Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse, 1–3 October 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 27.7% | 25.9–29.6% | 25.4–30.1% | 25.0–30.6% | 24.2–31.5% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 25.5% | 23.8–27.3% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.9–28.3% | 22.1–29.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.4–16.7% | 11.7–17.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 50 | 47–54 | 45–55 | 45–56 | 43–58 |
| Høyre | 45 | 46 | 42–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 | 40–53 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 27 | 23–29 | 23–30 | 22–30 | 21–32 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 18 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 14–21 | 14–23 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–16 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 9 | 3–10 | 3–11 | 3–11 | 2–12 |
| Venstre | 8 | 3 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Rødt | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–9 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 | 0–8 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 4% | 95% | |
| 47 | 9% | 91% | |
| 48 | 7% | 82% | |
| 49 | 19% | 75% | Last Result |
| 50 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 51 | 12% | 46% | |
| 52 | 16% | 33% | |
| 53 | 7% | 18% | |
| 54 | 3% | 10% | |
| 55 | 4% | 7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 9% | 95% | |
| 43 | 4% | 87% | |
| 44 | 13% | 82% | |
| 45 | 12% | 69% | Last Result |
| 46 | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 47 | 12% | 40% | |
| 48 | 7% | 27% | |
| 49 | 7% | 20% | |
| 50 | 8% | 13% | |
| 51 | 2% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 23 | 8% | 97% | |
| 24 | 6% | 90% | |
| 25 | 14% | 84% | |
| 26 | 16% | 70% | |
| 27 | 13% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 28 | 16% | 41% | |
| 29 | 20% | 25% | |
| 30 | 3% | 5% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 6% | 97% | |
| 16 | 18% | 91% | |
| 17 | 22% | 73% | |
| 18 | 23% | 51% | Median |
| 19 | 14% | 28% | Last Result |
| 20 | 8% | 13% | |
| 21 | 4% | 6% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 4% | 97% | |
| 11 | 28% | 92% | Last Result |
| 12 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 13 | 30% | 48% | |
| 14 | 12% | 19% | |
| 15 | 5% | 7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 87% | |
| 5 | 0% | 87% | |
| 6 | 0% | 87% | |
| 7 | 4% | 87% | |
| 8 | 31% | 83% | Last Result |
| 9 | 29% | 52% | Median |
| 10 | 15% | 23% | |
| 11 | 6% | 8% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 49% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 8% | 51% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 43% | |
| 5 | 0% | 43% | |
| 6 | 0% | 43% | |
| 7 | 14% | 43% | |
| 8 | 18% | 29% | Last Result |
| 9 | 9% | 11% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 57% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0% | 7% | |
| 7 | 5% | 7% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 60% | 96% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 32% | 36% | |
| 3 | 2% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 103 | 100% | 99–108 | 98–109 | 96–110 | 94–111 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 88 | 90 | 92% | 85–93 | 83–94 | 83–96 | 81–98 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 89 | 87 | 79% | 82–91 | 82–93 | 80–94 | 78–95 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 85 | 64% | 81–90 | 80–91 | 78–93 | 76–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 84 | 36% | 79–88 | 78–89 | 76–91 | 75–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 82 | 21% | 78–87 | 76–87 | 75–89 | 74–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 82 | 13% | 78–85 | 76–87 | 74–88 | 73–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 80 | 9% | 76–84 | 74–85 | 73–87 | 72–89 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 77 | 3% | 73–82 | 72–84 | 71–85 | 68–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 77 | 78 | 1.3% | 73–81 | 72–83 | 71–84 | 68–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 76 | 0.5% | 71–80 | 71–81 | 69–82 | 67–84 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 73 | 0% | 68–77 | 66–78 | 66–79 | 64–81 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 68 | 0% | 64–72 | 63–73 | 62–74 | 60–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 63 | 0% | 58–66 | 57–67 | 56–68 | 55–71 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 59 | 0% | 55–64 | 54–65 | 52–66 | 50–67 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 30 | 0% | 26–35 | 24–37 | 22–37 | 21–39 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 96 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 97 | 2% | 97% | |
| 98 | 2% | 95% | |
| 99 | 4% | 93% | |
| 100 | 8% | 89% | |
| 101 | 8% | 81% | |
| 102 | 12% | 73% | |
| 103 | 24% | 61% | Median |
| 104 | 7% | 36% | |
| 105 | 7% | 30% | |
| 106 | 6% | 23% | |
| 107 | 6% | 16% | Last Result |
| 108 | 3% | 10% | |
| 109 | 4% | 7% | |
| 110 | 2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 83 | 3% | 98% | |
| 84 | 3% | 95% | |
| 85 | 3% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 89% | |
| 87 | 8% | 84% | |
| 88 | 7% | 76% | Last Result |
| 89 | 10% | 69% | |
| 90 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 91 | 14% | 42% | |
| 92 | 12% | 27% | |
| 93 | 7% | 15% | |
| 94 | 4% | 9% | |
| 95 | 2% | 5% | |
| 96 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 82 | 6% | 95% | |
| 83 | 5% | 89% | |
| 84 | 5% | 84% | |
| 85 | 7% | 79% | Majority |
| 86 | 15% | 72% | Median |
| 87 | 16% | 57% | |
| 88 | 11% | 41% | |
| 89 | 9% | 30% | Last Result |
| 90 | 7% | 21% | |
| 91 | 6% | 14% | |
| 92 | 3% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 6% | |
| 94 | 3% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 2% | 95% | |
| 81 | 5% | 93% | |
| 82 | 5% | 88% | |
| 83 | 6% | 82% | |
| 84 | 12% | 76% | |
| 85 | 15% | 64% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 16% | 49% | |
| 87 | 8% | 34% | |
| 88 | 6% | 26% | Last Result |
| 89 | 7% | 20% | |
| 90 | 5% | 12% | |
| 91 | 2% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 2% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 2% | 95% | |
| 79 | 5% | 93% | |
| 80 | 7% | 88% | |
| 81 | 6% | 80% | Last Result |
| 82 | 8% | 74% | |
| 83 | 16% | 66% | Median |
| 84 | 15% | 51% | |
| 85 | 12% | 36% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 24% | |
| 87 | 5% | 18% | |
| 88 | 5% | 12% | |
| 89 | 2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 3% | 94% | |
| 78 | 6% | 92% | |
| 79 | 7% | 86% | |
| 80 | 9% | 79% | Last Result |
| 81 | 11% | 70% | |
| 82 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 83 | 15% | 43% | |
| 84 | 7% | 28% | |
| 85 | 5% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 16% | |
| 87 | 6% | 11% | |
| 88 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 89 | 2% | 4% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 2% | 97% | |
| 76 | 3% | 96% | |
| 77 | 3% | 93% | |
| 78 | 7% | 90% | |
| 79 | 7% | 83% | |
| 80 | 8% | 76% | Last Result |
| 81 | 17% | 68% | Median |
| 82 | 18% | 52% | |
| 83 | 11% | 34% | |
| 84 | 9% | 23% | |
| 85 | 4% | 13% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 9% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 2% | 97% | |
| 75 | 3% | 95% | |
| 76 | 4% | 92% | |
| 77 | 7% | 89% | |
| 78 | 8% | 81% | |
| 79 | 10% | 73% | Last Result |
| 80 | 23% | 63% | Median |
| 81 | 11% | 39% | |
| 82 | 11% | 29% | |
| 83 | 5% | 17% | |
| 84 | 4% | 12% | |
| 85 | 4% | 9% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 97% | |
| 73 | 6% | 94% | |
| 74 | 6% | 88% | |
| 75 | 9% | 83% | |
| 76 | 16% | 73% | Median |
| 77 | 16% | 57% | |
| 78 | 8% | 41% | |
| 79 | 8% | 33% | |
| 80 | 7% | 25% | Last Result |
| 81 | 8% | 18% | |
| 82 | 2% | 10% | |
| 83 | 2% | 8% | |
| 84 | 3% | 5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 72 | 4% | 96% | |
| 73 | 7% | 93% | |
| 74 | 5% | 86% | |
| 75 | 7% | 81% | |
| 76 | 9% | 74% | |
| 77 | 14% | 64% | Last Result |
| 78 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 79 | 16% | 40% | |
| 80 | 10% | 23% | |
| 81 | 5% | 14% | |
| 82 | 3% | 9% | |
| 83 | 3% | 6% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 6% | 96% | |
| 72 | 5% | 90% | |
| 73 | 7% | 85% | |
| 74 | 8% | 78% | |
| 75 | 13% | 70% | |
| 76 | 13% | 58% | Last Result |
| 77 | 13% | 45% | Median |
| 78 | 13% | 32% | |
| 79 | 6% | 19% | |
| 80 | 5% | 12% | |
| 81 | 2% | 7% | |
| 82 | 3% | 5% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 5% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 94% | |
| 68 | 6% | 91% | |
| 69 | 6% | 86% | |
| 70 | 9% | 80% | |
| 71 | 7% | 72% | |
| 72 | 7% | 65% | Last Result |
| 73 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 74 | 9% | 44% | |
| 75 | 14% | 34% | |
| 76 | 8% | 21% | |
| 77 | 4% | 13% | |
| 78 | 5% | 9% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 95% | |
| 64 | 7% | 93% | |
| 65 | 9% | 86% | |
| 66 | 9% | 77% | |
| 67 | 15% | 68% | |
| 68 | 14% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 69 | 16% | 40% | |
| 70 | 7% | 23% | |
| 71 | 5% | 16% | |
| 72 | 4% | 11% | |
| 73 | 3% | 7% | |
| 74 | 3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 96% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | |
| 59 | 5% | 90% | |
| 60 | 9% | 85% | Last Result |
| 61 | 8% | 76% | |
| 62 | 16% | 68% | Median |
| 63 | 15% | 51% | |
| 64 | 15% | 36% | |
| 65 | 10% | 22% | |
| 66 | 5% | 12% | |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 97% | |
| 54 | 3% | 95% | |
| 55 | 9% | 92% | |
| 56 | 14% | 83% | |
| 57 | 7% | 69% | |
| 58 | 11% | 62% | Median |
| 59 | 11% | 51% | |
| 60 | 7% | 40% | |
| 61 | 12% | 33% | Last Result |
| 62 | 3% | 21% | |
| 63 | 7% | 18% | |
| 64 | 5% | 11% | |
| 65 | 3% | 7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 24 | 2% | 96% | |
| 25 | 2% | 95% | |
| 26 | 4% | 92% | |
| 27 | 4% | 89% | |
| 28 | 16% | 84% | |
| 29 | 12% | 69% | |
| 30 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 31 | 9% | 48% | |
| 32 | 9% | 40% | |
| 33 | 11% | 31% | |
| 34 | 6% | 19% | |
| 35 | 4% | 13% | Last Result |
| 36 | 4% | 9% | |
| 37 | 3% | 5% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–3 October 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.58%