Opinion Poll by Ipsos MMI, 19–21 August 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.4% |
21.4–25.5% |
20.9–26.1% |
20.4–26.6% |
19.5–27.6% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
20.9% |
19.0–22.9% |
18.5–23.5% |
18.0–24.0% |
17.2–25.0% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
16.1% |
14.5–18.0% |
14.0–18.5% |
13.6–19.0% |
12.9–19.9% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
11.1% |
9.7–12.8% |
9.4–13.2% |
9.0–13.6% |
8.4–14.5% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.9% |
6.8–9.4% |
6.4–9.8% |
6.2–10.1% |
5.7–10.9% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
6.7% |
5.6–8.0% |
5.3–8.4% |
5.1–8.7% |
4.6–9.4% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.5% |
3.6–5.6% |
3.4–5.9% |
3.2–6.2% |
2.8–6.8% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.1% |
2.4–4.1% |
2.2–4.3% |
2.0–4.6% |
1.7–5.1% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.7–4.1% |
1.4–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
38 |
3% |
97% |
|
39 |
8% |
94% |
|
40 |
5% |
86% |
|
41 |
13% |
81% |
|
42 |
10% |
68% |
|
43 |
10% |
58% |
Median |
44 |
25% |
47% |
|
45 |
11% |
23% |
|
46 |
4% |
12% |
|
47 |
3% |
8% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
3% |
Last Result |
50 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
99.1% |
|
32 |
2% |
98% |
|
33 |
4% |
96% |
|
34 |
11% |
92% |
|
35 |
8% |
81% |
|
36 |
8% |
73% |
|
37 |
16% |
65% |
Median |
38 |
16% |
49% |
|
39 |
5% |
33% |
|
40 |
13% |
28% |
|
41 |
8% |
15% |
|
42 |
4% |
7% |
|
43 |
2% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
24 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
25 |
3% |
97% |
|
26 |
6% |
94% |
|
27 |
6% |
89% |
|
28 |
12% |
82% |
|
29 |
9% |
71% |
|
30 |
10% |
62% |
|
31 |
14% |
52% |
Median |
32 |
19% |
38% |
|
33 |
9% |
19% |
|
34 |
5% |
10% |
|
35 |
3% |
6% |
|
36 |
2% |
3% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
15 |
2% |
98% |
|
16 |
5% |
96% |
|
17 |
9% |
92% |
|
18 |
12% |
83% |
|
19 |
23% |
71% |
Median |
20 |
16% |
48% |
|
21 |
10% |
33% |
|
22 |
10% |
23% |
|
23 |
6% |
13% |
|
24 |
5% |
7% |
|
25 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
28 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
11 |
7% |
94% |
Last Result |
12 |
13% |
87% |
|
13 |
12% |
75% |
|
14 |
16% |
62% |
Median |
15 |
24% |
46% |
|
16 |
9% |
22% |
|
17 |
9% |
13% |
|
18 |
3% |
4% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
9 |
8% |
97% |
|
10 |
22% |
89% |
|
11 |
15% |
67% |
|
12 |
25% |
52% |
Median |
13 |
15% |
28% |
|
14 |
7% |
13% |
|
15 |
4% |
6% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
27% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
0% |
72% |
|
4 |
0% |
72% |
|
5 |
0% |
72% |
|
6 |
1.3% |
72% |
|
7 |
15% |
71% |
|
8 |
30% |
56% |
Median |
9 |
18% |
26% |
|
10 |
6% |
9% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
1 |
10% |
99.3% |
|
2 |
76% |
89% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
13% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
11% |
|
5 |
0% |
11% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
11% |
|
7 |
7% |
10% |
|
8 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
20% |
100% |
|
1 |
50% |
80% |
Median |
2 |
14% |
30% |
|
3 |
13% |
16% |
|
4 |
0% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
106 |
100% |
99–110 |
98–111 |
96–112 |
93–115 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
100 |
100% |
95–105 |
93–106 |
92–107 |
89–111 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
99 |
99.9% |
93–104 |
92–105 |
90–106 |
87–109 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
94 |
98% |
88–99 |
86–99 |
85–101 |
82–104 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
92 |
95% |
86–96 |
85–98 |
84–99 |
80–102 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
87 |
78% |
82–91 |
80–93 |
79–94 |
76–96 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
86 |
69% |
81–90 |
80–92 |
78–94 |
76–96 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
74 |
0.4% |
70–79 |
68–80 |
67–82 |
65–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
73 |
0.3% |
66–78 |
65–79 |
63–81 |
63–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
73 |
0% |
68–77 |
67–79 |
66–80 |
64–82 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
61 |
0% |
55–66 |
54–67 |
53–68 |
51–72 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
60 |
0% |
54–65 |
53–66 |
52–67 |
50–70 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
57 |
0% |
51–62 |
51–64 |
49–65 |
48–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
57 |
0% |
53–61 |
52–62 |
50–64 |
48–65 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
41 |
0% |
37–45 |
36–47 |
36–48 |
34–51 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
34 |
0% |
30–39 |
29–41 |
27–42 |
26–44 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
94 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
95 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
96 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
97 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
98 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
99 |
6% |
94% |
|
100 |
3% |
88% |
|
101 |
5% |
86% |
|
102 |
9% |
81% |
|
103 |
6% |
72% |
|
104 |
5% |
67% |
|
105 |
8% |
62% |
|
106 |
12% |
53% |
|
107 |
5% |
41% |
|
108 |
15% |
36% |
Median |
109 |
10% |
21% |
|
110 |
3% |
11% |
|
111 |
4% |
8% |
|
112 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
113 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
114 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
115 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
116 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
117 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
92 |
2% |
98% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
94 |
4% |
95% |
|
95 |
4% |
91% |
|
96 |
4% |
87% |
|
97 |
6% |
83% |
|
98 |
11% |
77% |
|
99 |
5% |
66% |
|
100 |
17% |
61% |
|
101 |
10% |
44% |
Median |
102 |
10% |
34% |
|
103 |
6% |
24% |
|
104 |
4% |
18% |
|
105 |
7% |
14% |
|
106 |
3% |
7% |
|
107 |
2% |
5% |
|
108 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
109 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
110 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
111 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
90 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
91 |
2% |
97% |
|
92 |
2% |
95% |
|
93 |
4% |
93% |
|
94 |
3% |
89% |
|
95 |
7% |
86% |
|
96 |
6% |
79% |
|
97 |
10% |
73% |
|
98 |
9% |
63% |
|
99 |
10% |
54% |
|
100 |
12% |
44% |
Median |
101 |
14% |
32% |
|
102 |
3% |
19% |
|
103 |
3% |
15% |
|
104 |
7% |
12% |
|
105 |
2% |
5% |
|
106 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
107 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
110 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
85 |
2% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
87 |
2% |
95% |
|
88 |
3% |
93% |
|
89 |
7% |
90% |
|
90 |
6% |
83% |
|
91 |
8% |
77% |
|
92 |
8% |
69% |
|
93 |
11% |
62% |
|
94 |
6% |
51% |
|
95 |
7% |
45% |
|
96 |
15% |
38% |
Median |
97 |
5% |
24% |
|
98 |
3% |
18% |
|
99 |
11% |
15% |
|
100 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
101 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
98% |
|
85 |
4% |
95% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
91% |
|
87 |
4% |
85% |
|
88 |
4% |
81% |
|
89 |
12% |
77% |
|
90 |
7% |
66% |
Median |
91 |
7% |
58% |
|
92 |
14% |
52% |
|
93 |
6% |
38% |
|
94 |
13% |
31% |
|
95 |
8% |
18% |
|
96 |
3% |
11% |
|
97 |
3% |
8% |
|
98 |
2% |
5% |
|
99 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
100 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
98% |
Last Result |
80 |
2% |
97% |
|
81 |
2% |
94% |
|
82 |
4% |
93% |
|
83 |
7% |
89% |
|
84 |
4% |
82% |
|
85 |
11% |
78% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
67% |
|
87 |
12% |
60% |
|
88 |
12% |
48% |
Median |
89 |
8% |
36% |
|
90 |
9% |
28% |
|
91 |
11% |
20% |
|
92 |
3% |
8% |
|
93 |
2% |
5% |
|
94 |
2% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
78 |
1.4% |
98.6% |
|
79 |
2% |
97% |
|
80 |
3% |
95% |
|
81 |
6% |
93% |
|
82 |
4% |
87% |
|
83 |
9% |
83% |
|
84 |
4% |
73% |
|
85 |
11% |
69% |
Majority |
86 |
13% |
58% |
|
87 |
14% |
46% |
Median |
88 |
7% |
31% |
|
89 |
8% |
24% |
|
90 |
7% |
17% |
|
91 |
3% |
10% |
|
92 |
2% |
7% |
|
93 |
2% |
5% |
|
94 |
2% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
67 |
2% |
98% |
|
68 |
3% |
96% |
|
69 |
3% |
94% |
|
70 |
5% |
90% |
|
71 |
7% |
86% |
|
72 |
6% |
79% |
|
73 |
18% |
73% |
|
74 |
7% |
55% |
|
75 |
6% |
48% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
41% |
Last Result |
77 |
16% |
35% |
|
78 |
6% |
18% |
|
79 |
4% |
13% |
|
80 |
4% |
9% |
|
81 |
2% |
5% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
65 |
2% |
96% |
|
66 |
5% |
93% |
|
67 |
3% |
88% |
|
68 |
3% |
85% |
|
69 |
3% |
83% |
|
70 |
12% |
80% |
|
71 |
8% |
68% |
Median |
72 |
6% |
60% |
|
73 |
15% |
54% |
|
74 |
6% |
39% |
|
75 |
6% |
33% |
|
76 |
9% |
26% |
|
77 |
3% |
17% |
|
78 |
5% |
14% |
|
79 |
4% |
9% |
|
80 |
2% |
5% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
66 |
2% |
98% |
|
67 |
3% |
96% |
|
68 |
4% |
93% |
Last Result |
69 |
5% |
89% |
|
70 |
9% |
85% |
|
71 |
9% |
76% |
|
72 |
11% |
67% |
|
73 |
11% |
56% |
|
74 |
7% |
45% |
Median |
75 |
8% |
39% |
|
76 |
17% |
30% |
|
77 |
4% |
13% |
|
78 |
3% |
9% |
|
79 |
3% |
6% |
|
80 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
98.6% |
|
54 |
6% |
97% |
|
55 |
2% |
92% |
|
56 |
3% |
89% |
|
57 |
4% |
86% |
|
58 |
6% |
83% |
|
59 |
5% |
77% |
Median |
60 |
13% |
71% |
|
61 |
15% |
58% |
|
62 |
8% |
44% |
|
63 |
15% |
36% |
|
64 |
7% |
22% |
|
65 |
3% |
15% |
|
66 |
3% |
12% |
|
67 |
4% |
9% |
|
68 |
2% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
98.5% |
|
52 |
2% |
98% |
|
53 |
4% |
96% |
|
54 |
3% |
91% |
|
55 |
4% |
88% |
|
56 |
4% |
84% |
|
57 |
6% |
79% |
|
58 |
6% |
74% |
Median |
59 |
16% |
67% |
|
60 |
8% |
52% |
|
61 |
14% |
44% |
|
62 |
12% |
30% |
|
63 |
4% |
18% |
|
64 |
3% |
14% |
|
65 |
3% |
11% |
|
66 |
4% |
8% |
|
67 |
2% |
4% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
6% |
95% |
|
52 |
4% |
90% |
|
53 |
5% |
86% |
|
54 |
5% |
81% |
|
55 |
8% |
77% |
|
56 |
8% |
69% |
Median |
57 |
14% |
61% |
|
58 |
7% |
47% |
|
59 |
16% |
40% |
|
60 |
11% |
24% |
|
61 |
2% |
14% |
|
62 |
3% |
11% |
|
63 |
2% |
8% |
|
64 |
3% |
6% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
51 |
2% |
97% |
|
52 |
4% |
95% |
|
53 |
9% |
91% |
|
54 |
8% |
82% |
|
55 |
7% |
74% |
|
56 |
15% |
67% |
|
57 |
8% |
52% |
Median |
58 |
8% |
44% |
|
59 |
16% |
36% |
|
60 |
9% |
20% |
Last Result |
61 |
3% |
11% |
|
62 |
3% |
8% |
|
63 |
2% |
5% |
|
64 |
2% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
36 |
6% |
98% |
|
37 |
6% |
92% |
|
38 |
5% |
86% |
|
39 |
10% |
81% |
|
40 |
11% |
71% |
Median |
41 |
16% |
60% |
|
42 |
7% |
44% |
|
43 |
10% |
37% |
|
44 |
11% |
27% |
|
45 |
7% |
16% |
|
46 |
2% |
9% |
|
47 |
3% |
6% |
|
48 |
2% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
2% |
97% |
|
29 |
4% |
95% |
|
30 |
11% |
92% |
|
31 |
7% |
81% |
|
32 |
6% |
74% |
|
33 |
9% |
68% |
|
34 |
13% |
59% |
Median |
35 |
16% |
47% |
Last Result |
36 |
8% |
30% |
|
37 |
6% |
22% |
|
38 |
5% |
16% |
|
39 |
3% |
11% |
|
40 |
2% |
7% |
|
41 |
2% |
5% |
|
42 |
2% |
3% |
|
43 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos MMI
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 19–21 August 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 719
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.23%