Opinion Poll by Norstat, 19–25 February 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
26.9% |
24.7–29.3% |
24.1–29.9% |
23.6–30.5% |
22.6–31.7% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
22.3% |
20.3–24.5% |
19.7–25.2% |
19.2–25.7% |
18.3–26.8% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
15.9% |
14.2–17.9% |
13.7–18.5% |
13.3–19.0% |
12.5–20.0% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
12.6% |
11.0–14.4% |
10.6–15.0% |
10.2–15.4% |
9.5–16.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
6.5% |
5.4–8.0% |
5.1–8.4% |
4.8–8.7% |
4.4–9.5% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
6.2% |
5.1–7.6% |
4.8–8.0% |
4.6–8.4% |
4.1–9.1% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.2–4.6% |
2.1–4.9% |
1.8–5.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
3.0% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.1–4.4% |
2.0–4.7% |
1.6–5.3% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
1.8% |
1.2–2.6% |
1.1–2.9% |
1.0–3.1% |
0.8–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
2% |
98% |
|
43 |
2% |
97% |
|
44 |
6% |
95% |
|
45 |
8% |
88% |
|
46 |
16% |
81% |
|
47 |
11% |
64% |
|
48 |
8% |
54% |
Median |
49 |
7% |
46% |
Last Result |
50 |
11% |
38% |
|
51 |
9% |
28% |
|
52 |
7% |
18% |
|
53 |
4% |
12% |
|
54 |
3% |
7% |
|
55 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
34 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
35 |
4% |
97% |
|
36 |
6% |
93% |
|
37 |
8% |
87% |
|
38 |
9% |
79% |
|
39 |
15% |
70% |
|
40 |
13% |
56% |
Median |
41 |
15% |
43% |
|
42 |
11% |
28% |
|
43 |
7% |
17% |
|
44 |
3% |
10% |
|
45 |
3% |
7% |
Last Result |
46 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
24 |
3% |
98% |
|
25 |
5% |
94% |
|
26 |
10% |
90% |
|
27 |
15% |
79% |
|
28 |
13% |
64% |
|
29 |
10% |
51% |
Median |
30 |
8% |
42% |
|
31 |
9% |
34% |
|
32 |
4% |
25% |
|
33 |
11% |
21% |
|
34 |
8% |
10% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
18 |
4% |
98% |
|
19 |
6% |
95% |
|
20 |
9% |
88% |
|
21 |
14% |
79% |
|
22 |
10% |
65% |
|
23 |
15% |
55% |
Median |
24 |
16% |
39% |
|
25 |
10% |
23% |
|
26 |
5% |
13% |
|
27 |
3% |
8% |
Last Result |
28 |
2% |
4% |
|
29 |
2% |
3% |
|
30 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
6% |
98% |
|
10 |
17% |
92% |
|
11 |
16% |
75% |
Last Result |
12 |
24% |
59% |
Median |
13 |
16% |
35% |
|
14 |
12% |
20% |
|
15 |
3% |
8% |
|
16 |
4% |
5% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
9 |
11% |
96% |
|
10 |
19% |
84% |
|
11 |
20% |
66% |
Median |
12 |
16% |
45% |
|
13 |
16% |
30% |
|
14 |
9% |
13% |
|
15 |
3% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
38% |
96% |
|
2 |
14% |
57% |
Median |
3 |
29% |
43% |
|
4 |
0% |
15% |
|
5 |
0% |
15% |
|
6 |
0% |
15% |
|
7 |
6% |
15% |
|
8 |
6% |
9% |
Last Result |
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
43% |
97% |
Last Result |
2 |
38% |
55% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
16% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
15% |
|
5 |
0% |
15% |
|
6 |
0% |
15% |
|
7 |
7% |
15% |
|
8 |
6% |
8% |
|
9 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
52% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
30% |
48% |
|
2 |
17% |
17% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
103 |
100% |
98–108 |
96–109 |
95–110 |
92–113 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
100 |
100% |
95–106 |
94–107 |
93–108 |
91–110 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
95 |
99.4% |
90–100 |
88–101 |
87–103 |
84–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
94 |
99.1% |
89–100 |
87–101 |
86–102 |
84–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
91 |
95% |
86–97 |
85–98 |
83–99 |
81–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
89 |
87% |
84–94 |
82–96 |
82–97 |
79–99 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
83 |
34% |
77–89 |
75–89 |
74–91 |
72–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
80 |
17% |
75–86 |
74–87 |
72–88 |
70–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
77 |
4% |
72–84 |
71–84 |
70–86 |
68–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
74 |
0.6% |
69–79 |
68–81 |
66–82 |
64–85 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre |
89 |
69 |
0% |
63–74 |
62–75 |
61–76 |
59–78 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
66 |
0% |
61–71 |
60–73 |
59–74 |
56–77 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
63 |
0% |
59–68 |
57–69 |
56–71 |
54–73 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
63 |
0% |
58–67 |
57–69 |
55–70 |
53–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
60 |
0% |
56–65 |
54–67 |
53–68 |
52–70 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
43 |
0% |
39–48 |
38–49 |
37–51 |
34–53 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
32 |
0% |
28–37 |
27–38 |
26–40 |
24–43 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
94 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
95 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
96 |
2% |
96% |
|
97 |
2% |
94% |
|
98 |
4% |
92% |
|
99 |
6% |
88% |
|
100 |
8% |
82% |
|
101 |
7% |
74% |
|
102 |
14% |
67% |
Median |
103 |
8% |
52% |
|
104 |
5% |
44% |
|
105 |
9% |
39% |
|
106 |
9% |
30% |
|
107 |
9% |
22% |
|
108 |
4% |
13% |
|
109 |
4% |
9% |
|
110 |
3% |
5% |
|
111 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
112 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
113 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
93 |
2% |
98% |
|
94 |
2% |
96% |
|
95 |
4% |
94% |
|
96 |
3% |
90% |
|
97 |
7% |
86% |
|
98 |
5% |
80% |
|
99 |
11% |
75% |
|
100 |
14% |
64% |
Median |
101 |
8% |
50% |
|
102 |
9% |
41% |
|
103 |
6% |
32% |
|
104 |
10% |
26% |
|
105 |
5% |
17% |
|
106 |
4% |
11% |
|
107 |
3% |
7% |
|
108 |
2% |
4% |
|
109 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
110 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
82 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
87 |
3% |
98% |
|
88 |
3% |
95% |
|
89 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
90 |
4% |
92% |
|
91 |
6% |
87% |
|
92 |
8% |
81% |
|
93 |
6% |
73% |
|
94 |
12% |
68% |
Median |
95 |
8% |
56% |
|
96 |
15% |
48% |
|
97 |
5% |
33% |
|
98 |
9% |
29% |
|
99 |
6% |
20% |
|
100 |
6% |
14% |
|
101 |
3% |
8% |
|
102 |
2% |
4% |
|
103 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
87 |
3% |
97% |
|
88 |
2% |
95% |
Last Result |
89 |
3% |
92% |
|
90 |
10% |
89% |
|
91 |
6% |
79% |
|
92 |
7% |
73% |
|
93 |
11% |
67% |
Median |
94 |
8% |
55% |
|
95 |
8% |
47% |
|
96 |
6% |
40% |
|
97 |
7% |
34% |
|
98 |
8% |
27% |
|
99 |
8% |
19% |
|
100 |
5% |
11% |
|
101 |
3% |
6% |
|
102 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
83 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
85 |
3% |
95% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
92% |
|
87 |
8% |
89% |
|
88 |
5% |
81% |
|
89 |
7% |
76% |
|
90 |
7% |
69% |
|
91 |
13% |
62% |
Median |
92 |
7% |
49% |
|
93 |
5% |
41% |
|
94 |
6% |
36% |
|
95 |
6% |
30% |
|
96 |
10% |
24% |
|
97 |
5% |
14% |
|
98 |
5% |
9% |
|
99 |
3% |
5% |
|
100 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
98.5% |
|
82 |
3% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
95% |
|
84 |
5% |
92% |
|
85 |
3% |
87% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
84% |
|
87 |
6% |
76% |
|
88 |
12% |
69% |
|
89 |
11% |
58% |
Median |
90 |
9% |
46% |
|
91 |
8% |
37% |
|
92 |
7% |
29% |
|
93 |
3% |
23% |
|
94 |
10% |
20% |
|
95 |
3% |
10% |
|
96 |
3% |
7% |
|
97 |
2% |
4% |
|
98 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
3% |
97% |
|
76 |
2% |
94% |
|
77 |
11% |
92% |
Last Result |
78 |
5% |
81% |
|
79 |
5% |
76% |
|
80 |
5% |
71% |
|
81 |
10% |
66% |
Median |
82 |
5% |
56% |
|
83 |
10% |
51% |
|
84 |
8% |
41% |
|
85 |
7% |
34% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
27% |
|
87 |
5% |
21% |
|
88 |
3% |
16% |
|
89 |
8% |
13% |
|
90 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
91 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
93 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
98.6% |
|
73 |
2% |
97% |
|
74 |
4% |
95% |
|
75 |
2% |
92% |
|
76 |
13% |
89% |
Last Result |
77 |
7% |
77% |
|
78 |
8% |
70% |
|
79 |
8% |
62% |
Median |
80 |
9% |
54% |
|
81 |
9% |
44% |
|
82 |
9% |
35% |
|
83 |
6% |
26% |
|
84 |
4% |
21% |
|
85 |
4% |
17% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
13% |
|
87 |
6% |
10% |
|
88 |
2% |
4% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
70 |
2% |
98% |
|
71 |
4% |
96% |
|
72 |
3% |
92% |
|
73 |
10% |
89% |
|
74 |
5% |
79% |
|
75 |
8% |
74% |
|
76 |
9% |
66% |
|
77 |
9% |
57% |
Median |
78 |
9% |
48% |
|
79 |
9% |
39% |
|
80 |
6% |
30% |
|
81 |
6% |
24% |
|
82 |
6% |
19% |
|
83 |
2% |
12% |
|
84 |
6% |
11% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
98.5% |
|
67 |
2% |
97% |
|
68 |
3% |
96% |
|
69 |
6% |
92% |
|
70 |
6% |
86% |
|
71 |
9% |
80% |
|
72 |
5% |
71% |
|
73 |
15% |
67% |
Median |
74 |
8% |
52% |
|
75 |
12% |
44% |
|
76 |
6% |
32% |
|
77 |
8% |
27% |
|
78 |
6% |
19% |
|
79 |
4% |
13% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
81 |
3% |
7% |
|
82 |
3% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
61 |
2% |
98% |
|
62 |
3% |
96% |
|
63 |
4% |
93% |
|
64 |
5% |
89% |
|
65 |
10% |
83% |
|
66 |
6% |
74% |
|
67 |
9% |
68% |
Median |
68 |
8% |
59% |
|
69 |
14% |
50% |
|
70 |
11% |
36% |
|
71 |
5% |
25% |
|
72 |
7% |
20% |
|
73 |
3% |
14% |
|
74 |
4% |
10% |
|
75 |
2% |
6% |
|
76 |
2% |
4% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
59 |
3% |
98% |
|
60 |
4% |
95% |
|
61 |
4% |
91% |
|
62 |
9% |
87% |
|
63 |
9% |
78% |
|
64 |
9% |
70% |
|
65 |
5% |
61% |
Median |
66 |
8% |
56% |
|
67 |
14% |
47% |
|
68 |
7% |
33% |
|
69 |
8% |
26% |
|
70 |
6% |
18% |
|
71 |
4% |
12% |
|
72 |
2% |
8% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
57 |
2% |
97% |
|
58 |
3% |
94% |
|
59 |
10% |
91% |
|
60 |
9% |
82% |
|
61 |
6% |
73% |
|
62 |
10% |
67% |
|
63 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
64 |
7% |
49% |
|
65 |
13% |
42% |
|
66 |
11% |
29% |
|
67 |
6% |
18% |
|
68 |
4% |
13% |
|
69 |
4% |
8% |
|
70 |
2% |
5% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
55 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
56 |
2% |
97% |
|
57 |
4% |
95% |
|
58 |
5% |
92% |
|
59 |
8% |
87% |
|
60 |
12% |
79% |
|
61 |
7% |
67% |
|
62 |
10% |
60% |
|
63 |
9% |
50% |
Median |
64 |
7% |
42% |
|
65 |
11% |
34% |
|
66 |
10% |
23% |
|
67 |
3% |
13% |
|
68 |
3% |
10% |
|
69 |
3% |
7% |
|
70 |
2% |
3% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
53 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
54 |
2% |
97% |
|
55 |
3% |
95% |
|
56 |
9% |
92% |
|
57 |
8% |
84% |
|
58 |
8% |
75% |
|
59 |
12% |
68% |
|
60 |
7% |
55% |
Last Result, Median |
61 |
14% |
49% |
|
62 |
9% |
35% |
|
63 |
8% |
26% |
|
64 |
6% |
18% |
|
65 |
4% |
12% |
|
66 |
2% |
8% |
|
67 |
2% |
5% |
|
68 |
3% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
37 |
2% |
98% |
|
38 |
4% |
96% |
|
39 |
5% |
92% |
|
40 |
7% |
87% |
|
41 |
10% |
80% |
|
42 |
14% |
70% |
Median |
43 |
10% |
56% |
|
44 |
17% |
46% |
|
45 |
5% |
29% |
|
46 |
7% |
24% |
|
47 |
6% |
17% |
|
48 |
4% |
11% |
|
49 |
2% |
7% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
51 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
52 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
26 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
27 |
5% |
96% |
|
28 |
4% |
91% |
|
29 |
10% |
87% |
|
30 |
13% |
77% |
|
31 |
10% |
65% |
Median |
32 |
7% |
55% |
|
33 |
10% |
48% |
|
34 |
6% |
39% |
|
35 |
11% |
33% |
Last Result |
36 |
12% |
22% |
|
37 |
3% |
11% |
|
38 |
3% |
7% |
|
39 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 19–25 February 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 628
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.09%