Arbeiderpartiet
Voting Intentions
Last result: 27.4% (General Election of 8–9 September 2013)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 24.7% | 22.5–27.4% | 21.8–28.2% | 21.2–28.8% | 20.1–29.9% |
| 9–11 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.6% | 23.4–25.9% | 23.1–26.2% | 22.8–26.5% | 22.3–27.1% |
| 1–10 September 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
27.0% | 25.2–28.9% | 24.7–29.4% | 24.2–29.9% | 23.4–30.8% |
| 8–10 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.4% | 23.2–25.7% | 22.9–26.1% | 22.6–26.4% | 22.0–27.0% |
| 7–9 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.8% | 22.6–25.1% | 22.3–25.5% | 22.0–25.8% | 21.4–26.4% |
| 3–8 September 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
26.6% | 24.9–28.5% | 24.4–29.0% | 23.9–29.4% | 23.1–30.3% |
| 31 August–8 September 2021 | Norstat NRK |
24.7% | 24.2–25.3% | 24.1–25.4% | 23.9–25.5% | 23.7–25.8% |
| 7–8 September 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
24.0% | 22.1–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% | 21.2–27.0% | 20.3–27.9% |
| 3–8 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.6% | 22.5–24.7% | 22.2–25.0% | 22.0–25.3% | 21.5–25.8% |
| 6–8 September 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
22.9% | 20.9–25.0% | 20.4–25.6% | 19.9–26.1% | 19.0–27.1% |
| 1–7 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.8% | 22.7–25.0% | 22.3–25.3% | 22.1–25.7% | 21.5–26.2% |
| 30 August–6 September 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
23.9% | 22.2–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.6–27.6% |
| 1–6 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.3% | 22.0–24.7% | 21.7–25.1% | 21.4–25.4% | 20.7–26.1% |
| 25 August–3 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.3% | 21.9–24.8% | 21.5–25.3% | 21.2–25.7% | 20.5–26.4% |
| 27 August–2 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.2% | 21.9–24.7% | 21.5–25.1% | 21.2–25.5% | 20.5–26.2% |
| 27 August–1 September 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
23.2% | 21.4–25.2% | 20.9–25.8% | 20.4–26.2% | 19.6–27.2% |
| 25–31 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.4% | 21.9–25.0% | 21.5–25.5% | 21.1–25.9% | 20.4–26.7% |
| 23–29 August 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten |
23.2% | 21.2–25.5% | 20.6–26.2% | 20.1–26.7% | 19.2–27.8% |
| 24–28 August 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
23.7% | 22.0–25.5% | 21.5–26.0% | 21.1–26.5% | 20.3–27.4% |
| 23–27 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
22.6% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.5–24.9% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.3–26.2% |
| 20–25 August 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
26.6% | 24.7–28.7% | 24.1–29.2% | 23.6–29.8% | 22.7–30.8% |
| 19–25 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
22.4% | 20.8–24.2% | 20.3–24.7% | 19.9–25.1% | 19.2–26.0% |
| 23–25 August 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
23.6% | 21.7–25.6% | 21.2–26.2% | 20.7–26.7% | 19.9–27.7% |
| 19–24 August 2021 | Norstat Dagens Næringsliv |
26.1% | 24.0–28.5% | 23.4–29.1% | 22.8–29.7% | 21.8–30.8% |
| 16–22 August 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten |
26.8% | 24.6–29.1% | 24.0–29.8% | 23.4–30.4% | 22.4–31.5% |
| 17–21 August 2021 | Sentio Nettavisen |
23.9% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.8–26.2% | 21.4–26.6% | 20.6–27.5% |
| 16–20 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
22.7% | 20.9–24.7% | 20.4–25.3% | 20.0–25.7% | 19.1–26.7% |
| 13–18 August 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
24.9% | 23.2–26.7% | 22.7–27.2% | 22.3–27.6% | 21.5–28.5% |
| 10–13 August 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22.2% | 20.5–24.0% | 20.0–24.5% | 19.6–24.9% | 18.8–25.8% |
| 9–13 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
22.8% | 21.1–24.6% | 20.7–25.1% | 20.3–25.5% | 19.5–26.4% |
| 5–11 August 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
24.8% | 23.1–26.6% | 22.6–27.1% | 22.2–27.6% | 21.4–28.5% |
| 6–11 August 2021 | Norstat Dagens Næringsliv |
24.1% | 22.2–26.1% | 21.6–26.7% | 21.2–27.2% | 20.3–28.2% |
| 3–8 August 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
22.6% | 20.7–24.7% | 20.2–25.3% | 19.8–25.8% | 18.9–26.8% |
| 2–6 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.5% | 21.9–25.3% | 21.4–25.9% | 21.0–26.3% | 20.2–27.2% |
| 3–4 August 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.7% | 21.8–25.8% | 21.3–26.4% | 20.9–26.9% | 20.0–27.9% |
| 22–28 July 2021 | Norstat Dagens Næringsliv |
26.9% | 24.9–29.1% | 24.3–29.7% | 23.8–30.2% | 22.9–31.3% |
| 6–7 July 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.8% | 21.9–25.8% | 21.3–26.4% | 20.9–26.9% | 20.0–27.9% |
| 28 June–2 July 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
22.4% | 20.8–24.2% | 20.3–24.7% | 19.9–25.1% | 19.1–26.0% |
| 28–30 June 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
23.9% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.8–26.2% | 21.4–26.6% | 20.6–27.5% |
| 17–23 June 2021 | Norstat Dagens Næringsliv |
27.1% | 25.1–29.2% | 24.5–29.8% | 24.0–30.4% | 23.1–31.4% |
| 15–20 June 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
24.9% | 23.2–26.8% | 22.7–27.4% | 22.3–27.8% | 21.4–28.8% |
| 9–14 June 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
23.6% | 21.9–25.4% | 21.5–25.9% | 21.1–26.3% | 20.3–27.2% |
| 8–13 June 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
23.9% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.8–26.2% | 21.4–26.6% | 20.6–27.5% |
| 26 May–11 June 2021 | Norstat NRK |
24.1% | 23.5–24.6% | 23.4–24.7% | 23.3–24.9% | 23.0–25.1% |
| 1–7 June 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
24.3% | 22.3–26.4% | 21.7–27.0% | 21.3–27.6% | 20.3–28.6% |
| 31 May–4 June 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.5% | 21.8–25.3% | 21.4–25.8% | 21.0–26.2% | 20.2–27.1% |
| 25–31 May 2021 | Norstat NRK |
24.7% | 22.9–26.5% | 22.4–27.0% | 22.0–27.5% | 21.2–28.4% |
| 25–31 May 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.6% | 23.0–26.3% | 22.6–26.7% | 22.2–27.1% | 21.5–28.0% |
| 24–26 May 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
25.7% | 23.7–27.8% | 23.1–28.4% | 22.6–29.0% | 21.7–30.0% |
| 18–25 May 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
25.0% | 23.3–26.9% | 22.8–27.4% | 22.4–27.9% | 21.6–28.8% |
| 20–24 May 2021 | Norstat Dagens Næringsliv |
24.5% | 22.8–26.3% | 22.4–26.9% | 21.9–27.3% | 21.2–28.2% |
| 11–16 May 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
25.3% | 23.6–27.1% | 23.1–27.6% | 22.7–28.1% | 21.9–29.0% |
| 13 May 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
25.6% | 23.8–27.5% | 23.3–28.0% | 22.9–28.5% | 22.1–29.4% |
| 5–10 May 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
21.5% | 19.9–23.2% | 19.4–23.7% | 19.0–24.1% | 18.3–25.0% |
| 4–5 May 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
24.4% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.2–26.7% | 21.8–27.2% | 21.0–28.0% |
| 27 April–3 May 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
23.2% | 21.5–25.0% | 21.0–25.5% | 20.6–26.0% | 19.8–26.8% |
| 26–30 April 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
21.1% | 19.5–22.9% | 19.1–23.4% | 18.7–23.8% | 17.9–24.6% |
| 26–28 April 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
23.6% | 21.6–25.7% | 21.1–26.3% | 20.6–26.8% | 19.7–27.8% |
| 20–24 April 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
25.6% | 23.9–27.5% | 23.4–28.0% | 23.0–28.5% | 22.2–29.4% |
| 7–20 April 2021 | Norstat NRK |
23.3% | 22.8–23.8% | 22.6–23.9% | 22.5–24.1% | 22.3–24.3% |
| 13–19 April 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
24.8% | 23.1–26.6% | 22.6–27.1% | 22.2–27.6% | 21.4–28.5% |
| 14 April 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
23.0% | 21.3–24.9% | 20.9–25.4% | 20.5–25.8% | 19.7–26.7% |
| 7–12 April 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
25.3% | 23.4–27.5% | 22.8–28.1% | 22.3–28.6% | 21.4–29.6% |
| 6–7 April 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
22.6% | 20.7–24.6% | 20.1–25.2% | 19.7–25.7% | 18.8–26.7% |
| 29 March–7 April 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.6–22.9% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.5–24.1% |
| 23–28 March 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
23.3% | 21.7–25.2% | 21.2–25.7% | 20.8–26.1% | 20.0–27.0% |
| 22–24 March 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
24.3% | 22.4–26.4% | 21.8–26.9% | 21.4–27.5% | 20.5–28.5% |
| 16–21 March 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20.5% | 18.9–22.3% | 18.4–22.7% | 18.1–23.2% | 17.3–24.0% |
| 9–14 March 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
23.5% | 21.8–25.3% | 21.4–25.8% | 21.0–26.2% | 20.2–27.1% |
| 5–10 March 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
22.2% | 20.6–23.9% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.7–24.9% | 19.0–25.7% |
| 1–8 March 2021 | Opinion Perduco | 22.7% | 20.8–24.8% | 20.2–25.4% | 19.7–26.0% | 18.8–27.0% |
| 2–3 March 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.7–27.1% | 21.0–27.9% |
| 22–28 February 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21.0% | 19.4–22.8% | 18.9–23.3% | 18.5–23.7% | 17.8–24.6% |
| 22–26 February 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
18.2% | 16.7–19.9% | 16.3–20.4% | 15.9–20.8% | 15.3–21.6% |
| 22–24 February 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
20.3% | 18.5–22.2% | 18.0–22.8% | 17.5–23.3% | 16.7–24.3% |
| 15–21 February 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20.6% | 19.0–22.4% | 18.5–22.8% | 18.2–23.3% | 17.4–24.1% |
| 9–14 February 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 1–8 February 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
24.6% | 22.9–26.4% | 22.4–26.9% | 22.0–27.4% | 21.2–28.3% |
| 2–3 February 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.3–23.5% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.1–24.8% |
| 27 January–2 February 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
22.8% | 21.2–24.6% | 20.7–25.1% | 20.3–25.5% | 19.5–26.4% |
| 25–31 January 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20.7% | 18.8–22.7% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.8–23.8% | 17.0–24.8% |
| 25–29 January 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
19.9% | 18.2–21.9% | 17.6–22.5% | 17.2–23.0% | 16.4–24.0% |
| 25–27 January 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
20.4% | 18.6–22.5% | 18.1–23.0% | 17.7–23.5% | 16.8–24.5% |
| 18–24 January 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24.2% | 22.5–26.1% | 22.0–26.6% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.8–27.9% |
| 12–16 January 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.3–23.5% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.1–24.8% |
| 13 January 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
19.0% | 17.4–20.7% | 17.0–21.2% | 16.6–21.6% | 15.9–22.5% |
| 13 January 2021 | InFact Amedia and Nettavisen |
18.4% | 17.5–19.3% | 17.3–19.6% | 17.1–19.8% | 16.7–20.2% |
| 4–8 January 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
22.4% | 20.8–24.2% | 20.3–24.7% | 19.9–25.2% | 19.2–26.0% |
| 4–6 January 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–24.0% |
| 5–6 January 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
17.5% | 15.9–19.4% | 15.4–19.9% | 15.0–20.4% | 14.3–21.3% |
| 28 December 2020–2 January 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.0–22.3% | 17.6–22.7% | 16.9–23.6% |
| 14–16 December 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
21.0% | 19.2–23.1% | 18.7–23.6% | 18.2–24.1% | 17.4–25.1% |
| 7–13 December 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21.4% | 19.8–23.2% | 19.3–23.7% | 18.9–24.2% | 18.2–25.0% |
| 1–7 December 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
21.8% | 19.9–23.9% | 19.3–24.5% | 18.9–25.0% | 18.0–26.1% |
| 1–2 December 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21.1% | 19.4–23.0% | 18.9–23.6% | 18.4–24.1% | 17.6–25.0% |
| 25–30 November 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
20.3% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.9–22.9% | 17.2–23.7% |
| 24–30 November 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20.3% | 18.6–22.3% | 18.1–22.8% | 17.7–23.3% | 16.9–24.2% |
| 24–29 November 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
22.4% | 20.8–24.2% | 20.3–24.7% | 19.9–25.1% | 19.2–26.0% |
| 16–18 November 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
21.5% | 19.6–23.6% | 19.1–24.2% | 18.6–24.7% | 17.7–25.7% |
| 9–15 November 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
20.9% | 19.3–22.7% | 18.8–23.2% | 18.4–23.6% | 17.7–24.5% |
| 3–9 November 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
20.3% | 18.7–22.1% | 18.3–22.6% | 17.9–23.0% | 17.2–23.8% |
| 3–4 November 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.4% | 21.7–25.2% | 21.3–25.7% | 20.9–26.1% | 20.1–27.0% |
| 27 October–3 November 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
21.9% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.8–24.1% | 19.4–24.6% | 18.7–25.4% |
| 28–31 October 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 26–30 October 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20.5% | 18.7–22.4% | 18.2–23.0% | 17.8–23.5% | 17.0–24.4% |
| 20–25 October 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
23.5% | 21.5–25.6% | 21.0–26.2% | 20.5–26.7% | 19.6–27.8% |
| 19–21 October 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
19.6% | 17.8–21.6% | 17.3–22.1% | 16.8–22.6% | 16.0–23.6% |
| 12–18 October 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
23.5% | 21.8–25.3% | 21.3–25.8% | 20.9–26.3% | 20.1–27.2% |
| 6–12 October 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
20.8% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.8–23.0% | 18.4–23.4% | 17.7–24.3% |
| 6–7 October 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
21.0% | 19.2–23.0% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–25.0% |
| 29 September–4 October 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
22.0% | 20.3–23.8% | 19.9–24.3% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.7–25.6% |
| 28 September–2 October 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
18.4% | 16.6–20.3% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.7–21.4% | 14.9–22.4% |
| 28–30 September 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
22.7% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.6–25.0% | 20.2–25.4% | 19.4–26.2% |
| 21–27 September 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
21.7% | 19.8–23.8% | 19.3–24.4% | 18.8–24.9% | 17.9–26.0% |
| 21–25 September 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
22.3% | 20.4–24.4% | 19.9–25.0% | 19.4–25.5% | 18.5–26.5% |
| 14–20 September 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
22.6% | 20.9–24.4% | 20.4–24.9% | 20.0–25.3% | 19.2–26.2% |
| 8–14 September 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
21.8% | 20.2–23.5% | 19.7–24.0% | 19.3–24.5% | 18.6–25.3% |
| 1–7 September 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
19.9% | 18.3–21.6% | 17.9–22.1% | 17.5–22.5% | 16.8–23.4% |
| 1–2 September 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
24.7% | 22.8–26.8% | 22.3–27.4% | 21.8–27.9% | 21.0–28.9% |
| 25 August–1 September 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.7% | 22.9–26.5% | 22.4–27.1% | 22.0–27.5% | 21.2–28.4% |
| 26–31 August 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.7–27.1% | 21.0–27.9% |
| 24–31 August 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24.0% | 22.3–25.9% | 21.8–26.4% | 21.4–26.9% | 20.6–27.8% |
| 17–23 August 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
23.9% | 22.2–25.8% | 21.7–26.3% | 21.3–26.8% | 20.5–27.7% |
| 17–19 August 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
24.8% | 22.8–26.9% | 22.2–27.5% | 21.7–28.1% | 20.8–29.1% |
| 11–16 August 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
23.1% | 21.4–24.9% | 21.0–25.4% | 20.6–25.8% | 19.8–26.7% |
| 6–11 August 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
25.5% | 23.8–27.3% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.1–29.2% |
| 4–10 August 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24.2% | 22.5–26.1% | 22.0–26.6% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.8–28.0% |
| 4–7 August 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
25.3% | 23.3–27.4% | 22.8–28.0% | 22.3–28.5% | 21.4–29.5% |
| 4–5 August 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
26.6% | 24.8–28.4% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.4% | 23.1–30.3% |
| 4 August 2020 | InFact Avisa Nordland, Bergensavisen, iFinnmark and Nidaros |
21.8% | 20.2–23.5% | 19.7–24.0% | 19.4–24.4% | 18.6–25.3% |
| 29 July–3 August 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
24.6% | 22.6–26.7% | 22.0–27.4% | 21.5–27.9% | 20.6–29.0% |
| 7–8 July 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
27.3% | 25.5–29.2% | 25.0–29.7% | 24.6–30.1% | 23.8–31.1% |
| 24–30 June 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
20.8% | 19.0–22.8% | 18.5–23.3% | 18.1–23.8% | 17.3–24.8% |
| 22–24 June 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 15–21 June 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24.9% | 23.2–26.7% | 22.7–27.2% | 22.3–27.7% | 21.5–28.6% |
| 9–13 June 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
24.2% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.1–26.5% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.9–27.8% |
| 2–8 June 2020 | Opinion Perduco | 25.2% | 23.2–27.4% | 22.6–28.0% | 22.1–28.6% | 21.2–29.6% |
| 2–4 June 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
23.5% | 21.8–25.2% | 21.3–25.7% | 20.9–26.2% | 20.1–27.1% |
| 2–3 June 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.5% | 21.8–25.2% | 21.3–25.7% | 20.9–26.2% | 20.1–27.1% |
| 26 May–1 June 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
23.4% | 21.4–25.6% | 20.9–26.2% | 20.4–26.7% | 19.5–27.8% |
| 25–29 May 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.4% | 21.6–25.5% | 21.0–26.1% | 20.6–26.6% | 19.7–27.6% |
| 25–28 May 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
25.5% | 23.5–27.7% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.4–28.9% | 21.5–29.9% |
| 19–25 May 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
25.8% | 24.1–27.7% | 23.6–28.2% | 23.1–28.7% | 22.3–29.6% |
| 12–16 May 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
25.5% | 23.8–27.3% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.1–29.2% |
| 5–10 May 2020 | Opinion Perduco | 26.7% | 24.9–28.6% | 24.4–29.1% | 24.0–29.6% | 23.2–30.5% |
| 5–6 May 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
25.1% | 23.2–27.1% | 22.6–27.7% | 22.2–28.2% | 21.3–29.2% |
| 30 April–5 May 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 27 April–4 May 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24.8% | 23.0–26.6% | 22.5–27.1% | 22.1–27.6% | 21.3–28.5% |
| 27–29 April 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
26.8% | 25.1–28.7% | 24.6–29.2% | 24.1–29.7% | 23.3–30.6% |
| 20–26 April 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
24.6% | 22.9–26.5% | 22.4–27.0% | 22.0–27.5% | 21.2–28.3% |
| 20–22 April 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
24.4% | 22.5–26.6% | 21.9–27.2% | 21.4–27.7% | 20.5–28.8% |
| 14–20 April 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
24.5% | 22.8–26.3% | 22.3–26.8% | 21.9–27.3% | 21.1–28.2% |
| 31 March–5 April 2020 | Opinion Perduco | 25.7% | 24.0–27.5% | 23.5–28.1% | 23.1–28.5% | 22.3–29.4% |
| 26 March–1 April 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
26.7% | 25.0–28.6% | 24.5–29.1% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.2–30.4% |
| 31 March–1 April 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
23.3% | 21.6–25.1% | 21.2–25.6% | 20.8–26.0% | 20.0–26.9% |
| 25–31 March 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.8% | 22.8–26.9% | 22.3–27.5% | 21.8–28.1% | 20.9–29.1% |
| 23–29 March 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
25.7% | 23.7–27.8% | 23.1–28.4% | 22.6–29.0% | 21.7–30.0% |
| 16–23 March 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
26.6% | 24.8–28.5% | 24.3–29.0% | 23.9–29.5% | 23.0–30.4% |
| 18–20 March 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
25.0% | 22.9–27.2% | 22.3–27.9% | 21.8–28.4% | 20.8–29.6% |
| 10–16 March 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.7–27.1% | 21.0–27.9% |
| 3–9 March 2020 | Opinion Perduco | 24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.4% | 21.4–26.8% | 20.6–27.7% |
| 3–4 March 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
25.8% | 24.1–27.6% | 23.6–28.2% | 23.2–28.6% | 22.4–29.5% |
| 27 February–2 March 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
24.9% | 23.2–26.7% | 22.7–27.2% | 22.3–27.7% | 21.5–28.6% |
| 24 February–2 March 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
23.8% | 21.8–25.9% | 21.2–26.6% | 20.7–27.1% | 19.8–28.2% |
| 24–28 February 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
21.5% | 19.7–23.5% | 19.2–24.1% | 18.7–24.6% | 17.9–25.6% |
| 17–23 February 2020 | Norstat Vårt Land |
24.0% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–27.0% | 20.9–27.5% | 19.9–28.7% |
| 17–19 February 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
25.8% | 23.7–27.9% | 23.2–28.5% | 22.7–29.1% | 21.8–30.1% |
| 11–17 February 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
23.6% | 21.9–25.4% | 21.5–25.9% | 21.1–26.3% | 20.3–27.2% |
| 4–10 February 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå and Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
25.1% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.5% | 22.5–27.9% | 21.6–28.8% |
| 4–5 February 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
22.2% | 20.6–24.0% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.7–24.9% | 19.0–25.7% |
| 30 January–3 February 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
24.9% | 23.2–26.7% | 22.7–27.2% | 22.3–27.6% | 21.5–28.5% |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
23.2% | 21.5–25.0% | 21.0–25.6% | 20.6–26.0% | 19.8–26.9% |
| 27–31 January 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
24.2% | 22.3–26.2% | 21.7–26.7% | 21.3–27.3% | 20.4–28.2% |
| 24–27 January 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
25.6% | 23.9–27.5% | 23.4–28.0% | 23.0–28.4% | 22.2–29.3% |
| 21–27 January 2020 | Norstat Vårt Land |
26.8% | 24.6–29.1% | 24.0–29.8% | 23.4–30.4% | 22.4–31.5% |
| 20–22 January 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
25.9% | 24.0–28.1% | 23.4–28.7% | 22.9–29.2% | 22.0–30.2% |
| 20–21 January 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
25.2% | 23.6–26.9% | 23.2–27.4% | 22.8–27.8% | 22.1–28.6% |
| 21 January 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
25.3% | 23.2–27.6% | 22.6–28.3% | 22.1–28.8% | 21.1–29.9% |
| 14–18 January 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
25.4% | 23.7–27.2% | 23.2–27.7% | 22.8–28.2% | 22.0–29.1% |
| 15 January 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå and Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
25.5% | 23.7–27.3% | 23.2–27.9% | 22.8–28.3% | 22.0–29.2% |
| 6–10 January 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
23.5% | 21.6–25.5% | 21.1–26.0% | 20.7–26.5% | 19.8–27.5% |
| 7–8 January 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
26.7% | 24.7–28.8% | 24.2–29.4% | 23.7–29.9% | 22.8–30.9% |
| 6 January 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 30 December 2019–5 January 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
26.1% | 24.4–28.0% | 23.9–28.6% | 23.5–29.0% | 22.6–29.9% |
| 16–18 December 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 23.4% | 21.4–25.5% | 20.9–26.1% | 20.4–26.6% | 19.5–27.6% |
| 9–15 December 2019 | Norstat | 25.5% | 23.8–27.3% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.1–29.2% |
| 3–8 December 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 22.9% | 21.2–24.7% | 20.7–25.2% | 20.3–25.6% | 19.6–26.5% |
| 3–4 December 2019 | Norfakta | 21.4% | 19.6–23.3% | 19.1–23.8% | 18.7–24.3% | 17.8–25.3% |
| 26 November–2 December 2019 | Sentio | 24.2% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.1–26.5% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.9–27.8% |
| 28 November–2 December 2019 | Respons Analyse | 23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 25–29 November 2019 | Kantar TNS | 21.9% | 20.1–23.9% | 19.6–24.4% | 19.2–24.9% | 18.3–25.9% |
| 19–25 November 2019 | Norstat | 22.8% | 20.9–24.9% | 20.4–25.5% | 20.0–26.0% | 19.1–27.0% |
| 18–20 November 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 22.0% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.6–24.6% | 19.1–25.1% | 18.2–26.2% |
| 12–18 November 2019 | Norstat | 22.9% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.3–25.8% | 19.8–26.4% | 18.9–27.5% |
| 5–11 November 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 21.7% | 20.0–23.5% | 19.6–24.0% | 19.2–24.4% | 18.4–25.3% |
| 5–6 November 2019 | Norfakta | 22.3% | 20.5–24.3% | 20.0–24.8% | 19.5–25.3% | 18.7–26.3% |
| 31 October–4 November 2019 | Respons Analyse | 23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.8–26.6% |
| 29 October–2 November 2019 | Sentio | 22.6% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.5–24.9% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.3–26.2% |
| 28 October–1 November 2019 | Kantar TNS | 22.6% | 20.8–24.6% | 20.3–25.2% | 19.9–25.7% | 19.0–26.6% |
| 22–28 October 2019 | Norstat | 23.6% | 21.6–25.8% | 21.1–26.4% | 20.6–26.9% | 19.7–28.0% |
| 21–23 October 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 22.6% | 20.8–24.7% | 20.3–25.3% | 19.8–25.8% | 18.9–26.7% |
| 15–21 October 2019 | Norstat | 21.6% | 20.0–23.4% | 19.5–24.0% | 19.1–24.4% | 18.3–25.3% |
| 8–14 October 2019 | Sentio | 24.9% | 23.2–26.7% | 22.7–27.2% | 22.3–27.7% | 21.5–28.6% |
| 1–7 October 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 22.2% | 20.5–24.0% | 20.1–24.5% | 19.7–25.0% | 18.9–25.8% |
| 30 September–4 October 2019 | Kantar TNS | 23.3% | 21.5–25.2% | 21.0–25.8% | 20.5–26.3% | 19.7–27.3% |
| 1–2 October 2019 | Norfakta | 23.5% | 21.6–25.5% | 21.1–26.0% | 20.7–26.5% | 19.8–27.5% |
| 24–30 September 2019 | Norstat | 24.0% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–27.0% | 20.9–27.5% | 19.9–28.7% |
| 23–25 September 2019 | Respons Analyse | 26.3% | 24.6–28.2% | 24.1–28.7% | 23.7–29.1% | 22.8–30.0% |
| 23–25 September 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 22.0% | 20.4–23.9% | 19.9–24.4% | 19.5–24.8% | 18.7–25.7% |
| 17–19 September 2019 | Norstat | 20.8% | 18.9–22.8% | 18.4–23.4% | 18.0–23.9% | 17.1–24.9% |
| 10–16 September 2019 | Sentio | 22.6% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.5–24.9% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.3–26.2% |
| 3–4 September 2019 | Norfakta | 23.8% | 22.2–25.6% | 21.7–26.1% | 21.3–26.6% | 20.5–27.5% |
| 27 August–2 September 2019 | Norstat | 24.5% | 22.3–26.8% | 21.7–27.5% | 21.2–28.1% | 20.2–29.2% |
| 20–26 August 2019 | Norstat | 22.2% | 20.5–24.0% | 20.0–24.5% | 19.6–24.9% | 18.9–25.8% |
| 19–21 August 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 23.4% | 21.4–25.5% | 20.9–26.1% | 20.4–26.6% | 19.5–27.6% |
| 13–18 August 2019 | Sentio | 27.3% | 25.5–29.2% | 25.0–29.7% | 24.6–30.1% | 23.8–31.1% |
| 6–12 August 2019 | Norstat | 24.6% | 22.6–26.7% | 22.1–27.3% | 21.6–27.8% | 20.7–28.9% |
| 5–9 August 2019 | Kantar TNS | 23.5% | 21.6–25.6% | 21.1–26.2% | 20.6–26.7% | 19.7–27.7% |
| 6–7 August 2019 | Norfakta | 24.4% | 22.5–26.4% | 22.0–27.0% | 21.6–27.5% | 20.7–28.4% |
| 30 July–5 August 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 22.2% | 20.2–24.4% | 19.7–25.0% | 19.2–25.5% | 18.3–26.6% |
| 2–3 July 2019 | Norfakta | 24.4% | 22.4–26.5% | 21.9–27.1% | 21.4–27.6% | 20.5–28.6% |
| 24–28 June 2019 | Kantar TNS | 25.5% | 23.6–27.6% | 23.0–28.2% | 22.6–28.7% | 21.7–29.7% |
| 24–26 June 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 27.8% | 25.7–30.0% | 25.1–30.6% | 24.6–31.2% | 23.7–32.3% |
| 18–24 June 2019 | Norstat | 26.0% | 24.2–27.9% | 23.7–28.4% | 23.3–28.9% | 22.5–29.8% |
| 11–17 June 2019 | Sentio | 25.2% | 23.5–27.0% | 23.0–27.5% | 22.6–28.0% | 21.8–28.9% |
| 4–10 June 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 23.1% | 21.1–25.2% | 20.6–25.8% | 20.1–26.3% | 19.2–27.4% |
| 3–6 June 2019 | Respons Analyse | 26.0% | 24.0–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% | 23.0–29.2% | 22.1–30.2% |
| 4–5 June 2019 | Norfakta | 25.1% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.9% | 21.7–28.8% |
| 28 May–3 June 2019 | Norstat | 24.4% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.2–26.8% | 21.8–27.2% | 21.0–28.1% |
| 27–29 May 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 26.9% | 24.9–29.1% | 24.3–29.7% | 23.9–30.3% | 22.9–31.3% |
| 21–27 May 2019 | Norstat | 23.7% | 22.0–25.6% | 21.5–26.1% | 21.1–26.6% | 20.3–27.5% |
| 14–18 May 2019 | Sentio | 23.1% | 21.4–24.9% | 21.0–25.4% | 20.6–25.8% | 19.8–26.7% |
| 7–13 May 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 27.1% | 25.3–29.0% | 24.8–29.6% | 24.4–30.1% | 23.5–31.0% |
| 7–8 May 2019 | Norfakta | 25.1% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.5% | 22.5–27.9% | 21.7–28.8% |
| 30 April–6 May 2019 | Norstat | 26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.3% | 23.0–30.2% |
| 29 April–3 May 2019 | Kantar TNS | 25.9% | 24.0–28.0% | 23.4–28.6% | 23.0–29.1% | 22.1–30.1% |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | Respons Analyse | 28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 25.9–30.6% | 25.5–31.1% | 24.7–32.0% |
| 2 May 2019 | Norstat | 27.5% | 25.3–29.9% | 24.7–30.6% | 24.2–31.2% | 23.2–32.3% |
| 23–25 April 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 28.1% | 26.3–30.1% | 25.8–30.6% | 25.3–31.1% | 24.5–32.0% |
| 16 April 2019 | Sentio | 27.5% | 25.7–29.4% | 25.2–29.9% | 24.8–30.4% | 24.0–31.3% |
| 2–8 April 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 27.5% | 25.7–29.4% | 25.1–29.9% | 24.7–30.4% | 23.9–31.3% |
| 2–4 April 2019 | Respons Analyse | 25.6% | 23.9–27.4% | 23.4–27.9% | 23.0–28.4% | 22.2–29.3% |
| 2–3 April 2019 | Norfakta | 26.1% | 24.4–27.9% | 23.9–28.4% | 23.5–28.8% | 22.7–29.7% |
| 26 March–1 April 2019 | Norstat | 24.0% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–27.0% | 20.9–27.5% | 19.9–28.7% |
| 25–29 March 2019 | Kantar TNS | 24.3% | 22.4–26.3% | 21.9–26.9% | 21.4–27.4% | 20.5–28.4% |
| 27 March 2019 | Norstat | 26.6% | 24.4–28.9% | 23.8–29.6% | 23.3–30.2% | 22.3–31.3% |
| 18–20 March 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 28.8% | 26.9–30.7% | 26.4–31.3% | 26.0–31.7% | 25.1–32.7% |
| 12–18 March 2019 | Sentio | 27.7% | 25.9–29.6% | 25.4–30.1% | 25.0–30.6% | 24.2–31.5% |
| 5–11 March 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 25.1% | 23.3–26.9% | 22.8–27.5% | 22.4–27.9% | 21.6–28.8% |
| 5–6 March 2019 | Norfakta | 27.0% | 25.0–29.2% | 24.4–29.8% | 23.9–30.3% | 23.0–31.4% |
| 28 February–4 March 2019 | Respons Analyse | 24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.7–27.1% | 21.0–27.9% |
| 26 February–4 March 2019 | Norstat | 26.5% | 24.4–28.8% | 23.8–29.4% | 23.2–30.0% | 22.3–31.1% |
| 25 February–1 March 2019 | Kantar TNS | 27.4% | 25.3–29.6% | 24.7–30.2% | 24.2–30.8% | 23.3–31.8% |
| 19–25 February 2019 | Norstat | 26.9% | 24.7–29.3% | 24.1–29.9% | 23.6–30.5% | 22.6–31.7% |
| 18–20 February 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 26.9% | 25.1–28.9% | 24.6–29.4% | 24.2–29.9% | 23.3–30.8% |
| 12–19 February 2019 | Sentio | 27.4% | 25.6–29.3% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.3% | 23.9–31.2% |
| 5–11 February 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 28.2% | 26.1–30.5% | 25.5–31.1% | 25.0–31.7% | 24.0–32.8% |
| 5–6 February 2019 | Norfakta | 29.3% | 27.3–31.5% | 26.7–32.1% | 26.2–32.6% | 25.3–33.7% |
| 31 January–4 February 2019 | Respons Analyse | 29.7% | 27.6–31.9% | 27.0–32.6% | 26.5–33.1% | 25.5–34.2% |
| 29 January–4 February 2019 | Norstat | 29.3% | 27.1–31.6% | 26.4–32.3% | 25.9–32.9% | 24.9–34.0% |
| 28 January–2 February 2019 | Kantar TNS | 26.5% | 24.6–28.6% | 24.1–29.1% | 23.6–29.6% | 22.7–30.7% |
| 22–28 January 2019 | Norstat | 29.1% | 26.9–31.4% | 26.3–32.0% | 25.8–32.6% | 24.8–33.7% |
| 21–23 January 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 29.8% | 28.0–31.8% | 27.4–32.4% | 27.0–32.9% | 26.1–33.8% |
| 15–21 January 2019 | Sentio | 26.4% | 24.2–28.7% | 23.7–29.3% | 23.1–29.9% | 22.1–31.0% |
| 8–14 January 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 28.4% | 26.3–30.7% | 25.7–31.4% | 25.2–31.9% | 24.2–33.0% |
| 3–10 January 2019 | Kantar TNS | 28.1% | 26.0–30.2% | 25.5–30.8% | 25.0–31.4% | 24.0–32.4% |
| 8–9 January 2019 | Norfakta | 27.7% | 25.9–29.6% | 25.4–30.1% | 25.0–30.6% | 24.2–31.5% |
| 3–7 January 2019 | Respons Analyse | 29.7% | 27.9–31.6% | 27.4–32.1% | 26.9–32.6% | 26.1–33.5% |
| 2–7 January 2019 | Norstat | 27.3% | 25.2–29.5% | 24.6–30.1% | 24.1–30.7% | 23.1–31.7% |
| 17–19 December 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 28.5% | 26.7–30.4% | 26.1–31.0% | 25.7–31.5% | 24.8–32.4% |
| 11–17 December 2018 | Norstat | 26.8% | 25.0–28.7% | 24.4–29.2% | 24.0–29.7% | 23.2–30.6% |
| 4–10 December 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 27.1% | 25.0–29.3% | 24.4–29.9% | 23.9–30.5% | 22.9–31.6% |
| 4–5 December 2018 | Norfakta | 28.4% | 26.4–30.6% | 25.8–31.2% | 25.3–31.7% | 24.4–32.8% |
| 28 November–4 December 2018 | Sentio | 29.9% | 27.8–32.2% | 27.2–32.9% | 26.7–33.4% | 25.7–34.5% |
| 29 November–4 December 2018 | Respons Analyse | 26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| 3 December 2018 | Kantar TNS | 27.6% | 25.5–29.8% | 24.9–30.4% | 24.4–30.9% | 23.5–32.0% |
| 20–25 November 2018 | Norstat | 29.7% | 27.8–31.7% | 27.3–32.2% | 26.8–32.7% | 26.0–33.7% |
| 19–21 November 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 31.2% | 29.3–33.2% | 28.7–33.8% | 28.3–34.3% | 27.4–35.2% |
| 13–19 November 2018 | Norstat | 28.8% | 27.0–30.8% | 26.4–31.3% | 26.0–31.8% | 25.1–32.8% |
| 6–12 November 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 28.3% | 26.2–30.6% | 25.6–31.2% | 25.1–31.8% | 24.1–32.9% |
| 5–7 November 2018 | Respons Analyse | 28.4% | 26.6–30.3% | 26.1–30.8% | 25.7–31.3% | 24.8–32.2% |
| 30 October–5 November 2018 | Sentio | 25.0% | 22.9–27.2% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.9–28.3% | 20.9–29.4% |
| 5 November 2018 | Norfakta | 29.1% | 27.1–31.2% | 26.6–31.8% | 26.1–32.3% | 25.1–33.4% |
| 24–30 October 2018 | Kantar TNS | 27.7% | 25.7–29.8% | 25.1–30.4% | 24.7–30.9% | 23.7–32.0% |
| 23–28 October 2018 | Norstat | 27.1% | 25.0–29.4% | 24.4–30.0% | 23.9–30.6% | 23.0–31.7% |
| 22–24 October 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 26.0% | 24.2–27.9% | 23.7–28.4% | 23.3–28.9% | 22.5–29.8% |
| 16–22 October 2018 | Norstat | 28.7% | 26.9–30.6% | 26.3–31.2% | 25.9–31.7% | 25.0–32.6% |
| 9–18 October 2018 | Sentio | 28.7% | 26.6–31.0% | 26.0–31.6% | 25.5–32.2% | 24.5–33.3% |
| 4–10 October 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 26.6% | 24.5–28.9% | 23.9–29.5% | 23.4–30.1% | 22.5–31.2% |
| 9–10 October 2018 | InFact | 24.4% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.2–26.7% | 21.8–27.1% | 21.0–28.0% |
| 1–3 October 2018 | Respons Analyse | 27.7% | 25.9–29.6% | 25.4–30.1% | 25.0–30.6% | 24.2–31.5% |
| 2–3 October 2018 | Norfakta | 28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 25.9–30.6% | 25.5–31.0% | 24.6–32.0% |
| 24–29 September 2018 | Norstat | 26.9% | 25.1–28.9% | 24.6–29.4% | 24.2–29.9% | 23.3–30.8% |
| 24–28 September 2018 | Kantar TNS | 26.8% | 24.9–28.9% | 24.3–29.5% | 23.8–30.0% | 22.9–31.0% |
| 24–26 September 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 28.6% | 26.8–30.6% | 26.3–31.2% | 25.8–31.6% | 25.0–32.6% |
| 18–24 September 2018 | Norstat | 26.6% | 24.8–28.5% | 24.3–29.1% | 23.9–29.6% | 23.0–30.5% |
| 11–17 September 2018 | Sentio | 28.0% | 25.9–30.3% | 25.3–30.9% | 24.8–31.4% | 23.8–32.5% |
| 6–10 September 2018 | Respons Analyse | 25.5% | 23.8–27.4% | 23.4–27.9% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.1–29.2% |
| 4–10 September 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 27.6% | 25.5–29.9% | 24.9–30.6% | 24.4–31.1% | 23.4–32.3% |
| 6 September 2018 | Kantar TNS | 24.9% | 22.9–27.0% | 22.3–27.6% | 21.8–28.2% | 20.9–29.2% |
| 4–5 September 2018 | Norfakta | 24.6% | 22.7–26.7% | 22.2–27.3% | 21.7–27.8% | 20.8–28.8% |
| 28 August–2 September 2018 | Norstat | 26.2% | 24.2–28.4% | 23.6–29.0% | 23.1–29.6% | 22.2–30.6% |
| 20–26 August 2018 | Norstat | 24.5% | 22.7–26.3% | 22.2–26.9% | 21.8–27.3% | 21.0–28.3% |
| 20–25 August 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 28.5% | 26.7–30.5% | 26.2–31.0% | 25.7–31.5% | 24.9–32.4% |
| 14–20 August 2018 | Sentio | 26.0% | 23.9–28.2% | 23.3–28.8% | 22.8–29.4% | 21.8–30.5% |
| 16–20 August 2018 | Respons Analyse | 25.9% | 24.2–27.7% | 23.7–28.2% | 23.2–28.7% | 22.5–29.6% |
| 7–12 August 2018 | Norstat | 23.8% | 21.7–26.0% | 21.2–26.6% | 20.7–27.1% | 19.7–28.2% |
| 7–8 August 2018 | Norfakta | 27.8% | 26.0–29.7% | 25.6–30.2% | 25.1–30.7% | 24.3–31.6% |
| 1–7 August 2018 | Kantar TNS | 24.5% | 22.5–26.6% | 22.0–27.2% | 21.5–27.7% | 20.6–28.7% |
| 31 July–6 August 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 28.3% | 26.2–30.6% | 25.5–31.2% | 25.0–31.8% | 24.0–32.9% |
| 3–4 July 2018 | Norfakta | 23.7% | 21.7–25.7% | 21.2–26.3% | 20.8–26.8% | 19.9–27.8% |
| 25–27 June 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 22.2% | 20.5–24.0% | 20.1–24.5% | 19.7–25.0% | 18.9–25.9% |
| 19–25 June 2018 | Norstat | 21.5% | 19.8–23.3% | 19.4–23.8% | 19.0–24.2% | 18.2–25.1% |
| 12–16 June 2018 | Sentio | 25.1% | 23.1–27.3% | 22.6–28.0% | 22.1–28.5% | 21.1–29.6% |
| 5–11 June 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 24.0% | 22.0–26.2% | 21.4–26.8% | 21.0–27.3% | 20.0–28.4% |
| 5–6 June 2018 | Norfakta | 24.1% | 22.2–26.2% | 21.7–26.7% | 21.3–27.2% | 20.4–28.2% |
| 31 May–4 June 2018 | Respons Analyse | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 27 May–4 June 2018 | Norstat | 23.3% | 21.6–25.2% | 21.1–25.7% | 20.7–26.2% | 19.9–27.1% |
| 28 May–1 June 2018 | Kantar TNS | 23.4% | 21.5–25.5% | 20.9–26.1% | 20.5–26.6% | 19.6–27.6% |
| 28–30 May 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 22.9% | 21.2–24.7% | 20.7–25.3% | 20.3–25.7% | 19.5–26.6% |
| 22–28 May 2018 | Norstat | 23.6% | 21.9–25.4% | 21.4–26.0% | 21.0–26.4% | 20.1–27.3% |
| 14–22 May 2018 | Sentio | 23.5% | 21.6–25.6% | 21.0–26.2% | 20.6–26.7% | 19.7–27.8% |
| 8–14 May 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 22.8% | 20.8–24.9% | 20.2–25.5% | 19.8–26.0% | 18.9–27.1% |
| 8–9 May 2018 | Norfakta | 24.7% | 22.8–26.7% | 22.3–27.3% | 21.8–27.8% | 21.0–28.8% |
| 3–7 May 2018 | Respons Analyse | 25.5% | 23.8–27.4% | 23.4–27.9% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.1–29.2% |
| 30 April–7 May 2018 | Norstat | 26.0% | 24.0–28.2% | 23.4–28.9% | 22.9–29.4% | 22.0–30.5% |
| 30 April–2 May 2018 | Kantar TNS | 23.7% | 21.9–25.8% | 21.3–26.4% | 20.9–26.9% | 20.0–27.9% |
| 26–30 April 2018 | Norstat | 24.0% | 22.3–25.9% | 21.8–26.4% | 21.4–26.9% | 20.6–27.8% |
| 23–25 April 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 23.3% | 21.6–25.1% | 21.1–25.6% | 20.7–26.1% | 19.9–27.0% |
| 17–23 April 2018 | Sentio | 23.9% | 21.9–26.0% | 21.3–26.7% | 20.8–27.2% | 19.9–28.3% |
| 10–16 April 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 24.0% | 22.0–26.1% | 21.4–26.7% | 21.0–27.3% | 20.1–28.3% |
| 5–9 April 2018 | Respons Analyse | 23.4% | 21.7–25.2% | 21.2–25.7% | 20.9–26.1% | 20.1–27.0% |
| 3–9 April 2018 | Norstat | 25.2% | 23.4–27.1% | 22.9–27.6% | 22.5–28.1% | 21.7–29.0% |
| 3–6 April 2018 | Kantar TNS | 24.1% | 22.2–26.2% | 21.7–26.7% | 21.2–27.2% | 20.3–28.2% |
| 3–4 April 2018 | Norfakta | 23.2% | 21.6–25.0% | 21.1–25.5% | 20.7–25.9% | 19.9–26.8% |
| 20–24 March 2018 | Norstat | 24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.7% | 21.7–27.1% | 20.9–28.0% |
| 19–21 March 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 23.6% | 21.9–25.5% | 21.4–26.0% | 21.0–26.5% | 20.2–27.4% |
| 20 March 2018 | Kantar TNS | 23.5% | 21.2–26.1% | 20.5–26.8% | 20.0–27.4% | 18.9–28.7% |
| 13–19 March 2018 | Sentio | 23.2% | 21.3–25.4% | 20.7–26.0% | 20.3–26.5% | 19.4–27.5% |
| 15–16 March 2018 | Respons Analyse | 25.1% | 23.4–27.0% | 23.0–27.5% | 22.6–27.9% | 21.8–28.8% |
| 6–12 March 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 23.4% | 21.4–25.5% | 20.8–26.1% | 20.3–26.7% | 19.4–27.7% |
| 6–7 March 2018 | Norfakta | 22.5% | 20.7–24.5% | 20.2–25.1% | 19.7–25.5% | 18.9–26.5% |
| 1–5 March 2018 | Respons Analyse | 23.4% | 21.8–25.2% | 21.3–25.7% | 20.9–26.2% | 20.1–27.0% |
| 27 February–5 March 2018 | Norstat | 23.3% | 21.6–25.2% | 21.1–25.7% | 20.7–26.2% | 19.9–27.1% |
| 26 February–3 March 2018 | Kantar TNS | 23.4% | 21.6–25.4% | 21.0–26.0% | 20.6–26.4% | 19.8–27.4% |
| 20–25 February 2018 | Norstat | 24.5% | 22.8–26.4% | 22.3–26.9% | 21.9–27.4% | 21.1–28.3% |
| 19–21 February 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 25.4% | 23.6–27.3% | 23.1–27.8% | 22.7–28.2% | 21.9–29.2% |
| 13–19 February 2018 | Sentio | 23.3% | 21.4–25.4% | 20.8–26.0% | 20.4–26.5% | 19.5–27.5% |
| 6–12 February 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 21.3% | 19.4–23.4% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.4–24.5% | 17.6–25.5% |
| 5–7 February 2018 | Respons Analyse | 24.0% | 22.3–25.7% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.6–27.6% |
| 30 January–5 February 2018 | Norstat | 22.4% | 20.7–24.2% | 20.2–24.7% | 19.8–25.1% | 19.1–26.0% |
| 29 January–5 February 2018 | Kantar TNS | 23.6% | 21.8–25.7% | 21.3–26.2% | 20.8–26.7% | 20.0–27.7% |
| 30–31 January 2018 | Norfakta | 24.0% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.5–26.6% | 21.1–27.1% | 20.2–28.1% |
| 23–28 January 2018 | Norstat | 22.8% | 21.1–24.6% | 20.6–25.1% | 20.2–25.6% | 19.4–26.5% |
| 22–24 January 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 25.4% | 23.6–27.4% | 23.1–27.9% | 22.7–28.4% | 21.8–29.3% |
| 16–21 January 2018 | Sentio | 22.6% | 20.7–24.8% | 20.2–25.4% | 19.7–25.9% | 18.8–26.9% |
| 9–15 January 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 20.9% | 19.1–23.0% | 18.5–23.6% | 18.1–24.1% | 17.2–25.1% |
| 10–12 January 2018 | Respons Analyse | 23.2% | 21.6–25.0% | 21.1–25.5% | 20.7–25.9% | 19.9–26.8% |
| 8–10 January 2018 | Respons Analyse | 23.1% | 21.3–25.1% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.3–26.1% | 19.5–27.1% |
| 3–9 January 2018 | Kantar TNS | 19.4% | 17.6–21.3% | 17.1–21.8% | 16.7–22.3% | 15.9–23.2% |
| 2–8 January 2018 | Norstat | 20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.0–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 16.9–23.5% |
| 2–3 January 2018 | Norfakta | 24.2% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.1–26.5% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.9–27.8% |
| 18–20 December 2017 | Ipsos MMI | 26.3% | 24.5–28.2% | 24.0–28.7% | 23.5–29.2% | 22.7–30.1% |
| 12–18 December 2017 | Norstat | 25.9% | 24.2–27.8% | 23.7–28.3% | 23.2–28.8% | 22.4–29.7% |
| 5–11 December 2017 | Sentio | 25.9% | 24.0–28.0% | 23.4–28.6% | 22.9–29.1% | 22.0–30.2% |
| 4–8 December 2017 | Kantar TNS | 26.1% | 24.1–28.2% | 23.6–28.8% | 23.1–29.3% | 22.2–30.3% |
| 5–6 December 2017 | Norfakta | 26.7% | 24.8–28.8% | 24.3–29.4% | 23.8–29.9% | 23.0–30.9% |
| 28 November–4 December 2017 | Opinion Perduco | 26.6% | 24.6–28.8% | 24.0–29.4% | 23.5–29.9% | 22.6–31.0% |
| 21–27 November 2017 | Norstat | 25.9% | 24.1–27.8% | 23.6–28.3% | 23.2–28.8% | 22.3–29.7% |
| 20–22 November 2017 | Ipsos MMI | 27.9% | 26.0–29.8% | 25.5–30.4% | 25.1–30.9% | 24.2–31.8% |
| 14–20 November 2017 | Norstat | 27.1% | 25.3–29.0% | 24.8–29.6% | 24.4–30.0% | 23.5–31.0% |
| 7–13 November 2017 | Sentio | 25.6% | 23.7–27.7% | 23.2–28.3% | 22.7–28.8% | 21.8–29.8% |
| 6–10 November 2017 | Kantar TNS | 25.3% | 23.4–27.3% | 22.9–27.9% | 22.5–28.4% | 21.6–29.4% |
| 7–8 November 2017 | Norfakta | 26.6% | 24.7–28.6% | 24.2–29.2% | 23.7–29.7% | 22.9–30.7% |
| 31 October–6 November 2017 | Opinion Perduco | 25.2% | 23.2–27.3% | 22.7–27.9% | 22.2–28.4% | 21.3–29.4% |
| 25–31 October 2017 | Norstat | 25.9% | 24.2–27.8% | 23.7–28.4% | 23.2–28.8% | 22.4–29.8% |
| 23–25 October 2017 | Ipsos MMI | 27.3% | 25.5–29.3% | 25.0–29.8% | 24.6–30.3% | 23.8–31.2% |
| 17–23 October 2017 | Norstat | 26.5% | 24.8–28.5% | 24.2–29.0% | 23.8–29.5% | 23.0–30.4% |
| 10–16 October 2017 | Sentio | 25.2% | 23.3–27.2% | 22.7–27.8% | 22.3–28.3% | 21.4–29.3% |
| 3–9 October 2017 | Opinion Perduco | 25.8% | 23.9–28.0% | 23.3–28.5% | 22.9–29.1% | 22.0–30.1% |
| 2–6 October 2017 | Kantar TNS | 25.3% | 23.6–27.2% | 23.1–27.7% | 22.7–28.2% | 21.9–29.1% |
| 3–4 October 2017 | Norfakta | 25.8% | 23.9–27.8% | 23.4–28.3% | 22.9–28.8% | 22.1–29.8% |
| 27 September–1 October 2017 | Norstat | 26.5% | 24.7–28.4% | 24.2–28.9% | 23.7–29.4% | 22.9–30.3% |
| 25–27 September 2017 | Ipsos MMI | 26.1% | 24.3–28.0% | 23.8–28.5% | 23.4–29.0% | 22.5–29.9% |
| 19–25 September 2017 | Norstat | 24.9% | 23.1–26.8% | 22.6–27.3% | 22.2–27.8% | 21.4–28.7% |
| 12–18 September 2017 | Sentio | 26.2% | 24.3–28.3% | 23.7–28.9% | 23.3–29.4% | 22.4–30.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Arbeiderpartiet.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 7% | 96% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 12% | 90% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 22% | 78% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 25% | 56% | Median |
| 25.5–26.5% | 13% | 31% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 9% | 18% | Last Result |
| 27.5–28.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 49 seats (General Election of 8–9 September 2013)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 44 | 42–50 | 41–52 | 40–53 | 38–56 |
| 9–11 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
45 | 43–46 | 42–48 | 41–48 | 41–51 |
| 1–10 September 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
48 | 44–53 | 44–55 | 44–55 | 43–57 |
| 8–10 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 42–46 | 41–47 | 41–48 | 41–50 |
| 7–9 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 42–45 | 41–46 | 41–46 | 40–48 |
| 3–8 September 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
48 | 44–52 | 43–54 | 43–55 | 42–56 |
| 31 August–8 September 2021 | Norstat NRK |
44 | 43–45 | 43–46 | 43–46 | 42–48 |
| 7–8 September 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
44 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| 3–8 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
42 | 41–45 | 41–46 | 41–46 | 40–46 |
| 6–8 September 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
42 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 38–46 | 35–49 |
| 1–7 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 41–46 | 41–46 | 41–47 | 40–49 |
| 30 August–6 September 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
44 | 41–47 | 40–47 | 40–49 | 39–52 |
| 1–6 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
42 | 41–45 | 41–45 | 41–46 | 39–47 |
| 25 August–3 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 41–45 | 40–45 | 40–46 | 39–48 |
| 27 August–2 September 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 40–47 | 40–49 |
| 27 August–1 September 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
42 | 40–44 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 36–51 |
| 25–31 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 41–46 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 40–50 |
| 23–29 August 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten |
42 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 38–48 | 36–51 |
| 24–28 August 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
42 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 38–50 |
| 23–27 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
42 | 40–44 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 35–48 |
| 20–25 August 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
50 | 45–55 | 45–56 | 44–57 | 42–58 |
| 19–25 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
41 | 40–44 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 36–47 |
| 23–25 August 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
43 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 37–52 |
| 19–24 August 2021 | Norstat Dagens Næringsliv |
47 | 44–53 | 43–55 | 41–56 | 40–58 |
| 16–22 August 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten |
49 | 44–55 | 43–56 | 43–57 | 41–59 |
| 17–21 August 2021 | Sentio Nettavisen |
44 | 42–47 | 41–49 | 41–50 | 39–53 |
| 16–20 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 37–51 |
| 13–18 August 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
44 | 41–47 | 41–49 | 41–50 | 40–53 |
| 10–13 August 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
42 | 39–44 | 38–45 | 38–45 | 35–47 |
| 9–13 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 40–46 | 39–48 | 38–50 | 37–52 |
| 5–11 August 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
44 | 42–48 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–54 |
| 6–11 August 2021 | Norstat Dagens Næringsliv |
44 | 41–47 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 38–53 |
| 3–8 August 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–48 | 34–50 |
| 2–6 August 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 42–45 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 38–50 |
| 3–4 August 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
43 | 40–46 | 40–48 | 38–49 | 37–51 |
| 22–28 July 2021 | Norstat Dagens Næringsliv |
49 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–56 | 42–58 |
| 6–7 July 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
43 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 39–49 | 37–52 |
| 28 June–2 July 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
42 | 39–44 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 35–47 |
| 28–30 June 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
45 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–52 |
| 17–23 June 2021 | Norstat Dagens Næringsliv |
50 | 45–54 | 44–56 | 44–57 | 42–58 |
| 15–20 June 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
45 | 43–49 | 42–51 | 41–51 | 40–53 |
| 9–14 June 2021 | Respons Analyse Bergens Tidende and VG |
44 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–50 |
| 8–13 June 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
44 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 38–49 |
| 26 May–11 June 2021 | Norstat NRK |
45 | 44–46 | 44–46 | 43–47 | 43–48 |
| 1–7 June 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
45 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 37–52 |
| 31 May–4 June 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
43 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 39–48 | 37–49 |
| 25–31 May 2021 | Norstat NRK |
44 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 40–52 | 39–53 |
| 25–31 May 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 42–47 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 39–51 |
| 24–26 May 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
45 | 43–51 | 42–53 | 42–53 | 40–57 |
| 18–25 May 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| 20–24 May 2021 | Norstat Dagens Næringsliv |
45 | 42–47 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–52 |
| 11–16 May 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
45 | 43–49 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 39–54 |
| 13 May 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
45 | 44–48 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 40–54 |
| 5–10 May 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
40 | 38–44 | 37–44 | 36–44 | 34–45 |
| 4–5 May 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
45 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 39–53 |
| 27 April–3 May 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
43 | 40–45 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–50 |
| 26–30 April 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
40 | 36–43 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 32–45 |
| 26–28 April 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
44 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 39–49 | 37–51 |
| 20–24 April 2021 | Norstat Vårt Land |
48 | 44–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 41–56 |
| 7–20 April 2021 | Norstat NRK |
44 | 42–46 | 42–46 | 42–46 | 42–46 |
| 13–19 April 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
44 | 43–48 | 42–49 | 41–51 | 39–53 |
| 14 April 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
42 | 39–45 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 36–48 |
| 7–12 April 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
45 | 42–50 | 42–51 | 41–53 | 39–56 |
| 6–7 April 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
41 | 37–44 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 33–50 |
| 29 March–7 April 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
39 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–44 |
| 23–28 March 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
43 | 40–46 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 36–49 |
| 22–24 March 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
44 | 41–47 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| 16–21 March 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
39 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 32–43 | 30–45 |
| 9–14 March 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 39–49 | 37–51 |
| 5–10 March 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
41 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 36–45 | 34–47 |
| 1–8 March 2021 | Opinion Perduco | 41 | 38–46 | 36–47 | 35–47 | 34–50 |
| 2–3 March 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
45 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–51 | 39–52 |
| 22–28 February 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
39 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–43 | 32–45 |
| 22–26 February 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
34 | 30–38 | 28–38 | 28–40 | 27–40 |
| 22–24 February 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
39 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 31–43 | 29–45 |
| 15–21 February 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–42 | 30–43 |
| 9–14 February 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
40 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 34–43 | 32–45 |
| 1–8 February 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
45 | 41–49 | 41–49 | 41–51 | 38–53 |
| 2–3 February 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
39 | 36–41 | 36–43 | 34–44 | 32–45 |
| 27 January–2 February 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
42 | 39–44 | 38–46 | 36–48 | 35–49 |
| 25–31 January 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 30–45 |
| 25–29 January 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
38 | 32–41 | 30–41 | 30–42 | 27–44 |
| 25–27 January 2021 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
38 | 33–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 30–45 |
| 18–24 January 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
45 | 41–47 | 40–49 | 40–51 | 39–52 |
| 12–16 January 2021 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
40 | 37–43 | 35–44 | 35–45 | 32–46 |
| 13 January 2021 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
35 | 32–38 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 29–42 |
| 13 January 2021 | InFact Amedia and Nettavisen |
33 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 29–39 |
| 4–8 January 2021 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
41 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 34–47 |
| 4–6 January 2021 | Respons Analyse VG |
38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–44 |
| 5–6 January 2021 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
32 | 29–36 | 28–37 | 27–38 | 26–40 |
| 28 December 2020–2 January 2021 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
38 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 32–42 | 30–43 |
| 14–16 December 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
39 | 34–42 | 33–44 | 33–44 | 30–46 |
| 7–13 December 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–44 | 32–46 |
| 1–7 December 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
40 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 34–45 | 32–46 |
| 1–2 December 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
39 | 35–42 | 34–44 | 33–44 | 31–46 |
| 25–30 November 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
38 | 33–41 | 32–41 | 32–42 | 29–44 |
| 24–30 November 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
37 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–43 | 29–44 |
| 24–29 November 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
41 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 37–46 | 35–47 |
| 16–18 November 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
40 | 36–44 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 32–47 |
| 9–15 November 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
39 | 35–43 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 32–45 |
| 3–9 November 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
38 | 33–41 | 33–41 | 31–43 | 29–43 |
| 3–4 November 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
43 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 38–48 | 36–50 |
| 27 October–3 November 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
40 | 37–44 | 36–44 | 36–45 | 34–47 |
| 28–31 October 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
40 | 38–43 | 37–44 | 36–44 | 34–46 |
| 26–30 October 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
39 | 34–41 | 32–42 | 31–43 | 30–45 |
| 20–25 October 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
42 | 40–46 | 39–48 | 37–50 | 36–52 |
| 19–21 October 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
38 | 32–40 | 30–41 | 29–42 | 27–44 |
| 12–18 October 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
43 | 40–46 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 37–50 |
| 6–12 October 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
39 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| 6–7 October 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
39 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 32–44 | 31–45 |
| 29 September–4 October 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
40 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 33–47 |
| 28 September–2 October 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
32 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 27–39 | 25–40 |
| 28–30 September 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
41 | 39–44 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| 21–27 September 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
40 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–46 | 32–48 |
| 21–25 September 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
42 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 35–47 | 34–49 |
| 14–20 September 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
41 | 39–44 | 38–45 | 37–47 | 35–48 |
| 8–14 September 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
40 | 37–43 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 34–47 |
| 1–7 September 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
35 | 32–40 | 31–40 | 31–41 | 29–42 |
| 1–2 September 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
45 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 40–51 | 38–53 |
| 25 August–1 September 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 42–47 | 41–49 | 41–50 | 39–53 |
| 26–31 August 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
44 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 40–50 | 39–52 |
| 24–31 August 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
44 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 38–51 |
| 17–23 August 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
43 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–51 |
| 17–19 August 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
44 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 40–51 | 38–53 |
| 11–16 August 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
42 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–50 |
| 6–11 August 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 42–53 | 40–55 |
| 4–10 August 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
45 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–52 |
| 4–7 August 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
45 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–53 | 38–56 |
| 4–5 August 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
48 | 44–52 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 41–55 |
| 4 August 2020 | InFact Avisa Nordland, Bergensavisen, iFinnmark and Nidaros |
41 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| 29 July–3 August 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
44 | 40–48 | 40–50 | 39–51 | 37–54 |
| 7–8 July 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
49 | 45–54 | 44–56 | 43–57 | 41–58 |
| 24–30 June 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
39 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 32–44 | 30–46 |
| 22–24 June 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
46 | 43–51 | 41–51 | 40–52 | 40–53 |
| 15–21 June 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
45 | 42–49 | 41–51 | 40–52 | 40–54 |
| 9–13 June 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
44 | 40–49 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| 2–8 June 2020 | Opinion Perduco | 45 | 41–49 | 40–51 | 39–53 | 38–56 |
| 2–4 June 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
41 | 40–44 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 36–50 |
| 2–3 June 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
42 | 40–46 | 40–47 | 38–47 | 36–50 |
| 26 May–1 June 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
41 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 34–49 |
| 25–29 May 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
42 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
| 25–28 May 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–54 | 40–56 |
| 19–25 May 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
45 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 41–53 | 39–54 |
| 12–16 May 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| 5–10 May 2020 | Opinion Perduco | 48 | 45–53 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–58 |
| 5–6 May 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
45 | 41–49 | 40–51 | 40–52 | 39–54 |
| 30 April–5 May 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
49 | 45–53 | 44–55 | 43–55 | 42–58 |
| 27 April–4 May 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
45 | 42–49 | 42–50 | 41–50 | 40–52 |
| 27–29 April 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
49 | 45–52 | 43–53 | 43–54 | 41–56 |
| 20–26 April 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
45 | 41–49 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 38–52 |
| 20–22 April 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
44 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 39–51 | 37–54 |
| 14–20 April 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
44 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 40–50 | 39–51 |
| 31 March–5 April 2020 | Opinion Perduco | 48 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 41–54 |
| 26 March–1 April 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
48 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–55 | 42–57 |
| 31 March–1 April 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
42 | 40–45 | 38–46 | 38–47 | 36–48 |
| 25–31 March 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 41–48 | 40–50 | 40–52 | 37–55 |
| 23–29 March 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
47 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 | 40–56 |
| 16–23 March 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
49 | 44–53 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 41–56 |
| 18–20 March 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
44 | 41–48 | 40–50 | 39–51 | 38–54 |
| 10–16 March 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
44 | 42–48 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 |
| 3–9 March 2020 | Opinion Perduco | 44 | 40–46 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 37–50 |
| 3–4 March 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
45 | 43–49 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 40–54 |
| 27 February–2 March 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
44 | 42–47 | 42–49 | 41–49 | 40–51 |
| 24 February–2 March 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
43 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 36–51 |
| 24–28 February 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
40 | 36–44 | 35–44 | 34–44 | 33–46 |
| 17–23 February 2020 | Norstat Vårt Land |
43 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 36–51 |
| 17–19 February 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
47 | 43–52 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 41–56 |
| 11–17 February 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
44 | 42–46 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 38–50 |
| 4–10 February 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå and Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
45 | 42–47 | 42–49 | 42–49 | 40–52 |
| 4–5 February 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
42 | 39–43 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–46 |
| 30 January–3 February 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
45 | 43–47 | 42–48 | 41–50 | 40–51 |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
43 | 40–45 | 38–46 | 38–46 | 36–48 |
| 27–31 January 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 41–45 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 37–50 |
| 24–27 January 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
46 | 44–50 | 43–50 | 42–52 | 41–54 |
| 21–27 January 2020 | Norstat Vårt Land |
47 | 44–52 | 43–54 | 42–55 | 40–57 |
| 20–22 January 2020 | Ipsos MMI Dagbladet |
47 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–53 | 40–56 |
| 20–21 January 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
47 | 44–49 | 43–49 | 42–49 | 40–51 |
| 21 January 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
44 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–53 | 38–54 |
| 14–18 January 2020 | Sentio Amedia and Nettavisen |
44 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 42–50 | 40–53 |
| 15 January 2020 | Opinion Perduco Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå and Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse |
46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–53 |
| 6–10 January 2020 | Kantar TNS TV2 |
43 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 36–50 |
| 7–8 January 2020 | Norfakta Klassekampen and Nationen |
48 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–56 | 42–58 |
| 6 January 2020 | Respons Analyse VG |
44 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 39–48 | 37–50 |
| 30 December 2019–5 January 2020 | Norstat Aftenposten and NRK |
47 | 44–52 | 43–52 | 43–53 | 42–55 |
| 16–18 December 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 42 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 35–51 |
| 9–15 December 2019 | Norstat | 46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–54 |
| 3–8 December 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 42 | 39–44 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 35–47 |
| 3–4 December 2019 | Norfakta | 39 | 34–41 | 34–43 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| 26 November–2 December 2019 | Sentio | 43 | 39–46 | 39–47 | 39–48 | 37–50 |
| 28 November–2 December 2019 | Respons Analyse | 43 | 39–44 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–49 |
| 25–29 November 2019 | Kantar TNS | 42 | 39–44 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 34–46 |
| 19–25 November 2019 | Norstat | 41 | 38–45 | 36–45 | 36–46 | 35–49 |
| 18–20 November 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 40 | 38–44 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 32–46 |
| 12–18 November 2019 | Norstat | 42 | 38–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 | 34–50 |
| 5–11 November 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 40 | 37–43 | 35–44 | 34–44 | 32–45 |
| 5–6 November 2019 | Norfakta | 41 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 36–45 | 34–47 |
| 31 October–4 November 2019 | Respons Analyse | 42 | 39–44 | 38–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 |
| 29 October–2 November 2019 | Sentio | 42 | 39–44 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| 28 October–1 November 2019 | Kantar TNS | 41 | 39–45 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 34–48 |
| 22–28 October 2019 | Norstat | 43 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 38–47 | 36–51 |
| 21–23 October 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 42 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 37–45 | 34–47 |
| 15–21 October 2019 | Norstat | 39 | 37–44 | 36–44 | 35–44 | 33–45 |
| 8–14 October 2019 | Sentio | 45 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 40–50 | 39–52 |
| 1–7 October 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 40 | 38–44 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 33–46 |
| 30 September–4 October 2019 | Kantar TNS | 42 | 39–45 | 39–49 | 38–51 | 37–51 |
| 1–2 October 2019 | Norfakta | 44 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–50 |
| 24–30 September 2019 | Norstat | 44 | 42–46 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 38–52 |
| 23–25 September 2019 | Respons Analyse | 48 | 45–51 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–55 |
| 23–25 September 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 42 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 36–45 | 34–47 |
| 17–19 September 2019 | Norstat | 38 | 35–42 | 33–43 | 32–44 | 30–45 |
| 10–16 September 2019 | Sentio | 42 | 38–45 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| 3–4 September 2019 | Norfakta | 44 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–49 | 37–52 |
| 27 August–2 September 2019 | Norstat | 45 | 42–48 | 40–51 | 39–53 | 37–55 |
| 20–26 August 2019 | Norstat | 41 | 37–44 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 35–47 |
| 19–21 August 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 43 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–49 | 36–51 |
| 13–18 August 2019 | Sentio | 51 | 46–56 | 45–58 | 45–58 | 44–59 |
| 6–12 August 2019 | Norstat | 45 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 40–53 | 38–54 |
| 5–9 August 2019 | Kantar TNS | 44 | 40–49 | 38–51 | 37–51 | 35–53 |
| 6–7 August 2019 | Norfakta | 44 | 42–48 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 39–54 |
| 30 July–5 August 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 40 | 37–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 34–49 |
| 2–3 July 2019 | Norfakta | 45 | 42–50 | 41–52 | 41–53 | 39–55 |
| 24–28 June 2019 | Kantar TNS | 49 | 43–54 | 42–55 | 41–57 | 40–58 |
| 24–26 June 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 50 | 48–57 | 46–58 | 45–59 | 43–60 |
| 18–24 June 2019 | Norstat | 46 | 43–54 | 42–56 | 42–56 | 41–58 |
| 11–17 June 2019 | Sentio | 46 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| 4–10 June 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 43 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–48 | 36–51 |
| 3–6 June 2019 | Respons Analyse | 47 | 44–52 | 43–54 | 42–54 | 40–57 |
| 4–5 June 2019 | Norfakta | 45 | 42–48 | 42–49 | 40–51 | 39–53 |
| 28 May–3 June 2019 | Norstat | 44 | 42–48 | 40–49 | 40–50 | 38–52 |
| 27–29 May 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 49 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–56 | 41–58 |
| 21–27 May 2019 | Norstat | 43 | 40–47 | 40–49 | 39–51 | 38–53 |
| 14–18 May 2019 | Sentio | 42 | 39–45 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–48 |
| 7–13 May 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 48 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–56 |
| 7–8 May 2019 | Norfakta | 46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–54 |
| 30 April–6 May 2019 | Norstat | 49 | 45–52 | 44–53 | 43–55 | 42–56 |
| 29 April–3 May 2019 | Kantar TNS | 46 | 43–51 | 42–53 | 41–53 | 40–54 |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | Respons Analyse | 50 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–56 | 44–58 |
| 2 May 2019 | Norstat | 49 | 46–55 | 44–55 | 44–56 | 42–59 |
| 23–25 April 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 52 | 48–57 | 47–57 | 46–59 | 44–61 |
| 16 April 2019 | Sentio | 51 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–56 | 43–58 |
| 2–8 April 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 50 | 47–53 | 45–55 | 45–58 | 43–58 |
| 2–4 April 2019 | Respons Analyse | 45 | 44–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 41–55 |
| 2–3 April 2019 | Norfakta | 48 | 44–51 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 41–55 |
| 26 March–1 April 2019 | Norstat | 44 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 36–52 |
| 25–29 March 2019 | Kantar TNS | 44 | 41–46 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–51 |
| 27 March 2019 | Norstat | 49 | 44–53 | 43–55 | 42–56 | 40–57 |
| 18–20 March 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 53 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–58 | 45–60 |
| 12–18 March 2019 | Sentio | 50 | 46–55 | 45–55 | 44–57 | 43–58 |
| 5–11 March 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 45 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–51 | 40–53 |
| 5–6 March 2019 | Norfakta | 49 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–57 | 41–57 |
| 28 February–4 March 2019 | Respons Analyse | 44 | 41–47 | 40–49 | 39–49 | 38–51 |
| 26 February–4 March 2019 | Norstat | 46 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 41–55 | 40–57 |
| 25 February–1 March 2019 | Kantar TNS | 51 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 44–57 | 42–59 |
| 19–25 February 2019 | Norstat | 48 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–55 | 40–57 |
| 18–20 February 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 50 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 43–57 |
| 12–19 February 2019 | Sentio | 50 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–57 |
| 5–11 February 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 52 | 47–55 | 45–56 | 45–56 | 43–58 |
| 5–6 February 2019 | Norfakta | 54 | 50–58 | 49–59 | 47–61 | 45–63 |
| 31 January–4 February 2019 | Respons Analyse | 55 | 50–59 | 49–60 | 48–61 | 46–63 |
| 29 January–4 February 2019 | Norstat | 54 | 49–58 | 48–59 | 47–60 | 45–63 |
| 28 January–2 February 2019 | Kantar TNS | 48 | 44–53 | 43–54 | 42–54 | 41–56 |
| 22–28 January 2019 | Norstat | 54 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–60 | 44–62 |
| 21–23 January 2019 | Ipsos MMI | 56 | 51–59 | 51–61 | 49–61 | 48–63 |
| 15–21 January 2019 | Sentio | 48 | 43–53 | 43–54 | 42–55 | 40–59 |
| 8–14 January 2019 | Opinion Perduco | 52 | 48–56 | 46–58 | 46–59 | 43–61 |
| 3–10 January 2019 | Kantar TNS | 51 | 47–54 | 46–54 | 44–57 | 43–59 |
| 8–9 January 2019 | Norfakta | 51 | 48–55 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 44–59 |
| 3–7 January 2019 | Respons Analyse | 55 | 51–58 | 49–60 | 48–60 | 47–62 |
| 2–7 January 2019 | Norstat | 50 | 46–54 | 45–56 | 43–56 | 42–60 |
| 17–19 December 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 53 | 48–57 | 48–58 | 47–58 | 45–60 |
| 11–17 December 2018 | Norstat | 48 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 41–57 |
| 4–10 December 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 50 | 44–53 | 43–55 | 43–55 | 41–57 |
| 4–5 December 2018 | Norfakta | 53 | 48–57 | 47–59 | 46–59 | 44–61 |
| 28 November–4 December 2018 | Sentio | 55 | 50–59 | 48–60 | 47–61 | 45–63 |
| 29 November–4 December 2018 | Respons Analyse | 47 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–53 | 41–56 |
| 3 December 2018 | Kantar TNS | 51 | 47–53 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 42–57 |
| 20–25 November 2018 | Norstat | 55 | 51–59 | 50–60 | 49–61 | 48–63 |
| 19–21 November 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 60 | 54–61 | 54–62 | 52–62 | 51–66 |
| 13–19 November 2018 | Norstat | 53 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 46–62 |
| 6–12 November 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 51 | 49–56 | 46–56 | 44–57 | 43–59 |
| 5–7 November 2018 | Respons Analyse | 52 | 48–55 | 46–57 | 45–58 | 44–60 |
| 30 October–5 November 2018 | Sentio | 45 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–51 | 38–54 |
| 5 November 2018 | Norfakta | 53 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 46–59 | 45–61 |
| 24–30 October 2018 | Kantar TNS | 50 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–58 | 43–59 |
| 23–28 October 2018 | Norstat | 50 | 45–54 | 44–56 | 43–56 | 41–58 |
| 22–24 October 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 47 | 44–50 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 41–55 |
| 16–22 October 2018 | Norstat | 52 | 48–57 | 47–58 | 46–58 | 45–60 |
| 9–18 October 2018 | Sentio | 52 | 48–57 | 47–59 | 46–59 | 45–62 |
| 4–10 October 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 44 | 43–54 | 42–55 | 41–55 | 40–57 |
| 9–10 October 2018 | InFact | 44 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 40–50 | 38–52 |
| 1–3 October 2018 | Respons Analyse | 50 | 47–54 | 45–55 | 45–56 | 43–58 |
| 2–3 October 2018 | Norfakta | 52 | 48–54 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 44–59 |
| 24–29 September 2018 | Norstat | 49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–55 | 42–57 |
| 24–28 September 2018 | Kantar TNS | 49 | 44–52 | 44–53 | 43–55 | 42–57 |
| 24–26 September 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 52 | 49–55 | 48–55 | 48–57 | 46–60 |
| 18–24 September 2018 | Norstat | 47 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 43–54 | 41–55 |
| 11–17 September 2018 | Sentio | 50 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 44–58 | 42–60 |
| 6–10 September 2018 | Respons Analyse | 46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 42–52 | 40–54 |
| 4–10 September 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 51 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–58 | 43–60 |
| 6 September 2018 | Kantar TNS | 45 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–52 | 38–54 |
| 4–5 September 2018 | Norfakta | 44 | 41–48 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–51 |
| 28 August–2 September 2018 | Norstat | 48 | 44–52 | 43–54 | 42–55 | 40–58 |
| 20–26 August 2018 | Norstat | 45 | 41–49 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 38–52 |
| 20–25 August 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 53 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–60 | 45–61 |
| 14–20 August 2018 | Sentio | 47 | 42–50 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 39–56 |
| 16–20 August 2018 | Respons Analyse | 46 | 43–50 | 42–50 | 42–51 | 41–53 |
| 7–12 August 2018 | Norstat | 42 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 36–52 |
| 7–8 August 2018 | Norfakta | 51 | 47–55 | 45–55 | 45–56 | 43–58 |
| 1–7 August 2018 | Kantar TNS | 45 | 43–45 | 41–47 | 41–48 | 38–51 |
| 31 July–6 August 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 52 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 43–58 |
| 3–4 July 2018 | Norfakta | 43 | 40–46 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 37–51 |
| 25–27 June 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 41 | 38–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 35–47 |
| 19–25 June 2018 | Norstat | 40 | 37–42 | 36–43 | 35–43 | 32–45 |
| 12–16 June 2018 | Sentio | 45 | 42–49 | 41–51 | 40–51 | 39–54 |
| 5–11 June 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 43 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 37–52 |
| 5–6 June 2018 | Norfakta | 43 | 40–47 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 37–52 |
| 31 May–4 June 2018 | Respons Analyse | 41 | 38–43 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 34–48 |
| 27 May–4 June 2018 | Norstat | 40 | 39–44 | 39–45 | 39–47 | 38–49 |
| 28 May–1 June 2018 | Kantar TNS | 41 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 38–48 | 36–50 |
| 28–30 May 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 43 | 40–45 | 38–45 | 38–46 | 36–48 |
| 22–28 May 2018 | Norstat | 44 | 41–47 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 37–50 |
| 14–22 May 2018 | Sentio | 44 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–50 | 36–51 |
| 8–14 May 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 41 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 37–47 | 34–49 |
| 8–9 May 2018 | Norfakta | 45 | 42–49 | 41–49 | 40–51 | 39–54 |
| 3–7 May 2018 | Respons Analyse | 47 | 44–50 | 43–52 | 42–54 | 40–55 |
| 30 April–7 May 2018 | Norstat | 48 | 43–52 | 43–53 | 42–55 | 40–57 |
| 30 April–2 May 2018 | Kantar TNS | 43 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 38–48 | 36–50 |
| 26–30 April 2018 | Norstat | 44 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 40–50 | 38–52 |
| 23–25 April 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 42 | 40–45 | 39–47 | 37–47 | 37–49 |
| 17–23 April 2018 | Sentio | 43 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–49 | 36–52 |
| 10–16 April 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 43 | 39–45 | 39–47 | 38–49 | 36–51 |
| 5–9 April 2018 | Respons Analyse | 43 | 40–46 | 39–46 | 39–47 | 37–49 |
| 3–9 April 2018 | Norstat | 47 | 43–50 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 40–54 |
| 3–6 April 2018 | Kantar TNS | 44 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 39–49 | 37–51 |
| 3–4 April 2018 | Norfakta | 40 | 38–44 | 37–46 | 36–48 | 35–48 |
| 20–24 March 2018 | Norstat | 44 | 41–47 | 39–48 | 39–49 | 38–51 |
| 19–21 March 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 44 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 37–51 |
| 20 March 2018 | Kantar TNS | 42 | 37–47 | 37–48 | 36–49 | 33–51 |
| 13–19 March 2018 | Sentio | 43 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–49 | 34–50 |
| 15–16 March 2018 | Respons Analyse | 47 | 43–50 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 39–53 |
| 6–12 March 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 42 | 39–45 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 35–51 |
| 6–7 March 2018 | Norfakta | 41 | 37–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 34–49 |
| 1–5 March 2018 | Respons Analyse | 42 | 41–44 | 40–44 | 39–45 | 38–47 |
| 27 February–5 March 2018 | Norstat | 42 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 38–49 | 36–50 |
| 26 February–3 March 2018 | Kantar TNS | 43 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 36–49 |
| 20–25 February 2018 | Norstat | 45 | 42–48 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 38–53 |
| 19–21 February 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 46 | 44–50 | 43–51 | 42–53 | 41–54 |
| 13–19 February 2018 | Sentio | 42 | 38–45 | 37–47 | 36–48 | 36–50 |
| 6–12 February 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 39 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 31–46 |
| 5–7 February 2018 | Respons Analyse | 44 | 41–46 | 40–48 | 39–48 | 38–50 |
| 30 January–5 February 2018 | Norstat | 41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 |
| 29 January–5 February 2018 | Kantar TNS | 43 | 40–46 | 38–48 | 38–49 | 36–50 |
| 30–31 January 2018 | Norfakta | 43 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 36–52 |
| 23–28 January 2018 | Norstat | 42 | 39–45 | 37–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 |
| 22–24 January 2018 | Ipsos MMI | 45 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 42–53 | 40–54 |
| 16–21 January 2018 | Sentio | 39 | 38–47 | 37–47 | 36–48 | 36–50 |
| 9–15 January 2018 | Opinion Perduco | 38 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| 10–12 January 2018 | Respons Analyse | 42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–49 |
| 8–10 January 2018 | Respons Analyse | 44 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 35–49 |
| 3–9 January 2018 | Kantar TNS | 36 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 28–42 |
| 2–8 January 2018 | Norstat | 37 | 34–41 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–43 |
| 2–3 January 2018 | Norfakta | 43 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–52 |
| 18–20 December 2017 | Ipsos MMI | 47 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 41–54 |
| 12–18 December 2017 | Norstat | 48 | 44–52 | 42–52 | 42–53 | 41–55 |
| 5–11 December 2017 | Sentio | 47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 40–56 |
| 4–8 December 2017 | Kantar TNS | 47 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–54 | 40–56 |
| 5–6 December 2017 | Norfakta | 48 | 45–52 | 43–53 | 43–54 | 41–56 |
| 28 November–4 December 2017 | Opinion Perduco | 48 | 43–52 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 41–57 |
| 21–27 November 2017 | Norstat | 46 | 43–50 | 42–50 | 42–51 | 41–53 |
| 20–22 November 2017 | Ipsos MMI | 50 | 47–55 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 43–59 |
| 14–20 November 2017 | Norstat | 50 | 47–53 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–57 |
| 7–13 November 2017 | Sentio | 47 | 44–51 | 44–52 | 42–52 | 41–55 |
| 6–10 November 2017 | Kantar TNS | 46 | 42–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 39–54 |
| 7–8 November 2017 | Norfakta | 49 | 46–53 | 44–53 | 43–55 | 42–57 |
| 31 October–6 November 2017 | Opinion Perduco | 45 | 42–49 | 41–49 | 41–50 | 39–54 |
| 25–31 October 2017 | Norstat | 47 | 44–50 | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–54 |
| 23–25 October 2017 | Ipsos MMI | 51 | 47–55 | 46–56 | 45–57 | 43–59 |
| 17–23 October 2017 | Norstat | 48 | 45–52 | 43–53 | 43–55 | 41–56 |
| 10–16 October 2017 | Sentio | 45 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 39–54 |
| 3–9 October 2017 | Opinion Perduco | 46 | 42–50 | 42–51 | 41–53 | 40–54 |
| 2–6 October 2017 | Kantar TNS | 46 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–53 |
| 3–4 October 2017 | Norfakta | 47 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 42–53 | 40–55 |
| 27 September–1 October 2017 | Norstat | 49 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–54 | 42–56 |
| 25–27 September 2017 | Ipsos MMI | 47 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 41–55 |
| 19–25 September 2017 | Norstat | 45 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 40–53 |
| 12–18 September 2017 | Sentio | 48 | 44–52 | 43–53 | 42–54 | 40–56 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Arbeiderpartiet.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 6% | 96% | |
| 42 | 8% | 90% | |
| 43 | 11% | 83% | |
| 44 | 23% | 72% | Median |
| 45 | 14% | 49% | |
| 46 | 9% | 35% | |
| 47 | 6% | 26% | |
| 48 | 4% | 20% | |
| 49 | 4% | 16% | Last Result |
| 50 | 4% | 12% | |
| 51 | 2% | 8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |