Opinion Poll by Sentio, 28 November–4 December 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
29.9% |
27.8–32.2% |
27.2–32.9% |
26.7–33.4% |
25.7–34.5% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
24.3% |
22.3–26.5% |
21.7–27.1% |
21.3–27.6% |
20.3–28.7% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
12.1% |
10.7–13.9% |
10.3–14.3% |
9.9–14.8% |
9.3–15.6% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
12.0% |
10.6–13.7% |
10.2–14.2% |
9.8–14.6% |
9.2–15.5% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
5.5% |
4.5–6.8% |
4.3–7.1% |
4.1–7.5% |
3.6–8.1% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.8% |
3.9–6.0% |
3.7–6.3% |
3.5–6.6% |
3.1–7.3% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.2% |
3.4–5.4% |
3.2–5.7% |
3.0–6.0% |
2.6–6.6% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.5% |
2.8–4.6% |
2.6–4.9% |
2.4–5.2% |
2.1–5.7% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
2.4% |
1.8–3.3% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.5–3.8% |
1.3–4.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
47 |
1.3% |
98.7% |
|
48 |
3% |
97% |
|
49 |
3% |
94% |
Last Result |
50 |
4% |
91% |
|
51 |
6% |
87% |
|
52 |
6% |
82% |
|
53 |
9% |
76% |
|
54 |
10% |
67% |
|
55 |
15% |
57% |
Median |
56 |
15% |
42% |
|
57 |
11% |
26% |
|
58 |
4% |
15% |
|
59 |
5% |
11% |
|
60 |
2% |
6% |
|
61 |
2% |
4% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
38 |
3% |
97% |
|
39 |
5% |
94% |
|
40 |
6% |
89% |
|
41 |
15% |
83% |
|
42 |
9% |
69% |
|
43 |
16% |
59% |
Median |
44 |
11% |
43% |
|
45 |
13% |
32% |
Last Result |
46 |
8% |
19% |
|
47 |
3% |
11% |
|
48 |
3% |
8% |
|
49 |
2% |
5% |
|
50 |
2% |
3% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
18 |
8% |
97% |
|
19 |
8% |
89% |
Last Result |
20 |
15% |
81% |
|
21 |
17% |
66% |
Median |
22 |
16% |
49% |
|
23 |
12% |
33% |
|
24 |
10% |
21% |
|
25 |
4% |
10% |
|
26 |
2% |
6% |
|
27 |
3% |
4% |
|
28 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
16 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
17 |
4% |
98% |
|
18 |
9% |
94% |
|
19 |
9% |
85% |
|
20 |
12% |
76% |
|
21 |
13% |
64% |
|
22 |
16% |
51% |
Median |
23 |
16% |
35% |
|
24 |
8% |
18% |
|
25 |
5% |
10% |
|
26 |
3% |
5% |
|
27 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
28 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
3 |
0.8% |
98.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0% |
98% |
|
7 |
3% |
98% |
|
8 |
17% |
94% |
|
9 |
18% |
77% |
|
10 |
28% |
58% |
Median |
11 |
16% |
31% |
Last Result |
12 |
9% |
14% |
|
13 |
4% |
5% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
13% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
87% |
|
4 |
0% |
87% |
|
5 |
0% |
87% |
|
6 |
0% |
87% |
|
7 |
10% |
87% |
|
8 |
22% |
77% |
|
9 |
29% |
55% |
Median |
10 |
17% |
26% |
|
11 |
7% |
10% |
|
12 |
2% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
32% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
2% |
67% |
|
4 |
0% |
65% |
|
5 |
0% |
65% |
|
6 |
0% |
65% |
|
7 |
19% |
65% |
Median |
8 |
21% |
46% |
Last Result |
9 |
16% |
24% |
|
10 |
7% |
9% |
|
11 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
1 |
32% |
99.1% |
|
2 |
17% |
67% |
|
3 |
24% |
50% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
26% |
|
5 |
0% |
26% |
|
6 |
0% |
26% |
|
7 |
11% |
26% |
|
8 |
11% |
15% |
Last Result |
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
14% |
100% |
|
1 |
71% |
86% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
12% |
14% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
2% |
|
7 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
96 |
99.8% |
91–101 |
89–102 |
88–104 |
86–107 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
95 |
99.2% |
90–100 |
88–102 |
87–102 |
84–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
94 |
98% |
89–100 |
87–100 |
86–101 |
82–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
90 |
92% |
85–96 |
84–98 |
83–99 |
80–102 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
87 |
72% |
81–92 |
80–93 |
79–94 |
77–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
86 |
60% |
80–91 |
79–92 |
78–93 |
76–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
80 |
16% |
75–86 |
74–88 |
72–89 |
70–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
80 |
10% |
74–85 |
73–87 |
71–88 |
69–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
76 |
1.2% |
71–81 |
69–82 |
68–83 |
66–86 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
89 |
75 |
2% |
69–80 |
69–82 |
68–83 |
65–87 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
74 |
0.8% |
69–79 |
67–81 |
67–82 |
64–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
73 |
0.2% |
68–78 |
67–80 |
65–81 |
62–83 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
70 |
0% |
66–75 |
64–77 |
62–78 |
60–81 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
65 |
0% |
59–69 |
58–70 |
57–73 |
55–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
64 |
0% |
60–68 |
58–70 |
57–71 |
55–74 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
53 |
0% |
48–58 |
46–60 |
45–61 |
43–64 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
31 |
0% |
26–36 |
25–39 |
23–39 |
22–41 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
89 |
3% |
97% |
|
90 |
3% |
94% |
|
91 |
8% |
91% |
|
92 |
8% |
82% |
|
93 |
5% |
75% |
|
94 |
5% |
69% |
|
95 |
11% |
64% |
|
96 |
15% |
54% |
Median |
97 |
10% |
39% |
|
98 |
8% |
30% |
|
99 |
7% |
22% |
|
100 |
3% |
15% |
|
101 |
5% |
11% |
|
102 |
2% |
7% |
|
103 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
104 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
105 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
106 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
107 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
108 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
82 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
87 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
88 |
2% |
96% |
|
89 |
4% |
95% |
|
90 |
3% |
90% |
|
91 |
7% |
87% |
|
92 |
6% |
80% |
|
93 |
8% |
74% |
|
94 |
15% |
66% |
|
95 |
10% |
51% |
|
96 |
5% |
41% |
Median |
97 |
7% |
37% |
|
98 |
8% |
30% |
|
99 |
8% |
21% |
|
100 |
4% |
14% |
|
101 |
5% |
10% |
|
102 |
3% |
5% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.9% |
1.5% |
|
105 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
96% |
|
88 |
3% |
94% |
|
89 |
4% |
91% |
|
90 |
6% |
87% |
|
91 |
8% |
81% |
|
92 |
8% |
73% |
|
93 |
15% |
65% |
|
94 |
10% |
50% |
|
95 |
5% |
41% |
Median |
96 |
6% |
35% |
|
97 |
9% |
30% |
|
98 |
8% |
21% |
|
99 |
2% |
12% |
|
100 |
6% |
11% |
|
101 |
2% |
4% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
84 |
5% |
97% |
|
85 |
3% |
92% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
89% |
|
87 |
8% |
79% |
|
88 |
5% |
71% |
Last Result |
89 |
7% |
65% |
|
90 |
10% |
58% |
Median |
91 |
6% |
48% |
|
92 |
12% |
42% |
|
93 |
9% |
29% |
|
94 |
5% |
21% |
|
95 |
4% |
16% |
|
96 |
5% |
12% |
|
97 |
2% |
7% |
|
98 |
2% |
6% |
|
99 |
2% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
80 |
3% |
97% |
Last Result |
81 |
5% |
94% |
|
82 |
4% |
90% |
|
83 |
6% |
85% |
|
84 |
7% |
80% |
|
85 |
12% |
72% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
60% |
|
87 |
7% |
52% |
Median |
88 |
7% |
45% |
|
89 |
9% |
38% |
|
90 |
6% |
29% |
|
91 |
11% |
23% |
|
92 |
3% |
12% |
|
93 |
5% |
9% |
|
94 |
2% |
4% |
|
95 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
78 |
2% |
98% |
|
79 |
2% |
96% |
Last Result |
80 |
6% |
95% |
|
81 |
4% |
89% |
|
82 |
5% |
85% |
|
83 |
7% |
80% |
|
84 |
13% |
72% |
|
85 |
9% |
60% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
51% |
Median |
87 |
8% |
44% |
|
88 |
6% |
36% |
|
89 |
8% |
30% |
|
90 |
11% |
22% |
|
91 |
3% |
11% |
|
92 |
3% |
8% |
|
93 |
2% |
4% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
72 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
73 |
2% |
97% |
|
74 |
3% |
96% |
|
75 |
3% |
92% |
|
76 |
3% |
90% |
|
77 |
5% |
86% |
Last Result |
78 |
13% |
81% |
|
79 |
8% |
68% |
|
80 |
10% |
60% |
Median |
81 |
6% |
50% |
|
82 |
14% |
44% |
|
83 |
10% |
30% |
|
84 |
4% |
20% |
|
85 |
5% |
16% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
12% |
|
87 |
2% |
8% |
|
88 |
2% |
6% |
|
89 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
73 |
3% |
95% |
|
74 |
3% |
92% |
|
75 |
4% |
90% |
|
76 |
5% |
86% |
Last Result |
77 |
13% |
81% |
|
78 |
6% |
68% |
|
79 |
11% |
61% |
Median |
80 |
6% |
51% |
|
81 |
17% |
44% |
|
82 |
8% |
28% |
|
83 |
4% |
20% |
|
84 |
5% |
15% |
|
85 |
3% |
10% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
7% |
|
87 |
2% |
5% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
3% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
69 |
2% |
96% |
|
70 |
4% |
94% |
|
71 |
4% |
90% |
|
72 |
3% |
86% |
|
73 |
7% |
83% |
|
74 |
7% |
76% |
|
75 |
7% |
69% |
|
76 |
18% |
62% |
Median |
77 |
6% |
45% |
|
78 |
10% |
39% |
|
79 |
11% |
29% |
|
80 |
6% |
18% |
|
81 |
5% |
12% |
|
82 |
3% |
7% |
|
83 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
|
69 |
6% |
96% |
|
70 |
2% |
89% |
|
71 |
8% |
88% |
|
72 |
9% |
79% |
|
73 |
6% |
70% |
|
74 |
5% |
65% |
|
75 |
10% |
59% |
|
76 |
15% |
50% |
Median |
77 |
8% |
35% |
|
78 |
8% |
27% |
|
79 |
6% |
19% |
|
80 |
4% |
13% |
|
81 |
3% |
9% |
|
82 |
2% |
6% |
|
83 |
2% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
98.5% |
|
67 |
3% |
98% |
|
68 |
5% |
95% |
|
69 |
4% |
90% |
|
70 |
8% |
86% |
|
71 |
8% |
79% |
|
72 |
7% |
70% |
|
73 |
5% |
63% |
|
74 |
10% |
59% |
|
75 |
15% |
49% |
Median |
76 |
8% |
34% |
|
77 |
6% |
26% |
|
78 |
7% |
20% |
|
79 |
3% |
13% |
|
80 |
4% |
10% |
|
81 |
2% |
5% |
|
82 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
67 |
2% |
95% |
|
68 |
5% |
93% |
|
69 |
3% |
89% |
|
70 |
7% |
85% |
|
71 |
8% |
78% |
|
72 |
10% |
70% |
|
73 |
15% |
61% |
|
74 |
11% |
46% |
|
75 |
5% |
36% |
Median |
76 |
5% |
31% |
|
77 |
8% |
25% |
|
78 |
8% |
18% |
|
79 |
3% |
9% |
|
80 |
3% |
6% |
|
81 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
82 |
2% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
64 |
2% |
96% |
|
65 |
3% |
94% |
|
66 |
4% |
91% |
|
67 |
6% |
87% |
|
68 |
16% |
81% |
|
69 |
8% |
65% |
|
70 |
8% |
56% |
|
71 |
6% |
49% |
|
72 |
6% |
42% |
Median |
73 |
9% |
36% |
|
74 |
10% |
27% |
|
75 |
8% |
17% |
|
76 |
3% |
10% |
|
77 |
4% |
7% |
|
78 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
2% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
58 |
3% |
97% |
|
59 |
7% |
95% |
|
60 |
5% |
88% |
|
61 |
8% |
84% |
|
62 |
7% |
76% |
|
63 |
8% |
69% |
|
64 |
7% |
61% |
|
65 |
8% |
53% |
Median |
66 |
13% |
45% |
|
67 |
13% |
32% |
|
68 |
6% |
20% |
|
69 |
5% |
13% |
|
70 |
3% |
8% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
4% |
Last Result |
73 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
1.5% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
57 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
58 |
2% |
96% |
|
59 |
3% |
94% |
|
60 |
7% |
91% |
Last Result |
61 |
6% |
85% |
|
62 |
10% |
79% |
|
63 |
12% |
69% |
|
64 |
9% |
57% |
|
65 |
10% |
48% |
Median |
66 |
9% |
38% |
|
67 |
9% |
29% |
|
68 |
11% |
20% |
|
69 |
2% |
10% |
|
70 |
4% |
8% |
|
71 |
2% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
45 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
46 |
2% |
96% |
|
47 |
2% |
94% |
|
48 |
7% |
91% |
|
49 |
7% |
84% |
|
50 |
5% |
78% |
|
51 |
10% |
72% |
|
52 |
12% |
63% |
|
53 |
14% |
51% |
Median |
54 |
7% |
37% |
|
55 |
8% |
30% |
|
56 |
5% |
23% |
|
57 |
6% |
18% |
|
58 |
4% |
12% |
|
59 |
2% |
7% |
|
60 |
2% |
5% |
|
61 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
23 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
24 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
25 |
3% |
95% |
|
26 |
7% |
92% |
|
27 |
5% |
85% |
|
28 |
4% |
80% |
|
29 |
13% |
76% |
|
30 |
6% |
62% |
|
31 |
11% |
56% |
Median |
32 |
7% |
45% |
|
33 |
11% |
39% |
|
34 |
9% |
27% |
|
35 |
6% |
18% |
Last Result |
36 |
3% |
12% |
|
37 |
2% |
9% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
39 |
3% |
5% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 28 November–4 December 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 708
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.29%