Opinion Poll by Norstat, 26 February–4 March 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
26.5% |
24.4–28.8% |
23.8–29.4% |
23.2–30.0% |
22.3–31.1% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
24.3% |
22.3–26.6% |
21.7–27.2% |
21.2–27.8% |
20.3–28.9% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
12.4% |
10.9–14.2% |
10.5–14.7% |
10.1–15.2% |
9.4–16.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
12.1% |
10.6–13.9% |
10.2–14.4% |
9.8–14.8% |
9.1–15.7% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.0% |
6.8–9.5% |
6.4–9.9% |
6.1–10.3% |
5.6–11.1% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.7% |
3.8–6.0% |
3.6–6.4% |
3.4–6.7% |
3.0–7.3% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.4% |
3.6–5.7% |
3.3–6.0% |
3.1–6.3% |
2.7–7.0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
4.0% |
3.2–5.2% |
2.9–5.5% |
2.7–5.8% |
2.4–6.4% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
1.8% |
1.3–2.7% |
1.2–3.0% |
1.1–3.2% |
0.9–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
4% |
97% |
|
43 |
6% |
93% |
|
44 |
12% |
87% |
|
45 |
12% |
75% |
|
46 |
16% |
63% |
Median |
47 |
5% |
48% |
|
48 |
9% |
42% |
|
49 |
5% |
33% |
Last Result |
50 |
6% |
29% |
|
51 |
9% |
23% |
|
52 |
4% |
14% |
|
53 |
4% |
10% |
|
54 |
4% |
7% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
56 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
2% |
98% |
|
38 |
7% |
96% |
|
39 |
5% |
89% |
|
40 |
6% |
84% |
|
41 |
11% |
78% |
|
42 |
11% |
67% |
|
43 |
11% |
56% |
Median |
44 |
14% |
45% |
|
45 |
9% |
31% |
Last Result |
46 |
5% |
22% |
|
47 |
5% |
16% |
|
48 |
5% |
11% |
|
49 |
3% |
5% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
18 |
5% |
97% |
|
19 |
12% |
92% |
Last Result |
20 |
15% |
80% |
|
21 |
12% |
65% |
|
22 |
12% |
53% |
Median |
23 |
11% |
40% |
|
24 |
5% |
29% |
|
25 |
12% |
24% |
|
26 |
7% |
12% |
|
27 |
2% |
4% |
|
28 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
3% |
98% |
|
18 |
11% |
95% |
|
19 |
8% |
85% |
|
20 |
10% |
77% |
|
21 |
21% |
67% |
Median |
22 |
13% |
46% |
|
23 |
14% |
33% |
|
24 |
7% |
19% |
|
25 |
6% |
13% |
|
26 |
4% |
6% |
|
27 |
1.0% |
2% |
Last Result |
28 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
30 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
6% |
97% |
Last Result |
12 |
13% |
91% |
|
13 |
14% |
78% |
|
14 |
24% |
63% |
Median |
15 |
16% |
39% |
|
16 |
12% |
23% |
|
17 |
6% |
11% |
|
18 |
3% |
5% |
|
19 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
15% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
85% |
|
4 |
0% |
85% |
|
5 |
0% |
85% |
|
6 |
0% |
85% |
|
7 |
9% |
85% |
|
8 |
33% |
76% |
Median |
9 |
20% |
43% |
|
10 |
15% |
23% |
|
11 |
5% |
8% |
|
12 |
2% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
16% |
98% |
|
3 |
1.1% |
82% |
|
4 |
0.2% |
81% |
|
5 |
0% |
80% |
|
6 |
0% |
80% |
|
7 |
19% |
80% |
|
8 |
24% |
61% |
Median |
9 |
23% |
37% |
|
10 |
9% |
14% |
|
11 |
3% |
4% |
|
12 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
9% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
7% |
91% |
|
3 |
29% |
84% |
|
4 |
0% |
55% |
|
5 |
0% |
55% |
|
6 |
0% |
55% |
|
7 |
20% |
55% |
Median |
8 |
18% |
35% |
Last Result |
9 |
11% |
17% |
|
10 |
4% |
5% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
46% |
100% |
|
1 |
34% |
54% |
Median |
2 |
20% |
20% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
99 |
100% |
93–104 |
92–105 |
90–107 |
88–109 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
96 |
99.6% |
91–101 |
90–103 |
88–104 |
85–106 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
93 |
98% |
87–98 |
86–100 |
85–101 |
82–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
91 |
94% |
86–97 |
84–99 |
83–100 |
81–102 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
91 |
92% |
85–97 |
84–98 |
82–99 |
80–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
83 |
41% |
78–89 |
77–90 |
75–91 |
73–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
81 |
30% |
77–87 |
75–89 |
73–91 |
71–93 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
78 |
6% |
72–83 |
70–85 |
69–86 |
67–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
76 |
2% |
71–82 |
69–83 |
68–84 |
64–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
75 |
1.2% |
69–81 |
68–82 |
67–83 |
64–86 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
70 |
0% |
65–76 |
64–77 |
62–79 |
60–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
69 |
0% |
64–74 |
64–76 |
62–78 |
60–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
65 |
0% |
60–70 |
59–72 |
58–73 |
56–76 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
65 |
0% |
59–69 |
58–71 |
57–72 |
55–75 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
61 |
0% |
57–66 |
56–68 |
54–69 |
53–72 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
49 |
0% |
44–54 |
43–55 |
41–57 |
39–60 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
28 |
0% |
24–34 |
22–34 |
21–35 |
20–38 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
90 |
1.1% |
98.5% |
|
91 |
2% |
97% |
|
92 |
3% |
95% |
|
93 |
8% |
92% |
|
94 |
6% |
83% |
|
95 |
5% |
78% |
|
96 |
8% |
73% |
|
97 |
9% |
65% |
|
98 |
4% |
56% |
Median |
99 |
14% |
53% |
|
100 |
6% |
39% |
|
101 |
11% |
34% |
|
102 |
7% |
23% |
|
103 |
6% |
16% |
|
104 |
3% |
10% |
|
105 |
3% |
7% |
|
106 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
107 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
108 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
109 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
98% |
Last Result |
89 |
2% |
97% |
|
90 |
2% |
95% |
|
91 |
6% |
93% |
|
92 |
7% |
87% |
|
93 |
7% |
80% |
|
94 |
13% |
74% |
|
95 |
9% |
61% |
|
96 |
6% |
52% |
|
97 |
10% |
46% |
Median |
98 |
9% |
36% |
|
99 |
4% |
26% |
|
100 |
5% |
22% |
|
101 |
9% |
17% |
|
102 |
3% |
8% |
|
103 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
104 |
3% |
4% |
|
105 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
85 |
2% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
95% |
|
87 |
5% |
93% |
|
88 |
3% |
89% |
|
89 |
13% |
85% |
|
90 |
2% |
72% |
|
91 |
7% |
70% |
|
92 |
10% |
63% |
|
93 |
14% |
53% |
|
94 |
4% |
39% |
Median |
95 |
6% |
35% |
|
96 |
11% |
29% |
|
97 |
4% |
18% |
|
98 |
8% |
14% |
|
99 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
100 |
2% |
5% |
|
101 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
83 |
2% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
96% |
|
85 |
3% |
94% |
Majority |
86 |
9% |
91% |
|
87 |
5% |
82% |
|
88 |
10% |
77% |
|
89 |
4% |
68% |
|
90 |
10% |
63% |
Median |
91 |
8% |
54% |
|
92 |
8% |
45% |
|
93 |
6% |
38% |
|
94 |
10% |
32% |
|
95 |
5% |
21% |
|
96 |
5% |
17% |
|
97 |
3% |
12% |
|
98 |
3% |
9% |
|
99 |
2% |
6% |
|
100 |
2% |
4% |
|
101 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
97% |
|
84 |
3% |
95% |
|
85 |
9% |
92% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
84% |
|
87 |
7% |
81% |
|
88 |
7% |
74% |
|
89 |
7% |
67% |
|
90 |
7% |
60% |
Median |
91 |
11% |
53% |
|
92 |
6% |
42% |
|
93 |
11% |
35% |
|
94 |
9% |
24% |
|
95 |
5% |
16% |
|
96 |
1.1% |
11% |
|
97 |
4% |
10% |
|
98 |
4% |
6% |
|
99 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
101 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
1.5% |
98.8% |
|
76 |
2% |
97% |
|
77 |
2% |
95% |
|
78 |
8% |
93% |
|
79 |
9% |
85% |
Last Result |
80 |
4% |
76% |
|
81 |
5% |
72% |
|
82 |
12% |
67% |
Median |
83 |
8% |
55% |
|
84 |
6% |
47% |
|
85 |
8% |
41% |
Majority |
86 |
9% |
33% |
|
87 |
7% |
24% |
|
88 |
4% |
17% |
|
89 |
3% |
13% |
|
90 |
5% |
10% |
|
91 |
2% |
5% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
74 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
75 |
2% |
96% |
|
76 |
2% |
94% |
|
77 |
6% |
92% |
Last Result |
78 |
7% |
86% |
|
79 |
10% |
79% |
|
80 |
12% |
70% |
|
81 |
8% |
58% |
|
82 |
5% |
50% |
|
83 |
7% |
45% |
Median |
84 |
8% |
38% |
|
85 |
4% |
30% |
Majority |
86 |
14% |
26% |
|
87 |
2% |
12% |
|
88 |
3% |
10% |
|
89 |
3% |
7% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
91 |
2% |
3% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
1.5% |
99.3% |
|
69 |
2% |
98% |
|
70 |
2% |
96% |
|
71 |
3% |
94% |
|
72 |
3% |
91% |
|
73 |
5% |
88% |
|
74 |
5% |
83% |
|
75 |
10% |
79% |
|
76 |
6% |
68% |
|
77 |
8% |
62% |
|
78 |
8% |
54% |
|
79 |
10% |
46% |
|
80 |
4% |
37% |
Median |
81 |
10% |
32% |
|
82 |
5% |
23% |
|
83 |
9% |
18% |
|
84 |
3% |
9% |
|
85 |
2% |
6% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
4% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
97% |
|
70 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
71 |
8% |
93% |
|
72 |
4% |
86% |
|
73 |
11% |
82% |
|
74 |
6% |
71% |
|
75 |
4% |
65% |
|
76 |
14% |
61% |
Median |
77 |
10% |
47% |
|
78 |
7% |
37% |
|
79 |
2% |
30% |
|
80 |
13% |
28% |
|
81 |
3% |
15% |
|
82 |
5% |
11% |
|
83 |
2% |
7% |
|
84 |
2% |
5% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
3% |
98% |
|
68 |
2% |
96% |
|
69 |
5% |
93% |
|
70 |
5% |
88% |
|
71 |
7% |
83% |
|
72 |
10% |
76% |
|
73 |
8% |
66% |
|
74 |
7% |
58% |
|
75 |
6% |
51% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
45% |
Last Result |
77 |
12% |
38% |
|
78 |
5% |
26% |
|
79 |
7% |
21% |
|
80 |
3% |
13% |
|
81 |
4% |
10% |
|
82 |
3% |
6% |
|
83 |
2% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
63 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
64 |
3% |
96% |
|
65 |
3% |
93% |
|
66 |
6% |
90% |
|
67 |
7% |
84% |
|
68 |
11% |
77% |
|
69 |
6% |
66% |
|
70 |
14% |
61% |
|
71 |
4% |
47% |
|
72 |
9% |
44% |
Median |
73 |
8% |
35% |
|
74 |
5% |
27% |
|
75 |
6% |
22% |
|
76 |
8% |
17% |
|
77 |
3% |
8% |
|
78 |
2% |
5% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
1.5% |
98.7% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
64 |
10% |
96% |
|
65 |
11% |
86% |
|
66 |
5% |
75% |
|
67 |
7% |
70% |
|
68 |
8% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
69 |
6% |
55% |
|
70 |
10% |
49% |
|
71 |
11% |
39% |
|
72 |
4% |
28% |
|
73 |
8% |
24% |
|
74 |
7% |
16% |
|
75 |
2% |
10% |
|
76 |
3% |
7% |
|
77 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
79 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
1.5% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
3% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
95% |
|
60 |
7% |
93% |
|
61 |
4% |
86% |
|
62 |
5% |
82% |
|
63 |
12% |
77% |
|
64 |
8% |
66% |
|
65 |
11% |
58% |
Median |
66 |
7% |
46% |
|
67 |
13% |
40% |
|
68 |
8% |
26% |
|
69 |
6% |
19% |
|
70 |
6% |
13% |
|
71 |
2% |
7% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
73 |
2% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
57 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
58 |
2% |
96% |
|
59 |
7% |
94% |
|
60 |
4% |
87% |
|
61 |
4% |
83% |
|
62 |
7% |
79% |
|
63 |
16% |
72% |
|
64 |
5% |
56% |
Median |
65 |
11% |
52% |
|
66 |
9% |
41% |
|
67 |
14% |
32% |
|
68 |
5% |
18% |
|
69 |
3% |
13% |
|
70 |
4% |
10% |
|
71 |
2% |
6% |
|
72 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
73 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
2% |
98% |
|
55 |
2% |
97% |
|
56 |
4% |
95% |
|
57 |
4% |
91% |
|
58 |
12% |
86% |
|
59 |
8% |
74% |
|
60 |
9% |
66% |
Last Result, Median |
61 |
12% |
57% |
|
62 |
7% |
45% |
|
63 |
11% |
39% |
|
64 |
8% |
28% |
|
65 |
5% |
20% |
|
66 |
6% |
15% |
|
67 |
2% |
10% |
|
68 |
4% |
7% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
42 |
2% |
97% |
|
43 |
2% |
96% |
|
44 |
5% |
94% |
|
45 |
6% |
89% |
|
46 |
8% |
83% |
|
47 |
13% |
75% |
|
48 |
11% |
62% |
|
49 |
6% |
51% |
|
50 |
5% |
45% |
|
51 |
6% |
40% |
Median |
52 |
8% |
34% |
|
53 |
10% |
26% |
|
54 |
7% |
16% |
|
55 |
4% |
9% |
|
56 |
2% |
5% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
21 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
22 |
3% |
97% |
|
23 |
2% |
93% |
|
24 |
4% |
92% |
|
25 |
8% |
88% |
|
26 |
18% |
80% |
|
27 |
7% |
62% |
|
28 |
10% |
54% |
|
29 |
10% |
44% |
|
30 |
9% |
34% |
Median |
31 |
5% |
25% |
|
32 |
3% |
20% |
|
33 |
5% |
17% |
|
34 |
8% |
12% |
|
35 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
36 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26 February–4 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 653
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.40%