Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco, 30 July–5 August 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
22.2% |
20.2–24.4% |
19.7–25.0% |
19.2–25.5% |
18.3–26.6% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
22.1% |
20.1–24.2% |
19.5–24.8% |
19.1–25.4% |
18.2–26.4% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
14.7% |
13.0–16.6% |
12.5–17.1% |
12.2–17.6% |
11.4–18.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
10.1% |
8.7–11.8% |
8.4–12.3% |
8.0–12.7% |
7.4–13.5% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.8% |
7.5–10.3% |
7.1–10.8% |
6.8–11.2% |
6.3–12.0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
6.9% |
5.8–8.4% |
5.5–8.8% |
5.2–9.2% |
4.8–9.9% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
5.1% |
4.2–6.4% |
3.9–6.8% |
3.7–7.1% |
3.3–7.8% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.2% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.1–4.8% |
1.8–5.4% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.2% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.1–4.8% |
1.8–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
37 |
8% |
97% |
|
38 |
17% |
89% |
|
39 |
13% |
72% |
|
40 |
10% |
59% |
Median |
41 |
5% |
49% |
|
42 |
8% |
44% |
|
43 |
10% |
36% |
|
44 |
9% |
26% |
|
45 |
8% |
17% |
|
46 |
6% |
9% |
|
47 |
2% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
34 |
3% |
97% |
|
35 |
5% |
94% |
|
36 |
10% |
89% |
|
37 |
13% |
79% |
|
38 |
13% |
65% |
|
39 |
17% |
52% |
Median |
40 |
10% |
35% |
|
41 |
10% |
26% |
|
42 |
3% |
15% |
|
43 |
4% |
12% |
|
44 |
3% |
9% |
|
45 |
3% |
6% |
Last Result |
46 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
20 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
21 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
22 |
4% |
96% |
|
23 |
7% |
92% |
|
24 |
10% |
85% |
|
25 |
9% |
75% |
|
26 |
9% |
66% |
|
27 |
13% |
57% |
Median |
28 |
8% |
44% |
|
29 |
10% |
37% |
|
30 |
10% |
27% |
|
31 |
4% |
17% |
|
32 |
8% |
13% |
|
33 |
2% |
5% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
13 |
3% |
98% |
|
14 |
5% |
95% |
|
15 |
10% |
90% |
|
16 |
13% |
80% |
|
17 |
16% |
67% |
|
18 |
16% |
51% |
Median |
19 |
13% |
36% |
|
20 |
10% |
22% |
|
21 |
7% |
12% |
|
22 |
3% |
5% |
|
23 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
4% |
98% |
Last Result |
12 |
6% |
94% |
|
13 |
11% |
88% |
|
14 |
16% |
77% |
|
15 |
19% |
61% |
Median |
16 |
13% |
42% |
|
17 |
14% |
29% |
|
18 |
7% |
15% |
|
19 |
5% |
8% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
9% |
97% |
|
10 |
12% |
89% |
|
11 |
18% |
77% |
|
12 |
23% |
60% |
Median |
13 |
18% |
37% |
|
14 |
10% |
19% |
|
15 |
6% |
10% |
|
16 |
2% |
3% |
|
17 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
92% |
|
4 |
0% |
92% |
|
5 |
0% |
92% |
|
6 |
1.2% |
92% |
|
7 |
11% |
90% |
|
8 |
21% |
80% |
|
9 |
27% |
59% |
Median |
10 |
17% |
32% |
|
11 |
8% |
14% |
|
12 |
5% |
6% |
|
13 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
19% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
57% |
81% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
24% |
|
4 |
0% |
24% |
|
5 |
0% |
24% |
|
6 |
5% |
24% |
|
7 |
14% |
19% |
|
8 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
|
1 |
26% |
91% |
|
2 |
19% |
65% |
Median |
3 |
27% |
47% |
|
4 |
0% |
20% |
|
5 |
0% |
20% |
|
6 |
2% |
20% |
|
7 |
10% |
18% |
|
8 |
6% |
8% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
104 |
100% |
98–109 |
95–110 |
94–111 |
90–115 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
99 |
99.9% |
92–104 |
90–105 |
89–107 |
86–109 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
96 |
98.8% |
89–101 |
88–102 |
86–103 |
82–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
92 |
94% |
86–98 |
84–99 |
83–100 |
80–102 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
90 |
88% |
84–95 |
82–96 |
80–98 |
78–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
83 |
34% |
77–89 |
76–90 |
75–91 |
73–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
83 |
41% |
78–89 |
76–90 |
75–91 |
72–93 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
75 |
1.3% |
68–80 |
67–82 |
65–83 |
62–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
71 |
0.1% |
65–77 |
64–78 |
63–80 |
61–82 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
68 |
0% |
63–74 |
62–75 |
61–76 |
58–78 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
62 |
0% |
58–67 |
55–70 |
53–72 |
51–75 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
59 |
0% |
55–64 |
52–67 |
51–69 |
48–72 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
56 |
0% |
52–61 |
50–63 |
48–65 |
47–68 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
56 |
0% |
51–61 |
50–62 |
49–63 |
48–65 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
45 |
0% |
40–50 |
38–51 |
37–53 |
36–56 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
33 |
0% |
27–40 |
26–41 |
26–41 |
23–44 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
93 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
94 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
95 |
2% |
96% |
|
96 |
1.5% |
94% |
|
97 |
2% |
93% |
|
98 |
5% |
90% |
|
99 |
5% |
85% |
|
100 |
4% |
80% |
|
101 |
5% |
76% |
|
102 |
3% |
71% |
|
103 |
12% |
68% |
Median |
104 |
8% |
57% |
|
105 |
8% |
48% |
|
106 |
10% |
40% |
|
107 |
7% |
30% |
|
108 |
9% |
23% |
|
109 |
6% |
14% |
|
110 |
5% |
9% |
|
111 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
112 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
113 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
114 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
116 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
117 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
89 |
2% |
98% |
|
90 |
2% |
96% |
|
91 |
3% |
94% |
|
92 |
4% |
91% |
|
93 |
5% |
88% |
|
94 |
5% |
83% |
|
95 |
5% |
78% |
|
96 |
8% |
73% |
Median |
97 |
5% |
65% |
|
98 |
7% |
60% |
|
99 |
13% |
53% |
|
100 |
7% |
40% |
|
101 |
7% |
32% |
|
102 |
8% |
26% |
|
103 |
5% |
18% |
|
104 |
8% |
14% |
|
105 |
2% |
5% |
|
106 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
107 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
108 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
109 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
Majority |
86 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
87 |
2% |
97% |
|
88 |
2% |
95% |
|
89 |
5% |
93% |
|
90 |
4% |
88% |
|
91 |
5% |
84% |
|
92 |
5% |
79% |
|
93 |
4% |
74% |
|
94 |
7% |
71% |
Median |
95 |
11% |
64% |
|
96 |
13% |
53% |
|
97 |
9% |
39% |
|
98 |
7% |
31% |
|
99 |
8% |
24% |
|
100 |
5% |
16% |
|
101 |
6% |
11% |
|
102 |
2% |
5% |
|
103 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
104 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
106 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
83 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
96% |
|
85 |
3% |
94% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
91% |
|
87 |
5% |
86% |
|
88 |
4% |
81% |
|
89 |
4% |
77% |
|
90 |
7% |
73% |
|
91 |
9% |
66% |
Median |
92 |
11% |
57% |
|
93 |
7% |
46% |
|
94 |
10% |
39% |
|
95 |
11% |
29% |
|
96 |
4% |
18% |
|
97 |
4% |
14% |
|
98 |
4% |
10% |
|
99 |
3% |
6% |
|
100 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
101 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
99.3% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
83 |
4% |
95% |
|
84 |
3% |
91% |
|
85 |
4% |
88% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
84% |
|
87 |
6% |
77% |
|
88 |
11% |
71% |
Median |
89 |
9% |
61% |
|
90 |
8% |
51% |
|
91 |
10% |
43% |
|
92 |
8% |
32% |
|
93 |
8% |
25% |
|
94 |
3% |
17% |
|
95 |
8% |
14% |
|
96 |
2% |
6% |
|
97 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
98 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
75 |
2% |
98% |
|
76 |
3% |
96% |
|
77 |
4% |
93% |
Last Result |
78 |
6% |
88% |
|
79 |
4% |
82% |
|
80 |
5% |
78% |
|
81 |
8% |
73% |
Median |
82 |
12% |
65% |
|
83 |
6% |
53% |
|
84 |
13% |
47% |
|
85 |
6% |
34% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
29% |
|
87 |
5% |
22% |
|
88 |
4% |
18% |
|
89 |
5% |
13% |
|
90 |
4% |
8% |
|
91 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
92 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
76 |
3% |
97% |
|
77 |
3% |
94% |
|
78 |
6% |
91% |
|
79 |
6% |
85% |
Last Result |
80 |
4% |
80% |
|
81 |
5% |
75% |
|
82 |
8% |
71% |
Median |
83 |
12% |
62% |
|
84 |
9% |
50% |
|
85 |
10% |
41% |
Majority |
86 |
11% |
31% |
|
87 |
5% |
20% |
|
88 |
4% |
15% |
|
89 |
2% |
11% |
|
90 |
5% |
9% |
|
91 |
2% |
4% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
67 |
2% |
95% |
|
68 |
4% |
94% |
|
69 |
5% |
89% |
|
70 |
4% |
85% |
|
71 |
7% |
81% |
|
72 |
7% |
73% |
|
73 |
5% |
67% |
Median |
74 |
11% |
61% |
|
75 |
10% |
50% |
|
76 |
6% |
40% |
|
77 |
12% |
34% |
|
78 |
7% |
22% |
|
79 |
5% |
15% |
|
80 |
3% |
10% |
|
81 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
82 |
2% |
6% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
2% |
98% |
|
64 |
2% |
96% |
|
65 |
6% |
95% |
|
66 |
5% |
89% |
|
67 |
6% |
84% |
|
68 |
6% |
78% |
|
69 |
12% |
72% |
Median |
70 |
6% |
60% |
|
71 |
6% |
54% |
|
72 |
12% |
48% |
|
73 |
7% |
36% |
|
74 |
6% |
28% |
|
75 |
5% |
23% |
|
76 |
6% |
18% |
Last Result |
77 |
4% |
12% |
|
78 |
4% |
9% |
|
79 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
80 |
2% |
3% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
61 |
2% |
98% |
|
62 |
3% |
96% |
|
63 |
6% |
93% |
|
64 |
8% |
87% |
|
65 |
7% |
79% |
|
66 |
7% |
72% |
|
67 |
7% |
65% |
Median |
68 |
10% |
58% |
Last Result |
69 |
10% |
48% |
|
70 |
9% |
38% |
|
71 |
9% |
29% |
|
72 |
6% |
20% |
|
73 |
4% |
14% |
|
74 |
4% |
10% |
|
75 |
3% |
7% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
56 |
2% |
95% |
|
57 |
2% |
92% |
|
58 |
2% |
90% |
|
59 |
11% |
88% |
|
60 |
7% |
77% |
|
61 |
11% |
70% |
Median |
62 |
9% |
59% |
|
63 |
13% |
50% |
|
64 |
9% |
37% |
|
65 |
9% |
27% |
|
66 |
6% |
19% |
|
67 |
3% |
12% |
|
68 |
2% |
9% |
|
69 |
2% |
7% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
71 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
52 |
2% |
96% |
|
53 |
2% |
94% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
55 |
2% |
91% |
|
56 |
5% |
89% |
|
57 |
14% |
85% |
|
58 |
11% |
71% |
|
59 |
12% |
60% |
Median |
60 |
12% |
48% |
|
61 |
11% |
36% |
|
62 |
8% |
25% |
|
63 |
5% |
17% |
|
64 |
3% |
12% |
|
65 |
3% |
9% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
67 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
1.2% |
98.6% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
50 |
3% |
96% |
|
51 |
3% |
94% |
|
52 |
4% |
91% |
|
53 |
4% |
87% |
|
54 |
7% |
83% |
|
55 |
16% |
76% |
|
56 |
12% |
60% |
|
57 |
11% |
48% |
Median |
58 |
8% |
37% |
|
59 |
12% |
29% |
|
60 |
6% |
17% |
|
61 |
4% |
11% |
|
62 |
2% |
7% |
|
63 |
2% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
6% |
94% |
|
52 |
4% |
89% |
|
53 |
15% |
84% |
|
54 |
4% |
69% |
|
55 |
10% |
65% |
Median |
56 |
8% |
56% |
|
57 |
11% |
47% |
|
58 |
6% |
36% |
|
59 |
9% |
30% |
|
60 |
8% |
22% |
Last Result |
61 |
5% |
13% |
|
62 |
4% |
9% |
|
63 |
3% |
5% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
38 |
2% |
97% |
|
39 |
3% |
95% |
|
40 |
6% |
92% |
|
41 |
9% |
86% |
|
42 |
10% |
77% |
|
43 |
7% |
67% |
Median |
44 |
9% |
60% |
|
45 |
9% |
51% |
|
46 |
6% |
42% |
|
47 |
9% |
36% |
|
48 |
11% |
27% |
|
49 |
5% |
16% |
|
50 |
4% |
11% |
|
51 |
2% |
7% |
|
52 |
2% |
5% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
25 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
26 |
3% |
98% |
|
27 |
4% |
94% |
|
28 |
8% |
90% |
|
29 |
8% |
82% |
|
30 |
8% |
74% |
|
31 |
5% |
66% |
Median |
32 |
9% |
61% |
|
33 |
8% |
53% |
|
34 |
6% |
45% |
|
35 |
9% |
38% |
Last Result |
36 |
8% |
30% |
|
37 |
4% |
22% |
|
38 |
4% |
18% |
|
39 |
3% |
14% |
|
40 |
4% |
12% |
|
41 |
5% |
7% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 30 July–5 August 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 662
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.59%