Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS, 20 March 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
25.0% |
25.9% |
23.5–28.5% |
22.8–29.3% |
22.3–29.9% |
21.1–31.2% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.5% |
21.2–26.1% |
20.5–26.8% |
20.0–27.4% |
18.9–28.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
20.5% |
18.3–23.0% |
17.7–23.6% |
17.2–24.3% |
16.2–25.5% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
10.2% |
8.7–12.2% |
8.2–12.7% |
7.9–13.2% |
7.2–14.2% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
5.6% |
4.5–7.2% |
4.2–7.6% |
3.9–8.0% |
3.4–8.8% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
5.0% |
4.0–6.5% |
3.7–6.9% |
3.4–7.3% |
3.0–8.1% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
4.4% |
3.4–5.8% |
3.2–6.2% |
2.9–6.6% |
2.5–7.3% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
2.0% |
1.4–3.1% |
1.2–3.4% |
1.1–3.7% |
0.9–4.3% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
1.6% |
1.1–2.6% |
0.9–2.9% |
0.8–3.1% |
0.6–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
38 |
3% |
97% |
|
39 |
4% |
94% |
|
40 |
5% |
90% |
|
41 |
8% |
85% |
|
42 |
5% |
77% |
|
43 |
14% |
72% |
|
44 |
8% |
58% |
Median |
45 |
9% |
49% |
Last Result |
46 |
9% |
40% |
|
47 |
9% |
31% |
|
48 |
10% |
21% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
12% |
|
50 |
5% |
11% |
|
51 |
2% |
5% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
53 |
2% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
36 |
3% |
98% |
|
37 |
6% |
95% |
|
38 |
5% |
89% |
|
39 |
8% |
84% |
|
40 |
12% |
77% |
|
41 |
6% |
64% |
|
42 |
9% |
58% |
Median |
43 |
10% |
49% |
|
44 |
13% |
39% |
|
45 |
10% |
27% |
|
46 |
6% |
16% |
|
47 |
2% |
10% |
|
48 |
5% |
8% |
|
49 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
50 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
28 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
30 |
3% |
97% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
32 |
6% |
93% |
|
33 |
7% |
87% |
|
34 |
7% |
81% |
|
35 |
16% |
73% |
|
36 |
11% |
57% |
Median |
37 |
10% |
46% |
|
38 |
8% |
37% |
|
39 |
8% |
29% |
|
40 |
6% |
21% |
|
41 |
4% |
15% |
|
42 |
3% |
11% |
|
43 |
5% |
8% |
|
44 |
2% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
14 |
3% |
98% |
|
15 |
6% |
95% |
|
16 |
11% |
89% |
|
17 |
16% |
78% |
|
18 |
13% |
62% |
Median |
19 |
17% |
49% |
Last Result |
20 |
14% |
32% |
|
21 |
7% |
18% |
|
22 |
4% |
11% |
|
23 |
4% |
7% |
|
24 |
2% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
3 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
97% |
|
6 |
0% |
97% |
|
7 |
2% |
97% |
|
8 |
17% |
95% |
|
9 |
19% |
78% |
|
10 |
15% |
59% |
Median |
11 |
22% |
43% |
Last Result |
12 |
12% |
22% |
|
13 |
3% |
10% |
|
14 |
4% |
6% |
|
15 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
5% |
100% |
|
3 |
6% |
95% |
|
4 |
0% |
88% |
|
5 |
0% |
88% |
|
6 |
0% |
88% |
|
7 |
7% |
88% |
|
8 |
20% |
82% |
Last Result |
9 |
18% |
61% |
Median |
10 |
22% |
43% |
|
11 |
11% |
22% |
|
12 |
7% |
10% |
|
13 |
2% |
4% |
|
14 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
8% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
6% |
91% |
|
3 |
18% |
85% |
|
4 |
0% |
67% |
|
5 |
0% |
67% |
|
6 |
0% |
67% |
|
7 |
9% |
67% |
|
8 |
21% |
58% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
19% |
37% |
|
10 |
10% |
18% |
|
11 |
4% |
8% |
|
12 |
2% |
3% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
75% |
92% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
17% |
18% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
29% |
100% |
|
1 |
67% |
71% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
115 |
100% |
110–121 |
109–122 |
107–123 |
105–126 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
89 |
97 |
99.9% |
92–104 |
90–105 |
89–106 |
86–109 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
96 |
99.7% |
91–102 |
89–104 |
88–105 |
85–108 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
90 |
83% |
84–96 |
82–98 |
81–100 |
78–102 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
81 |
25% |
75–88 |
73–89 |
72–90 |
70–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
78 |
10% |
72–84 |
70–86 |
69–87 |
66–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
73 |
0.3% |
67–78 |
65–80 |
64–81 |
61–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
72 |
0.1% |
66–77 |
64–79 |
63–80 |
60–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
72 |
0.1% |
65–77 |
64–79 |
63–80 |
60–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
71 |
0% |
64–76 |
63–78 |
62–79 |
59–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
69 |
0% |
63–74 |
60–76 |
59–77 |
57–80 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
67 |
0% |
61–73 |
59–75 |
58–76 |
56–78 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
59 |
0% |
55–65 |
52–68 |
49–69 |
48–71 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
61 |
0% |
56–65 |
54–67 |
54–68 |
50–71 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
52 |
0% |
46–57 |
46–58 |
45–60 |
41–62 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
35 |
0% |
28–39 |
26–40 |
23–42 |
20–44 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
102 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
106 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
107 |
0.6% |
98% |
Last Result |
108 |
2% |
97% |
|
109 |
4% |
95% |
|
110 |
5% |
92% |
|
111 |
8% |
86% |
|
112 |
10% |
79% |
|
113 |
10% |
69% |
|
114 |
6% |
59% |
|
115 |
11% |
53% |
Median |
116 |
8% |
42% |
|
117 |
9% |
35% |
|
118 |
5% |
26% |
|
119 |
2% |
20% |
|
120 |
7% |
18% |
|
121 |
6% |
11% |
|
122 |
2% |
5% |
|
123 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
124 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
125 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
126 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
127 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
128 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
129 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
130 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
89 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
90 |
3% |
97% |
|
91 |
1.1% |
94% |
|
92 |
4% |
93% |
|
93 |
7% |
89% |
|
94 |
5% |
82% |
|
95 |
14% |
77% |
|
96 |
9% |
63% |
|
97 |
6% |
54% |
|
98 |
7% |
48% |
Median |
99 |
7% |
41% |
|
100 |
8% |
34% |
|
101 |
4% |
26% |
|
102 |
7% |
22% |
|
103 |
3% |
15% |
|
104 |
5% |
12% |
|
105 |
4% |
7% |
|
106 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
107 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
109 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
87 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
98% |
Last Result |
89 |
3% |
97% |
|
90 |
2% |
94% |
|
91 |
4% |
93% |
|
92 |
7% |
88% |
|
93 |
6% |
81% |
|
94 |
14% |
75% |
|
95 |
8% |
62% |
|
96 |
6% |
54% |
|
97 |
8% |
48% |
Median |
98 |
6% |
39% |
|
99 |
9% |
34% |
|
100 |
3% |
24% |
|
101 |
7% |
22% |
|
102 |
6% |
15% |
|
103 |
3% |
9% |
|
104 |
3% |
7% |
|
105 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
106 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
108 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
109 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
82 |
2% |
97% |
|
83 |
4% |
95% |
|
84 |
8% |
91% |
|
85 |
5% |
83% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
78% |
|
87 |
4% |
71% |
|
88 |
6% |
66% |
|
89 |
8% |
61% |
Median |
90 |
9% |
53% |
|
91 |
8% |
43% |
|
92 |
8% |
35% |
|
93 |
2% |
27% |
|
94 |
5% |
25% |
|
95 |
8% |
20% |
|
96 |
3% |
12% |
|
97 |
2% |
9% |
|
98 |
3% |
7% |
|
99 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
100 |
2% |
3% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
98% |
Last Result |
73 |
3% |
97% |
|
74 |
3% |
94% |
|
75 |
5% |
91% |
|
76 |
8% |
86% |
|
77 |
4% |
78% |
|
78 |
4% |
74% |
|
79 |
9% |
71% |
|
80 |
10% |
62% |
Median |
81 |
8% |
51% |
|
82 |
4% |
43% |
|
83 |
6% |
39% |
|
84 |
7% |
32% |
|
85 |
4% |
25% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
21% |
|
87 |
2% |
14% |
|
88 |
5% |
11% |
|
89 |
2% |
6% |
|
90 |
2% |
5% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
69 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
70 |
2% |
97% |
|
71 |
4% |
95% |
|
72 |
2% |
91% |
|
73 |
6% |
89% |
|
74 |
7% |
83% |
|
75 |
2% |
76% |
|
76 |
4% |
73% |
|
77 |
8% |
69% |
|
78 |
13% |
61% |
|
79 |
7% |
48% |
Median |
80 |
7% |
41% |
|
81 |
4% |
34% |
|
82 |
8% |
30% |
|
83 |
5% |
22% |
|
84 |
7% |
17% |
|
85 |
3% |
10% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
7% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
2% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
65 |
3% |
97% |
|
66 |
3% |
93% |
|
67 |
6% |
91% |
|
68 |
7% |
85% |
|
69 |
3% |
78% |
|
70 |
9% |
76% |
|
71 |
6% |
66% |
|
72 |
8% |
61% |
Median |
73 |
6% |
52% |
|
74 |
8% |
46% |
|
75 |
14% |
38% |
|
76 |
6% |
25% |
|
77 |
7% |
19% |
|
78 |
4% |
12% |
|
79 |
2% |
7% |
|
80 |
3% |
6% |
|
81 |
1.2% |
3% |
Last Result |
82 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
98.5% |
|
63 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
64 |
2% |
97% |
|
65 |
4% |
95% |
|
66 |
4% |
91% |
|
67 |
5% |
87% |
|
68 |
6% |
82% |
|
69 |
8% |
76% |
|
70 |
6% |
68% |
|
71 |
8% |
62% |
Median |
72 |
8% |
54% |
|
73 |
5% |
46% |
|
74 |
12% |
41% |
|
75 |
9% |
29% |
|
76 |
7% |
20% |
|
77 |
5% |
13% |
|
78 |
3% |
9% |
|
79 |
2% |
6% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
4% |
Last Result |
81 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
64 |
4% |
96% |
|
65 |
5% |
93% |
|
66 |
3% |
88% |
|
67 |
7% |
85% |
|
68 |
4% |
78% |
|
69 |
8% |
74% |
|
70 |
7% |
66% |
|
71 |
7% |
59% |
Median |
72 |
6% |
52% |
|
73 |
9% |
46% |
|
74 |
14% |
37% |
|
75 |
5% |
23% |
|
76 |
7% |
18% |
|
77 |
4% |
11% |
|
78 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
79 |
3% |
6% |
|
80 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
62 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
63 |
2% |
96% |
|
64 |
7% |
95% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
88% |
|
66 |
5% |
87% |
|
67 |
7% |
82% |
|
68 |
8% |
75% |
|
69 |
7% |
67% |
|
70 |
8% |
61% |
Median |
71 |
7% |
53% |
|
72 |
7% |
46% |
|
73 |
13% |
39% |
|
74 |
7% |
26% |
|
75 |
7% |
19% |
|
76 |
4% |
12% |
|
77 |
2% |
8% |
|
78 |
3% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
60 |
3% |
97% |
|
61 |
2% |
94% |
|
62 |
1.4% |
92% |
|
63 |
7% |
91% |
|
64 |
2% |
84% |
|
65 |
4% |
81% |
|
66 |
12% |
77% |
|
67 |
7% |
65% |
|
68 |
8% |
59% |
|
69 |
11% |
50% |
Median |
70 |
4% |
40% |
|
71 |
7% |
35% |
|
72 |
8% |
28% |
|
73 |
8% |
20% |
|
74 |
4% |
13% |
|
75 |
2% |
9% |
|
76 |
3% |
7% |
|
77 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
59 |
3% |
97% |
|
60 |
2% |
94% |
|
61 |
4% |
92% |
|
62 |
4% |
88% |
|
63 |
3% |
83% |
|
64 |
3% |
81% |
|
65 |
13% |
78% |
|
66 |
7% |
65% |
|
67 |
10% |
58% |
|
68 |
11% |
48% |
Median |
69 |
3% |
38% |
|
70 |
8% |
35% |
|
71 |
9% |
27% |
|
72 |
5% |
17% |
|
73 |
4% |
12% |
|
74 |
2% |
8% |
|
75 |
3% |
7% |
|
76 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
77 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
52 |
2% |
97% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
54 |
2% |
93% |
|
55 |
7% |
92% |
|
56 |
6% |
85% |
|
57 |
11% |
79% |
|
58 |
9% |
68% |
|
59 |
12% |
60% |
|
60 |
7% |
48% |
|
61 |
3% |
41% |
Last Result, Median |
62 |
5% |
38% |
|
63 |
8% |
33% |
|
64 |
10% |
25% |
|
65 |
6% |
16% |
|
66 |
3% |
10% |
|
67 |
2% |
7% |
|
68 |
2% |
5% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
54 |
5% |
98% |
|
55 |
2% |
93% |
|
56 |
5% |
90% |
|
57 |
12% |
85% |
|
58 |
6% |
73% |
|
59 |
8% |
67% |
|
60 |
5% |
59% |
Median |
61 |
8% |
55% |
|
62 |
12% |
47% |
|
63 |
8% |
35% |
|
64 |
10% |
26% |
|
65 |
8% |
17% |
|
66 |
2% |
9% |
|
67 |
3% |
7% |
|
68 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
69 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
45 |
3% |
98% |
|
46 |
5% |
95% |
|
47 |
5% |
90% |
|
48 |
5% |
84% |
|
49 |
4% |
80% |
|
50 |
8% |
75% |
|
51 |
11% |
67% |
|
52 |
9% |
56% |
Median |
53 |
5% |
47% |
|
54 |
9% |
42% |
|
55 |
11% |
33% |
|
56 |
8% |
22% |
|
57 |
5% |
14% |
|
58 |
6% |
10% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
3% |
Last Result |
61 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
25 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
26 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
27 |
3% |
95% |
|
28 |
3% |
92% |
|
29 |
5% |
88% |
|
30 |
6% |
84% |
|
31 |
8% |
77% |
|
32 |
3% |
69% |
|
33 |
7% |
65% |
|
34 |
8% |
58% |
|
35 |
9% |
50% |
Last Result, Median |
36 |
13% |
41% |
|
37 |
7% |
28% |
|
38 |
8% |
21% |
|
39 |
4% |
13% |
|
40 |
4% |
9% |
|
41 |
2% |
4% |
|
42 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 20 March 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 498
- Simulations done: 524,288
- Error estimate: 2.09%