Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco, 31 July–6 August 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
28.3% |
26.2–30.6% |
25.5–31.2% |
25.0–31.8% |
24.0–32.9% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
23.6% |
21.6–25.8% |
21.1–26.4% |
20.6–26.9% |
19.7–28.0% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
12.7% |
11.2–14.4% |
10.8–15.0% |
10.4–15.4% |
9.7–16.3% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
11.2% |
9.8–12.9% |
9.4–13.4% |
9.1–13.8% |
8.4–14.7% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
6.6% |
5.5–7.9% |
5.2–8.3% |
4.9–8.7% |
4.5–9.4% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
5.8% |
4.8–7.1% |
4.5–7.5% |
4.3–7.8% |
3.9–8.5% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
4.2% |
3.4–5.4% |
3.2–5.7% |
3.0–6.0% |
2.6–6.6% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.1% |
3.3–5.2% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.8–5.8% |
2.5–6.4% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
2.3% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.8% |
1.2–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
45 |
2% |
98% |
|
46 |
3% |
96% |
|
47 |
11% |
93% |
|
48 |
6% |
82% |
|
49 |
6% |
76% |
Last Result |
50 |
9% |
70% |
|
51 |
7% |
61% |
|
52 |
11% |
54% |
Median |
53 |
10% |
42% |
|
54 |
18% |
32% |
|
55 |
7% |
15% |
|
56 |
5% |
8% |
|
57 |
2% |
3% |
|
58 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
37 |
2% |
97% |
|
38 |
7% |
95% |
|
39 |
12% |
88% |
|
40 |
7% |
75% |
|
41 |
14% |
68% |
|
42 |
12% |
54% |
Median |
43 |
9% |
42% |
|
44 |
10% |
33% |
|
45 |
7% |
23% |
Last Result |
46 |
9% |
17% |
|
47 |
4% |
8% |
|
48 |
2% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
18 |
2% |
98% |
|
19 |
13% |
96% |
|
20 |
18% |
83% |
|
21 |
12% |
64% |
|
22 |
11% |
53% |
Median |
23 |
8% |
41% |
|
24 |
10% |
33% |
|
25 |
14% |
24% |
|
26 |
5% |
10% |
|
27 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
28 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
16 |
3% |
98% |
|
17 |
9% |
95% |
|
18 |
13% |
86% |
|
19 |
30% |
72% |
Last Result, Median |
20 |
14% |
43% |
|
21 |
13% |
29% |
|
22 |
10% |
16% |
|
23 |
3% |
6% |
|
24 |
2% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
11% |
98% |
|
10 |
16% |
87% |
|
11 |
25% |
71% |
Last Result, Median |
12 |
16% |
45% |
|
13 |
15% |
30% |
|
14 |
11% |
15% |
|
15 |
3% |
4% |
|
16 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.0% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
8 |
8% |
96% |
|
9 |
23% |
88% |
|
10 |
25% |
65% |
Median |
11 |
24% |
40% |
|
12 |
10% |
16% |
|
13 |
4% |
6% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
9% |
93% |
|
3 |
28% |
84% |
|
4 |
0% |
57% |
|
5 |
0% |
57% |
|
6 |
0% |
57% |
|
7 |
10% |
57% |
Median |
8 |
27% |
47% |
Last Result |
9 |
14% |
19% |
|
10 |
4% |
6% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
6% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
36% |
94% |
|
3 |
3% |
58% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
55% |
|
5 |
0% |
55% |
|
6 |
0% |
55% |
|
7 |
13% |
55% |
Median |
8 |
23% |
42% |
|
9 |
14% |
19% |
|
10 |
4% |
5% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
|
1 |
40% |
84% |
Median |
2 |
43% |
44% |
|
3 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
98 |
99.9% |
93–103 |
91–105 |
90–105 |
87–108 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
93 |
99.1% |
88–99 |
87–100 |
86–101 |
83–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
92 |
96% |
86–99 |
85–100 |
84–101 |
81–102 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
91 |
94% |
86–95 |
84–97 |
83–98 |
81–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
88 |
74% |
83–93 |
81–95 |
80–96 |
77–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
83 |
35% |
76–88 |
75–89 |
74–91 |
72–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
81 |
28% |
77–88 |
75–90 |
74–90 |
71–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
78 |
6% |
74–83 |
72–85 |
71–86 |
68–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
77 |
4% |
71–82 |
69–83 |
68–85 |
66–87 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre |
89 |
77 |
4% |
70–83 |
69–84 |
68–85 |
67–88 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
71 |
0.1% |
66–76 |
64–78 |
64–79 |
61–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
71 |
0% |
66–76 |
64–77 |
63–78 |
60–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
65 |
0% |
61–71 |
60–72 |
59–73 |
56–75 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
64 |
0% |
60–69 |
58–71 |
57–71 |
54–74 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
63 |
0% |
58–68 |
57–69 |
56–69 |
54–70 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
49 |
0% |
44–55 |
43–55 |
42–57 |
40–59 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
27 |
0% |
23–30 |
21–31 |
21–33 |
19–36 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
90 |
2% |
98% |
|
91 |
2% |
96% |
|
92 |
3% |
94% |
|
93 |
6% |
91% |
|
94 |
10% |
86% |
|
95 |
8% |
76% |
|
96 |
5% |
68% |
|
97 |
11% |
63% |
|
98 |
9% |
51% |
|
99 |
8% |
42% |
Median |
100 |
5% |
35% |
|
101 |
12% |
30% |
|
102 |
5% |
18% |
|
103 |
3% |
13% |
|
104 |
3% |
10% |
|
105 |
5% |
7% |
|
106 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
107 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98% |
|
87 |
4% |
96% |
|
88 |
3% |
92% |
Last Result |
89 |
6% |
89% |
|
90 |
4% |
82% |
|
91 |
6% |
79% |
|
92 |
17% |
73% |
|
93 |
8% |
55% |
|
94 |
9% |
47% |
|
95 |
9% |
38% |
|
96 |
5% |
29% |
Median |
97 |
8% |
24% |
|
98 |
4% |
16% |
|
99 |
4% |
12% |
|
100 |
5% |
8% |
|
101 |
2% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
104 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
84 |
2% |
98% |
|
85 |
3% |
96% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
93% |
|
87 |
8% |
89% |
|
88 |
4% |
81% |
|
89 |
5% |
77% |
|
90 |
5% |
72% |
|
91 |
9% |
67% |
|
92 |
10% |
58% |
Median |
93 |
5% |
48% |
|
94 |
6% |
43% |
|
95 |
11% |
36% |
|
96 |
6% |
26% |
|
97 |
5% |
19% |
|
98 |
4% |
15% |
|
99 |
6% |
11% |
|
100 |
2% |
5% |
|
101 |
2% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
83 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
84 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
85 |
2% |
94% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
92% |
|
87 |
10% |
89% |
|
88 |
7% |
78% |
|
89 |
12% |
71% |
|
90 |
8% |
60% |
|
91 |
8% |
52% |
Median |
92 |
13% |
44% |
|
93 |
6% |
31% |
|
94 |
10% |
25% |
|
95 |
6% |
15% |
|
96 |
3% |
9% |
|
97 |
2% |
6% |
|
98 |
2% |
4% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
101 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
98% |
Last Result |
81 |
3% |
96% |
|
82 |
3% |
94% |
|
83 |
4% |
91% |
|
84 |
13% |
87% |
|
85 |
6% |
74% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
68% |
|
87 |
12% |
62% |
|
88 |
8% |
50% |
|
89 |
10% |
42% |
Median |
90 |
9% |
32% |
|
91 |
4% |
23% |
|
92 |
6% |
19% |
|
93 |
3% |
13% |
|
94 |
3% |
10% |
|
95 |
3% |
7% |
|
96 |
3% |
4% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
74 |
2% |
98% |
|
75 |
3% |
97% |
|
76 |
4% |
94% |
|
77 |
9% |
90% |
|
78 |
4% |
81% |
|
79 |
4% |
77% |
Last Result |
80 |
9% |
73% |
|
81 |
8% |
64% |
|
82 |
5% |
56% |
Median |
83 |
9% |
51% |
|
84 |
7% |
42% |
|
85 |
10% |
35% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
25% |
|
87 |
4% |
20% |
|
88 |
10% |
16% |
|
89 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
90 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
91 |
3% |
3% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
73 |
1.5% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
2% |
98% |
|
75 |
1.5% |
95% |
|
76 |
4% |
94% |
|
77 |
5% |
90% |
Last Result |
78 |
5% |
85% |
|
79 |
8% |
80% |
|
80 |
10% |
72% |
|
81 |
14% |
63% |
|
82 |
6% |
49% |
|
83 |
10% |
43% |
|
84 |
5% |
33% |
|
85 |
6% |
28% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
5% |
21% |
|
87 |
3% |
16% |
|
88 |
5% |
13% |
|
89 |
2% |
8% |
|
90 |
4% |
6% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
71 |
2% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
96% |
|
73 |
3% |
94% |
|
74 |
6% |
91% |
|
75 |
10% |
85% |
|
76 |
6% |
75% |
|
77 |
13% |
69% |
|
78 |
8% |
56% |
|
79 |
8% |
48% |
|
80 |
12% |
40% |
Median |
81 |
7% |
29% |
|
82 |
10% |
22% |
|
83 |
3% |
11% |
|
84 |
2% |
8% |
|
85 |
1.4% |
6% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
4% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
68 |
3% |
98.5% |
|
69 |
3% |
96% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
71 |
3% |
92% |
|
72 |
10% |
89% |
|
73 |
4% |
79% |
|
74 |
10% |
75% |
|
75 |
4% |
65% |
|
76 |
8% |
61% |
Last Result |
77 |
11% |
54% |
|
78 |
7% |
43% |
Median |
79 |
7% |
36% |
|
80 |
9% |
28% |
|
81 |
9% |
20% |
|
82 |
4% |
11% |
|
83 |
3% |
7% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
85 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
69 |
2% |
97% |
|
70 |
6% |
95% |
|
71 |
4% |
89% |
|
72 |
5% |
85% |
|
73 |
6% |
81% |
|
74 |
11% |
74% |
|
75 |
6% |
64% |
|
76 |
5% |
57% |
|
77 |
10% |
52% |
|
78 |
9% |
42% |
|
79 |
5% |
33% |
Median |
80 |
5% |
28% |
|
81 |
4% |
23% |
|
82 |
8% |
19% |
|
83 |
5% |
11% |
|
84 |
3% |
7% |
|
85 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
64 |
5% |
98% |
|
65 |
3% |
93% |
|
66 |
3% |
90% |
|
67 |
5% |
87% |
|
68 |
12% |
82% |
|
69 |
5% |
70% |
|
70 |
8% |
65% |
|
71 |
9% |
58% |
|
72 |
11% |
49% |
Median |
73 |
5% |
37% |
|
74 |
8% |
32% |
|
75 |
10% |
24% |
|
76 |
6% |
14% |
|
77 |
3% |
9% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
63 |
2% |
98% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
65 |
3% |
94% |
|
66 |
11% |
91% |
|
67 |
5% |
80% |
|
68 |
3% |
75% |
Last Result |
69 |
10% |
72% |
|
70 |
7% |
62% |
|
71 |
11% |
55% |
Median |
72 |
5% |
44% |
|
73 |
9% |
38% |
|
74 |
12% |
29% |
|
75 |
4% |
17% |
|
76 |
4% |
13% |
|
77 |
4% |
9% |
|
78 |
3% |
5% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
98.5% |
|
59 |
2% |
98% |
|
60 |
6% |
96% |
|
61 |
8% |
90% |
|
62 |
5% |
82% |
|
63 |
7% |
78% |
|
64 |
9% |
70% |
|
65 |
15% |
61% |
Median |
66 |
7% |
46% |
|
67 |
10% |
39% |
|
68 |
8% |
30% |
|
69 |
6% |
22% |
|
70 |
5% |
15% |
|
71 |
4% |
10% |
|
72 |
3% |
7% |
|
73 |
2% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
57 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
58 |
4% |
97% |
|
59 |
3% |
93% |
|
60 |
10% |
90% |
|
61 |
6% |
80% |
|
62 |
7% |
74% |
|
63 |
9% |
67% |
|
64 |
16% |
58% |
Median |
65 |
6% |
42% |
|
66 |
11% |
37% |
|
67 |
7% |
26% |
|
68 |
5% |
19% |
|
69 |
5% |
14% |
|
70 |
4% |
9% |
|
71 |
4% |
6% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
2% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
56 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
57 |
4% |
97% |
|
58 |
9% |
93% |
|
59 |
9% |
84% |
|
60 |
6% |
75% |
Last Result |
61 |
9% |
69% |
|
62 |
6% |
60% |
|
63 |
7% |
54% |
Median |
64 |
10% |
48% |
|
65 |
8% |
37% |
|
66 |
9% |
29% |
|
67 |
8% |
20% |
|
68 |
5% |
12% |
|
69 |
6% |
7% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
42 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
43 |
4% |
96% |
|
44 |
5% |
93% |
|
45 |
8% |
88% |
|
46 |
7% |
80% |
|
47 |
7% |
73% |
|
48 |
8% |
66% |
|
49 |
9% |
58% |
|
50 |
12% |
49% |
Median |
51 |
12% |
37% |
|
52 |
6% |
25% |
|
53 |
4% |
19% |
|
54 |
3% |
14% |
|
55 |
8% |
12% |
|
56 |
2% |
4% |
|
57 |
2% |
3% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
21 |
4% |
98% |
|
22 |
4% |
94% |
|
23 |
8% |
90% |
|
24 |
10% |
83% |
|
25 |
7% |
73% |
|
26 |
13% |
66% |
|
27 |
8% |
53% |
Median |
28 |
17% |
44% |
|
29 |
16% |
28% |
|
30 |
3% |
11% |
|
31 |
4% |
8% |
|
32 |
2% |
5% |
|
33 |
2% |
3% |
|
34 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
36 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 31 July–6 August 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 686
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.91%