Opinion Poll by Sentio, 14–18 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 23.1% | 21.4–24.9% | 21.0–25.4% | 20.6–25.8% | 19.8–26.7% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 22.6% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.5–24.9% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.3–26.2% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 15.8% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–19.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 11.9% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.0–14.1% | 9.5–14.8% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 42 | 39–45 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–48 |
| Høyre | 45 | 40 | 36–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 33–47 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 29 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 23–35 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 21 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–25 | 16–27 |
| Rødt | 1 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–16 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 9 | 7–11 | 3–11 | 2–12 | 2–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 5% | 97% | |
| 39 | 12% | 92% | |
| 40 | 9% | 80% | |
| 41 | 14% | 72% | |
| 42 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 43 | 9% | 45% | |
| 44 | 23% | 37% | |
| 45 | 5% | 14% | |
| 46 | 3% | 9% | |
| 47 | 4% | 7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 36 | 8% | 96% | |
| 37 | 5% | 88% | |
| 38 | 12% | 83% | |
| 39 | 18% | 71% | |
| 40 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 41 | 16% | 43% | |
| 42 | 12% | 27% | |
| 43 | 5% | 15% | |
| 44 | 6% | 10% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 46 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 25 | 7% | 97% | |
| 26 | 6% | 90% | |
| 27 | 16% | 84% | |
| 28 | 12% | 68% | |
| 29 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 30 | 16% | 46% | |
| 31 | 11% | 30% | |
| 32 | 10% | 20% | |
| 33 | 5% | 9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 18 | 7% | 93% | |
| 19 | 14% | 86% | |
| 20 | 18% | 72% | |
| 21 | 15% | 54% | Median |
| 22 | 13% | 39% | |
| 23 | 11% | 26% | |
| 24 | 10% | 15% | |
| 25 | 3% | 5% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 20% | 94% | |
| 11 | 22% | 74% | |
| 12 | 24% | 52% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 27% | |
| 14 | 7% | 9% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 13% | 96% | |
| 10 | 25% | 83% | |
| 11 | 25% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 12 | 22% | 33% | |
| 13 | 8% | 12% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 95% | |
| 5 | 0% | 95% | |
| 6 | 0% | 95% | |
| 7 | 10% | 95% | |
| 8 | 17% | 84% | |
| 9 | 17% | 67% | Median |
| 10 | 30% | 50% | |
| 11 | 17% | 20% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 20% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 11% | 80% | |
| 3 | 37% | 69% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 32% | |
| 5 | 0% | 32% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 7 | 20% | 32% | |
| 8 | 10% | 11% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | |
| 1 | 34% | 87% | |
| 2 | 52% | 53% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 103 | 100% | 98–107 | 97–109 | 95–109 | 93–111 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 95 | 99.8% | 91–100 | 89–101 | 89–102 | 87–104 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 95 | 99.7% | 90–100 | 88–101 | 88–101 | 85–104 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 80 | 93 | 99.6% | 90–98 | 88–99 | 87–100 | 85–102 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 91 | 96% | 86–95 | 85–97 | 84–98 | 81–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 84 | 49% | 79–89 | 77–91 | 77–92 | 75–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 82 | 20% | 78–86 | 77–87 | 75–88 | 73–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 75 | 0.6% | 70–80 | 69–82 | 68–83 | 66–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 75 | 0.3% | 71–79 | 69–80 | 68–82 | 67–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 71 | 0% | 67–76 | 66–76 | 65–77 | 63–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 66 | 0% | 62–71 | 60–72 | 60–73 | 58–76 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 62 | 0% | 58–67 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 54–71 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 61 | 0% | 56–66 | 55–66 | 55–67 | 52–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 53 | 0% | 49–57 | 48–58 | 48–58 | 46–60 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 45 | 0% | 41–50 | 41–51 | 40–52 | 38–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 34 | 0% | 30–39 | 29–41 | 28–41 | 26–43 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 96 | 2% | 97% | |
| 97 | 2% | 96% | |
| 98 | 6% | 93% | |
| 99 | 5% | 88% | |
| 100 | 11% | 82% | |
| 101 | 9% | 71% | |
| 102 | 10% | 63% | |
| 103 | 12% | 52% | Median |
| 104 | 12% | 40% | |
| 105 | 6% | 28% | |
| 106 | 6% | 22% | |
| 107 | 8% | 16% | |
| 108 | 3% | 8% | |
| 109 | 4% | 5% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 89 | 3% | 98% | |
| 90 | 3% | 94% | |
| 91 | 4% | 92% | |
| 92 | 16% | 87% | |
| 93 | 4% | 71% | |
| 94 | 8% | 67% | |
| 95 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 96 | 9% | 46% | |
| 97 | 6% | 37% | |
| 98 | 13% | 30% | |
| 99 | 6% | 17% | |
| 100 | 5% | 11% | |
| 101 | 3% | 6% | |
| 102 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 88 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 89 | 3% | 94% | |
| 90 | 4% | 91% | |
| 91 | 6% | 87% | |
| 92 | 8% | 82% | |
| 93 | 8% | 73% | |
| 94 | 9% | 65% | Median |
| 95 | 9% | 56% | |
| 96 | 8% | 47% | |
| 97 | 15% | 39% | |
| 98 | 5% | 24% | |
| 99 | 7% | 19% | |
| 100 | 5% | 12% | |
| 101 | 5% | 7% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 4% | 94% | |
| 90 | 7% | 91% | |
| 91 | 10% | 84% | |
| 92 | 11% | 73% | |
| 93 | 14% | 63% | |
| 94 | 10% | 49% | Median |
| 95 | 8% | 38% | |
| 96 | 9% | 31% | |
| 97 | 9% | 22% | |
| 98 | 5% | 12% | |
| 99 | 3% | 7% | |
| 100 | 2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 96% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 94% | |
| 87 | 7% | 90% | |
| 88 | 8% | 83% | |
| 89 | 7% | 76% | |
| 90 | 12% | 69% | |
| 91 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 92 | 9% | 47% | |
| 93 | 10% | 38% | |
| 94 | 16% | 28% | |
| 95 | 3% | 12% | |
| 96 | 2% | 9% | |
| 97 | 4% | 7% | |
| 98 | 2% | 3% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 78 | 2% | 93% | |
| 79 | 5% | 91% | |
| 80 | 5% | 86% | |
| 81 | 9% | 81% | |
| 82 | 6% | 72% | |
| 83 | 9% | 66% | Median |
| 84 | 8% | 57% | |
| 85 | 13% | 49% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 36% | |
| 87 | 11% | 29% | |
| 88 | 3% | 18% | |
| 89 | 4% | 14% | |
| 90 | 4% | 10% | |
| 91 | 3% | 6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 3% | 95% | |
| 78 | 4% | 92% | |
| 79 | 7% | 88% | Last Result |
| 80 | 12% | 81% | |
| 81 | 14% | 69% | |
| 82 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 83 | 11% | 47% | |
| 84 | 17% | 37% | |
| 85 | 7% | 20% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 13% | |
| 87 | 3% | 8% | |
| 88 | 3% | 5% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98% | |
| 69 | 4% | 96% | |
| 70 | 6% | 93% | |
| 71 | 7% | 86% | |
| 72 | 6% | 79% | |
| 73 | 9% | 74% | |
| 74 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 54% | |
| 76 | 8% | 46% | Last Result |
| 77 | 9% | 38% | |
| 78 | 9% | 29% | |
| 79 | 6% | 19% | |
| 80 | 4% | 13% | |
| 81 | 2% | 9% | |
| 82 | 3% | 7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 69 | 3% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 95% | |
| 71 | 6% | 92% | |
| 72 | 10% | 86% | |
| 73 | 9% | 76% | |
| 74 | 8% | 67% | |
| 75 | 10% | 59% | Median |
| 76 | 13% | 49% | |
| 77 | 10% | 35% | |
| 78 | 10% | 25% | |
| 79 | 7% | 15% | |
| 80 | 4% | 8% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 5% | 96% | |
| 67 | 4% | 90% | |
| 68 | 5% | 86% | Last Result |
| 69 | 8% | 81% | |
| 70 | 15% | 73% | |
| 71 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 72 | 11% | 44% | |
| 73 | 8% | 34% | |
| 74 | 9% | 26% | |
| 75 | 7% | 17% | |
| 76 | 6% | 10% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 4% | 98% | |
| 61 | 4% | 94% | |
| 62 | 8% | 90% | |
| 63 | 6% | 82% | |
| 64 | 6% | 76% | |
| 65 | 12% | 70% | |
| 66 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 45% | |
| 68 | 8% | 35% | |
| 69 | 11% | 27% | |
| 70 | 5% | 16% | |
| 71 | 5% | 11% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 4% | 95% | |
| 58 | 5% | 91% | |
| 59 | 12% | 86% | |
| 60 | 9% | 75% | |
| 61 | 8% | 66% | |
| 62 | 15% | 58% | |
| 63 | 5% | 43% | Median |
| 64 | 12% | 39% | |
| 65 | 10% | 27% | |
| 66 | 4% | 17% | |
| 67 | 6% | 14% | |
| 68 | 4% | 7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 55 | 5% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 93% | |
| 57 | 5% | 90% | |
| 58 | 12% | 84% | |
| 59 | 10% | 72% | |
| 60 | 10% | 62% | |
| 61 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 42% | |
| 63 | 12% | 34% | |
| 64 | 6% | 22% | |
| 65 | 5% | 16% | |
| 66 | 6% | 10% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 6% | 98% | |
| 49 | 4% | 92% | |
| 50 | 5% | 88% | |
| 51 | 18% | 84% | |
| 52 | 12% | 66% | |
| 53 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 54 | 10% | 44% | |
| 55 | 10% | 34% | |
| 56 | 12% | 23% | |
| 57 | 5% | 11% | |
| 58 | 4% | 6% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 6% | 96% | |
| 42 | 11% | 89% | |
| 43 | 6% | 78% | |
| 44 | 17% | 72% | |
| 45 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 46 | 11% | 41% | |
| 47 | 8% | 30% | |
| 48 | 5% | 22% | |
| 49 | 7% | 17% | |
| 50 | 3% | 11% | |
| 51 | 4% | 8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 29 | 4% | 97% | |
| 30 | 4% | 93% | |
| 31 | 8% | 89% | |
| 32 | 13% | 80% | |
| 33 | 12% | 67% | |
| 34 | 6% | 54% | Median |
| 35 | 15% | 49% | Last Result |
| 36 | 8% | 34% | |
| 37 | 6% | 26% | |
| 38 | 7% | 20% | |
| 39 | 5% | 13% | |
| 40 | 4% | 9% | |
| 41 | 3% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–18 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.83%