Opinion Poll by Norstat, 23–28 October 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
27.1% |
25.0–29.4% |
24.4–30.0% |
23.9–30.6% |
23.0–31.7% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
24.2% |
22.2–26.4% |
21.7–27.0% |
21.2–27.6% |
20.3–28.6% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
14.1% |
12.6–16.0% |
12.1–16.5% |
11.7–16.9% |
11.0–17.8% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
12.1% |
10.7–13.9% |
10.2–14.3% |
9.9–14.8% |
9.2–15.6% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
6.6% |
5.6–8.0% |
5.3–8.4% |
5.0–8.7% |
4.5–9.4% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.9% |
3.1–5.0% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.7–5.6% |
2.3–6.2% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.8% |
3.0–4.9% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.6–5.4% |
2.2–6.0% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
3.5% |
2.7–4.5% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.3–5.1% |
2.0–5.7% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.2% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.1–4.8% |
1.8–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
43 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
44 |
2% |
96% |
|
45 |
4% |
93% |
|
46 |
5% |
90% |
|
47 |
11% |
84% |
|
48 |
12% |
73% |
|
49 |
11% |
61% |
Last Result |
50 |
7% |
50% |
Median |
51 |
11% |
43% |
|
52 |
8% |
32% |
|
53 |
12% |
24% |
|
54 |
3% |
12% |
|
55 |
2% |
9% |
|
56 |
4% |
6% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
2% |
98% |
|
39 |
3% |
96% |
|
40 |
6% |
93% |
|
41 |
12% |
87% |
|
42 |
6% |
75% |
|
43 |
13% |
70% |
|
44 |
11% |
57% |
Median |
45 |
17% |
46% |
Last Result |
46 |
11% |
29% |
|
47 |
7% |
17% |
|
48 |
5% |
11% |
|
49 |
2% |
6% |
|
50 |
2% |
4% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
1.5% |
99.5% |
|
21 |
3% |
98% |
|
22 |
3% |
95% |
|
23 |
9% |
92% |
|
24 |
12% |
82% |
|
25 |
16% |
70% |
|
26 |
15% |
54% |
Median |
27 |
16% |
39% |
Last Result |
28 |
12% |
23% |
|
29 |
3% |
11% |
|
30 |
5% |
8% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
32 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
17 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
18 |
4% |
98% |
|
19 |
9% |
94% |
Last Result |
20 |
11% |
84% |
|
21 |
8% |
73% |
|
22 |
13% |
65% |
|
23 |
12% |
52% |
Median |
24 |
26% |
41% |
|
25 |
8% |
15% |
|
26 |
4% |
7% |
|
27 |
2% |
3% |
|
28 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
10 |
10% |
96% |
|
11 |
22% |
86% |
Last Result |
12 |
33% |
63% |
Median |
13 |
15% |
30% |
|
14 |
7% |
15% |
|
15 |
5% |
8% |
|
16 |
2% |
4% |
|
17 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
1 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
2 |
6% |
93% |
|
3 |
38% |
87% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
49% |
|
5 |
0% |
49% |
|
6 |
0% |
49% |
|
7 |
15% |
49% |
|
8 |
23% |
34% |
Last Result |
9 |
6% |
11% |
|
10 |
4% |
5% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
57% |
98.7% |
Median |
3 |
3% |
42% |
|
4 |
0% |
39% |
|
5 |
0% |
39% |
|
6 |
1.2% |
39% |
|
7 |
12% |
38% |
|
8 |
17% |
26% |
Last Result |
9 |
6% |
9% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
15% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
63% |
85% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
23% |
|
4 |
0% |
23% |
|
5 |
0% |
23% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
23% |
|
7 |
7% |
23% |
|
8 |
11% |
15% |
|
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
1 |
44% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
2 |
40% |
56% |
Median |
3 |
1.4% |
16% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
15% |
|
5 |
0% |
14% |
|
6 |
1.3% |
14% |
|
7 |
5% |
13% |
|
8 |
7% |
8% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
102 |
100% |
96–107 |
94–108 |
92–109 |
90–112 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
93 |
93% |
85–97 |
83–98 |
82–99 |
81–102 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
89 |
88% |
84–95 |
82–97 |
81–98 |
79–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
87 |
79% |
82–93 |
80–95 |
78–96 |
76–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
86 |
72% |
80–93 |
78–95 |
78–95 |
75–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
84 |
44% |
78–89 |
77–92 |
75–93 |
72–94 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
89 |
82 |
21% |
76–87 |
74–89 |
73–91 |
72–93 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
80 |
12% |
74–85 |
72–87 |
71–88 |
68–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
81 |
12% |
74–85 |
71–86 |
70–87 |
68–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
78 |
2% |
71–82 |
69–84 |
68–84 |
66–87 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
74 |
2% |
69–79 |
68–81 |
66–83 |
63–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
72 |
0% |
66–77 |
65–80 |
64–80 |
61–81 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
70 |
0% |
64–74 |
63–76 |
62–77 |
60–80 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
67 |
0% |
62–73 |
61–75 |
60–77 |
57–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
62 |
0% |
57–66 |
56–69 |
55–69 |
53–72 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
54 |
0% |
48–59 |
46–61 |
45–61 |
43–64 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
32 |
0% |
27–37 |
25–40 |
24–40 |
22–43 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
92 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
94 |
2% |
96% |
|
95 |
4% |
94% |
|
96 |
5% |
91% |
|
97 |
5% |
86% |
|
98 |
5% |
80% |
Median |
99 |
3% |
75% |
|
100 |
5% |
72% |
|
101 |
13% |
67% |
|
102 |
7% |
54% |
|
103 |
7% |
47% |
|
104 |
12% |
39% |
|
105 |
12% |
27% |
|
106 |
2% |
14% |
|
107 |
6% |
12% |
Last Result |
108 |
3% |
6% |
|
109 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
110 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
111 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
112 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
83 |
3% |
97% |
|
84 |
2% |
95% |
|
85 |
6% |
93% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
87% |
|
87 |
4% |
85% |
|
88 |
4% |
82% |
Last Result |
89 |
6% |
78% |
|
90 |
4% |
72% |
Median |
91 |
7% |
68% |
|
92 |
7% |
61% |
|
93 |
14% |
54% |
|
94 |
18% |
40% |
|
95 |
4% |
22% |
|
96 |
6% |
18% |
|
97 |
4% |
11% |
|
98 |
4% |
7% |
|
99 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
100 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
80 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
81 |
1.3% |
98% |
Last Result |
82 |
2% |
97% |
|
83 |
3% |
95% |
|
84 |
4% |
92% |
|
85 |
4% |
88% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
85% |
|
87 |
9% |
78% |
|
88 |
14% |
70% |
|
89 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
90 |
6% |
49% |
|
91 |
7% |
43% |
|
92 |
12% |
36% |
|
93 |
4% |
24% |
|
94 |
5% |
19% |
|
95 |
5% |
15% |
|
96 |
1.3% |
9% |
|
97 |
5% |
8% |
|
98 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
100 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
78 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
80 |
3% |
96% |
Last Result |
81 |
1.3% |
93% |
|
82 |
5% |
92% |
|
83 |
5% |
87% |
|
84 |
4% |
82% |
|
85 |
10% |
79% |
Majority |
86 |
15% |
68% |
|
87 |
5% |
53% |
Median |
88 |
13% |
48% |
|
89 |
3% |
35% |
|
90 |
6% |
32% |
|
91 |
11% |
26% |
|
92 |
3% |
14% |
|
93 |
3% |
11% |
|
94 |
2% |
8% |
|
95 |
3% |
6% |
|
96 |
2% |
3% |
|
97 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
77 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
78 |
4% |
98% |
|
79 |
3% |
94% |
|
80 |
4% |
91% |
Last Result |
81 |
3% |
87% |
|
82 |
4% |
84% |
|
83 |
2% |
80% |
|
84 |
6% |
78% |
|
85 |
7% |
72% |
Majority |
86 |
17% |
65% |
|
87 |
8% |
48% |
Median |
88 |
7% |
40% |
|
89 |
5% |
33% |
|
90 |
11% |
28% |
|
91 |
3% |
16% |
|
92 |
3% |
14% |
|
93 |
4% |
10% |
|
94 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
95 |
4% |
5% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
76 |
2% |
97% |
|
77 |
4% |
95% |
|
78 |
5% |
91% |
|
79 |
3% |
86% |
Last Result |
80 |
4% |
83% |
|
81 |
5% |
79% |
|
82 |
5% |
74% |
|
83 |
7% |
69% |
|
84 |
17% |
62% |
|
85 |
5% |
44% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
12% |
39% |
|
87 |
3% |
27% |
|
88 |
5% |
23% |
|
89 |
10% |
19% |
|
90 |
2% |
9% |
|
91 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
92 |
2% |
6% |
|
93 |
3% |
5% |
|
94 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
74 |
3% |
97% |
|
75 |
2% |
94% |
|
76 |
3% |
92% |
|
77 |
3% |
89% |
Median |
78 |
11% |
86% |
|
79 |
6% |
74% |
|
80 |
3% |
68% |
|
81 |
13% |
65% |
|
82 |
5% |
52% |
|
83 |
15% |
47% |
|
84 |
10% |
32% |
|
85 |
4% |
21% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
18% |
|
87 |
5% |
13% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
89 |
3% |
7% |
Last Result |
90 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
91 |
2% |
3% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
72 |
5% |
97% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
92% |
|
74 |
5% |
91% |
|
75 |
5% |
85% |
Median |
76 |
4% |
81% |
|
77 |
12% |
76% |
|
78 |
7% |
64% |
|
79 |
6% |
57% |
|
80 |
7% |
51% |
|
81 |
14% |
44% |
|
82 |
9% |
30% |
|
83 |
6% |
22% |
|
84 |
4% |
15% |
|
85 |
4% |
12% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
8% |
|
87 |
2% |
5% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
3% |
Last Result |
89 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
2% |
97% |
|
72 |
2% |
95% |
|
73 |
2% |
93% |
|
74 |
6% |
91% |
|
75 |
3% |
85% |
|
76 |
5% |
81% |
|
77 |
6% |
76% |
Last Result |
78 |
5% |
70% |
Median |
79 |
6% |
66% |
|
80 |
7% |
60% |
|
81 |
14% |
53% |
|
82 |
11% |
38% |
|
83 |
11% |
27% |
|
84 |
4% |
16% |
|
85 |
5% |
12% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
7% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
69 |
3% |
97% |
|
70 |
2% |
94% |
|
71 |
3% |
92% |
|
72 |
2% |
89% |
|
73 |
8% |
87% |
|
74 |
5% |
79% |
|
75 |
6% |
74% |
|
76 |
7% |
67% |
Last Result, Median |
77 |
7% |
61% |
|
78 |
7% |
53% |
|
79 |
6% |
47% |
|
80 |
19% |
40% |
|
81 |
4% |
22% |
|
82 |
7% |
17% |
|
83 |
5% |
10% |
|
84 |
3% |
5% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
67 |
2% |
97% |
|
68 |
4% |
95% |
|
69 |
5% |
91% |
|
70 |
4% |
86% |
|
71 |
7% |
82% |
|
72 |
5% |
75% |
Median |
73 |
16% |
70% |
|
74 |
14% |
54% |
|
75 |
7% |
40% |
|
76 |
12% |
34% |
|
77 |
3% |
22% |
|
78 |
5% |
19% |
|
79 |
5% |
14% |
|
80 |
2% |
9% |
Last Result |
81 |
2% |
6% |
|
82 |
2% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
85 |
1.5% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
64 |
2% |
98% |
|
65 |
3% |
96% |
|
66 |
7% |
93% |
|
67 |
3% |
86% |
|
68 |
4% |
83% |
Last Result |
69 |
4% |
79% |
|
70 |
7% |
75% |
|
71 |
8% |
68% |
|
72 |
15% |
60% |
|
73 |
6% |
45% |
Median |
74 |
9% |
38% |
|
75 |
8% |
30% |
|
76 |
3% |
22% |
|
77 |
11% |
19% |
|
78 |
2% |
8% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
80 |
4% |
5% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
62 |
2% |
98% |
|
63 |
3% |
96% |
|
64 |
3% |
93% |
|
65 |
3% |
90% |
|
66 |
5% |
87% |
|
67 |
10% |
82% |
|
68 |
6% |
72% |
|
69 |
13% |
66% |
|
70 |
6% |
54% |
Median |
71 |
18% |
48% |
|
72 |
13% |
30% |
Last Result |
73 |
4% |
17% |
|
74 |
3% |
13% |
|
75 |
2% |
10% |
|
76 |
3% |
7% |
|
77 |
2% |
4% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
60 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
61 |
3% |
97% |
|
62 |
6% |
94% |
Last Result |
63 |
2% |
88% |
|
64 |
12% |
86% |
|
65 |
12% |
73% |
|
66 |
7% |
61% |
Median |
67 |
7% |
53% |
|
68 |
13% |
46% |
|
69 |
5% |
33% |
|
70 |
3% |
28% |
|
71 |
5% |
25% |
|
72 |
5% |
20% |
|
73 |
5% |
14% |
|
74 |
4% |
9% |
|
75 |
2% |
6% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
77 |
2% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
55 |
2% |
98% |
|
56 |
3% |
96% |
|
57 |
3% |
93% |
|
58 |
9% |
90% |
|
59 |
7% |
81% |
|
60 |
10% |
74% |
Last Result |
61 |
12% |
64% |
|
62 |
14% |
52% |
Median |
63 |
8% |
38% |
|
64 |
6% |
30% |
|
65 |
11% |
25% |
|
66 |
4% |
13% |
|
67 |
2% |
10% |
|
68 |
2% |
8% |
|
69 |
5% |
6% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
45 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
46 |
4% |
97% |
|
47 |
2% |
92% |
|
48 |
3% |
90% |
|
49 |
3% |
87% |
Median |
50 |
10% |
84% |
|
51 |
8% |
74% |
|
52 |
7% |
66% |
|
53 |
8% |
59% |
|
54 |
6% |
51% |
|
55 |
12% |
45% |
|
56 |
6% |
32% |
|
57 |
5% |
26% |
|
58 |
10% |
22% |
|
59 |
4% |
12% |
|
60 |
3% |
8% |
|
61 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
24 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
25 |
3% |
97% |
|
26 |
3% |
94% |
|
27 |
4% |
91% |
|
28 |
4% |
86% |
Median |
29 |
14% |
83% |
|
30 |
8% |
69% |
|
31 |
5% |
61% |
|
32 |
7% |
56% |
|
33 |
12% |
49% |
|
34 |
14% |
37% |
|
35 |
7% |
23% |
Last Result |
36 |
4% |
16% |
|
37 |
3% |
12% |
|
38 |
3% |
9% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
6% |
|
40 |
4% |
6% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 23–28 October 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 693
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.65%