Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco, 5–11 March 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 25.0% | 26.1% | 24.4–28.0% | 23.9–28.5% | 23.4–29.0% | 22.6–29.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 25.1% | 23.3–26.9% | 22.8–27.5% | 22.4–27.9% | 21.6–28.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.0–14.5% | 10.7–14.9% | 10.1–15.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 10.6% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.0–12.3% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.2–13.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.6–8.9% | 5.2–9.5% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% | 4.6–7.7% | 4.2–8.2% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.4% | 3.3–6.9% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 45 | 46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 40–51 | 39–53 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 45 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–51 | 40–53 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 18–29 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 18 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–22 | 13–23 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–16 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
| Rødt | 1 | 8 | 7–9 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 3–10 | 3–11 | 3–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 41 | 2% | 97% | |
| 42 | 4% | 96% | |
| 43 | 3% | 91% | |
| 44 | 13% | 88% | |
| 45 | 13% | 75% | Last Result |
| 46 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 47 | 17% | 44% | |
| 48 | 7% | 27% | |
| 49 | 13% | 20% | |
| 50 | 4% | 7% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 6% | 94% | |
| 43 | 9% | 88% | |
| 44 | 17% | 79% | |
| 45 | 30% | 62% | Median |
| 46 | 12% | 32% | |
| 47 | 7% | 20% | |
| 48 | 7% | 13% | |
| 49 | 2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 51 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 9% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 12% | 91% | Last Result |
| 20 | 26% | 79% | |
| 21 | 20% | 52% | Median |
| 22 | 10% | 32% | |
| 23 | 10% | 22% | |
| 24 | 5% | 12% | |
| 25 | 3% | 7% | |
| 26 | 2% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 16 | 10% | 96% | |
| 17 | 26% | 86% | |
| 18 | 35% | 60% | Median |
| 19 | 12% | 25% | |
| 20 | 9% | 14% | |
| 21 | 2% | 5% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 5% | 96% | |
| 11 | 20% | 90% | Last Result |
| 12 | 28% | 71% | Median |
| 13 | 27% | 43% | |
| 14 | 12% | 16% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 13% | 98% | |
| 9 | 20% | 85% | |
| 10 | 32% | 65% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 33% | |
| 12 | 9% | 13% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 7 | 24% | 94% | |
| 8 | 34% | 70% | Median |
| 9 | 26% | 36% | |
| 10 | 6% | 10% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 0% | 94% | |
| 7 | 25% | 94% | |
| 8 | 28% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 28% | 42% | |
| 10 | 11% | 14% | |
| 11 | 2% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33% | 100% | |
| 1 | 52% | 67% | Median |
| 2 | 15% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 96 | 100% | 92–100 | 91–101 | 91–103 | 89–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 96 | 100% | 92–100 | 92–101 | 90–103 | 89–105 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 94 | 99.8% | 90–97 | 89–99 | 88–101 | 87–102 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 88 | 88% | 84–92 | 84–93 | 83–95 | 81–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 86 | 72% | 83–90 | 82–91 | 80–93 | 79–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 84 | 41% | 80–88 | 79–89 | 78–91 | 77–93 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 83 | 28% | 79–86 | 78–87 | 76–89 | 74–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 78 | 2% | 75–82 | 74–83 | 73–84 | 72–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 74 | 0.2% | 71–77 | 69–79 | 68–81 | 66–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 62 | 75 | 0.2% | 72–79 | 70–80 | 68–81 | 67–82 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 73 | 0% | 69–77 | 68–77 | 66–79 | 64–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 66 | 0% | 63–69 | 62–71 | 61–73 | 60–75 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 65 | 0% | 61–69 | 60–70 | 59–70 | 57–72 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 64 | 0% | 60–68 | 59–69 | 58–69 | 56–71 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 57 | 0% | 54–60 | 53–61 | 52–63 | 50–64 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 55 | 0% | 51–58 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 45–62 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 29 | 0% | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–36 | 24–39 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 91 | 6% | 98% | |
| 92 | 5% | 92% | |
| 93 | 9% | 87% | |
| 94 | 4% | 78% | |
| 95 | 15% | 74% | |
| 96 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 97 | 9% | 47% | |
| 98 | 15% | 38% | |
| 99 | 10% | 23% | |
| 100 | 5% | 13% | |
| 101 | 2% | 7% | |
| 102 | 2% | 5% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 2% | 97% | |
| 92 | 8% | 95% | |
| 93 | 6% | 87% | |
| 94 | 9% | 80% | |
| 95 | 12% | 71% | |
| 96 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 97 | 13% | 44% | |
| 98 | 10% | 31% | |
| 99 | 10% | 21% | |
| 100 | 4% | 12% | |
| 101 | 2% | 7% | |
| 102 | 2% | 5% | |
| 103 | 2% | 3% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 2% | 96% | |
| 90 | 4% | 93% | |
| 91 | 13% | 90% | |
| 92 | 12% | 77% | |
| 93 | 10% | 65% | |
| 94 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 95 | 18% | 46% | |
| 96 | 12% | 28% | |
| 97 | 7% | 16% | |
| 98 | 3% | 9% | |
| 99 | 2% | 6% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 101 | 2% | 3% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 84 | 9% | 97% | |
| 85 | 5% | 88% | Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 83% | |
| 87 | 11% | 70% | |
| 88 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 89 | 11% | 43% | |
| 90 | 8% | 32% | |
| 91 | 13% | 24% | |
| 92 | 3% | 11% | |
| 93 | 4% | 8% | |
| 94 | 2% | 4% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 81 | 2% | 97% | |
| 82 | 5% | 95% | |
| 83 | 6% | 91% | |
| 84 | 14% | 85% | |
| 85 | 15% | 72% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 87 | 22% | 46% | |
| 88 | 4% | 24% | |
| 89 | 7% | 20% | |
| 90 | 4% | 13% | |
| 91 | 4% | 8% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 78 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 6% | 97% | |
| 80 | 3% | 91% | |
| 81 | 6% | 88% | |
| 82 | 15% | 82% | |
| 83 | 9% | 67% | |
| 84 | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 85 | 12% | 41% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 29% | |
| 87 | 11% | 23% | |
| 88 | 5% | 12% | |
| 89 | 2% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | |
| 78 | 4% | 95% | |
| 79 | 4% | 92% | |
| 80 | 7% | 87% | |
| 81 | 4% | 80% | |
| 82 | 22% | 76% | |
| 83 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 84 | 15% | 44% | |
| 85 | 14% | 28% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 15% | |
| 87 | 5% | 9% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 73 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 74 | 5% | 97% | |
| 75 | 4% | 92% | |
| 76 | 17% | 88% | |
| 77 | 12% | 71% | |
| 78 | 19% | 59% | Median |
| 79 | 11% | 40% | Last Result |
| 80 | 10% | 29% | |
| 81 | 8% | 19% | |
| 82 | 5% | 11% | |
| 83 | 2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 96% | |
| 70 | 4% | 94% | |
| 71 | 10% | 90% | |
| 72 | 9% | 81% | |
| 73 | 15% | 72% | |
| 74 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 75 | 11% | 41% | |
| 76 | 13% | 30% | Last Result |
| 77 | 7% | 17% | |
| 78 | 2% | 10% | |
| 79 | 3% | 8% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 70 | 2% | 96% | |
| 71 | 3% | 94% | |
| 72 | 7% | 91% | |
| 73 | 12% | 84% | |
| 74 | 18% | 72% | |
| 75 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 76 | 10% | 45% | |
| 77 | 12% | 35% | |
| 78 | 13% | 23% | |
| 79 | 4% | 10% | |
| 80 | 2% | 7% | |
| 81 | 3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 2% | 95% | |
| 69 | 4% | 93% | |
| 70 | 10% | 88% | |
| 71 | 10% | 79% | |
| 72 | 13% | 69% | |
| 73 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 74 | 12% | 41% | |
| 75 | 9% | 29% | |
| 76 | 6% | 20% | |
| 77 | 8% | 13% | |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 2% | 97% | |
| 63 | 8% | 95% | |
| 64 | 13% | 87% | |
| 65 | 20% | 73% | |
| 66 | 19% | 53% | Median |
| 67 | 11% | 35% | |
| 68 | 9% | 23% | Last Result |
| 69 | 5% | 14% | |
| 70 | 3% | 9% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 96% | |
| 61 | 6% | 94% | |
| 62 | 4% | 88% | |
| 63 | 17% | 84% | |
| 64 | 16% | 66% | |
| 65 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 66 | 5% | 34% | |
| 67 | 8% | 29% | |
| 68 | 9% | 21% | |
| 69 | 4% | 13% | |
| 70 | 7% | 9% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 4% | 94% | |
| 61 | 5% | 90% | |
| 62 | 15% | 85% | |
| 63 | 18% | 70% | |
| 64 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 65 | 7% | 36% | |
| 66 | 6% | 29% | |
| 67 | 7% | 23% | |
| 68 | 7% | 16% | |
| 69 | 7% | 8% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 96% | |
| 54 | 6% | 94% | |
| 55 | 7% | 87% | |
| 56 | 20% | 80% | |
| 57 | 15% | 60% | Median |
| 58 | 18% | 44% | |
| 59 | 6% | 26% | |
| 60 | 13% | 20% | Last Result |
| 61 | 2% | 7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 2% | 95% | |
| 51 | 3% | 92% | |
| 52 | 7% | 89% | |
| 53 | 11% | 82% | |
| 54 | 7% | 72% | |
| 55 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 56 | 16% | 48% | |
| 57 | 17% | 32% | |
| 58 | 8% | 15% | |
| 59 | 4% | 7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 26 | 5% | 97% | |
| 27 | 5% | 92% | |
| 28 | 17% | 88% | |
| 29 | 21% | 70% | |
| 30 | 14% | 49% | Median |
| 31 | 10% | 35% | |
| 32 | 10% | 25% | |
| 33 | 7% | 15% | |
| 34 | 3% | 8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 36 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5–11 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 957
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.36%