Opinion Poll by Norstat, 6–12 August 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
24.6% |
22.6–26.7% |
22.1–27.3% |
21.6–27.8% |
20.7–28.9% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
22.8% |
20.9–24.9% |
20.4–25.5% |
19.9–26.0% |
19.0–27.0% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
14.1% |
12.6–15.9% |
12.2–16.4% |
11.8–16.9% |
11.1–17.8% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
10.9% |
9.5–12.5% |
9.1–12.9% |
8.8–13.3% |
8.2–14.1% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
6.5% |
5.4–7.8% |
5.1–8.2% |
4.9–8.5% |
4.4–9.2% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
5.9% |
4.9–7.2% |
4.6–7.5% |
4.4–7.9% |
4.0–8.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
5.4% |
4.4–6.6% |
4.2–6.9% |
3.9–7.3% |
3.5–7.9% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.2% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.1–4.7% |
1.8–5.2% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.7% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.8–4.2% |
1.5–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
40 |
4% |
98% |
|
41 |
5% |
94% |
|
42 |
13% |
89% |
|
43 |
9% |
76% |
|
44 |
11% |
67% |
|
45 |
12% |
57% |
Median |
46 |
13% |
45% |
|
47 |
12% |
32% |
|
48 |
3% |
21% |
|
49 |
6% |
18% |
Last Result |
50 |
3% |
12% |
|
51 |
4% |
8% |
|
52 |
2% |
4% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
36 |
7% |
97% |
|
37 |
7% |
90% |
|
38 |
13% |
84% |
|
39 |
8% |
71% |
|
40 |
15% |
63% |
Median |
41 |
7% |
48% |
|
42 |
11% |
41% |
|
43 |
9% |
30% |
|
44 |
7% |
21% |
|
45 |
5% |
14% |
Last Result |
46 |
5% |
10% |
|
47 |
3% |
5% |
|
48 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
2% |
98.5% |
Last Result |
20 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
21 |
3% |
95% |
|
22 |
8% |
92% |
|
23 |
5% |
85% |
|
24 |
6% |
79% |
|
25 |
20% |
73% |
|
26 |
7% |
53% |
Median |
27 |
8% |
46% |
|
28 |
13% |
38% |
|
29 |
8% |
24% |
|
30 |
3% |
16% |
|
31 |
4% |
13% |
|
32 |
3% |
9% |
|
33 |
4% |
5% |
|
34 |
2% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
15 |
4% |
98% |
|
16 |
6% |
95% |
|
17 |
17% |
88% |
|
18 |
17% |
72% |
|
19 |
17% |
54% |
Median |
20 |
20% |
37% |
|
21 |
7% |
17% |
|
22 |
4% |
10% |
|
23 |
2% |
6% |
|
24 |
2% |
3% |
|
25 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
6% |
99.2% |
|
9 |
14% |
93% |
|
10 |
23% |
79% |
|
11 |
25% |
55% |
Median |
12 |
15% |
30% |
|
13 |
8% |
16% |
|
14 |
5% |
7% |
|
15 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
8 |
11% |
96% |
|
9 |
22% |
85% |
|
10 |
21% |
62% |
Median |
11 |
17% |
41% |
Last Result |
12 |
17% |
24% |
|
13 |
4% |
7% |
|
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
5 |
0% |
96% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
7 |
11% |
95% |
|
8 |
23% |
84% |
|
9 |
21% |
62% |
Median |
10 |
15% |
41% |
|
11 |
15% |
26% |
|
12 |
9% |
11% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
41% |
98% |
|
2 |
17% |
57% |
Median |
3 |
30% |
40% |
|
4 |
0% |
9% |
|
5 |
0% |
9% |
|
6 |
2% |
9% |
|
7 |
5% |
7% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
18% |
96% |
|
2 |
72% |
78% |
Median |
3 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
4 |
0% |
5% |
|
5 |
0% |
5% |
|
6 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
7 |
3% |
3% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
102 |
100% |
96–108 |
93–109 |
92–110 |
89–112 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
93 |
97% |
87–98 |
85–99 |
84–100 |
81–102 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
80 |
93 |
96% |
87–98 |
85–100 |
83–100 |
80–103 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
90 |
89% |
84–95 |
83–97 |
82–99 |
80–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
91 |
91% |
85–96 |
83–97 |
82–98 |
78–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
84 |
38% |
78–88 |
76–89 |
75–90 |
72–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
82 |
26% |
76–86 |
75–88 |
73–89 |
70–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
75 |
4% |
69–81 |
68–84 |
67–85 |
65–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
74 |
0.3% |
68–79 |
67–80 |
65–82 |
64–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
73 |
0.3% |
68–79 |
66–80 |
65–81 |
62–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
72 |
0% |
66–76 |
65–78 |
63–79 |
61–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
64 |
0% |
59–69 |
58–70 |
57–72 |
55–75 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
61 |
0% |
57–66 |
56–67 |
55–68 |
52–72 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
60 |
0% |
55–64 |
54–66 |
53–66 |
51–69 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
55 |
0% |
51–60 |
50–61 |
49–63 |
47–65 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
45 |
0% |
40–50 |
39–52 |
39–53 |
37–56 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
30 |
0% |
25–36 |
24–37 |
24–39 |
21–41 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
91 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
92 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
93 |
2% |
97% |
|
94 |
2% |
95% |
|
95 |
3% |
93% |
|
96 |
5% |
91% |
|
97 |
2% |
86% |
|
98 |
9% |
83% |
|
99 |
10% |
75% |
|
100 |
4% |
65% |
|
101 |
11% |
61% |
Median |
102 |
10% |
50% |
|
103 |
9% |
40% |
|
104 |
4% |
32% |
|
105 |
8% |
28% |
|
106 |
4% |
20% |
|
107 |
4% |
16% |
|
108 |
5% |
13% |
|
109 |
3% |
7% |
|
110 |
2% |
4% |
|
111 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
112 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
113 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
83 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
85 |
2% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
95% |
|
87 |
3% |
92% |
|
88 |
5% |
89% |
Last Result |
89 |
3% |
85% |
|
90 |
5% |
81% |
|
91 |
12% |
77% |
|
92 |
12% |
65% |
Median |
93 |
5% |
53% |
|
94 |
10% |
48% |
|
95 |
8% |
38% |
|
96 |
4% |
30% |
|
97 |
11% |
26% |
|
98 |
8% |
15% |
|
99 |
3% |
7% |
|
100 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
101 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
83 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
96% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
95% |
|
87 |
4% |
91% |
|
88 |
4% |
88% |
|
89 |
6% |
84% |
|
90 |
9% |
78% |
|
91 |
11% |
68% |
|
92 |
6% |
57% |
Median |
93 |
10% |
51% |
|
94 |
11% |
42% |
|
95 |
6% |
30% |
|
96 |
6% |
24% |
|
97 |
5% |
18% |
|
98 |
3% |
13% |
|
99 |
4% |
9% |
|
100 |
3% |
5% |
|
101 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
82 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
83 |
2% |
97% |
|
84 |
6% |
95% |
|
85 |
3% |
89% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
86% |
|
87 |
4% |
80% |
|
88 |
7% |
76% |
|
89 |
10% |
68% |
Median |
90 |
12% |
58% |
|
91 |
12% |
46% |
|
92 |
6% |
34% |
|
93 |
5% |
28% |
|
94 |
8% |
23% |
|
95 |
7% |
15% |
|
96 |
3% |
8% |
|
97 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
98 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
99 |
2% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
82 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
96% |
|
84 |
4% |
94% |
|
85 |
3% |
91% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
88% |
|
87 |
7% |
85% |
|
88 |
7% |
78% |
|
89 |
8% |
72% |
|
90 |
10% |
64% |
Median |
91 |
8% |
54% |
|
92 |
12% |
45% |
|
93 |
7% |
33% |
|
94 |
7% |
27% |
|
95 |
4% |
20% |
|
96 |
7% |
16% |
|
97 |
6% |
8% |
|
98 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
100 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
75 |
2% |
98% |
|
76 |
4% |
95% |
|
77 |
1.1% |
91% |
Last Result |
78 |
2% |
90% |
|
79 |
11% |
88% |
|
80 |
7% |
77% |
|
81 |
6% |
70% |
|
82 |
6% |
64% |
Median |
83 |
7% |
58% |
|
84 |
13% |
51% |
|
85 |
14% |
38% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
25% |
|
87 |
6% |
17% |
|
88 |
4% |
11% |
|
89 |
2% |
7% |
|
90 |
2% |
4% |
|
91 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
75 |
3% |
95% |
|
76 |
3% |
92% |
|
77 |
3% |
89% |
|
78 |
9% |
87% |
|
79 |
5% |
77% |
Last Result |
80 |
8% |
72% |
|
81 |
10% |
64% |
Median |
82 |
9% |
54% |
|
83 |
10% |
45% |
|
84 |
9% |
35% |
|
85 |
11% |
26% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
15% |
|
87 |
2% |
8% |
|
88 |
3% |
6% |
|
89 |
2% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
68 |
5% |
97% |
|
69 |
2% |
92% |
|
70 |
5% |
90% |
|
71 |
9% |
84% |
|
72 |
5% |
76% |
|
73 |
7% |
70% |
|
74 |
11% |
63% |
|
75 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
47% |
|
77 |
5% |
40% |
|
78 |
10% |
35% |
|
79 |
6% |
25% |
|
80 |
6% |
19% |
|
81 |
3% |
12% |
|
82 |
2% |
10% |
|
83 |
2% |
7% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
85 |
3% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
67 |
3% |
96% |
|
68 |
4% |
93% |
|
69 |
4% |
89% |
|
70 |
6% |
86% |
|
71 |
8% |
80% |
|
72 |
7% |
72% |
|
73 |
7% |
65% |
Median |
74 |
13% |
58% |
|
75 |
9% |
45% |
|
76 |
15% |
36% |
Last Result |
77 |
5% |
21% |
|
78 |
4% |
15% |
|
79 |
3% |
11% |
|
80 |
3% |
8% |
|
81 |
2% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
65 |
2% |
98% |
|
66 |
3% |
96% |
|
67 |
2% |
92% |
|
68 |
4% |
90% |
|
69 |
8% |
86% |
|
70 |
9% |
78% |
|
71 |
8% |
69% |
|
72 |
9% |
61% |
Median |
73 |
7% |
52% |
|
74 |
7% |
45% |
|
75 |
11% |
38% |
|
76 |
6% |
27% |
|
77 |
3% |
21% |
|
78 |
6% |
18% |
|
79 |
5% |
12% |
|
80 |
3% |
7% |
|
81 |
2% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
63 |
1.4% |
98.8% |
|
64 |
2% |
97% |
|
65 |
3% |
96% |
|
66 |
5% |
93% |
|
67 |
4% |
87% |
|
68 |
4% |
83% |
Last Result |
69 |
9% |
80% |
|
70 |
11% |
71% |
|
71 |
9% |
60% |
Median |
72 |
6% |
51% |
|
73 |
11% |
45% |
|
74 |
14% |
35% |
|
75 |
7% |
21% |
|
76 |
5% |
14% |
|
77 |
3% |
9% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
57 |
2% |
98% |
|
58 |
4% |
96% |
|
59 |
5% |
92% |
|
60 |
5% |
87% |
|
61 |
12% |
82% |
|
62 |
7% |
70% |
|
63 |
10% |
63% |
Median |
64 |
13% |
53% |
|
65 |
4% |
39% |
|
66 |
10% |
35% |
|
67 |
8% |
26% |
|
68 |
5% |
17% |
|
69 |
4% |
13% |
|
70 |
4% |
9% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
55 |
3% |
98% |
|
56 |
3% |
95% |
|
57 |
5% |
92% |
|
58 |
6% |
87% |
|
59 |
6% |
81% |
|
60 |
13% |
75% |
|
61 |
14% |
62% |
Median |
62 |
9% |
48% |
|
63 |
12% |
39% |
|
64 |
4% |
27% |
|
65 |
9% |
23% |
|
66 |
6% |
14% |
|
67 |
4% |
8% |
|
68 |
2% |
5% |
|
69 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
53 |
3% |
98% |
|
54 |
3% |
95% |
|
55 |
6% |
92% |
|
56 |
6% |
86% |
|
57 |
8% |
81% |
|
58 |
10% |
73% |
|
59 |
9% |
63% |
Median |
60 |
14% |
53% |
|
61 |
12% |
39% |
|
62 |
5% |
28% |
|
63 |
8% |
22% |
|
64 |
6% |
14% |
|
65 |
3% |
8% |
|
66 |
3% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
49 |
2% |
98% |
|
50 |
5% |
96% |
|
51 |
5% |
91% |
|
52 |
8% |
86% |
|
53 |
10% |
78% |
|
54 |
9% |
68% |
|
55 |
11% |
60% |
Median |
56 |
17% |
49% |
|
57 |
5% |
32% |
|
58 |
8% |
27% |
|
59 |
3% |
19% |
|
60 |
7% |
16% |
Last Result |
61 |
4% |
9% |
|
62 |
2% |
5% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
39 |
3% |
98% |
|
40 |
5% |
94% |
|
41 |
8% |
89% |
|
42 |
7% |
82% |
|
43 |
12% |
75% |
|
44 |
13% |
63% |
Median |
45 |
8% |
50% |
|
46 |
4% |
43% |
|
47 |
16% |
38% |
|
48 |
3% |
23% |
|
49 |
7% |
20% |
|
50 |
4% |
13% |
|
51 |
3% |
9% |
|
52 |
2% |
5% |
|
53 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
23 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
24 |
3% |
98% |
|
25 |
6% |
95% |
|
26 |
4% |
89% |
|
27 |
5% |
85% |
|
28 |
10% |
80% |
|
29 |
8% |
69% |
|
30 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
31 |
9% |
49% |
|
32 |
14% |
41% |
|
33 |
5% |
27% |
|
34 |
7% |
22% |
|
35 |
3% |
15% |
Last Result |
36 |
5% |
12% |
|
37 |
2% |
7% |
|
38 |
2% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 6–12 August 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 728
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.48%