Opinion Poll by Norstat, 16–22 October 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
28.7% |
26.9–30.6% |
26.3–31.2% |
25.9–31.7% |
25.0–32.6% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
25.4% |
23.6–27.3% |
23.1–27.8% |
22.7–28.3% |
21.9–29.2% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
13.6% |
12.3–15.1% |
11.9–15.6% |
11.6–16.0% |
10.9–16.7% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
10.3% |
9.1–11.7% |
8.8–12.1% |
8.5–12.4% |
8.0–13.1% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.2% |
6.2–8.4% |
6.0–8.8% |
5.7–9.1% |
5.3–9.7% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.9% |
3.0–5.1% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.9% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.6% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.7–4.8% |
2.6–5.0% |
2.3–5.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–3.0% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
47 |
3% |
97% |
|
48 |
7% |
94% |
|
49 |
9% |
87% |
Last Result |
50 |
9% |
78% |
|
51 |
12% |
69% |
|
52 |
12% |
57% |
Median |
53 |
11% |
46% |
|
54 |
6% |
35% |
|
55 |
8% |
29% |
|
56 |
9% |
21% |
|
57 |
7% |
12% |
|
58 |
3% |
5% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
41 |
4% |
98% |
|
42 |
4% |
93% |
|
43 |
7% |
89% |
|
44 |
10% |
82% |
|
45 |
13% |
72% |
Last Result |
46 |
11% |
59% |
Median |
47 |
16% |
48% |
|
48 |
10% |
32% |
|
49 |
12% |
22% |
|
50 |
3% |
10% |
|
51 |
2% |
7% |
|
52 |
2% |
5% |
|
53 |
2% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
21 |
5% |
97% |
|
22 |
9% |
93% |
|
23 |
7% |
84% |
|
24 |
20% |
77% |
|
25 |
22% |
56% |
Median |
26 |
14% |
35% |
|
27 |
7% |
21% |
Last Result |
28 |
8% |
14% |
|
29 |
3% |
6% |
|
30 |
2% |
3% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
16 |
12% |
97% |
|
17 |
19% |
85% |
|
18 |
19% |
66% |
Median |
19 |
16% |
47% |
Last Result |
20 |
13% |
31% |
|
21 |
11% |
18% |
|
22 |
4% |
7% |
|
23 |
2% |
3% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
10 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
11 |
7% |
93% |
Last Result |
12 |
23% |
86% |
|
13 |
6% |
63% |
|
14 |
30% |
57% |
Median |
15 |
17% |
27% |
|
16 |
6% |
10% |
|
17 |
4% |
4% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
47% |
96% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
49% |
|
4 |
0% |
49% |
|
5 |
0% |
49% |
|
6 |
0% |
49% |
|
7 |
10% |
49% |
|
8 |
26% |
39% |
|
9 |
9% |
13% |
|
10 |
3% |
4% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
61% |
99.5% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
38% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
34% |
|
5 |
0% |
34% |
|
6 |
0% |
34% |
|
7 |
9% |
34% |
|
8 |
18% |
25% |
Last Result |
9 |
5% |
7% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
17% |
99.5% |
|
2 |
13% |
83% |
|
3 |
39% |
70% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
30% |
|
5 |
0% |
30% |
|
6 |
0% |
30% |
|
7 |
6% |
30% |
|
8 |
20% |
25% |
Last Result |
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
37% |
100% |
|
1 |
60% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
3% |
3% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
98 |
100% |
92–103 |
92–104 |
90–106 |
88–107 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
90 |
91% |
85–95 |
83–96 |
82–98 |
80–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
89 |
88% |
84–94 |
83–95 |
81–97 |
79–99 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
89 |
88% |
84–94 |
82–95 |
82–96 |
79–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
85 |
56% |
80–89 |
78–92 |
77–93 |
76–96 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
84 |
48% |
79–89 |
78–91 |
76–92 |
75–95 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
89 |
80 |
12% |
75–85 |
74–86 |
72–88 |
70–90 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
79 |
9% |
74–84 |
73–86 |
71–87 |
69–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
75 |
0.6% |
71–80 |
69–82 |
68–84 |
67–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
75 |
0.4% |
70–80 |
69–81 |
67–83 |
66–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
75 |
0.9% |
71–80 |
69–81 |
68–82 |
65–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
71 |
0% |
66–77 |
65–77 |
63–79 |
62–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
71 |
0% |
66–75 |
65–76 |
64–78 |
62–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
71 |
0% |
65–75 |
65–77 |
64–78 |
62–80 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
66 |
0% |
61–71 |
60–71 |
59–72 |
57–75 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
54 |
0% |
49–59 |
48–61 |
46–62 |
45–64 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
27 |
0% |
22–32 |
21–33 |
20–34 |
19–37 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
87 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
89 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
90 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
91 |
2% |
97% |
|
92 |
7% |
95% |
|
93 |
4% |
88% |
|
94 |
5% |
84% |
Median |
95 |
15% |
79% |
|
96 |
7% |
64% |
|
97 |
8% |
58% |
|
98 |
7% |
50% |
|
99 |
8% |
43% |
|
100 |
9% |
36% |
|
101 |
8% |
27% |
|
102 |
6% |
19% |
|
103 |
5% |
12% |
|
104 |
3% |
7% |
|
105 |
2% |
5% |
|
106 |
2% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
108 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
82 |
2% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
96% |
|
84 |
3% |
95% |
|
85 |
4% |
91% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
87% |
|
87 |
9% |
79% |
Median |
88 |
8% |
71% |
|
89 |
10% |
63% |
|
90 |
6% |
52% |
|
91 |
12% |
46% |
|
92 |
7% |
34% |
|
93 |
7% |
27% |
|
94 |
5% |
20% |
|
95 |
9% |
15% |
|
96 |
3% |
7% |
|
97 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
98 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
99 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
81 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
82 |
2% |
97% |
|
83 |
3% |
95% |
|
84 |
3% |
92% |
|
85 |
5% |
88% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
83% |
Median |
87 |
10% |
75% |
|
88 |
9% |
65% |
|
89 |
9% |
57% |
|
90 |
12% |
48% |
|
91 |
5% |
36% |
|
92 |
10% |
31% |
|
93 |
5% |
21% |
|
94 |
7% |
16% |
|
95 |
5% |
10% |
|
96 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
97 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
98 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
82 |
3% |
98% |
|
83 |
4% |
95% |
|
84 |
2% |
90% |
|
85 |
5% |
88% |
Majority |
86 |
9% |
83% |
|
87 |
12% |
75% |
|
88 |
6% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
89 |
12% |
57% |
|
90 |
11% |
45% |
|
91 |
6% |
33% |
|
92 |
11% |
27% |
|
93 |
5% |
17% |
|
94 |
4% |
12% |
|
95 |
4% |
8% |
|
96 |
3% |
4% |
|
97 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
98 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
77 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
78 |
4% |
97% |
|
79 |
3% |
94% |
|
80 |
5% |
90% |
Last Result |
81 |
7% |
85% |
|
82 |
5% |
78% |
|
83 |
8% |
73% |
|
84 |
9% |
65% |
|
85 |
12% |
56% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
6% |
44% |
|
87 |
11% |
38% |
|
88 |
8% |
27% |
|
89 |
11% |
20% |
|
90 |
2% |
9% |
|
91 |
2% |
7% |
|
92 |
2% |
5% |
|
93 |
2% |
3% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
76 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
77 |
2% |
97% |
|
78 |
3% |
96% |
|
79 |
5% |
92% |
Last Result |
80 |
7% |
87% |
|
81 |
6% |
80% |
|
82 |
6% |
74% |
|
83 |
8% |
68% |
|
84 |
13% |
60% |
Median |
85 |
7% |
48% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
41% |
|
87 |
11% |
33% |
|
88 |
12% |
22% |
|
89 |
3% |
10% |
|
90 |
2% |
7% |
|
91 |
3% |
6% |
|
92 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
93 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
73 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
74 |
5% |
96% |
|
75 |
7% |
90% |
|
76 |
5% |
84% |
|
77 |
10% |
79% |
Median |
78 |
5% |
69% |
|
79 |
12% |
64% |
|
80 |
9% |
52% |
|
81 |
9% |
43% |
|
82 |
10% |
35% |
|
83 |
8% |
25% |
|
84 |
5% |
17% |
|
85 |
3% |
12% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
8% |
|
87 |
2% |
5% |
|
88 |
2% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
90 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
73 |
3% |
96% |
|
74 |
9% |
93% |
|
75 |
5% |
85% |
|
76 |
7% |
80% |
Median |
77 |
7% |
73% |
|
78 |
12% |
66% |
|
79 |
6% |
54% |
|
80 |
10% |
48% |
|
81 |
8% |
37% |
|
82 |
9% |
29% |
|
83 |
8% |
21% |
|
84 |
4% |
13% |
|
85 |
3% |
9% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
5% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
2% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
69 |
2% |
97% |
|
70 |
3% |
95% |
|
71 |
7% |
92% |
|
72 |
6% |
85% |
|
73 |
8% |
78% |
|
74 |
8% |
70% |
Median |
75 |
14% |
62% |
|
76 |
5% |
48% |
|
77 |
15% |
44% |
Last Result |
78 |
6% |
28% |
|
79 |
10% |
22% |
|
80 |
3% |
12% |
|
81 |
3% |
9% |
|
82 |
2% |
6% |
|
83 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
84 |
2% |
3% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
69 |
3% |
96% |
|
70 |
5% |
93% |
|
71 |
7% |
89% |
|
72 |
9% |
82% |
|
73 |
8% |
73% |
Median |
74 |
11% |
65% |
|
75 |
9% |
54% |
|
76 |
13% |
45% |
Last Result |
77 |
7% |
31% |
|
78 |
10% |
24% |
|
79 |
4% |
14% |
|
80 |
3% |
10% |
|
81 |
2% |
7% |
|
82 |
2% |
4% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
68 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
96% |
|
70 |
3% |
95% |
|
71 |
6% |
92% |
|
72 |
12% |
85% |
|
73 |
9% |
74% |
Median |
74 |
11% |
65% |
|
75 |
14% |
54% |
|
76 |
7% |
41% |
|
77 |
8% |
34% |
|
78 |
6% |
26% |
|
79 |
6% |
20% |
|
80 |
6% |
14% |
Last Result |
81 |
3% |
7% |
|
82 |
2% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
63 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
64 |
2% |
97% |
|
65 |
3% |
95% |
|
66 |
5% |
93% |
|
67 |
6% |
88% |
|
68 |
8% |
81% |
|
69 |
9% |
73% |
Median |
70 |
8% |
64% |
|
71 |
7% |
57% |
|
72 |
8% |
50% |
|
73 |
7% |
42% |
|
74 |
15% |
36% |
|
75 |
5% |
21% |
|
76 |
4% |
16% |
|
77 |
7% |
12% |
|
78 |
2% |
5% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
80 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
64 |
2% |
98% |
|
65 |
2% |
96% |
|
66 |
8% |
94% |
|
67 |
6% |
86% |
|
68 |
5% |
80% |
Last Result |
69 |
6% |
75% |
|
70 |
16% |
68% |
Median |
71 |
9% |
52% |
|
72 |
9% |
44% |
|
73 |
11% |
35% |
|
74 |
8% |
24% |
|
75 |
6% |
15% |
|
76 |
4% |
9% |
|
77 |
2% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
64 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
65 |
7% |
96% |
|
66 |
3% |
90% |
|
67 |
3% |
87% |
|
68 |
5% |
84% |
|
69 |
11% |
79% |
|
70 |
11% |
68% |
|
71 |
9% |
57% |
Median |
72 |
12% |
49% |
Last Result |
73 |
16% |
36% |
|
74 |
5% |
20% |
|
75 |
7% |
16% |
|
76 |
3% |
9% |
|
77 |
2% |
6% |
|
78 |
2% |
4% |
|
79 |
2% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
60 |
3% |
96% |
Last Result |
61 |
6% |
92% |
|
62 |
6% |
86% |
|
63 |
8% |
80% |
|
64 |
11% |
72% |
|
65 |
11% |
61% |
|
66 |
10% |
51% |
Median |
67 |
9% |
40% |
|
68 |
6% |
31% |
|
69 |
8% |
25% |
|
70 |
4% |
17% |
|
71 |
9% |
13% |
|
72 |
2% |
4% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
47 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
48 |
5% |
96% |
|
49 |
2% |
91% |
|
50 |
5% |
90% |
|
51 |
9% |
84% |
Median |
52 |
10% |
75% |
|
53 |
7% |
65% |
|
54 |
11% |
58% |
|
55 |
9% |
47% |
|
56 |
7% |
38% |
|
57 |
10% |
31% |
|
58 |
6% |
21% |
|
59 |
7% |
15% |
|
60 |
2% |
8% |
|
61 |
1.5% |
5% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
4% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
21 |
6% |
96% |
|
22 |
12% |
91% |
|
23 |
5% |
79% |
Median |
24 |
7% |
74% |
|
25 |
4% |
67% |
|
26 |
9% |
63% |
|
27 |
13% |
54% |
|
28 |
8% |
41% |
|
29 |
9% |
33% |
|
30 |
8% |
24% |
|
31 |
4% |
17% |
|
32 |
6% |
12% |
|
33 |
2% |
6% |
|
34 |
2% |
4% |
|
35 |
1.2% |
2% |
Last Result |
36 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 16–22 October 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 941
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.53%