Opinion Poll by Norstat, 18–24 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 26.0% | 24.2–27.9% | 23.7–28.4% | 23.3–28.9% | 22.5–29.8% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 22.9% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.8–25.3% | 20.4–25.7% | 19.6–26.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 14.3% | 12.9–15.9% | 12.6–16.3% | 12.2–16.7% | 11.6–17.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.8–11.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.5% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.9% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.7–7.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 46 | 43–54 | 42–56 | 42–56 | 41–58 |
| Høyre | 45 | 40 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 36–46 | 34–49 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 26 | 22–33 | 21–34 | 20–34 | 19–35 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 15 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 3–14 |
| Rødt | 1 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 2–13 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 7 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 1–10 | 1–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–7 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 43 | 7% | 95% | |
| 44 | 21% | 87% | |
| 45 | 9% | 66% | |
| 46 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 47 | 7% | 47% | |
| 48 | 7% | 40% | |
| 49 | 4% | 33% | Last Result |
| 50 | 4% | 29% | |
| 51 | 3% | 25% | |
| 52 | 7% | 22% | |
| 53 | 3% | 15% | |
| 54 | 4% | 12% | |
| 55 | 3% | 8% | |
| 56 | 3% | 5% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 4% | 98% | |
| 37 | 10% | 94% | |
| 38 | 13% | 84% | |
| 39 | 9% | 71% | |
| 40 | 18% | 61% | Median |
| 41 | 12% | 43% | |
| 42 | 10% | 32% | |
| 43 | 6% | 22% | |
| 44 | 4% | 16% | |
| 45 | 6% | 12% | Last Result |
| 46 | 3% | 6% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 20 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 4% | 96% | |
| 22 | 6% | 92% | |
| 23 | 7% | 86% | |
| 24 | 8% | 79% | |
| 25 | 14% | 71% | |
| 26 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 27 | 7% | 50% | |
| 28 | 4% | 43% | |
| 29 | 8% | 39% | |
| 30 | 11% | 31% | |
| 31 | 5% | 20% | |
| 32 | 3% | 14% | |
| 33 | 4% | 11% | |
| 34 | 5% | 7% | |
| 35 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 4% | 98% | |
| 13 | 13% | 94% | |
| 14 | 16% | 81% | |
| 15 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 16 | 22% | 48% | |
| 17 | 14% | 26% | |
| 18 | 9% | 13% | |
| 19 | 2% | 4% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 16% | 95% | |
| 11 | 22% | 79% | Last Result |
| 12 | 24% | 57% | Median |
| 13 | 17% | 33% | |
| 14 | 8% | 16% | |
| 15 | 6% | 8% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 17% | 96% | |
| 9 | 22% | 79% | |
| 10 | 28% | 57% | Median |
| 11 | 20% | 28% | |
| 12 | 5% | 8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 7 | 8% | 98% | |
| 8 | 27% | 90% | |
| 9 | 23% | 64% | Median |
| 10 | 26% | 41% | |
| 11 | 9% | 15% | |
| 12 | 5% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 3 | 35% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 61% | |
| 5 | 0% | 61% | |
| 6 | 2% | 61% | |
| 7 | 20% | 60% | Median |
| 8 | 30% | 39% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 10% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 33% | 95% | |
| 2 | 61% | 62% | Median |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 105 | 100% | 100–110 | 98–111 | 97–113 | 94–114 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 102 | 100% | 97–107 | 95–108 | 94–109 | 90–111 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 96 | 99.8% | 91–101 | 90–102 | 88–103 | 86–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 96 | 99.5% | 90–100 | 89–102 | 88–103 | 85–104 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 91 | 87% | 84–96 | 82–97 | 81–98 | 80–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 90 | 89% | 84–95 | 83–97 | 82–97 | 78–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 86 | 70% | 81–91 | 80–92 | 79–93 | 76–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 81 | 16% | 74–86 | 73–87 | 72–88 | 68–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 74 | 0.1% | 70–79 | 68–80 | 67–81 | 65–83 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 73 | 0.1% | 68–78 | 67–79 | 66–81 | 63–83 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 63 | 0% | 58–68 | 57–70 | 56–71 | 55–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 58 | 0% | 55–66 | 54–67 | 53–68 | 52–70 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 57 | 0% | 53–62 | 52–64 | 51–65 | 49–66 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 56 | 0% | 51–60 | 50–62 | 50–63 | 48–64 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 48 | 0% | 43–53 | 42–55 | 41–55 | 40–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 34 | 0% | 28–41 | 27–43 | 26–43 | 25–45 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 97 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 98 | 2% | 97% | |
| 99 | 2% | 95% | |
| 100 | 4% | 93% | |
| 101 | 8% | 89% | |
| 102 | 4% | 80% | |
| 103 | 9% | 76% | Median |
| 104 | 11% | 68% | |
| 105 | 11% | 56% | |
| 106 | 10% | 45% | |
| 107 | 10% | 35% | |
| 108 | 7% | 25% | |
| 109 | 5% | 18% | |
| 110 | 5% | 13% | |
| 111 | 3% | 8% | |
| 112 | 2% | 5% | |
| 113 | 2% | 3% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 116 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 95 | 3% | 97% | |
| 96 | 3% | 94% | |
| 97 | 6% | 91% | |
| 98 | 4% | 85% | |
| 99 | 7% | 81% | |
| 100 | 8% | 74% | |
| 101 | 7% | 66% | Median |
| 102 | 12% | 59% | |
| 103 | 15% | 47% | |
| 104 | 8% | 32% | |
| 105 | 7% | 24% | |
| 106 | 5% | 17% | |
| 107 | 4% | 12% | |
| 108 | 4% | 7% | |
| 109 | 2% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 89 | 2% | 97% | |
| 90 | 3% | 96% | |
| 91 | 7% | 93% | |
| 92 | 4% | 86% | |
| 93 | 5% | 82% | |
| 94 | 9% | 76% | Median |
| 95 | 13% | 67% | |
| 96 | 10% | 54% | |
| 97 | 10% | 44% | |
| 98 | 7% | 34% | |
| 99 | 9% | 27% | |
| 100 | 6% | 18% | |
| 101 | 5% | 13% | |
| 102 | 4% | 8% | |
| 103 | 2% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 105 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 88 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 89 | 2% | 96% | |
| 90 | 4% | 94% | |
| 91 | 7% | 90% | |
| 92 | 6% | 83% | |
| 93 | 5% | 76% | Median |
| 94 | 6% | 71% | |
| 95 | 13% | 65% | |
| 96 | 15% | 51% | |
| 97 | 11% | 36% | |
| 98 | 6% | 26% | |
| 99 | 5% | 20% | |
| 100 | 6% | 15% | |
| 101 | 3% | 9% | |
| 102 | 3% | 5% | |
| 103 | 2% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 96% | |
| 83 | 4% | 94% | |
| 84 | 4% | 90% | |
| 85 | 9% | 87% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 78% | |
| 87 | 8% | 73% | |
| 88 | 3% | 65% | |
| 89 | 6% | 62% | |
| 90 | 4% | 56% | Median |
| 91 | 5% | 52% | |
| 92 | 7% | 48% | |
| 93 | 8% | 41% | |
| 94 | 14% | 33% | |
| 95 | 6% | 19% | |
| 96 | 7% | 14% | |
| 97 | 3% | 7% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 83 | 3% | 97% | |
| 84 | 5% | 94% | |
| 85 | 8% | 89% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 81% | |
| 87 | 5% | 78% | |
| 88 | 6% | 73% | |
| 89 | 8% | 67% | Median |
| 90 | 10% | 58% | |
| 91 | 11% | 48% | |
| 92 | 12% | 37% | |
| 93 | 5% | 25% | |
| 94 | 6% | 20% | |
| 95 | 4% | 14% | |
| 96 | 3% | 10% | |
| 97 | 4% | 6% | |
| 98 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 79 | 1.5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 80 | 4% | 96% | |
| 81 | 3% | 92% | |
| 82 | 5% | 89% | |
| 83 | 8% | 85% | |
| 84 | 7% | 77% | Median |
| 85 | 10% | 70% | Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 60% | |
| 87 | 11% | 49% | |
| 88 | 10% | 38% | |
| 89 | 8% | 27% | |
| 90 | 6% | 19% | |
| 91 | 5% | 14% | |
| 92 | 4% | 8% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 73 | 3% | 97% | |
| 74 | 8% | 94% | |
| 75 | 3% | 86% | |
| 76 | 4% | 84% | Last Result |
| 77 | 6% | 80% | |
| 78 | 6% | 73% | |
| 79 | 8% | 68% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 60% | |
| 81 | 9% | 51% | |
| 82 | 12% | 42% | |
| 83 | 6% | 30% | |
| 84 | 8% | 24% | |
| 85 | 4% | 16% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 12% | |
| 87 | 4% | 8% | |
| 88 | 3% | 4% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 69 | 4% | 95% | |
| 70 | 5% | 91% | |
| 71 | 12% | 85% | |
| 72 | 6% | 74% | Median |
| 73 | 6% | 68% | |
| 74 | 15% | 62% | |
| 75 | 7% | 47% | |
| 76 | 8% | 40% | |
| 77 | 12% | 32% | |
| 78 | 6% | 20% | |
| 79 | 6% | 15% | |
| 80 | 4% | 9% | |
| 81 | 3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 6% | 93% | |
| 69 | 7% | 86% | |
| 70 | 5% | 80% | |
| 71 | 8% | 74% | |
| 72 | 11% | 66% | |
| 73 | 15% | 55% | |
| 74 | 11% | 40% | Median |
| 75 | 6% | 30% | |
| 76 | 5% | 24% | |
| 77 | 5% | 19% | |
| 78 | 5% | 14% | |
| 79 | 4% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 3% | 96% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | |
| 59 | 6% | 90% | |
| 60 | 7% | 84% | |
| 61 | 9% | 77% | |
| 62 | 10% | 68% | |
| 63 | 11% | 57% | |
| 64 | 11% | 47% | Median |
| 65 | 11% | 36% | |
| 66 | 6% | 25% | |
| 67 | 4% | 19% | |
| 68 | 7% | 15% | |
| 69 | 3% | 8% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 12% | 91% | |
| 56 | 11% | 80% | |
| 57 | 10% | 68% | |
| 58 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 59 | 7% | 48% | |
| 60 | 4% | 40% | Last Result |
| 61 | 5% | 37% | |
| 62 | 5% | 32% | |
| 63 | 8% | 27% | |
| 64 | 4% | 19% | |
| 65 | 2% | 14% | |
| 66 | 5% | 12% | |
| 67 | 5% | 8% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 4% | 97% | |
| 53 | 8% | 93% | |
| 54 | 7% | 85% | |
| 55 | 8% | 78% | |
| 56 | 14% | 70% | |
| 57 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 58 | 14% | 48% | |
| 59 | 11% | 35% | |
| 60 | 6% | 24% | |
| 61 | 5% | 18% | |
| 62 | 5% | 13% | |
| 63 | 2% | 8% | |
| 64 | 3% | 6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 7% | 95% | |
| 52 | 6% | 88% | |
| 53 | 8% | 82% | |
| 54 | 10% | 74% | |
| 55 | 13% | 64% | Median |
| 56 | 13% | 51% | |
| 57 | 9% | 38% | |
| 58 | 11% | 30% | |
| 59 | 4% | 19% | |
| 60 | 6% | 15% | |
| 61 | 3% | 9% | |
| 62 | 3% | 6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 4% | 96% | |
| 43 | 4% | 92% | |
| 44 | 4% | 88% | |
| 45 | 9% | 84% | |
| 46 | 10% | 74% | |
| 47 | 13% | 65% | |
| 48 | 7% | 51% | |
| 49 | 12% | 44% | Median |
| 50 | 10% | 32% | |
| 51 | 7% | 22% | |
| 52 | 4% | 15% | |
| 53 | 2% | 11% | |
| 54 | 3% | 9% | |
| 55 | 4% | 6% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 27 | 6% | 97% | |
| 28 | 5% | 91% | |
| 29 | 6% | 86% | |
| 30 | 6% | 81% | |
| 31 | 5% | 74% | |
| 32 | 7% | 70% | |
| 33 | 5% | 63% | |
| 34 | 8% | 58% | |
| 35 | 7% | 49% | Last Result, Median |
| 36 | 6% | 42% | |
| 37 | 5% | 37% | |
| 38 | 6% | 31% | |
| 39 | 11% | 26% | |
| 40 | 5% | 15% | |
| 41 | 3% | 11% | |
| 42 | 2% | 8% | |
| 43 | 3% | 5% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 18–24 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 950
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.07%