Opinion Poll by Norstat, 27 March 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
26.6% |
24.4–28.9% |
23.8–29.6% |
23.3–30.2% |
22.3–31.3% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
24.5% |
22.4–26.8% |
21.8–27.5% |
21.3–28.0% |
20.3–29.2% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
14.3% |
12.7–16.3% |
12.2–16.8% |
11.8–17.3% |
11.1–18.3% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
12.1% |
10.6–13.9% |
10.1–14.4% |
9.8–14.9% |
9.1–15.8% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
6.8% |
5.7–8.3% |
5.4–8.7% |
5.1–9.1% |
4.6–9.9% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.9% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.7–6.6% |
3.5–6.9% |
3.1–7.6% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.3% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.9% |
3.0–6.2% |
2.6–6.8% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
2.4% |
1.8–3.4% |
1.6–3.7% |
1.4–3.9% |
1.2–4.4% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
1.8% |
1.2–2.6% |
1.1–2.9% |
1.0–3.1% |
0.8–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
41 |
1.3% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
2% |
98% |
|
43 |
3% |
95% |
|
44 |
7% |
92% |
|
45 |
7% |
84% |
|
46 |
6% |
78% |
|
47 |
12% |
71% |
|
48 |
7% |
60% |
|
49 |
12% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
50 |
8% |
41% |
|
51 |
15% |
32% |
|
52 |
5% |
17% |
|
53 |
5% |
12% |
|
54 |
3% |
8% |
|
55 |
3% |
5% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
2% |
98% |
|
39 |
5% |
96% |
|
40 |
6% |
90% |
|
41 |
10% |
85% |
|
42 |
10% |
75% |
|
43 |
16% |
66% |
Median |
44 |
13% |
49% |
|
45 |
7% |
36% |
Last Result |
46 |
12% |
30% |
|
47 |
6% |
18% |
|
48 |
4% |
11% |
|
49 |
3% |
7% |
|
50 |
2% |
4% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
20 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
21 |
3% |
98% |
|
22 |
5% |
95% |
|
23 |
8% |
90% |
|
24 |
11% |
83% |
|
25 |
22% |
71% |
Median |
26 |
7% |
50% |
|
27 |
16% |
43% |
|
28 |
8% |
27% |
|
29 |
8% |
19% |
|
30 |
3% |
11% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
32 |
4% |
7% |
|
33 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
34 |
2% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
16 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
17 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
18 |
8% |
97% |
|
19 |
9% |
89% |
|
20 |
12% |
81% |
|
21 |
17% |
69% |
|
22 |
17% |
52% |
Median |
23 |
12% |
36% |
|
24 |
11% |
23% |
|
25 |
5% |
12% |
|
26 |
3% |
7% |
|
27 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result |
28 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
10 |
15% |
96% |
|
11 |
14% |
82% |
Last Result |
12 |
19% |
67% |
Median |
13 |
20% |
48% |
|
14 |
18% |
28% |
|
15 |
7% |
11% |
|
16 |
3% |
4% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
90% |
|
4 |
0% |
90% |
|
5 |
0% |
90% |
|
6 |
0% |
90% |
|
7 |
7% |
90% |
|
8 |
19% |
83% |
|
9 |
30% |
64% |
Median |
10 |
18% |
34% |
|
11 |
9% |
16% |
|
12 |
5% |
7% |
|
13 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
20% |
96% |
|
3 |
10% |
76% |
|
4 |
0.8% |
66% |
|
5 |
0% |
65% |
|
6 |
0% |
65% |
|
7 |
9% |
65% |
|
8 |
25% |
56% |
Median |
9 |
19% |
31% |
|
10 |
7% |
12% |
|
11 |
3% |
4% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
34% |
100% |
|
1 |
51% |
66% |
Median |
2 |
5% |
15% |
|
3 |
9% |
11% |
|
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
2% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
49% |
100% |
|
1 |
33% |
51% |
Median |
2 |
18% |
18% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
102 |
100% |
96–107 |
95–108 |
94–109 |
90–112 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
93 |
97% |
88–99 |
86–101 |
84–103 |
83–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
95 |
99.2% |
89–99 |
88–101 |
87–102 |
83–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
95 |
99.4% |
91–101 |
88–102 |
87–102 |
84–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
94 |
98% |
88–99 |
87–100 |
85–101 |
82–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
87 |
76% |
82–92 |
80–93 |
79–95 |
76–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
82 |
34% |
76–88 |
75–89 |
74–91 |
71–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
76 |
3% |
70–81 |
68–83 |
66–85 |
64–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
76 |
0.7% |
70–80 |
69–82 |
67–83 |
65–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
75 |
0.3% |
69–79 |
68–81 |
66–82 |
64–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
74 |
0.6% |
68–78 |
67–81 |
66–82 |
64–85 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
67 |
0% |
62–73 |
60–74 |
59–75 |
57–78 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
66 |
0% |
61–71 |
59–73 |
58–74 |
56–76 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
65 |
0% |
60–71 |
59–73 |
58–73 |
56–76 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
61 |
0% |
56–65 |
55–67 |
53–68 |
51–70 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
45 |
0% |
41–50 |
40–51 |
39–53 |
37–56 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
27 |
0% |
24–32 |
23–34 |
22–35 |
21–37 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
92 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
94 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
95 |
3% |
97% |
|
96 |
5% |
93% |
|
97 |
4% |
89% |
|
98 |
4% |
85% |
|
99 |
6% |
81% |
|
100 |
8% |
75% |
|
101 |
11% |
67% |
|
102 |
8% |
56% |
|
103 |
15% |
47% |
Median |
104 |
10% |
33% |
|
105 |
7% |
23% |
|
106 |
4% |
16% |
|
107 |
4% |
12% |
|
108 |
3% |
8% |
|
109 |
3% |
5% |
|
110 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
111 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
112 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
96% |
|
87 |
2% |
94% |
|
88 |
5% |
93% |
|
89 |
4% |
87% |
|
90 |
6% |
83% |
|
91 |
16% |
78% |
|
92 |
10% |
62% |
Median |
93 |
7% |
51% |
|
94 |
9% |
45% |
|
95 |
7% |
35% |
|
96 |
7% |
28% |
|
97 |
5% |
21% |
|
98 |
5% |
16% |
|
99 |
3% |
11% |
|
100 |
3% |
8% |
|
101 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
102 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
103 |
2% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
105 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
98% |
|
88 |
4% |
96% |
Last Result |
89 |
4% |
92% |
|
90 |
5% |
88% |
|
91 |
8% |
83% |
|
92 |
6% |
75% |
|
93 |
8% |
69% |
|
94 |
10% |
60% |
|
95 |
18% |
51% |
Median |
96 |
6% |
33% |
|
97 |
7% |
27% |
|
98 |
4% |
21% |
|
99 |
7% |
17% |
|
100 |
4% |
10% |
|
101 |
3% |
6% |
|
102 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
Majority |
86 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
87 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
88 |
2% |
97% |
|
89 |
2% |
94% |
|
90 |
2% |
92% |
|
91 |
5% |
90% |
|
92 |
8% |
85% |
|
93 |
6% |
77% |
|
94 |
8% |
71% |
|
95 |
16% |
64% |
Median |
96 |
8% |
48% |
|
97 |
8% |
40% |
|
98 |
9% |
32% |
|
99 |
8% |
24% |
|
100 |
3% |
15% |
|
101 |
7% |
12% |
|
102 |
3% |
6% |
|
103 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
85 |
2% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
97% |
|
87 |
3% |
95% |
|
88 |
3% |
92% |
|
89 |
7% |
89% |
|
90 |
6% |
82% |
|
91 |
7% |
76% |
|
92 |
8% |
69% |
|
93 |
8% |
61% |
|
94 |
19% |
53% |
Median |
95 |
9% |
34% |
|
96 |
3% |
25% |
|
97 |
5% |
22% |
|
98 |
6% |
16% |
|
99 |
4% |
10% |
|
100 |
3% |
6% |
|
101 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
98% |
Last Result |
80 |
2% |
97% |
|
81 |
3% |
95% |
|
82 |
4% |
91% |
|
83 |
6% |
88% |
|
84 |
5% |
81% |
|
85 |
8% |
76% |
Majority |
86 |
18% |
68% |
Median |
87 |
6% |
50% |
|
88 |
7% |
44% |
|
89 |
10% |
37% |
|
90 |
9% |
26% |
|
91 |
5% |
17% |
|
92 |
7% |
12% |
|
93 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
94 |
2% |
4% |
|
95 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
74 |
2% |
98% |
|
75 |
2% |
95% |
|
76 |
3% |
93% |
|
77 |
6% |
90% |
Last Result |
78 |
7% |
84% |
|
79 |
5% |
77% |
|
80 |
11% |
72% |
|
81 |
10% |
61% |
|
82 |
8% |
50% |
|
83 |
4% |
43% |
Median |
84 |
4% |
39% |
|
85 |
12% |
34% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
22% |
|
87 |
4% |
14% |
|
88 |
3% |
10% |
|
89 |
3% |
7% |
|
90 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
91 |
2% |
3% |
|
92 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
68 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
69 |
3% |
95% |
|
70 |
3% |
92% |
|
71 |
5% |
89% |
|
72 |
5% |
84% |
|
73 |
7% |
79% |
|
74 |
7% |
72% |
|
75 |
9% |
64% |
|
76 |
7% |
55% |
|
77 |
10% |
48% |
|
78 |
16% |
38% |
Median |
79 |
6% |
22% |
|
80 |
4% |
16% |
|
81 |
5% |
13% |
|
82 |
2% |
7% |
|
83 |
2% |
5% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
85 |
2% |
3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
|
69 |
3% |
96% |
|
70 |
3% |
92% |
|
71 |
4% |
89% |
|
72 |
7% |
84% |
|
73 |
8% |
77% |
|
74 |
7% |
70% |
|
75 |
7% |
63% |
Median |
76 |
8% |
56% |
Last Result |
77 |
18% |
48% |
|
78 |
11% |
30% |
|
79 |
5% |
20% |
|
80 |
6% |
14% |
|
81 |
2% |
8% |
|
82 |
3% |
6% |
|
83 |
2% |
3% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
67 |
2% |
97% |
|
68 |
2% |
96% |
Last Result |
69 |
4% |
93% |
|
70 |
5% |
89% |
|
71 |
6% |
84% |
|
72 |
10% |
78% |
|
73 |
6% |
68% |
|
74 |
6% |
62% |
Median |
75 |
10% |
56% |
|
76 |
16% |
46% |
|
77 |
8% |
31% |
|
78 |
9% |
23% |
|
79 |
5% |
14% |
|
80 |
3% |
9% |
|
81 |
2% |
6% |
|
82 |
2% |
4% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
67 |
3% |
97% |
|
68 |
7% |
94% |
|
69 |
3% |
87% |
|
70 |
8% |
84% |
|
71 |
9% |
76% |
|
72 |
8% |
67% |
|
73 |
8% |
60% |
|
74 |
16% |
52% |
|
75 |
8% |
36% |
Median |
76 |
6% |
28% |
|
77 |
8% |
22% |
|
78 |
5% |
14% |
|
79 |
2% |
10% |
|
80 |
2% |
7% |
|
81 |
2% |
5% |
|
82 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
60 |
3% |
97% |
|
61 |
3% |
95% |
|
62 |
4% |
92% |
|
63 |
4% |
88% |
|
64 |
7% |
84% |
|
65 |
10% |
77% |
|
66 |
15% |
67% |
|
67 |
9% |
52% |
Median |
68 |
11% |
44% |
|
69 |
8% |
33% |
|
70 |
6% |
25% |
|
71 |
4% |
19% |
|
72 |
4% |
15% |
|
73 |
5% |
11% |
|
74 |
3% |
6% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
98.5% |
|
59 |
3% |
97% |
|
60 |
2% |
95% |
|
61 |
3% |
92% |
|
62 |
5% |
89% |
|
63 |
7% |
84% |
|
64 |
7% |
77% |
|
65 |
20% |
70% |
|
66 |
6% |
50% |
Median |
67 |
11% |
45% |
|
68 |
9% |
34% |
|
69 |
6% |
25% |
|
70 |
6% |
19% |
|
71 |
4% |
13% |
|
72 |
2% |
9% |
|
73 |
3% |
7% |
|
74 |
2% |
4% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
3% |
98% |
|
59 |
2% |
95% |
|
60 |
4% |
93% |
|
61 |
7% |
90% |
|
62 |
6% |
83% |
|
63 |
5% |
77% |
|
64 |
11% |
72% |
|
65 |
18% |
60% |
Median |
66 |
5% |
42% |
|
67 |
8% |
38% |
|
68 |
9% |
30% |
|
69 |
6% |
21% |
|
70 |
3% |
15% |
|
71 |
4% |
11% |
|
72 |
2% |
7% |
Last Result |
73 |
3% |
5% |
|
74 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
98.8% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
55 |
3% |
96% |
|
56 |
4% |
93% |
|
57 |
8% |
89% |
|
58 |
8% |
81% |
|
59 |
5% |
73% |
|
60 |
10% |
68% |
Last Result |
61 |
18% |
58% |
Median |
62 |
10% |
40% |
|
63 |
7% |
30% |
|
64 |
6% |
24% |
|
65 |
9% |
17% |
|
66 |
2% |
8% |
|
67 |
3% |
6% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
39 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
40 |
2% |
97% |
|
41 |
7% |
94% |
|
42 |
7% |
88% |
|
43 |
7% |
80% |
|
44 |
16% |
74% |
|
45 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
46 |
16% |
49% |
|
47 |
9% |
33% |
|
48 |
7% |
23% |
|
49 |
6% |
17% |
|
50 |
4% |
11% |
|
51 |
3% |
7% |
|
52 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
23 |
3% |
96% |
|
24 |
8% |
93% |
|
25 |
10% |
86% |
|
26 |
17% |
76% |
|
27 |
11% |
59% |
Median |
28 |
10% |
48% |
|
29 |
9% |
38% |
|
30 |
11% |
29% |
|
31 |
4% |
18% |
|
32 |
5% |
14% |
|
33 |
3% |
9% |
|
34 |
3% |
6% |
|
35 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
36 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 27 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 628
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.39%