
36 | 34–38 | 32–41 | 31–41 | 28–44 |
| 5 September 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
37 | 35–40 | 34–41 | 33–43 | 32–46 |
| 29 August–1 September 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
34 | 31–37 | 29–38 | 29–39 | 28–41 |
| 24–30 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
42 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 34–49 |
| 23–28 August 2023 | Verian TV2 |
35 | 34–39 | 34–41 | 33–43 | 32–44 |
| 8–15 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
35 | 32–39 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 29–42 |
| 9–14 August 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
38 | 34–43 | 34–44 | 33–45 | 32–46 |
| 8–14 August 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
32 | 30–36 | 25–39 | 25–39 | 25–42 |
| 1–7 August 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
34 | 32–39 | 31–41 | 30–41 | 27–43 |
| 31 July–4 August 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
38 | 33–38 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 32–43 |
| 3 August 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
36 | 34–38 | 33–40 | 33–41 | 31–43 |
| 1–2 August 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
42 | 34–43 | 33–43 | 31–43 | 30–45 |
| 6 July 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
40 | 37–43 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 33–46 |
| 4–5 July 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
37 | 30–44 | 30–44 | 28–44 | 28–46 |
| 12–17 June 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
38 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| 7–12 June 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
38 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 33–45 | 32–48 |
| 6–7 June 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
35 | 29–37 | 29–38 | 29–40 | 29–41 |
| 30 May–5 June 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
34 | 31–38 | 31–40 | 29–41 | 27–43 |
| 5 June 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
37 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 34–44 | 34–45 |
| 31 May–2 June 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
39 | 35–39 | 34–39 | 33–39 | 31–40 |
| 23–30 May 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
33 | 28–39 | 28–39 | 25–39 | 25–39 |
| 24–30 May 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
35 | 33–40 | 32–42 | 31–43 | 29–45 |
| 15–19 May 2023 | Norstat Vårt Land |
37 | 33–41 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 32–41 |
| 3–8 May 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
36 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| 2–8 May 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
35 | 33–36 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 30–42 |
| 2–3 May 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
34 | 32–43 | 31–43 | 29–43 | 27–43 |
| 2 May 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
39 | 38–39 | 36–39 | 33–39 | 32–40 |
| 24–30 April 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
36 | 35–43 | 35–43 | 35–43 | 34–44 |
| 25–29 April 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
35 | 33–38 | 33–39 | 32–41 | 30–42 |
| 24–29 April 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
40 | 36–42 | 34–44 | 33–45 | 33–45 |
| 12–17 April 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
35 | 33–38 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–44 |
| 12–15 April 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
39 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–45 | 32–46 |
| 11–12 April 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
33 | 33–39 | 33–39 | 33–39 | 32–39 |
| 11 April 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
35 | 33–37 | 33–38 | 33–39 | 32–47 |
| 3–4 April 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
33 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 28–39 | 26–42 |
| 27–31 March 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
36 | 33–39 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 28–42 |
| 22–29 March 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
33 | 31–36 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 26–42 |
| 21–27 March 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
32 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 24–39 |
| 13–20 March 2023 | Norstat Dagbladet and Vårt Land |
33 | 31–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 26–39 |
| 8–13 March 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
34 | 33–38 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–42 |
| 7–8 March 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
32 | 27–35 | 26–35 | 26–36 | 26–38 |
| 28 February–6 March 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
31 | 27–33 | 26–33 | 25–34 | 24–36 |
| 6 March 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
39 | 35–43 | 34–45 | 34–47 | 33–48 |
| 27 February–3 March 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
32 | 29–34 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 25–37 |
| 23–28 February 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
35 | 32–39 | 32–40 | 31–42 | 30–44 |
| 21–27 February 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
34 | 28–34 | 28–34 | 28–34 | 24–34 |
| 8–13 February 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
36 | 33–39 | 33–40 | 32–42 | 31–43 |
| 7–8 February 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
41 | 36–45 | 36–47 | 34–48 | 33–49 |
| 6 February 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
33 | 30–37 | 28–37 | 28–38 | 25–41 |
| 6 February 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
42 | 41–44 | 41–44 | 40–44 | 36–48 |
| 5 February 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
33 | 30–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 27–39 |
| 25–31 January 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
34 | 32–37 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–41 |
| 24–27 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
34 | 33–37 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 29–41 |
| 11 January 2023 | InFact Nettavisen |
46 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 37–46 | 36–48 |
| 4–9 January 2023 | Respons Analyse VG |
36 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–42 | 32–44 |
| 3–9 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
36 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 32–41 | 30–43 |
| 3–6 January 2023 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
38 | 37–40 | 35–40 | 34–40 | 33–42 |
| 3–4 January 2023 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter |
34 | 33–34 | 33–38 | 33–38 | 29–38 |
| 3–4 January 2023 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
38 | 38–42 | 37–42 | 35–42 | 32–42 |
| 27 December 2022–2 January 2023 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
39 | 34–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 33–47 |
| 13–17 December 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
29 | 26–32 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 21–34 |
| 12–14 December 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
38 | 34–43 | 34–44 | 33–44 | 33–46 |
| 7–12 December 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
33 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 31–38 | 31–41 |
| 6–10 December 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
34 | 33–35 | 31–36 | 31–36 | 31–38 |
| 6–7 December 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
34 | 33–34 | 31–34 | 31–36 | 30–36 |
| 29 November–5 December 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
34 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 32–41 | 30–42 |
| 28 November–2 December 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
42 | 42 | 42 | 40–42 | 38–42 |
| 22–27 November 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
33 | 31–35 | 30–36 | 30–37 | 28–42 |
| 22–24 November 2022 | Opinion Perduco ABC Nyheter and Altinget |
33 | 30–38 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–42 |
| 21–23 November 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
39 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 33–47 |
| 15–19 November 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
32 | 28–34 | 27–34 | 25–36 | 23–36 |
| 8–14 November 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
39 | 31–39 | 31–39 | 31–39 | 29–39 |
| 5–10 November 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
35 | 34–36 | 33–39 | 30–43 | 28–44 |
| 1–7 November 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
33 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 27–38 | 25–40 |
| 1–4 November 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
40 | 36–45 | 35–45 | 34–46 | 34–48 |
| 24–31 October 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
38 | 35–44 | 34–44 | 34–44 | 32–44 |
| 25–30 October 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
36 | 32–38 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 30–43 |
| 24–26 October 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
34 | 32–37 | 31–39 | 29–40 | 28–42 |
| 18–23 October 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
34 | 33–39 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 30–42 |
| 21 October 2022 | InFact Fiskeribladet |
39 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 34–43 | 32–45 |
| 11–17 October 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
38 | 33–39 | 30–39 | 30–40 | 30–41 |
| 11–12 October 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
39 | 34–43 | 34–44 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| 5–10 October 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
38 | 33–42 | 33–42 | 32–44 | 32–48 |
| 4–10 October 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
45 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 37–50 | 36–51 |
| 27 September–2 October 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
38 | 35–40 | 34–42 | 33–44 | 32–45 |
| 26–30 September 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
34 | 34–43 | 34–44 | 34–46 | 32–46 |
| 29 September 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
37 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 32–43 | 30–46 |
| 20–25 September 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
40 | 37–44 | 36–46 | 35–46 | 33–48 |
| 13–19 September 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
34 | 31–39 | 31–42 | 31–42 | 31–44 |
| 7–12 September 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
42 | 34–42 | 34–44 | 33–44 | 32–47 |
| 6–12 September 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
42 | 37–46 | 36–46 | 36–47 | 34–49 |
| 5–7 September 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
36 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 33–42 | 32–44 |
| 30 August–4 September 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
37 | 34–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 32–45 |
| 29 August–2 September 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
40 | 38–45 | 36–47 | 36–48 | 34–49 |
| 23–29 August 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
42 | 37–47 | 36–48 | 36–49 | 34–50 |
| 26 August 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
42 | 38–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 | 34–49 |
| 16–22 August 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
38 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 34–44 | 33–46 |
| 10–15 August 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
36 | 34–40 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 33–46 |
| 9–14 August 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
37 | 35–37 | 34–41 | 34–41 | 33–41 |
| 2–8 August 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
36 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 32–44 | 31–46 |
| 1–5 August 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
38 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–44 | 32–47 |
| 2–3 August 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
43 | 37–46 | 37–47 | 36–47 | 34–49 |
| 5–6 July 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
41 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 34–49 |
| 24–30 June 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
40 | 36–46 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 34–49 |
| 27–29 June 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
44 | 40–48 | 39–50 | 38–51 | 37–52 |
| 13–20 June 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
38 | 35–41 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 32–45 |
| 7–13 June 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
39 | 38–44 | 38–45 | 38–45 | 36–48 |
| 4–9 June 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
38 | 34–41 | 34–42 | 34–43 | 33–45 |
| 7–8 June 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
45 | 40–47 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–50 |
| 31 May–5 June 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
37 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 31–44 |
| 30 May–3 June 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
40 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 34–48 |
| 24–30 May 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
43 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 36–48 | 35–49 |
| 23–25 May 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
41 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 34–49 |
| 16–23 May 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
46 | 43–49 | 41–50 | 39–51 | 37–54 |
| 9–15 May 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
40 | 37–45 | 35–45 | 35–46 | 34–47 |
| 4–9 May 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
43 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 36–48 | 35–49 |
| 3–9 May 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
45 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–49 | 36–51 |
| 3–4 May 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
44 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 36–50 |
| 3 May 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 38–48 | 37–49 | 36–50 | 34–52 |
| 26 April–2 May 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
48 | 44–50 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 39–55 |
| 25–27 April 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
45 | 42–47 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 38–50 |
| 19–25 April 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
39 | 37–43 | 36–45 | 34–46 | 33–48 |
| 5–10 April 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
43 | 43–46 | 43–47 | 43–49 | 42–51 |
| 4–6 April 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
43 | 37–46 | 37–46 | 37–47 | 37–50 |
| 6 April 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
48 | 45–52 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 40–57 |
| 5–6 April 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
46 | 40–50 | 40–51 | 39–51 | 37–52 |
| 28 March–1 April 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
45 | 41–48 | 39–49 | 38–49 | 37–51 |
| 22–28 March 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
39 | 36–45 | 35–45 | 35–46 | 33–47 |
| 21–23 March 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
47 | 44–50 | 43–50 | 40–51 | 37–51 |
| 15–20 March 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
45 | 42–48 | 40–48 | 40–50 | 37–50 |
| 8–14 March 2022 | Sentio Nettavisen |
41 | 39–47 | 36–48 | 35–49 | 34–50 |
| 8–14 March 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
45 | 40–47 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–50 |
| 2–7 March 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
46 | 42–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 37–52 |
| 1–2 March 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
42 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 34–48 |
| 22–28 February 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
44 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–49 | 35–50 |
| 22–28 February 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
41 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 35–47 |
| 21–23 February 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
48 | 45–50 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 39–56 |
| 15–20 February 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
44 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–49 | 36–50 |
| 9–14 February 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| 8–12 February 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
42 | 37–43 | 37–44 | 37–44 | 36–47 |
| 1–7 February 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
41 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 | 32–49 |
| 1–2 February 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
45 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–49 | 37–51 |
| 25–31 January 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
37 | 36–40 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 32–44 |
| 25–31 January 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
39 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–45 | 33–47 |
| 24–26 January 2022 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–50 |
| 18–24 January 2022 | Norstat Vårt Land |
39 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 34–46 | 32–47 |
| 10–15 January 2022 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 |
| 5–10 January 2022 | Respons Analyse VG |
44 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 37–50 |
| 4–9 January 2022 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
36 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 29–42 |
| 3–7 January 2022 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
41 | 38–44 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 |
| 4–5 January 2022 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
45 | 42–49 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 38–52 |
| 27 December 2021–3 January 2022 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
38 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 36–45 | 34–47 |
| 14–20 December 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
42 | 38–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–50 |
| 20 December 2021 | InFact Nettavisen |
40 | 37–43 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 34–47 |
| 13–15 December 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
39 | 36–41 | 35–42 | 34–44 | 32–47 |
| 7–13 December 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
47 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 41–53 | 40–55 |
| 8–13 December 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
41 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 |
| 3–9 December 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
43 | 39–48 | 38–50 | 37–50 | 36–53 |
| 7–8 December 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
40 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 33–46 |
| 2–7 December 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 39–48 | 39–51 | 37–52 | 35–55 |
| 23–27 November 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
46 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–52 | 39–55 |
| 22–24 November 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
44 | 40–47 | 40–49 | 39–49 | 37–51 |
| 16–22 November 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
44 | 41–48 | 40–48 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| 10–15 November 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
43 | 43–50 | 43–50 | 42–50 | 39–53 |
| 9–14 November 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
52 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–57 | 44–59 |
| 2–8 November 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisens Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
48 | 44–52 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 40–55 |
| 2–3 November 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
51 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 45–58 | 43–60 |
| 27 October–2 November 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
49 | 45–55 | 43–56 | 42–57 | 40–60 |
| 26–31 October 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
48 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–55 | 42–57 |
| 31 October 2021 | Ipsos Dagbladet |
48 | 44–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 39–55 |
| 19–24 October 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
51 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 44–59 |
| 11–19 October 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
51 | 47–54 | 45–56 | 44–57 | 43–58 |
| 13–18 October 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
49 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–56 | 42–57 |
| 5–11 October 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
48 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 41–55 |
| 5–6 October 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
47 | 44–50 | 43–52 | 42–54 | 40–56 |
| 3 October 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
46 | 43–51 | 43–52 | 41–53 | 40–56 |
| 1 October 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
52 | 48–56 | 47–57 | 46–58 | 44–59 |
| 21–25 September 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
50 | 47–54 | 45–56 | 45–56 | 43–59 |
| 14–21 September 2021 | Sentio | 52 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–61 |
| 14–21 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
52 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–61 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Arbeiderpartiet.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 31 | 4% | 97% | |
| 32 | 8% | 93% | |
| 33 | 10% | 85% | |
| 34 | 6% | 74% | |
| 35 | 13% | 68% | |
| 36 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 37 | 6% | 47% | |
| 38 | 13% | 41% | |
| 39 | 7% | 28% | |
| 40 | 15% | 21% | |
| 41 | 3% | 6% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |