Opinion Poll by Norfakta, 5–6 February 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
29.3% |
27.3–31.5% |
26.7–32.1% |
26.2–32.6% |
25.3–33.7% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
23.0% |
21.1–25.0% |
20.6–25.5% |
20.1–26.0% |
19.3–27.0% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
12.8% |
11.3–14.4% |
10.9–14.9% |
10.6–15.3% |
10.0–16.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
10.8% |
9.5–12.4% |
9.2–12.8% |
8.9–13.2% |
8.3–14.0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.1% |
6.1–8.5% |
5.8–8.8% |
5.5–9.2% |
5.1–9.8% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
4.1% |
3.3–5.1% |
3.1–5.4% |
2.9–5.7% |
2.6–6.3% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.0% |
3.2–5.0% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.8–5.6% |
2.5–6.1% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.3% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.3–4.8% |
2.0–5.3% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.3% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.3–4.8% |
2.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
1.5% |
98.5% |
|
48 |
2% |
97% |
|
49 |
4% |
95% |
Last Result |
50 |
4% |
92% |
|
51 |
2% |
88% |
|
52 |
7% |
85% |
|
53 |
9% |
78% |
|
54 |
25% |
70% |
Median |
55 |
13% |
45% |
|
56 |
13% |
32% |
|
57 |
7% |
19% |
|
58 |
4% |
11% |
|
59 |
3% |
7% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
62 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
1.2% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
3% |
98% |
|
37 |
3% |
95% |
|
38 |
8% |
92% |
|
39 |
10% |
84% |
|
40 |
13% |
74% |
|
41 |
17% |
61% |
Median |
42 |
9% |
44% |
|
43 |
8% |
35% |
|
44 |
13% |
27% |
|
45 |
6% |
14% |
Last Result |
46 |
3% |
8% |
|
47 |
2% |
5% |
|
48 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
49 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
19 |
3% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
20 |
7% |
96% |
|
21 |
10% |
89% |
|
22 |
15% |
79% |
|
23 |
20% |
64% |
Median |
24 |
14% |
44% |
|
25 |
12% |
30% |
|
26 |
7% |
18% |
|
27 |
3% |
11% |
|
28 |
6% |
8% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
16 |
4% |
97% |
|
17 |
14% |
92% |
|
18 |
16% |
79% |
|
19 |
16% |
63% |
Median |
20 |
15% |
47% |
|
21 |
13% |
32% |
|
22 |
8% |
19% |
|
23 |
6% |
11% |
|
24 |
3% |
4% |
|
25 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
6% |
98% |
|
11 |
8% |
92% |
Last Result |
12 |
15% |
84% |
|
13 |
21% |
68% |
Median |
14 |
20% |
48% |
|
15 |
17% |
28% |
|
16 |
7% |
11% |
|
17 |
3% |
4% |
|
18 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
11% |
93% |
|
3 |
27% |
82% |
|
4 |
0% |
55% |
|
5 |
0% |
55% |
|
6 |
0% |
55% |
|
7 |
13% |
55% |
Median |
8 |
25% |
42% |
Last Result |
9 |
12% |
17% |
|
10 |
4% |
5% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
49% |
97% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
48% |
|
4 |
0% |
48% |
|
5 |
0% |
48% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
48% |
|
7 |
9% |
47% |
|
8 |
24% |
38% |
|
9 |
10% |
14% |
|
10 |
3% |
4% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
40% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
2 |
13% |
59% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
47% |
|
4 |
4% |
41% |
|
5 |
0% |
38% |
|
6 |
0% |
38% |
|
7 |
22% |
38% |
|
8 |
14% |
15% |
|
9 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
78% |
96% |
Median |
3 |
3% |
17% |
|
4 |
0.7% |
15% |
|
5 |
0% |
14% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
14% |
|
7 |
4% |
14% |
|
8 |
8% |
10% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
101 |
100% |
95–105 |
93–106 |
92–108 |
89–110 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
100 |
100% |
94–105 |
93–106 |
91–107 |
88–109 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
95 |
99.6% |
91–101 |
89–102 |
88–103 |
85–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
95 |
99.3% |
89–101 |
87–101 |
86–102 |
84–105 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
93 |
97% |
87–98 |
86–100 |
84–101 |
83–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
91 |
94% |
86–96 |
84–98 |
83–99 |
80–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
88 |
75% |
82–91 |
80–93 |
78–94 |
75–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
83 |
42% |
78–88 |
77–89 |
75–90 |
73–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
78 |
4% |
73–82 |
72–84 |
70–85 |
67–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
76 |
2% |
71–82 |
69–83 |
68–84 |
65–86 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre |
89 |
73 |
0.4% |
68–78 |
67–80 |
66–81 |
63–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
69 |
0% |
64–75 |
63–76 |
62–78 |
60–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
68 |
0% |
63–72 |
61–73 |
60–74 |
58–76 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
63 |
0% |
59–69 |
58–70 |
56–71 |
53–74 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
61 |
0% |
56–66 |
55–68 |
54–68 |
51–71 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
50 |
0% |
44–56 |
43–57 |
43–58 |
41–60 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
32 |
0% |
26–37 |
26–38 |
25–39 |
23–43 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
92 |
2% |
98% |
|
93 |
3% |
96% |
|
94 |
2% |
93% |
|
95 |
3% |
91% |
|
96 |
5% |
88% |
|
97 |
6% |
83% |
|
98 |
6% |
76% |
|
99 |
7% |
71% |
Median |
100 |
8% |
64% |
|
101 |
12% |
55% |
|
102 |
10% |
43% |
|
103 |
13% |
34% |
|
104 |
9% |
21% |
|
105 |
4% |
11% |
|
106 |
3% |
8% |
|
107 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
108 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
109 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
110 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
111 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
91 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
93 |
3% |
96% |
|
94 |
6% |
93% |
Median |
95 |
5% |
87% |
|
96 |
8% |
82% |
|
97 |
9% |
73% |
|
98 |
5% |
64% |
|
99 |
5% |
59% |
|
100 |
4% |
54% |
|
101 |
5% |
50% |
|
102 |
11% |
45% |
|
103 |
14% |
34% |
|
104 |
7% |
19% |
|
105 |
7% |
12% |
|
106 |
3% |
5% |
|
107 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
108 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
109 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
87 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
89 |
2% |
97% |
|
90 |
3% |
95% |
|
91 |
4% |
92% |
|
92 |
6% |
88% |
Median |
93 |
11% |
82% |
|
94 |
5% |
71% |
|
95 |
15% |
65% |
|
96 |
8% |
50% |
|
97 |
7% |
42% |
|
98 |
7% |
36% |
|
99 |
5% |
28% |
|
100 |
6% |
23% |
|
101 |
10% |
17% |
|
102 |
4% |
7% |
|
103 |
2% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
99.3% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
96% |
|
88 |
3% |
94% |
|
89 |
5% |
91% |
|
90 |
3% |
86% |
|
91 |
4% |
83% |
|
92 |
5% |
79% |
Median |
93 |
10% |
74% |
|
94 |
13% |
65% |
|
95 |
9% |
52% |
|
96 |
10% |
42% |
|
97 |
7% |
32% |
|
98 |
5% |
25% |
|
99 |
2% |
20% |
|
100 |
3% |
18% |
|
101 |
11% |
15% |
|
102 |
2% |
4% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
105 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
84 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
85 |
2% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
96% |
|
87 |
8% |
91% |
|
88 |
4% |
83% |
|
89 |
6% |
78% |
|
90 |
3% |
72% |
|
91 |
7% |
69% |
|
92 |
10% |
62% |
Median |
93 |
7% |
51% |
|
94 |
5% |
44% |
|
95 |
8% |
39% |
|
96 |
14% |
31% |
|
97 |
6% |
18% |
|
98 |
3% |
12% |
|
99 |
3% |
9% |
|
100 |
2% |
6% |
|
101 |
2% |
4% |
|
102 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
104 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
83 |
2% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
96% |
|
85 |
4% |
94% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
90% |
|
87 |
4% |
88% |
|
88 |
7% |
83% |
|
89 |
9% |
76% |
|
90 |
8% |
67% |
Median |
91 |
13% |
59% |
|
92 |
9% |
46% |
|
93 |
19% |
38% |
|
94 |
6% |
19% |
|
95 |
2% |
13% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
11% |
|
97 |
2% |
10% |
|
98 |
3% |
8% |
|
99 |
3% |
5% |
|
100 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
78 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
79 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
80 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
81 |
3% |
94% |
|
82 |
5% |
90% |
|
83 |
5% |
86% |
|
84 |
6% |
81% |
|
85 |
6% |
75% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
69% |
Median |
87 |
11% |
64% |
|
88 |
15% |
52% |
|
89 |
9% |
37% |
|
90 |
11% |
28% |
|
91 |
7% |
17% |
|
92 |
3% |
10% |
|
93 |
3% |
7% |
|
94 |
2% |
4% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
76 |
2% |
97% |
Last Result |
77 |
2% |
96% |
|
78 |
4% |
93% |
|
79 |
4% |
90% |
|
80 |
8% |
86% |
|
81 |
15% |
78% |
|
82 |
11% |
63% |
|
83 |
6% |
53% |
|
84 |
5% |
47% |
Median |
85 |
5% |
42% |
Majority |
86 |
12% |
37% |
|
87 |
13% |
24% |
|
88 |
3% |
11% |
|
89 |
4% |
8% |
|
90 |
2% |
4% |
|
91 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
71 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
72 |
4% |
96% |
|
73 |
3% |
92% |
|
74 |
7% |
89% |
|
75 |
9% |
82% |
|
76 |
6% |
73% |
|
77 |
8% |
66% |
Median |
78 |
19% |
58% |
|
79 |
12% |
39% |
|
80 |
9% |
27% |
|
81 |
6% |
18% |
|
82 |
3% |
12% |
|
83 |
2% |
9% |
|
84 |
4% |
7% |
|
85 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
87 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
96% |
|
70 |
3% |
94% |
|
71 |
3% |
91% |
Median |
72 |
6% |
88% |
|
73 |
14% |
82% |
|
74 |
8% |
68% |
|
75 |
5% |
61% |
|
76 |
7% |
55% |
|
77 |
10% |
48% |
|
78 |
7% |
38% |
|
79 |
3% |
31% |
|
80 |
6% |
28% |
|
81 |
4% |
22% |
|
82 |
8% |
17% |
|
83 |
5% |
9% |
|
84 |
2% |
4% |
|
85 |
2% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
67 |
4% |
97% |
|
68 |
10% |
93% |
|
69 |
6% |
83% |
|
70 |
5% |
77% |
|
71 |
7% |
72% |
Median |
72 |
7% |
64% |
|
73 |
8% |
58% |
|
74 |
15% |
50% |
|
75 |
5% |
34% |
|
76 |
11% |
29% |
|
77 |
6% |
18% |
|
78 |
4% |
12% |
|
79 |
3% |
8% |
|
80 |
2% |
5% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
98.5% |
|
63 |
3% |
97% |
|
64 |
7% |
95% |
|
65 |
8% |
88% |
|
66 |
14% |
81% |
|
67 |
11% |
66% |
|
68 |
5% |
55% |
|
69 |
4% |
50% |
Median |
70 |
5% |
46% |
|
71 |
5% |
41% |
|
72 |
9% |
36% |
|
73 |
8% |
26% |
|
74 |
5% |
18% |
|
75 |
6% |
13% |
|
76 |
3% |
7% |
|
77 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
78 |
2% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
98% |
Last Result |
61 |
2% |
97% |
|
62 |
4% |
95% |
|
63 |
3% |
91% |
|
64 |
5% |
88% |
|
65 |
6% |
83% |
|
66 |
5% |
77% |
|
67 |
19% |
72% |
Median |
68 |
16% |
53% |
|
69 |
9% |
37% |
|
70 |
9% |
28% |
|
71 |
8% |
18% |
|
72 |
4% |
10% |
|
73 |
2% |
7% |
|
74 |
2% |
5% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
57 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
58 |
5% |
96% |
|
59 |
6% |
91% |
|
60 |
7% |
85% |
|
61 |
8% |
78% |
|
62 |
8% |
70% |
Median |
63 |
12% |
62% |
|
64 |
12% |
50% |
|
65 |
8% |
38% |
|
66 |
7% |
30% |
|
67 |
6% |
23% |
|
68 |
3% |
16% |
|
69 |
4% |
13% |
|
70 |
4% |
9% |
|
71 |
2% |
5% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
54 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
55 |
2% |
97% |
|
56 |
6% |
94% |
|
57 |
7% |
88% |
|
58 |
7% |
80% |
|
59 |
11% |
73% |
|
60 |
8% |
63% |
Median |
61 |
13% |
55% |
|
62 |
12% |
42% |
|
63 |
8% |
30% |
|
64 |
6% |
21% |
|
65 |
4% |
15% |
|
66 |
3% |
11% |
|
67 |
3% |
9% |
|
68 |
3% |
5% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
43 |
4% |
98% |
|
44 |
6% |
95% |
|
45 |
3% |
88% |
|
46 |
7% |
86% |
|
47 |
9% |
78% |
|
48 |
10% |
70% |
|
49 |
7% |
59% |
|
50 |
14% |
53% |
Median |
51 |
7% |
39% |
|
52 |
6% |
32% |
|
53 |
5% |
26% |
|
54 |
8% |
21% |
|
55 |
2% |
13% |
|
56 |
5% |
11% |
|
57 |
2% |
7% |
|
58 |
3% |
4% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
26 |
8% |
97% |
|
27 |
4% |
89% |
|
28 |
9% |
86% |
|
29 |
7% |
77% |
|
30 |
7% |
70% |
|
31 |
9% |
63% |
|
32 |
7% |
54% |
Median |
33 |
11% |
47% |
|
34 |
13% |
35% |
|
35 |
6% |
23% |
Last Result |
36 |
5% |
16% |
|
37 |
5% |
11% |
|
38 |
2% |
6% |
|
39 |
2% |
5% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5–6 February 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 784
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.92%