Opinion Poll by Norstat, 29 January–4 February 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
29.3% |
27.1–31.6% |
26.4–32.3% |
25.9–32.9% |
24.9–34.0% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
22.9% |
20.9–25.1% |
20.3–25.7% |
19.8–26.2% |
18.9–27.3% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
12.0% |
10.5–13.8% |
10.1–14.3% |
9.8–14.8% |
9.1–15.7% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
11.7% |
10.3–13.5% |
9.8–14.0% |
9.5–14.4% |
8.8–15.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.8% |
6.6–9.3% |
6.2–9.7% |
6.0–10.1% |
5.4–10.9% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.9% |
3.9–6.1% |
3.7–6.5% |
3.5–6.8% |
3.1–7.5% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.4% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.8% |
2.2–5.0% |
1.9–5.6% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.1–4.8% |
1.8–5.4% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.6–4.1% |
1.4–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
47 |
2% |
98% |
|
48 |
3% |
97% |
|
49 |
4% |
93% |
Last Result |
50 |
5% |
90% |
|
51 |
13% |
85% |
|
52 |
12% |
72% |
|
53 |
9% |
60% |
|
54 |
6% |
51% |
Median |
55 |
9% |
45% |
|
56 |
14% |
36% |
|
57 |
7% |
22% |
|
58 |
6% |
15% |
|
59 |
4% |
9% |
|
60 |
3% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
36 |
3% |
98% |
|
37 |
5% |
95% |
|
38 |
5% |
90% |
|
39 |
8% |
85% |
|
40 |
12% |
77% |
|
41 |
9% |
65% |
|
42 |
13% |
56% |
Median |
43 |
18% |
44% |
|
44 |
9% |
26% |
|
45 |
6% |
17% |
Last Result |
46 |
7% |
11% |
|
47 |
2% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
17 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
18 |
3% |
97% |
|
19 |
7% |
94% |
|
20 |
18% |
87% |
|
21 |
11% |
69% |
|
22 |
18% |
58% |
Median |
23 |
11% |
41% |
|
24 |
12% |
30% |
|
25 |
10% |
18% |
|
26 |
4% |
8% |
|
27 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
28 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
18 |
5% |
96% |
|
19 |
14% |
91% |
Last Result |
20 |
13% |
77% |
|
21 |
18% |
63% |
Median |
22 |
12% |
45% |
|
23 |
16% |
33% |
|
24 |
8% |
17% |
|
25 |
3% |
9% |
|
26 |
3% |
6% |
|
27 |
2% |
3% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
5% |
98% |
Last Result |
12 |
8% |
93% |
|
13 |
24% |
84% |
|
14 |
24% |
60% |
Median |
15 |
17% |
36% |
|
16 |
10% |
20% |
|
17 |
6% |
10% |
|
18 |
2% |
4% |
|
19 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
8% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0% |
92% |
|
4 |
0% |
92% |
|
5 |
0% |
92% |
|
6 |
0% |
92% |
|
7 |
4% |
92% |
|
8 |
29% |
88% |
|
9 |
18% |
59% |
Median |
10 |
27% |
41% |
|
11 |
9% |
14% |
|
12 |
4% |
6% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
28% |
97% |
|
2 |
19% |
69% |
Median |
3 |
34% |
50% |
|
4 |
0% |
16% |
|
5 |
0% |
16% |
|
6 |
0% |
16% |
|
7 |
5% |
16% |
|
8 |
7% |
11% |
Last Result |
9 |
4% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
1 |
42% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
2 |
41% |
57% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
16% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
14% |
|
5 |
0% |
14% |
|
6 |
0% |
14% |
|
7 |
5% |
14% |
|
8 |
6% |
9% |
|
9 |
2% |
3% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
25% |
94% |
|
2 |
64% |
68% |
Median |
3 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
4 |
0% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
3% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
101 |
100% |
96–105 |
94–107 |
92–108 |
89–110 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
98 |
99.9% |
93–103 |
91–104 |
90–105 |
87–107 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
94 |
99.6% |
89–100 |
89–102 |
88–103 |
85–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
92 |
97% |
86–97 |
85–99 |
84–100 |
81–103 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
90 |
92% |
85–95 |
83–97 |
82–98 |
80–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
89 |
86% |
84–94 |
83–95 |
81–97 |
79–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
81 |
14% |
75–86 |
75–88 |
73–89 |
71–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
79 |
8% |
74–84 |
72–86 |
71–87 |
68–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
78 |
5% |
73–83 |
72–85 |
70–86 |
68–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
75 |
1.2% |
70–80 |
69–81 |
67–83 |
65–85 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre |
89 |
71 |
0.1% |
66–76 |
65–78 |
63–79 |
61–82 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
68 |
0% |
64–73 |
62–75 |
61–77 |
59–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
68 |
0% |
63–73 |
62–74 |
60–75 |
58–77 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
65 |
0% |
61–70 |
59–71 |
58–72 |
55–76 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
63 |
0% |
59–68 |
58–69 |
56–70 |
54–73 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
47 |
0% |
42–51 |
40–53 |
40–54 |
38–58 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
26 |
0% |
22–31 |
21–32 |
21–33 |
19–36 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
91 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
92 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
93 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
94 |
2% |
96% |
|
95 |
3% |
94% |
|
96 |
12% |
91% |
|
97 |
7% |
79% |
|
98 |
7% |
72% |
|
99 |
7% |
66% |
|
100 |
7% |
59% |
Median |
101 |
6% |
52% |
|
102 |
14% |
46% |
|
103 |
9% |
31% |
|
104 |
9% |
22% |
|
105 |
5% |
13% |
|
106 |
2% |
8% |
|
107 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
108 |
2% |
4% |
|
109 |
2% |
2% |
|
110 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
111 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
90 |
2% |
98% |
|
91 |
2% |
96% |
|
92 |
2% |
94% |
|
93 |
4% |
92% |
|
94 |
8% |
88% |
|
95 |
12% |
80% |
|
96 |
5% |
68% |
|
97 |
7% |
62% |
|
98 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
99 |
5% |
46% |
|
100 |
8% |
41% |
|
101 |
10% |
32% |
|
102 |
9% |
22% |
|
103 |
7% |
13% |
|
104 |
2% |
6% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
106 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
107 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
98.7% |
|
88 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
89 |
6% |
96% |
|
90 |
3% |
90% |
|
91 |
11% |
87% |
|
92 |
10% |
75% |
|
93 |
6% |
65% |
Median |
94 |
11% |
60% |
|
95 |
7% |
48% |
|
96 |
9% |
41% |
|
97 |
10% |
32% |
|
98 |
6% |
22% |
|
99 |
4% |
16% |
|
100 |
4% |
12% |
|
101 |
2% |
8% |
|
102 |
3% |
6% |
|
103 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
104 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
85 |
2% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
95% |
|
87 |
4% |
89% |
|
88 |
9% |
86% |
|
89 |
11% |
76% |
|
90 |
5% |
66% |
|
91 |
8% |
61% |
Median |
92 |
10% |
53% |
|
93 |
8% |
43% |
|
94 |
10% |
35% |
|
95 |
10% |
25% |
|
96 |
5% |
15% |
|
97 |
2% |
10% |
|
98 |
3% |
8% |
|
99 |
2% |
6% |
|
100 |
2% |
4% |
|
101 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
1.4% |
99.0% |
|
82 |
2% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
96% |
|
84 |
2% |
94% |
|
85 |
6% |
92% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
86% |
|
87 |
8% |
80% |
|
88 |
10% |
72% |
|
89 |
8% |
62% |
Median |
90 |
10% |
54% |
|
91 |
6% |
44% |
|
92 |
7% |
38% |
|
93 |
9% |
30% |
|
94 |
10% |
21% |
|
95 |
5% |
12% |
|
96 |
2% |
7% |
|
97 |
2% |
5% |
|
98 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
81 |
2% |
98% |
|
82 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
83 |
2% |
95% |
|
84 |
6% |
93% |
|
85 |
4% |
86% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
82% |
|
87 |
12% |
77% |
|
88 |
10% |
65% |
|
89 |
6% |
55% |
Median |
90 |
8% |
49% |
|
91 |
9% |
41% |
|
92 |
9% |
32% |
|
93 |
8% |
23% |
|
94 |
8% |
15% |
|
95 |
2% |
7% |
|
96 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
97 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
98 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
100 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
75 |
6% |
96% |
|
76 |
3% |
89% |
|
77 |
12% |
86% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
74% |
|
79 |
16% |
70% |
Median |
80 |
4% |
54% |
|
81 |
13% |
50% |
|
82 |
8% |
37% |
|
83 |
4% |
30% |
|
84 |
12% |
26% |
|
85 |
3% |
14% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
11% |
|
87 |
3% |
9% |
|
88 |
2% |
6% |
|
89 |
2% |
4% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
91 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
97% |
|
73 |
2% |
95% |
|
74 |
5% |
93% |
|
75 |
10% |
88% |
|
76 |
9% |
78% |
|
77 |
8% |
69% |
|
78 |
6% |
62% |
|
79 |
10% |
56% |
Median |
80 |
8% |
46% |
|
81 |
10% |
38% |
|
82 |
8% |
28% |
|
83 |
6% |
19% |
|
84 |
6% |
14% |
|
85 |
2% |
8% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
6% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
72 |
2% |
96% |
|
73 |
6% |
94% |
|
74 |
4% |
87% |
|
75 |
7% |
83% |
|
76 |
10% |
76% |
Last Result |
77 |
9% |
65% |
Median |
78 |
11% |
56% |
|
79 |
8% |
45% |
|
80 |
10% |
37% |
|
81 |
5% |
27% |
|
82 |
9% |
21% |
|
83 |
4% |
12% |
|
84 |
2% |
8% |
|
85 |
2% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
4% |
|
87 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
Last Result |
69 |
2% |
95% |
|
70 |
7% |
93% |
|
71 |
4% |
87% |
|
72 |
6% |
83% |
|
73 |
12% |
77% |
|
74 |
10% |
65% |
|
75 |
7% |
55% |
Median |
76 |
9% |
48% |
|
77 |
8% |
39% |
|
78 |
11% |
31% |
|
79 |
7% |
20% |
|
80 |
5% |
13% |
|
81 |
4% |
8% |
|
82 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
97% |
|
66 |
7% |
94% |
|
67 |
9% |
87% |
|
68 |
10% |
77% |
|
69 |
8% |
67% |
|
70 |
5% |
59% |
Median |
71 |
9% |
54% |
|
72 |
8% |
45% |
|
73 |
5% |
37% |
|
74 |
12% |
32% |
|
75 |
8% |
20% |
|
76 |
4% |
12% |
|
77 |
2% |
8% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
61 |
2% |
98% |
|
62 |
1.5% |
95% |
|
63 |
2% |
94% |
|
64 |
5% |
91% |
|
65 |
9% |
86% |
|
66 |
9% |
77% |
|
67 |
14% |
68% |
|
68 |
6% |
54% |
Median |
69 |
7% |
48% |
|
70 |
7% |
41% |
|
71 |
6% |
34% |
|
72 |
7% |
27% |
|
73 |
12% |
20% |
|
74 |
2% |
8% |
|
75 |
2% |
6% |
|
76 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
77 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
2% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
61 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
62 |
3% |
96% |
|
63 |
3% |
93% |
|
64 |
7% |
90% |
|
65 |
10% |
83% |
|
66 |
14% |
72% |
|
67 |
6% |
59% |
|
68 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
69 |
14% |
47% |
|
70 |
7% |
32% |
|
71 |
8% |
25% |
|
72 |
5% |
17% |
|
73 |
4% |
12% |
|
74 |
5% |
8% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
58 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
97% |
|
60 |
4% |
94% |
|
61 |
4% |
90% |
|
62 |
6% |
86% |
|
63 |
12% |
81% |
|
64 |
10% |
69% |
|
65 |
10% |
60% |
|
66 |
6% |
50% |
Median |
67 |
9% |
44% |
|
68 |
9% |
35% |
|
69 |
8% |
26% |
|
70 |
12% |
18% |
|
71 |
2% |
6% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
57 |
2% |
97% |
|
58 |
3% |
95% |
|
59 |
4% |
92% |
|
60 |
6% |
88% |
|
61 |
8% |
82% |
|
62 |
11% |
74% |
|
63 |
12% |
62% |
|
64 |
4% |
50% |
Median |
65 |
9% |
46% |
|
66 |
9% |
37% |
|
67 |
6% |
27% |
|
68 |
15% |
21% |
|
69 |
3% |
6% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
40 |
3% |
98% |
|
41 |
5% |
95% |
|
42 |
4% |
90% |
|
43 |
10% |
86% |
|
44 |
7% |
76% |
|
45 |
7% |
69% |
|
46 |
8% |
62% |
Median |
47 |
17% |
54% |
|
48 |
12% |
37% |
|
49 |
5% |
24% |
|
50 |
3% |
19% |
|
51 |
7% |
16% |
|
52 |
4% |
9% |
|
53 |
2% |
5% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
21 |
4% |
98% |
|
22 |
6% |
94% |
|
23 |
8% |
89% |
|
24 |
13% |
80% |
|
25 |
11% |
67% |
Median |
26 |
15% |
55% |
|
27 |
9% |
40% |
|
28 |
12% |
31% |
|
29 |
7% |
20% |
|
30 |
3% |
13% |
|
31 |
3% |
10% |
|
32 |
3% |
7% |
|
33 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
34 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
Last Result |
36 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 29 January–4 February 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 656
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.62%