Opinion Poll by Norstat, 2 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 27.5% | 25.3–29.9% | 24.7–30.6% | 24.2–31.2% | 23.2–32.3% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 20.4% | 18.4–22.6% | 17.9–23.2% | 17.4–23.7% | 16.5–24.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 15.6% | 13.9–17.6% | 13.4–18.2% | 13.0–18.7% | 12.2–19.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 11.1% | 9.7–12.9% | 9.3–13.4% | 8.9–13.9% | 8.3–14.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3–9.0% | 6.0–9.4% | 5.7–9.8% | 5.2–10.6% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.8% | 3.6–7.1% | 3.2–7.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.4% | 3.4–6.8% | 3.0–7.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.2–5.1% | 1.9–5.7% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.5% | 1.3–3.7% | 1.1–4.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 49 | 46–55 | 44–55 | 44–56 | 42–59 |
| Høyre | 45 | 34 | 32–39 | 31–41 | 31–42 | 29–44 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 29 | 24–32 | 24–34 | 23–35 | 21–36 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 19 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 15–24 | 15–27 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–17 | 10–18 | 9–19 |
| Rødt | 1 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 2–12 | 2–14 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 0–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–7 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 44 | 5% | 98% | |
| 45 | 2% | 93% | |
| 46 | 3% | 91% | |
| 47 | 3% | 88% | |
| 48 | 4% | 85% | |
| 49 | 41% | 81% | Last Result, Median |
| 50 | 6% | 40% | |
| 51 | 3% | 34% | |
| 52 | 8% | 31% | |
| 53 | 6% | 23% | |
| 54 | 6% | 17% | |
| 55 | 7% | 11% | |
| 56 | 3% | 5% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 7% | 98.5% | |
| 32 | 3% | 91% | |
| 33 | 4% | 89% | |
| 34 | 41% | 85% | Median |
| 35 | 4% | 44% | |
| 36 | 4% | 40% | |
| 37 | 6% | 36% | |
| 38 | 11% | 30% | |
| 39 | 11% | 19% | |
| 40 | 2% | 9% | |
| 41 | 4% | 7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 23 | 3% | 98% | |
| 24 | 6% | 96% | |
| 25 | 8% | 89% | |
| 26 | 6% | 81% | |
| 27 | 4% | 74% | |
| 28 | 16% | 70% | |
| 29 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 30 | 4% | 45% | |
| 31 | 2% | 40% | |
| 32 | 29% | 38% | |
| 33 | 3% | 9% | |
| 34 | 4% | 7% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 3% | 97% | |
| 17 | 9% | 94% | |
| 18 | 5% | 85% | |
| 19 | 33% | 80% | Median |
| 20 | 15% | 47% | |
| 21 | 8% | 32% | |
| 22 | 4% | 23% | |
| 23 | 2% | 20% | |
| 24 | 15% | 18% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 11 | 6% | 94% | Last Result |
| 12 | 13% | 88% | |
| 13 | 36% | 75% | Median |
| 14 | 20% | 39% | |
| 15 | 10% | 20% | |
| 16 | 4% | 10% | |
| 17 | 2% | 6% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 95% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 5% | 95% | |
| 8 | 14% | 90% | |
| 9 | 47% | 76% | Median |
| 10 | 14% | 29% | |
| 11 | 9% | 14% | |
| 12 | 3% | 5% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 11% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 2% | 89% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 87% | |
| 5 | 0% | 87% | |
| 6 | 0% | 87% | |
| 7 | 4% | 87% | |
| 8 | 23% | 83% | |
| 9 | 35% | 60% | Median |
| 10 | 19% | 24% | |
| 11 | 3% | 5% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 35% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 4% | 64% | |
| 3 | 46% | 60% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 14% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 14% | |
| 7 | 6% | 14% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26% | 100% | |
| 1 | 43% | 74% | Median |
| 2 | 31% | 32% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 110 | 100% | 105–112 | 102–114 | 100–115 | 97–117 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 104 | 100% | 99–107 | 97–109 | 95–111 | 91–113 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 102 | 100% | 97–106 | 95–106 | 93–108 | 89–110 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 101 | 100% | 96–103 | 94–104 | 92–106 | 88–110 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 94 | 97% | 87–96 | 86–98 | 84–99 | 82–101 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 90 | 87% | 84–94 | 83–96 | 80–97 | 78–100 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 89 | 91% | 85–93 | 82–96 | 80–97 | 78–100 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 82 | 15% | 78–86 | 76–88 | 74–89 | 71–92 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 62 | 80 | 8% | 76–84 | 73–87 | 72–89 | 69–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 80 | 3% | 75–81 | 73–83 | 70–85 | 69–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 67 | 0% | 63–72 | 63–74 | 61–76 | 59–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 63 | 0% | 58–68 | 57–69 | 56–71 | 54–73 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 59 | 0% | 57–64 | 55–66 | 54–68 | 51–72 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 56 | 0% | 54–61 | 51–63 | 50–64 | 49–68 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 55 | 0% | 52–60 | 50–62 | 48–62 | 48–66 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 38 | 0% | 35–44 | 35–46 | 35–48 | 32–50 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 34 | 0% | 27–37 | 27–39 | 26–41 | 24–44 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 100 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 101 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 102 | 2% | 97% | |
| 103 | 3% | 95% | |
| 104 | 2% | 92% | |
| 105 | 4% | 90% | |
| 106 | 2% | 86% | |
| 107 | 8% | 84% | |
| 108 | 12% | 76% | |
| 109 | 3% | 65% | Median |
| 110 | 18% | 62% | |
| 111 | 4% | 44% | |
| 112 | 34% | 40% | |
| 113 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 114 | 3% | 5% | |
| 115 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 118 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 95 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 97 | 2% | 96% | |
| 98 | 4% | 94% | |
| 99 | 9% | 90% | |
| 100 | 3% | 81% | |
| 101 | 3% | 78% | |
| 102 | 19% | 75% | |
| 103 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 104 | 7% | 50% | |
| 105 | 3% | 44% | |
| 106 | 29% | 41% | |
| 107 | 4% | 13% | |
| 108 | 2% | 9% | |
| 109 | 3% | 7% | |
| 110 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 111 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 93 | 2% | 98% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 95 | 2% | 95% | |
| 96 | 2% | 93% | |
| 97 | 3% | 91% | |
| 98 | 3% | 88% | |
| 99 | 8% | 84% | |
| 100 | 16% | 76% | Median |
| 101 | 6% | 61% | |
| 102 | 6% | 54% | |
| 103 | 30% | 48% | |
| 104 | 7% | 19% | |
| 105 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 106 | 7% | 11% | |
| 107 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 108 | 2% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 93 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 94 | 2% | 96% | |
| 95 | 2% | 93% | |
| 96 | 4% | 91% | |
| 97 | 3% | 87% | |
| 98 | 9% | 84% | |
| 99 | 9% | 75% | |
| 100 | 4% | 66% | Median |
| 101 | 18% | 62% | |
| 102 | 6% | 44% | |
| 103 | 30% | 38% | |
| 104 | 4% | 8% | |
| 105 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 106 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 95% | |
| 87 | 3% | 92% | |
| 88 | 2% | 90% | |
| 89 | 3% | 87% | |
| 90 | 5% | 84% | |
| 91 | 20% | 80% | Median |
| 92 | 3% | 60% | |
| 93 | 5% | 56% | |
| 94 | 35% | 51% | |
| 95 | 3% | 16% | |
| 96 | 6% | 13% | |
| 97 | 2% | 7% | |
| 98 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 99 | 2% | 4% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 84 | 7% | 95% | |
| 85 | 2% | 87% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 85% | |
| 87 | 5% | 83% | |
| 88 | 14% | 78% | |
| 89 | 5% | 64% | |
| 90 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 91 | 3% | 46% | |
| 92 | 4% | 44% | |
| 93 | 29% | 40% | |
| 94 | 2% | 11% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 96 | 4% | 8% | |
| 97 | 2% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 82 | 3% | 97% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 93% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 85 | 6% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 86% | Median |
| 87 | 16% | 77% | |
| 88 | 4% | 61% | |
| 89 | 31% | 56% | |
| 90 | 6% | 26% | |
| 91 | 5% | 19% | |
| 92 | 2% | 14% | |
| 93 | 3% | 13% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 96 | 3% | 8% | |
| 97 | 3% | 5% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 76 | 2% | 95% | Last Result |
| 77 | 3% | 93% | |
| 78 | 14% | 90% | |
| 79 | 5% | 76% | |
| 80 | 4% | 72% | |
| 81 | 4% | 68% | Median |
| 82 | 19% | 64% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 46% | |
| 84 | 29% | 45% | |
| 85 | 3% | 15% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 12% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 88 | 5% | 8% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 95% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 92% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 76 | 3% | 90% | |
| 77 | 2% | 87% | |
| 78 | 5% | 85% | |
| 79 | 6% | 80% | |
| 80 | 31% | 74% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 43% | |
| 82 | 16% | 39% | |
| 83 | 9% | 22% | |
| 84 | 5% | 14% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 87 | 3% | 6% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 69 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 4% | 95% | |
| 74 | 2% | 92% | |
| 75 | 2% | 90% | |
| 76 | 3% | 88% | |
| 77 | 14% | 85% | |
| 78 | 7% | 71% | Median |
| 79 | 13% | 65% | |
| 80 | 4% | 51% | |
| 81 | 38% | 47% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 63 | 7% | 96% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 65 | 7% | 88% | |
| 66 | 30% | 81% | Median |
| 67 | 6% | 51% | |
| 68 | 6% | 45% | |
| 69 | 16% | 39% | |
| 70 | 8% | 23% | |
| 71 | 3% | 15% | |
| 72 | 3% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 7% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 93% | |
| 59 | 2% | 90% | |
| 60 | 2% | 88% | Last Result |
| 61 | 2% | 85% | |
| 62 | 33% | 83% | Median |
| 63 | 13% | 50% | |
| 64 | 2% | 37% | |
| 65 | 6% | 35% | |
| 66 | 4% | 29% | |
| 67 | 12% | 24% | |
| 68 | 7% | 13% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 57 | 34% | 93% | Median |
| 58 | 4% | 60% | |
| 59 | 18% | 55% | |
| 60 | 3% | 38% | |
| 61 | 12% | 35% | |
| 62 | 8% | 23% | |
| 63 | 2% | 15% | |
| 64 | 4% | 13% | |
| 65 | 2% | 9% | |
| 66 | 3% | 8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 52 | 2% | 94% | |
| 53 | 2% | 93% | |
| 54 | 34% | 90% | Median |
| 55 | 3% | 56% | |
| 56 | 3% | 53% | |
| 57 | 4% | 50% | |
| 58 | 17% | 46% | |
| 59 | 7% | 29% | |
| 60 | 10% | 22% | |
| 61 | 3% | 12% | |
| 62 | 2% | 9% | |
| 63 | 4% | 7% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 50 | 2% | 95% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 94% | |
| 52 | 6% | 93% | |
| 53 | 32% | 86% | Median |
| 54 | 3% | 54% | |
| 55 | 3% | 51% | |
| 56 | 5% | 47% | |
| 57 | 2% | 42% | |
| 58 | 18% | 40% | |
| 59 | 11% | 23% | |
| 60 | 4% | 11% | |
| 61 | 2% | 8% | |
| 62 | 4% | 6% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 13% | 98.7% | |
| 36 | 6% | 85% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 80% | |
| 38 | 31% | 78% | Median |
| 39 | 3% | 47% | |
| 40 | 6% | 44% | |
| 41 | 10% | 38% | |
| 42 | 10% | 28% | |
| 43 | 7% | 18% | |
| 44 | 3% | 11% | |
| 45 | 2% | 8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 8% | 97% | |
| 28 | 4% | 88% | |
| 29 | 14% | 85% | |
| 30 | 6% | 71% | |
| 31 | 3% | 65% | |
| 32 | 7% | 62% | |
| 33 | 3% | 55% | Median |
| 34 | 6% | 52% | |
| 35 | 2% | 47% | Last Result |
| 36 | 30% | 44% | |
| 37 | 6% | 14% | |
| 38 | 2% | 7% | |
| 39 | 2% | 5% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 2 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 628
- Simulations done: 262,144
- Error estimate: 2.00%