Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco, 4–10 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.1% |
21.1–25.2% |
20.6–25.8% |
20.1–26.3% |
19.2–27.4% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
19.1% |
17.3–21.1% |
16.8–21.7% |
16.4–22.2% |
15.5–23.2% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
16.8% |
15.1–18.8% |
14.7–19.3% |
14.3–19.8% |
13.5–20.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
11.5% |
10.0–13.1% |
9.6–13.6% |
9.3–14.0% |
8.7–14.9% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
7.1% |
6.0–8.5% |
5.7–8.9% |
5.4–9.2% |
4.9–9.9% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
6.5% |
5.5–7.8% |
5.2–8.2% |
4.9–8.6% |
4.5–9.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
6.4% |
5.3–7.7% |
5.0–8.1% |
4.8–8.4% |
4.3–9.1% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.8% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.8–4.3% |
1.6–4.8% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
2.5% |
1.9–3.5% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.6–4.0% |
1.4–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
38 |
4% |
96% |
|
39 |
4% |
91% |
|
40 |
17% |
87% |
|
41 |
10% |
70% |
|
42 |
8% |
60% |
|
43 |
12% |
52% |
Median |
44 |
18% |
39% |
|
45 |
13% |
22% |
|
46 |
4% |
9% |
|
47 |
2% |
5% |
|
48 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
2% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
28 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
29 |
2% |
98% |
|
30 |
6% |
96% |
|
31 |
11% |
91% |
|
32 |
8% |
80% |
|
33 |
22% |
71% |
Median |
34 |
18% |
49% |
|
35 |
9% |
32% |
|
36 |
9% |
23% |
|
37 |
6% |
14% |
|
38 |
4% |
8% |
|
39 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
41 |
2% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
26 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
27 |
2% |
98% |
|
28 |
8% |
96% |
|
29 |
16% |
88% |
|
30 |
18% |
72% |
|
31 |
7% |
54% |
Median |
32 |
7% |
47% |
|
33 |
10% |
40% |
|
34 |
6% |
30% |
|
35 |
13% |
24% |
|
36 |
7% |
11% |
|
37 |
3% |
4% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
15 |
2% |
98% |
|
16 |
4% |
96% |
|
17 |
18% |
92% |
|
18 |
11% |
74% |
|
19 |
15% |
63% |
Median |
20 |
12% |
48% |
|
21 |
9% |
36% |
|
22 |
11% |
27% |
|
23 |
5% |
17% |
|
24 |
9% |
12% |
|
25 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
9% |
98% |
|
10 |
17% |
89% |
|
11 |
14% |
73% |
|
12 |
26% |
59% |
Median |
13 |
14% |
33% |
|
14 |
11% |
19% |
|
15 |
6% |
8% |
|
16 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
6% |
98.5% |
|
9 |
13% |
92% |
|
10 |
19% |
79% |
|
11 |
24% |
60% |
Median |
12 |
18% |
36% |
|
13 |
10% |
18% |
|
14 |
6% |
7% |
|
15 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
7% |
97% |
|
9 |
20% |
90% |
|
10 |
21% |
70% |
Median |
11 |
20% |
49% |
Last Result |
12 |
14% |
29% |
|
13 |
5% |
15% |
|
14 |
6% |
9% |
|
15 |
3% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
15% |
97% |
|
2 |
76% |
82% |
Median |
3 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
4 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
6% |
|
6 |
3% |
6% |
|
7 |
2% |
3% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
18% |
100% |
|
1 |
54% |
82% |
Median |
2 |
8% |
28% |
|
3 |
18% |
19% |
|
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
81 |
108 |
100% |
103–113 |
100–114 |
99–115 |
95–117 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
97 |
99.9% |
92–102 |
91–104 |
89–104 |
87–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
80 |
97 |
99.8% |
92–101 |
91–103 |
89–104 |
85–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
80 |
96 |
99.7% |
91–100 |
89–102 |
87–103 |
85–105 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
88 |
88% |
84–93 |
83–95 |
81–96 |
80–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
86 |
66% |
81–91 |
80–92 |
78–93 |
77–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
85 |
52% |
81–89 |
79–91 |
78–91 |
75–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
75 |
0.5% |
70–80 |
70–81 |
69–82 |
66–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
74 |
0.1% |
69–78 |
69–79 |
67–80 |
65–83 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
68 |
0% |
63–73 |
62–74 |
61–76 |
59–79 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
56 |
0% |
53–62 |
52–63 |
51–65 |
48–67 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
55 |
0% |
51–61 |
51–62 |
49–63 |
47–65 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
53 |
0% |
50–59 |
49–60 |
47–61 |
45–62 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
53 |
0% |
49–57 |
48–58 |
47–59 |
45–62 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
37 |
0% |
34–41 |
33–43 |
32–44 |
30–46 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
34 |
0% |
31–40 |
31–40 |
30–42 |
26–44 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
98 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
99 |
2% |
98% |
|
100 |
2% |
96% |
|
101 |
2% |
95% |
|
102 |
2% |
93% |
|
103 |
4% |
91% |
|
104 |
10% |
86% |
|
105 |
10% |
77% |
|
106 |
9% |
66% |
|
107 |
6% |
57% |
Median |
108 |
15% |
52% |
|
109 |
9% |
37% |
|
110 |
8% |
27% |
|
111 |
3% |
19% |
|
112 |
5% |
16% |
|
113 |
4% |
11% |
|
114 |
3% |
8% |
|
115 |
2% |
4% |
|
116 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
117 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
118 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
120 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
121 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
89 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
90 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
91 |
2% |
96% |
|
92 |
4% |
93% |
|
93 |
7% |
89% |
|
94 |
10% |
82% |
|
95 |
10% |
72% |
|
96 |
7% |
62% |
Median |
97 |
9% |
55% |
|
98 |
13% |
46% |
|
99 |
11% |
34% |
|
100 |
5% |
22% |
|
101 |
4% |
17% |
|
102 |
6% |
13% |
|
103 |
2% |
8% |
|
104 |
3% |
5% |
|
105 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
89 |
2% |
98% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
91 |
3% |
95% |
|
92 |
3% |
92% |
|
93 |
13% |
89% |
|
94 |
6% |
76% |
|
95 |
8% |
70% |
|
96 |
9% |
62% |
Median |
97 |
15% |
53% |
|
98 |
13% |
38% |
|
99 |
6% |
25% |
|
100 |
6% |
19% |
|
101 |
5% |
13% |
|
102 |
2% |
7% |
|
103 |
2% |
5% |
|
104 |
2% |
3% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
106 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
87 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
89 |
2% |
96% |
|
90 |
2% |
95% |
|
91 |
5% |
93% |
|
92 |
11% |
88% |
|
93 |
10% |
78% |
|
94 |
7% |
68% |
|
95 |
8% |
60% |
Median |
96 |
14% |
53% |
|
97 |
6% |
39% |
|
98 |
10% |
33% |
|
99 |
9% |
23% |
|
100 |
4% |
13% |
|
101 |
4% |
10% |
|
102 |
2% |
6% |
|
103 |
3% |
4% |
|
104 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
105 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
81 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
82 |
2% |
97% |
|
83 |
2% |
96% |
|
84 |
6% |
94% |
|
85 |
5% |
88% |
Majority |
86 |
18% |
83% |
Median |
87 |
11% |
65% |
|
88 |
11% |
54% |
|
89 |
10% |
43% |
|
90 |
5% |
34% |
|
91 |
6% |
29% |
|
92 |
6% |
22% |
|
93 |
7% |
16% |
|
94 |
3% |
10% |
|
95 |
2% |
6% |
|
96 |
2% |
4% |
|
97 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
98 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
78 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
80 |
2% |
97% |
|
81 |
6% |
95% |
|
82 |
3% |
88% |
|
83 |
12% |
85% |
|
84 |
7% |
72% |
|
85 |
10% |
66% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
56% |
Median |
87 |
7% |
48% |
|
88 |
9% |
41% |
|
89 |
12% |
32% |
|
90 |
6% |
21% |
|
91 |
5% |
15% |
|
92 |
5% |
9% |
|
93 |
2% |
4% |
|
94 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
78 |
2% |
98% |
|
79 |
3% |
96% |
Last Result |
80 |
2% |
94% |
|
81 |
14% |
91% |
|
82 |
6% |
78% |
|
83 |
11% |
71% |
|
84 |
9% |
60% |
Median |
85 |
9% |
52% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
43% |
|
87 |
13% |
32% |
|
88 |
9% |
20% |
|
89 |
3% |
11% |
|
90 |
3% |
8% |
|
91 |
3% |
6% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
69 |
2% |
98% |
|
70 |
8% |
96% |
|
71 |
10% |
88% |
|
72 |
4% |
78% |
|
73 |
5% |
73% |
|
74 |
7% |
69% |
|
75 |
12% |
62% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
49% |
Last Result |
77 |
10% |
43% |
|
78 |
12% |
33% |
|
79 |
7% |
21% |
|
80 |
5% |
14% |
|
81 |
5% |
9% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
83 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
Last Result |
69 |
8% |
96% |
|
70 |
11% |
88% |
|
71 |
6% |
77% |
|
72 |
6% |
71% |
|
73 |
7% |
65% |
|
74 |
11% |
57% |
Median |
75 |
9% |
46% |
|
76 |
7% |
37% |
|
77 |
9% |
30% |
|
78 |
12% |
21% |
|
79 |
5% |
9% |
|
80 |
3% |
4% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
61 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
62 |
4% |
97% |
|
63 |
5% |
93% |
|
64 |
7% |
87% |
|
65 |
13% |
80% |
|
66 |
11% |
67% |
Median |
67 |
5% |
57% |
|
68 |
11% |
52% |
|
69 |
11% |
40% |
|
70 |
4% |
30% |
|
71 |
8% |
26% |
|
72 |
5% |
18% |
|
73 |
5% |
12% |
|
74 |
3% |
7% |
|
75 |
2% |
5% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
52 |
5% |
97% |
|
53 |
7% |
92% |
|
54 |
13% |
85% |
|
55 |
12% |
71% |
Median |
56 |
12% |
59% |
|
57 |
10% |
47% |
|
58 |
9% |
37% |
|
59 |
9% |
29% |
|
60 |
4% |
20% |
|
61 |
4% |
16% |
|
62 |
2% |
12% |
|
63 |
5% |
10% |
|
64 |
2% |
4% |
|
65 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
6% |
96% |
|
52 |
8% |
90% |
|
53 |
13% |
82% |
|
54 |
14% |
69% |
Median |
55 |
13% |
55% |
|
56 |
8% |
42% |
|
57 |
9% |
34% |
|
58 |
6% |
25% |
|
59 |
5% |
19% |
|
60 |
3% |
14% |
|
61 |
2% |
11% |
|
62 |
5% |
9% |
|
63 |
2% |
4% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
47 |
1.3% |
98.7% |
|
48 |
2% |
97% |
|
49 |
4% |
96% |
|
50 |
7% |
92% |
|
51 |
16% |
85% |
|
52 |
13% |
68% |
Median |
53 |
17% |
56% |
|
54 |
8% |
39% |
|
55 |
9% |
31% |
|
56 |
5% |
22% |
|
57 |
4% |
17% |
|
58 |
3% |
13% |
|
59 |
2% |
10% |
|
60 |
5% |
8% |
|
61 |
2% |
3% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
47 |
3% |
98.5% |
|
48 |
3% |
95% |
|
49 |
7% |
92% |
|
50 |
4% |
85% |
|
51 |
14% |
82% |
|
52 |
9% |
68% |
|
53 |
15% |
59% |
Median |
54 |
16% |
44% |
|
55 |
9% |
28% |
|
56 |
6% |
19% |
|
57 |
5% |
13% |
|
58 |
3% |
8% |
|
59 |
2% |
5% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
2% |
Last Result |
61 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
33 |
5% |
97% |
|
34 |
7% |
92% |
|
35 |
15% |
85% |
|
36 |
17% |
69% |
Median |
37 |
13% |
53% |
|
38 |
11% |
39% |
|
39 |
7% |
28% |
|
40 |
7% |
21% |
|
41 |
6% |
14% |
|
42 |
2% |
7% |
|
43 |
2% |
5% |
|
44 |
2% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
31 |
11% |
97% |
|
32 |
10% |
86% |
|
33 |
15% |
76% |
|
34 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
35 |
9% |
49% |
Last Result |
36 |
6% |
40% |
|
37 |
5% |
34% |
|
38 |
9% |
29% |
|
39 |
9% |
20% |
|
40 |
7% |
11% |
|
41 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4–10 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 707
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.63%